Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 1–3 Celtic

Sunday 6 March 2022, 12:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 30 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 8,922

Livingston Shinnie 56'

Celtic Maeda 17', Devlin 46' (og), Forrest 55'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonCeltic
Goals13
xG0.853.63
Non-penalty xG0.852.84
Expected Points0.072.88

Livingston 1%Draw 5%Celtic 95%

Most likely score 1–3, 16%. Final score 1–3, 16%.

Celtic goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+1%5%9%8%5%3%2%9%9%5%2%4%3%2%1%16%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTAnderson on for Omeonga, 60'Soto on for Nouble, 70'Kelly on for Shinnie, 71'Sibbald on for Pittman, 76'O'Riley on for Rogic, Giakoumakis on for Maeda, and Abada on for Forrest, 75'Hatate on for McGregor, 83'Shinnie 56'Maeda 17'Devlin 46' (og)Forrest 55'Celtic 3.63Livingston 0.85012340153045607590HTAnderson on for Omeonga, 60'Soto on for Nouble, 70'Kelly on for Shinnie, 71'Sibbald on for Pittman, 76'O'Riley on for Rogic, Giakoumakis on for Maeda, and Abada on for Forrest, 75'Hatate on for McGregor, 83'Shinnie 56'Maeda 17'Devlin 46' (og)Forrest 55'3.630.85LivingstonCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonCeltic

0.85 −0.13xG3.63 +1.23
0.85Non-penalty xG2.84
1.12 +0.21xG on target2.82 +0.51
6 −4Shots24 +4
3 −0.3Shots on target7 +0.1
2 +1.0Big chances6 +2.5
13 −5Touches in the opposition box38 +1
28% −12Possession72% +2
225 −82Passes580 −73
58% −5Pass accuracy86% −1
11% −29Field tilt89% +10
14 −12Final-third entries71 −3
2 −6.4Box entries20 −2.4
14.3 −1Passes per defensive action9.6 −1
5 +1.3Corners8 −1.5
30 +14Tackles16 +3
12 +1.7Interceptions4 −3.9
18 −4Clearances13 −1
5 +2.0Saves2 +0.7
15 +1Fouls13 +1
7 +4.7Offsides2 +0.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Nouble 45+1', 0.08 xGObileye 7', 0.07 xGObileye 45+1', 0.05 xGFitzwater 7', 0.02 xGSibbald 90+3', 0.01 xGShinnie 56', 0.61 xG, goal73%0.61 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.61 xG, 1 goal17%0.14 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals10%0.08 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Giakoumakis 84', 0.35 xGMaeda 69', 0.30 xGMcGregor 16', 0.26 xGMcGregor 81', 0.12 xGMaeda 14', 0.10 xGRogic 39', 0.09 xGStarfelt 17', 0.08 xGMaeda 19', 0.08 xGStarfelt 5', 0.06 xGJota 68', 0.06 xGRogic 19', 0.05 xGJota 68', 0.05 xGForrest 65', 0.04 xGAbada 80', 0.04 xGO'Riley 83', 0.03 xGJota 23', 0.02 xGRalston 35', 0.02 xGCarter-Vickers 49', 0.02 xGBitton 83', 0.02 xGBitton 90+1', 0.02 xGMcGregor 69', 0.01 xGMaeda 17', 0.93 xG, goalForrest 55', 0.10 xG, goal48%1.37 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.37 xG, 1 goal36%1.01 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.01 xG, 0 goals10%0.27 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.27 xG, 1 goal6%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonCeltic

0.01 1 shot, 0 goalsOpen play1.08 16 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.30 1 shot, 0 goals
0.84 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces1.46 6 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
17 min (18%) · Livingston 0.09, Celtic 2.22 xG
Celtic ahead
77 min (82%) · Livingston 0.75, Celtic 1.41 xG

Line-ups

322562933188221719StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenriceOmeongaHoltPittmanShinnieForrestNoubleOwn goalYellow cardYellow cardGoal60'76'71'70'Livingston 4-4-1-1David Martindale1556204318642493817HartRalstonCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorRogicBittonMcGregorForrestMaedaJotaGoalGoal75'83'75'75'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou

Livingston substitutes

  • 60' Anderson for Omeonga · yellow card 79'
  • 70' Soto for Nouble
  • 71' Kelly for Shinnie
  • 76' Sibbald for Pittman

Celtic substitutes

  • 75' O'Riley for Rogic · yellow card 88'
  • 75' Giakoumakis for Maeda
  • 75' Abada for Forrest
  • 83' Hatate for McGregor

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0100.0221
DevlinRB900.000.0200.0116
Fitzwater CB900.020.0100.05510
ObileyeCB900.120.0000.0004
PenriceLB900.000.0200.0238
Omeonga RM600.000.0000.0114
HoltCM900.000.0000.00010
PittmanCM760.000.0000.0002
ShinnieLM7110.610.0000.0324
ForrestAM900.000.1430.0226
NoubleST700.080.000−0.0407
Anderson FW300.000.0000.0001
SotoFW200.000.000−0.0200
KellyDF190.000.0010.0013
SibbaldMF140.010.0000.0001

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0100
RalstonRB900.020.0500.1155
Carter-VickersCB900.020.0100.0676
StarfeltCB900.150.0210.16105
TaylorLB900.000.2120.1272
RogicCM750.130.0310.0752
BittonCM900.040.1310.1892
McGregorCM831.180.020−0.0114
ForrestRW7510.130.3110.2760
MaedaST7511.410.0200.0012
JotaLW9010.130.9270.54172
O'Riley MF150.030.162−0.0202
GiakoumakisFW150.350.0000.0000
AbadaFW150.040.0000.0220
HatateMF70.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Stryjek and Devlin: 3 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 3 passesStryjek and Nouble: 3 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 3 passesObileye and Forrest: 3 passesFitzwater and Forrest: 3 passesPenrice and Forrest: 3 passesPenrice and Nouble: 3 passesOmeonga and Holt: 3 passesOmeonga and Pittman: 3 passesDevlin and Nouble: 4 passesOmeonga and Forrest: 4 passesPittman and Nouble: 4 passesShinnie and Forrest: 4 passesFitzwater and Nouble: 5 passesStryjek: 10 completed passesDevlin: 9 completed passesObileye: 6 completed passesFitzwater: 8 completed passesPenrice: 5 completed passesOmeonga: 6 completed passesHolt: 7 completed passesPittman: 6 completed passesShinnie: 10 completed passesForrest: 16 completed passesNouble: 9 completed passes322652933188221719StryjekDevlinObileyeFitzwaterPenriceOmeongaHoltPittmanShinnieForrestNoubleStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Bitton and Maeda: 6 passesRalston and Starfelt: 7 passesTaylor and Rogic: 7 passesBitton and McGregor: 7 passesBitton and Forrest: 7 passesForrest and Jota: 7 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and Bitton: 10 passesRogic and Bitton: 10 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 13 passesMcGregor and Jota: 13 passesHart and Starfelt: 16 passesRalston and Rogic: 16 passesStarfelt and Jota: 16 passesTaylor and Bitton: 16 passesStarfelt and Bitton: 17 passesBitton and Jota: 17 passesRogic and Forrest: 18 passesRalston and Bitton: 20 passesTaylor and McGregor: 21 passesRalston and Forrest: 22 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 29 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 30 passesTaylor and Jota: 32 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 38 passesHart: 23 completed passesRalston: 55 completed passesStarfelt: 76 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 55 completed passesTaylor: 60 completed passesRogic: 29 completed passesBitton: 54 completed passesMcGregor: 27 completed passesForrest: 26 completed passesMaeda: 14 completed passesJota: 43 completed passes1556420318642493817HartRalstonStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorRogicBittonMcGregorForrestMaedaJotaStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinFitzwater6
StryjekDevlin5
FitzwaterNouble4
ForrestObileye4
FitzwaterStryjek4

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltCarter-Vickers21
StarfeltTaylor21
TaylorJota21
Carter-VickersStarfelt21
Carter-VickersRalston19

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

10+4.26+0.219+3.910+2.911+4.110+1.910+2.56−0.210+2.16−3.52−4.23−1.90−4.04−1.04−2.54−0.73+0.39+6.40−3.37+2.44+1.70−1.60−1.14+2.11−1.22+0.81+0.60−0.50−0.50−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Celtic

2−1.83−1.59+1.37+1.94−2.34−0.81−2.96−0.210+1.86+1.85+1.74−1.45−1.14−0.83−0.81−1.39+4.43−2.95+2.61−0.93+1.32−0.24+1.22+1.51+0.51+0.40−0.70−0.90−4.12−3.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.01−0.010.010.010.010.010.01−0.02−0.02−0.020.020.030.020.020.02LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.030.010.010.060.050.090.020.050.050.080.080.090.090.040.020.060.020.080.030.210.28LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackLivingston1.02 → 1.03Celtic1.98 → 2.02Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.15 → 1.19Celtic0.69 → 0.69

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six77%72%−5
Celtic
Title75%80%+5
Rangers
Title25%20%−5
Motherwell
Top six43%45%+2
11th1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (6 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonCeltic
Expected goals0.711.90
Win13%65%
Expected Points0.602.18
Clean sheet15%49%

Livingston 13%Draw 22%Celtic 65%

Most likely score 0–1, 13%. Both sides score 44%.

Celtic goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%2%5%9%6%3%1%2%4%3%2%1%13%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawCeltic win
Livingston
Top six77%97%84%72%
Celtic
Title75%61%68%80%
Rangers
Title25%39%32%20%
Motherwell
Top six43%40%39%45%
11th1%2%2%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. W2–12 MarDundee United (H)xG 2.16–0.93
  2. W4–026 FebDundee FC (A)xG 2.72–0.49
  3. D1–119 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.29–0.13
  4. D1–19 FebRoss County (A)xG 1.75–0.48
  5. W2–15 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.06–1.02
  6. L1–21 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.24–0.41

Celtic

  1. W2–02 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.60–0.36
  2. D0–027 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.94–0.13
  3. W3–220 FebDundee FC (H)xG 2.64–0.36
  4. W3–29 FebAberdeen (A)xG 1.12–0.67
  5. W4–06 FebMotherwell (A)xG 2.79–0.24
  6. W3–02 FebRangers (H)xG 1.45–0.43

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonCeltic
Position5th1st
Played2929
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠7–⁠1222–⁠4–⁠3
Points37 (1.28 per game)70 (2.41 per game)
Expected Points per game1.192.43
Goals32–⁠3562–⁠17
xG per game0.98–⁠1.212.40–⁠0.56
Home: points, xG per game1.29, 1.12–⁠1.122.71, 2.86–⁠0.48
Away: points, xG per game1.27, 0.84–⁠1.302.13, 1.98–⁠0.65
ManagerDavid Martindale (52)Ange Postecoglou (29)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackLivingston1.02, 7thCeltic1.98, 1stDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.15, 7thCeltic0.69, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarLivingston attack: 1.02Celtic attack: 1.981.981.02CelticLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarLivingston defence: 1.15Celtic defence: 0.691.150.69

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%−5%+129%−56%
Counter-attacks−13%−6%+110%−55%
Set piecesaverage+9%+55%−44%
Penalties−48%+31%+4%−48%
Headers−26%+5%+82%−28%
Left side+10%−9%+79%−60%
Centre−20%−4%+156%−50%
Right side−29%+13%+54%−53%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdCeltic concededLeft side+10%−53%Centre−20%−50%Right side−29%−60%Open play−21%−56%Counter-attacks−13%−55%Set piecesaverage−44%Headers−26%−28%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdLivingston concededLeft side+79%+13%Centre+156%−4%Right side+54%−9%Open play+129%−5%Counter-attacks+110%−6%Set pieces+55%+9%Headers+82%+5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonCeltic

0.98xG2.40
1.21xG against0.56
40%Possession70%
10.2Shots20.4
13.2Shots against6.6
3.3Shots on target6.9
1.0Big chances3.5
17.6Touches in the opposition box36.6
307Passes653
63%Pass accuracy87%
3.7Corners9.5
40%Field tilt79%
25.8Final-third entries74.0
8.4Box entries22.4
15.7Passes per defensive action10.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.991.01
Ahead211.101.38
Behind240.841.43

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level412.310.43
Ahead442.540.71
Behind51.940.37

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.183–7
16–300.180.148–4
31–450.190.186–4
46–600.190.177–4
61–750.150.183–7
76–900.150.365–9

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.097–1
16–300.430.0818–4
31–450.490.0812–2
46–600.250.097–4
61–750.350.156–5
76–900.560.0812–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 29Devlin 24McMillan 4Fitzwater 1Fitzwater 27Obileye 25Parkes 5Longridge 1Penrice 16Longridge 7Kelly 3Pittman 14Bailey 4McMillan 4Holt 29Kelly 1Omeonga 21Penrice 3Shinnie 3Bailey 10Sibbald 6Forrest 4Anderson 20Shinnie 6Nouble 2Forrest 15Montano 4Shinnie 44-3-3 in 16 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (16), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 26Bain 2Barkas 1Ralston 19Juranovic 9Welsh 1Carter-Vickers 24Bitton 1Starfelt 25Welsh 8Taylor 13Juranovic 9Scales 4Rogic 13O'Riley 6Christie 2McGregor 24Bitton 9McCarthy 4Turnbull 16Hatate 9Johnston 1Abada 20Jota 2Rogic 2Furuhashi 9Giakoumakis 6Maeda 4Jota 15Forrest 4Furuhashi 34-3-3 in 25 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (25), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 October 2021Celtic0–0LivingstonxG 1.80–0.10
19 September 2021Livingston1–0CelticxG 0.62–1.24
10 April 2021Celtic6–0LivingstonxG 2.83–0.79
20 January 2021Livingston2–2CelticxG 0.77–1.69
16 January 2021Celtic0–0LivingstonxG 0.42–1.22
19 September 2020Celtic3–2LivingstonxG 1.58–1.35

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Celtic won 2, and 3 were drawn. Goals 5–11 and xG 0.81–1.59 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson201,5631140.370.11
Forrest211,896430.230.14
Montano6612010.190.07
Pittman141,373320.170.03

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi12949800.810.16
Giakoumakis7640500.740.11
Abada231,932960.510.32
Turnbull181,586540.280.43

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.