Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Celtic 3–0 Livingston

Wednesday 1 February 2023, 19:45 · Celtic Park · Round 24 · Half-time 3–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 58,295

Celtic Taylor 29', Maeda 33', Furuhashi 45+2'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticLivingston
Goals30
xG1.510.35
Expected Points2.290.46

Celtic 68%Draw 25%Livingston 7%

Most likely score 1–0, 24%. Final score 3–0, 9%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+14%5%10%1%7%1%9%3%3%1%24%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTAbada on for Jota and Mooy on for O'Riley, 63'Oh on for Furuhashi, 75'Turnbull on for Hatate, 76'Iwata on for McGregor, 85'Montano on for Devlin, 57'Stephen Kelly on for Omeonga and Nouble on for Anderson, 69'Bradley on for Shinnie, 81'Taylor 29'Maeda 33'Furuhashi 45+2'Celtic 1.51Livingston 0.3500.511.520153045607590HTAbada on for Jota and Mooy on for O'Riley, 63'Oh on for Furuhashi, 75'Turnbull on for Hatate, 76'Iwata on for McGregor, 85'Montano on for Devlin, 57'Stephen Kelly on for Omeonga and Nouble on for Anderson, 69'Bradley on for Shinnie, 81'Taylor 29'Maeda 33'Furuhashi 45+2'1.510.35CelticLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticLivingston

1.51 −0.98xG0.35 −0.76
1.75 −0.77xG on target0.00 −1.22
15 −4.3Shots6 −3.5
5 −2.5Shots on target0 −3.5
2 −1.5Big chances1 −0.5
47 +6Touches in the opposition box5 −13
81% +10Possession19% −21
733 +84Passes174 −107
87% +1Pass accuracy44% −17
95% +15Field tilt5% −34
111 +29Final-third entries11 −14
32 +7.7Box entries1 −7.1
8.9 −0.7Passes per defensive action54.0 +38.0
8 +0.4Corners0 −3.7
8 −6Tackles15 +1
7 −0.9Interceptions16 +5.6
9 −6Clearances33 +7
0 −1.7Saves2 −1.2
11 0Fouls5 −7
8 +5.7Offsides0 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Maeda 60', 0.38 xGFuruhashi 46', 0.25 xGFuruhashi 61', 0.11 xGAbada 84', 0.09 xGO'Riley 38', 0.08 xGJota 22', 0.07 xGHatate 5', 0.05 xGJohnston 90', 0.05 xGAbada 90+1', 0.04 xGTaylor 12', 0.03 xGMaeda 18', 0.02 xGTurnbull 84', 0.02 xGFuruhashi 45+2', 0.18 xG, goalTaylor 29', 0.08 xG, goalMaeda 33', 0.07 xG, goal5%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 1 goal49%0.75 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.75 xG, 1 goal31%0.47 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.47 xG, 1 goal15%0.23 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Anderson 39', 0.15 xGAnderson 45', 0.08 xGOmeonga 39', 0.05 xGPittman 45+5', 0.03 xGShinnie 9', 0.02 xGPittman 78', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals23%0.08 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals43%0.15 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 0 goals26%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals9%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticLivingston

1.24 12 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.22 3 shots, 0 goals
0.18 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.09 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.13 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
29 min (30%) · Celtic 0.24, Livingston 0.03 xG
Celtic ahead
67 min (70%) · Celtic 1.27, Livingston 0.32 xG

Line-ups

12204333424117838HartJohnstonCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorO'RileyMcGregorHatateJotaFuruhashiMaedaGoalGoalGoalYellow card63'85'76'63'75'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou1651523318829229GeorgeObileyeFitzwaterBoyesDevlinOmeongaHoltPittmanPenriceShinnieAndersonYellow card57'69'81'69'Livingston 3-5-1-1David Martindale

Celtic substitutes

  • 63' Mooy for O'Riley
  • 63' Abada for Jota
  • 75' Oh for Furuhashi
  • 76' Turnbull for Hatate
  • 85' Iwata for McGregor

Livingston substitutes

  • 57' Montano for Devlin
  • 69' Stephen Kelly for Omeonga
  • 69' Nouble for Anderson
  • 81' Bradley for Shinnie

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0200
JohnstonRB900.050.0800.07103
Carter-VickersCB900.000.1510.22145
StarfeltCB900.000.0200.1892
TaylorLB9010.110.1210.24222
O'RileyCM6310.080.0820.1443
McGregorCM850.000.030−0.0113
HatateCM7610.050.2010.20112
JotaRW630.070.5920.4681
FuruhashiST7510.540.0400.0211
Maeda LW9010.460.7900.35130
MooyMF270.000.0310.0102
AbadaFW270.130.0200.0431
OhFW150.000.020−0.0100
TurnbullMF140.020.021−0.0412
IwataMF50.000.0110.0300

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0320
ObileyeCB900.000.0000.00010
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.01010
BoyesCB900.000.0000.0119
Devlin RWB570.000.0110.0113
OmeongaCM690.050.000−0.0107
HoltCM900.000.0200.0103
PittmanCM900.050.0000.0019
PenriceLWB900.000.1410.0709
ShinnieAM810.020.000−0.0210
AndersonST690.230.0000.0400
MontanoFW330.000.0000.0015
Stephen KellyMF210.000.000−0.0102
NoubleFW210.000.000−0.0100
BradleyMF90.000.0000.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Starfelt and O'Riley: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and Jota: 7 passesMcGregor and Maeda: 7 passesStarfelt and Hatate: 8 passesO'Riley and McGregor: 8 passesHart and Starfelt: 9 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 9 passesJohnston and Hatate: 9 passesJohnston and McGregor: 9 passesO'Riley and Jota: 9 passesCarter-Vickers and O'Riley: 10 passesJohnston and O'Riley: 11 passesO'Riley and Hatate: 11 passesTaylor and O'Riley: 13 passesHatate and Maeda: 17 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 19 passesTaylor and McGregor: 20 passesJohnston and Jota: 26 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 29 passesTaylor and Hatate: 31 passesTaylor and Maeda: 34 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 44 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 49 passesHart: 17 completed passesJohnston: 52 completed passesStarfelt: 72 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 67 completed passesTaylor: 92 completed passesO'Riley: 33 completed passesHatate: 43 completed passesMcGregor: 34 completed passesJota: 23 completed passesFuruhashi: 1 completed passesMaeda: 32 completed passes12420333414217838HartJohnstonStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorO'RileyHatateMcGregorJotaFuruhashiMaedaStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Livingston

Devlin and Holt: 3 passesObileye and Devlin: 4 passesGeorge and Shinnie: 6 passesGeorge: 5 completed passesFitzwater: 4 completed passesObileye: 6 completed passesBoyes: 5 completed passesDevlin: 7 completed passesPenrice: 5 completed passesOmeonga: 2 completed passesHolt: 4 completed passesPittman: 4 completed passesShinnie: 5 completed passesAnderson: 0 completed passes1561522933188229GeorgeFitzwaterObileyeBoyesDevlinPenriceOmeongaHoltPittmanShinnieAndersonStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltTaylor38
StarfeltCarter-Vickers33
TaylorMaeda31
TaylorStarfelt28
TaylorHatate24

Livingston

FromToPasses
GeorgeShinnie5
ShinnieGeorge4
BoyesFitzwater4
ObileyeDevlin3
ShinnieMontano3

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

2−0.70−3.68−0.62−4.11−3.92−3.37+3.54−0.18+1.412+3.910+5.37+2.81−2.44−2.39+1.15+0.40−2.93+0.20−3.54−1.33−0.12+0.20−2.12−0.44+1.70−1.50−0.61+0.11−0.12+1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Livingston

6+0.616+8.124+9.012+3.72−2.88+0.52−4.210+5.39+1.86−2.35−0.81−3.91−1.71−2.85−2.12−2.50−3.23+0.64+1.12−2.10−2.42+0.61+0.11−0.41−1.40−1.20−0.20−0.60−0.31+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.020.040.020.030.020.010.050.090.050.060.060.100.070.220.180.080.17−0.060.210.16−0.03−0.050.36LessMore

Livingston

0.010.020.010.02−0.01−0.010.010.01−0.01−0.010.010.040.05LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.23AttackCeltic2.34 → 2.32Livingston1.06 → 1.04Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.64 → 0.64Livingston1.32 → 1.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title95%96%+1
Livingston
Top six89%88%−1
Rangers
Title5%4%−1

From the forecast before the match (1 February 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticLivingston
Expected goals3.050.49
Win87%3%
Expected Points2.710.19
Clean sheet61%5%

Celtic 87%Draw 10%Livingston 3%

Most likely score 3–0, 14%. Both sides score 37%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%9%5%1%7%2%7%2%5%1%6%3%5%3%13%14%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 February 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawLivingston win
Celtic
Title95%96%91%87%
Livingston
Top six89%88%92%95%
Rangers
Title5%4%9%13%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W2–029 JanDundee United (A)xG 2.91–0.33
  2. W4–018 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.25–0.53
  3. W2–07 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 3.48–0.08
  4. D2–22 JanRangers (A)xG 1.17–2.00
  5. W4–028 DecHibernian (A)xG 2.61–0.55
  6. W4–124 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.89–1.03

Livingston

  1. D0–029 JanHearts (H)xG 0.34–1.63
  2. W4–214 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.46–1.86
  3. W2–07 JanRoss County (A)xG 0.90–0.86
  4. D1–12 JanMotherwell (H)xG 2.40–1.82
  5. D1–128 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.59–1.36
  6. L0–424 DecHibernian (A)xG 2.06–2.06

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticLivingston
Position1st4th
Played2322
Won, drawn, lost21–⁠1–⁠19–⁠5–⁠8
Points64 (2.78 per game)32 (1.45 per game)
Expected Points per game2.431.14
Goals71–⁠1724–⁠30
xG per game2.49–⁠0.651.11–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.55–⁠0.541.64, 1.16–⁠1.40
Away: points, xG per game2.58, 2.44–⁠0.761.27, 1.06–⁠1.74
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (61)David Martindale (83)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.23AttackCeltic2.34, 1stLivingston1.06, 6thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.64, 1stLivingston1.32, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanCeltic attack: 2.34Livingston attack: 1.062.341.06LivingstonCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanCeltic defence: 0.64Livingston defence: 1.321.320.64

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+129%−61%−40%+16%
Counter-attacks+64%−81%−93%−6%
Set pieces+54%−46%+16%+29%
Penalties−35%+8%+81%+36%
Headers+76%−40%−35%+38%
Left side+68%−53%−13%−1%
Centre+156%−56%−31%+17%
Right side+71%−66%−39%+42%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdLivingston concededLeft side+68%+42%Centre+156%+17%Right side+71%−1%Open play+129%+16%Counter-attacks+64%−6%Set pieces+54%+29%Headers+76%+38%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdCeltic concededLeft side−13%−66%Centre−31%−56%Right side−39%−53%Open play−40%−61%Counter-attacks−93%−81%Set pieces+16%−46%Headers−35%−40%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticLivingston

2.49xG1.11
0.65xG against1.57
71%Possession40%
19.3Shots9.5
6.7Shots against14.9
7.5Shots on target3.5
3.5Big chances1.5
40.5Touches in the opposition box18.3
649Passes281
87%Pass accuracy61%
7.6Corners3.7
80%Field tilt39%
81.8Final-third entries25.0
24.3Box entries8.1
9.6Passes per defensive action16.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level292.490.52
Ahead562.520.71
Behind42.140.83

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.101.33
Ahead310.991.61
Behind171.342.09

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.400.0914–1
16–300.240.075–0
31–450.470.1414–4
46–600.430.1614–7
61–750.260.116–2
76–900.690.0818–3

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.146–2
16–300.170.103–1
31–450.190.365–7
46–600.110.293–5
61–750.160.314–10
76–900.270.383–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 23Ralston 9Juranovic 8Johnston 4Carter-Vicke… 20Carter-VickersWelsh 4Starfelt 11Jenz 10Kobayashi 1Taylor 16Bernabei 6Juranovic 1O'Riley 20Mooy 9McGregor 16Haksabanovic 1Hatate 17Turnbull 6Abada 9Maeda 5Jota 4Furuhashi 19Giakoumakis 4Jota 11Maeda 8Haksabanovic 34-3-3 in 21 of 23 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (21), 4-2-3-1 (2)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWGeorge 17Konovalov 4Hamilton 1Devlin 20Bahamboula 2Obileye 18Fitzwater 14Sean Kelly 6Boyes 5Montaño 14Penrice 4Pittman 1Pittman 12Oméonga 10Shinnie 7Holt 14Sean Kelly 15Stephen Kelly 3Goncalves 1Bahamboula 7Shinnie 4Oméonga 3Nouble 10Anderson 8Guthrie 3Stephen Kelly 5Nouble 5Pittman 44-3-3 in 8 of 22 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 4-3-2-1 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 December 2022Celtic2–1LivingstonxG 1.96–0.28
30 October 2022Livingston0–3CelticxG 0.24–2.47
6 March 2022Livingston1–3CelticxG 0.85–3.63
30 October 2021Celtic0–0LivingstonxG 1.80–0.10
19 September 2021Livingston1–0CelticxG 0.62–1.24
10 April 2021Celtic6–0LivingstonxG 2.83–0.79

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 5, Livingston won 1, and 3 were drawn. Goals 19–7 and xG 1.96–0.69 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Abada91,035830.550.43
Giakoumakis4685610.870.09
Forrest5469420.580.26
Furuhashi191,3921710.820.03

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson9840410.250.08
Sean Kelly211,748220.190.11
Nouble151,327320.170.08
Montaño151,158410.140.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.