Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Celtic 2–1 Livingston

Wednesday 21 December 2022, 19:45 · Celtic Park · Round 7 · Half-time 2–1 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 58,499

Celtic Obileye 23' (og), Furuhashi 45'

Livingston Devlin 45+2'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticLivingston
Goals21
xG1.960.28
Expected Points2.550.28

Celtic 79%Draw 17%Livingston 4%

Most likely score 2–0, 21%. Final score 2–1, 7%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+10%3%7%7%14%5%6%2%2%20%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTBernabei on for Ralston, 56'Haksabanovic on for Jota and Turnbull on for Hatate, 64'Giakoumakis on for Furuhashi and Mooy on for O'Riley, 82'Boyes on for Obileye, 46'Shinnie on for Montano and Holt on for Sean Kelly, 69'Pittman on for Omeonga, 70'Goncalves on for Anderson, 76'Obileye 23' (og)Furuhashi 45'Devlin 45+2'Celtic 1.96Livingston 0.2801230153045607590HTBernabei on for Ralston, 56'Haksabanovic on for Jota and Turnbull on for Hatate, 64'Giakoumakis on for Furuhashi and Mooy on for O'Riley, 82'Boyes on for Obileye, 46'Shinnie on for Montano and Holt on for Sean Kelly, 69'Pittman on for Omeonga, 70'Goncalves on for Anderson, 76'Obileye 23' (og)Furuhashi 45'Devlin 45+2'1.960.28CelticLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticLivingston

1.96 −0.54xG0.28 −0.75
2.68 +0.13xG on target0.47 −0.54
23 +3Shots3 −7
10 +2.4Shots on target2 −1.3
3 −0.2Big chances0 −1.5
65 +26Touches in the opposition box4 −18
77% +6Possession23% −16
710 +88Passes209 −66
87% 0Pass accuracy53% −9
97% +18Field tilt3% −38
102 +23Final-third entries11 −16
48 +24.6Box entries2 −6.7
8.3 −2Passes per defensive action26.9 +11
10 +2.3Corners1 −3.1
14 +1Tackles24 +11
8 +1.3Interceptions20 +9.6
9 −6Clearances34 +9
1 −0.7Saves9 +6.5
10 −1Fouls8 −5
3 +0.4Offsides1 −0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Furuhashi 4', 0.27 xGMooy 89', 0.20 xGAbada 90+1', 0.15 xGO'Riley 31', 0.14 xGHatate 30', 0.12 xGFuruhashi 33', 0.10 xGHaksabanovic 90+4', 0.10 xGHatate 13', 0.07 xGFuruhashi 29', 0.07 xGCarter-Vickers 45+5', 0.06 xGRalston 26', 0.05 xGStarfelt 34', 0.05 xGAbada 80', 0.05 xGO'Riley 11', 0.04 xGTurnbull 68', 0.04 xGAbada 77', 0.04 xGHatate 9', 0.03 xGRalston 18', 0.03 xGHatate 34', 0.03 xGJota 43', 0.03 xGJota 45+3', 0.03 xGHaksabanovic 90+6', 0.03 xGFuruhashi 45', 0.23 xG, goal12%0.23 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.23 xG, 1 goal55%1.07 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.07 xG, 0 goals19%0.37 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals15%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Stephen Kelly 65', 0.05 xGMontano 49', 0.04 xGDevlin 45+2', 0.19 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals68%0.19 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.19 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals32%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticLivingston

1.68 18 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.28 3 shots, 1 goal
0.28 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
23 min (23%) · Celtic 0.45, Livingston 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
78 min (77%) · Celtic 1.51, Livingston 0.28 xG

Line-ups

156204333424111817HartRalstonCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorO'RileyMcGregorHatateAbadaFuruhashiJotaGoalYellow card56'82'64'82'64'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou31256311173324299KonovalovDevlinFitzwaterObileyeLongridgeMontanoStephen KellyOmeongaSean KellyPenriceAndersonGoalOwn goalYellow cardYellow card46'69'70'69'76'Livingston 5-4-1David Martindale

Celtic substitutes

  • 56' Bernabei for Ralston · yellow card 86'
  • 64' Turnbull for Hatate
  • 64' Haksabanovic for Jota
  • 82' Mooy for O'Riley
  • 82' Giakoumakis for Furuhashi

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Boyes for Obileye · yellow card 77'
  • 69' Holt for Sean Kelly
  • 69' Shinnie for Montano
  • 70' Pittman for Omeonga
  • 76' Goncalves for Anderson

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0101
RalstonRB560.080.0810.0452
Carter-VickersCB900.060.0100.1274
StarfeltCB900.050.0300.19104
TaylorLB900.000.4640.41163
O'RileyCM820.180.1310.2052
McGregorCM900.000.1620.0732
HatateCM640.250.1400.0750
AbadaRW9010.230.7120.4173
Furuhashi ST8210.670.040−0.0202
JotaLW640.060.1720.17161
Bernabei DF340.000.1410.2154
TurnbullMF260.040.071−0.0600
HaksabanovicMF260.130.0920.1352
MooyMF80.200.050−0.0511
GiakoumakisFW80.000.0710.0320

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KonovalovGK900.000.0000.0132
DevlinRWB9010.190.0200.0704
FitzwaterCB900.000.0010.03213
ObileyeCB460.000.0000.00012
LongridgeCB900.000.0000.02311
Montano LWB690.040.0000.0228
Stephen KellyRM900.050.000−0.0105
Omeonga CM700.000.0110.0108
Sean KellyCM690.000.0000.0213
PenriceLM900.000.0000.0005
AndersonST760.000.0300.0611
Boyes DF440.000.0000.0121
HoltMF210.000.000−0.0104
ShinnieFW210.000.000−0.0604
PittmanMF200.000.000−0.0102
GoncalvesFW140.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Hart and Carter-Vickers: 5 passesO'Riley and Hatate: 5 passesStarfelt and Hatate: 6 passesStarfelt and Jota: 6 passesO'Riley and Abada: 6 passesO'Riley and Jota: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and O'Riley: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and Abada: 7 passesRalston and Hatate: 8 passesRalston and McGregor: 8 passesRalston and Starfelt: 9 passesHart and Starfelt: 10 passesHatate and McGregor: 10 passesO'Riley and McGregor: 12 passesTaylor and McGregor: 13 passesRalston and O'Riley: 18 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 24 passesRalston and Abada: 25 passesTaylor and Jota: 25 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 26 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 26 passesHatate and Jota: 26 passesTaylor and Hatate: 31 passesHart: 12 completed passesRalston: 56 completed passesStarfelt: 50 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 48 completed passesTaylor: 56 completed passesO'Riley: 31 completed passesHatate: 43 completed passesMcGregor: 36 completed passesAbada: 17 completed passesFuruhashi: 5 completed passesJota: 26 completed passes156420333414211817HartRalstonStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorO'RileyHatateMcGregorAbadaFuruhashiJotaStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Livingston

Konovalov and Obileye: 3 passesDevlin and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesMontano and Penrice: 3 passesDevlin and Sean Kelly: 4 passesMontano and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesLongridge and Stephen Kelly: 5 passesKonovalov: 6 completed passesDevlin: 7 completed passesFitzwater: 3 completed passesObileye: 2 completed passesLongridge: 4 completed passesMontano: 6 completed passesStephen Kelly: 10 completed passesOmeonga: 2 completed passesSean Kelly: 6 completed passesPenrice: 1 completed passesAnderson: 2 completed passes31256311173324299KonovalovDevlinFitzwaterObileyeLongridgeMontanoStephen KellyOmeongaSean KellyPenriceAndersonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersTaylor22
TaylorHatate21
StarfeltCarter-Vickers21
StarfeltTaylor19
TaylorJota18

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinStephen Kelly6
KonovalovDevlin5
MontanoPenrice4
MontanoStephen Kelly4
DevlinFitzwater4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

2−1.11−2.76−2.14−2.23−2.03−2.23−0.44+0.18+2.17−0.43−1.85+0.92−1.74−1.92−5.47+2.81−1.66+3.66+3.24−1.12−1.42+0.43+0.94+1.85+2.89+7.90−0.60−0.82+0.92+1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Livingston

9+3.518+10.333+19.011+2.910+5.37−0.98+1.810+5.39+2.87−0.95−0.73−1.62−0.46+1.95−2.70−4.01−2.13+0.61−1.91−3.11−1.43+1.40−1.10−1.10−2.70−1.10−0.10−0.60−0.51+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.010.040.020.050.090.030.070.030.010.120.070.170.140.11−0.040.10−0.070.040.200.260.250.20LessMore

Livingston

0.010.020.030.010.020.01−0.010.010.01−0.06−0.010.070.06LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackCeltic2.32 → 2.32Livingston1.05 → 1.03Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.65 → 0.65Livingston1.30 → 1.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title92%92%0
Livingston
Top six70%69%−1
11th1%1%0
Rangers
Title8%8%0
Ross County
Top six1%1%0
11th27%27%0
Bottom41%41%0

From the forecast before the match (21 December 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticLivingston
Expected goals2.950.50
Win86%4%
Expected Points2.680.21
Clean sheet60%5%

Celtic 86%Draw 10%Livingston 4%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Both sides score 38%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%9%5%1%7%2%7%2%5%1%6%3%5%2%14%14%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 21 December 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawLivingston win
Celtic
Title92%92%87%84%
Livingston
Top six70%69%76%88%
11th1%1%1%<1%
Rangers
Title8%8%13%16%
Ross County
Top six1%1%1%1%
11th27%27%28%35%
Bottom41%41%42%36%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W1–017 DecAberdeen (A)xG 2.36–0.06
  2. W2–112 NovRoss County (H)xG 1.88–0.84
  3. W2–19 NovMotherwell (A)xG 1.43–0.47
  4. W4–25 NovDundee United (H)xG 3.07–1.05
  5. W3–030 OctLivingston (A)xG 2.47–0.24
  6. W4–322 OctHearts (A)xG 2.82–2.90

Livingston

  1. D1–112 NovHearts (A)xG 1.84–2.95
  2. W2–18 NovAberdeen (H)xG 1.29–3.34
  3. W3–24 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 1.68–1.04
  4. L0–330 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.24–2.47
  5. D1–122 OctRangers (A)xG 0.33–1.56
  6. W1–015 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.08–0.42

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticLivingston
Position1st6th
Played1615
Won, drawn, lost15–⁠0–⁠17–⁠2–⁠6
Points45 (2.81 per game)23 (1.53 per game)
Expected Points per game2.441.15
Goals51–⁠1315–⁠20
xG per game2.50–⁠0.641.03–⁠1.53
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.50–⁠0.571.88, 1.05–⁠1.32
Away: points, xG per game2.67, 2.50–⁠0.691.14, 1.00–⁠1.77
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (54)David Martindale (76)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackCeltic2.32, 1stLivingston1.05, 7thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.65, 1stLivingston1.30, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecCeltic attack: 2.32Livingston attack: 1.052.321.05LivingstonCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecCeltic defence: 0.65Livingston defence: 1.301.300.65

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+133%−66%−36%+2%
Counter-attacks+141%−99%−100%−68%
Set pieces+56%−40%+9%+38%
Penalties−67%+32%+41%+112%
Headers+85%−46%−18%+57%
Left side+56%−47%−10%−9%
Centre+174%−65%−37%+4%
Right side+85%−70%−33%+30%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdLivingston concededLeft side+56%+30%Centre+174%+4%Right side+85%−9%Open play+133%+2%Counter-attacks+141%−68%Set pieces+56%+38%Headers+85%+57%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdCeltic concededLeft side−10%−70%Centre−37%−65%Right side−33%−47%Open play−36%−66%Counter-attacks−100%−99%Set pieces+9%−40%Headers−18%−46%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticLivingston

2.50xG1.03
0.64xG against1.53
70%Possession39%
19.6Shots10.1
6.7Shots against14.2
7.6Shots on target3.3
3.2Big chances1.5
39.2Touches in the opposition box21.7
622Passes275
86%Pass accuracy62%
7.7Corners4.1
80%Field tilt41%
78.7Final-third entries26.8
23.4Box entries8.7
10.2Passes per defensive action15.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level302.650.49
Ahead552.410.69
Behind42.630.97

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.071.26
Ahead370.891.49
Behind171.212.21

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.430.1111–1
16–300.250.082–0
31–450.410.139–3
46–600.430.168–5
61–750.290.085–1
76–900.680.0816–3

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.114–2
16–300.180.073–0
31–450.160.312–2
46–600.060.292–4
61–750.190.302–7
76–900.240.442–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 16Ralston 8Juranovic 8Carter-Vickers 14Welsh 4Jenz 10Starfelt 4Taylor 11Bernabei 5McGregor 9Mooy 5O'Riley 15Haksabanovic 1Hatate 12Turnbull 6Abada 5Maeda 4Jota 3Furuhashi 12Giakoumakis 4Jota 8Maeda 5Haksabanovic 34-3-3 in 14 of 16 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (14), 4-2-3-1 (2)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMAMSTGeorge 13Konovalov 1Hamilton 1Devlin 15Obileye 15Fitzwater 9Sean Kelly 6Montaño 11Holt 1Longridge 1Pittman 9Oméonga 6Shinnie 1Holt 13Bahamboula 3Sean Kelly 9Stephen Kelly 2Goncalves 1Shinnie 7Oméonga 3Stephen Kelly 3Nouble 5Pittman 5Penrice 2Nouble 10Guthrie 3Anderson 24-3-2-1 in 5 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (3), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 October 2022Livingston0–3CelticxG 0.24–2.47
6 March 2022Livingston1–3CelticxG 0.85–3.63
30 October 2021Celtic0–0LivingstonxG 1.80–0.10
19 September 2021Livingston1–0CelticxG 0.62–1.24
10 April 2021Celtic6–0LivingstonxG 2.83–0.79
20 January 2021Livingston2–2CelticxG 0.77–1.69

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 4, Livingston won 1, and 3 were drawn. Goals 17–6 and xG 1.96–0.74 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Abada5649720.770.42
Furuhashi128601010.960.04
Giakoumakis4593610.850.06
Jota11942560.330.45

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sean Kelly151,255220.260.13
Nouble151,327320.170.08
Bahamboula6519100.150.08
Montaño11902310.070.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.