Matches › 2023/24

Livingston 0–3 Celtic

Saturday 23 September 2023, 12:30 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 6 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 8,118

Celtic Hatate 14' (pen), O'Riley 48', Maeda 90+5' · Hart sent off 28'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Livingston	Celtic
Goals	0	3
xG	0.94	2.61
Non-penalty xG	0.94	1.83
Expected Points	0.34	2.51

Livingston 7%Draw 15%Celtic 79%

Most likely score 1–3, 12%. Final score 0–3, 12%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonCeltic

0.94 +0.10xG2.61 −0.04

0.94Non-penalty xG1.83

0.68 −0.21xG on target3.66 +0.72

15 +6.2Shots14 −2.0

4 +1.6Shots on target7 −0.8

1 +0.2Big chances4 −1.0

46% +5Possession54% −14

454 +165Passes540 −115

79% +19Pass accuracy80% −3

40% +5Field tilt60% −12

44 +24Final-third entries36 −28

13 +6.6Box entries24 +3.4

13.6 +1Passes per defensive action22.8 +12

2 −2.4Corners4 −4.6

17 −2Tackles15 +1

10 −1.0Interceptions6 −2.2

15 −12Clearances21 +3

4 +1.6Saves4 +2.6

17 +2.8Fouls6 −3.6

2 +1.0Offsides2 +1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Livingston

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonCeltic

0.83 13 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.74 11 shots, 2 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.05 1 shot, 0 goals

0.11 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–10–2

Level: 14 min (15%) · Livingston 0.14, Celtic 0.81 xG
Celtic ahead: 82 min (85%) · Livingston 0.80, Celtic 1.81 xG

Line-ups

Livingston substitutes

58' Stephen Kelly for Pittman
58' Bradley for Brandon · yellow card 70'
58' Parkes for Sangare · yellow card 80'
71' Guthrie for Penrice
71' Lawal for Shinnie · yellow card 74'

Celtic substitutes

30' Bain for Forrest
61' Iwata for Hatate
71' Oh for Furuhashi

Players

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
George	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	1
Brandon	RB	58	0.03	0.45	1	0.36	9	6
Perez	CB	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.12	11	4
Obileye	CB	90	0.06	0.01	0	0.09	7	6
Penrice	LB	71	0.11	0.11	2	0.20	9	4
Shinnie	CM	71	0.00	0.07	2	0.11	3	3
Holt	CM	90	0.00	0.03	0	−0.03	2	2
Pittman	CM	58	0.00	0.04	1	0.02	2	5
Nouble	AM	90	0.38	0.05	1	0.14	5	4
Sangare	AM	58	0.12	0.01	2	−0.01	1	2
Anderson	ST	90	0.15	0.01	0	−0.03	2	1
Stephen Kelly	MF	32	0.00	0.05	1	−0.01	0	2
Bradley	FW	32	0.03	0.06	1	0.08	0	0
Parkes	DF	32	0.00	0.01	0	−0.02	2	4
Guthrie	FW	19	0.06	0.00	0	−0.02	0	0
Lawal	MF	19	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	28		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Johnston	RB	90		0.00	0.09	1	0.12	4	5
Lagerbielke	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.06	5	8
Scales	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.01	3	10
Taylor	LB	90		0.00	0.17	0	0.35	13	4
O'Riley	CM	90	1	0.66	0.12	2	0.06	6	4
McGregor	CM	90		0.05	0.03	1	0.05	6	6
Hatate	CM	61	1	0.80	0.08	0	0.06	4	1
Forrest	RW	30		0.00	0.12	1	0.00	4	0
Furuhashi	ST	71		0.00	0.47	3	0.32	4	0
Maeda	LW	90	1	1.00	0.02	0	0.07	1	6
Bain	GK	60		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	1
Iwata	DF	29		0.02	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Oh	FW	19		0.08	0.00	1	0.01	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Perez	Obileye	14
Obileye	Perez	12
Penrice	Nouble	10
Shinnie	Obileye	9
Penrice	Shinnie	8

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Taylor	Hatate	20
Taylor	Maeda	20
McGregor	Taylor	18
Johnston	O'Riley	15
O'Riley	Johnston	14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

Against its average of 5 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Livingston
Top six	22%	20%	−2
11th	15%	16%	+1
Bottom	14%	16%	+2
Celtic
Title	68%	70%	+2
Rangers
Title	32%	30%	−2
Aberdeen
Top six	23%	23%	0
11th	14%	13%	−1
Bottom	13%	12%	−1

From the forecast before the match (23 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Livingston	Celtic
Expected goals	0.70	2.31
Win	9%	73%
Expected Points	0.45	2.37
Clean sheet	10%	50%

Livingston 9%Draw 18%Celtic 73%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

From the forecast as it stood on 23 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Livingston win	Draw	Celtic win
Livingston
Top six	22%	33%	25%	20%
11th	15%	11%	14%	16%
Bottom	14%	7%	12%	16%
Celtic
Title	68%	58%	62%	70%
Rangers
Title	32%	42%	38%	30%
Aberdeen
Top six	23%	20%	22%	23%
11th	14%	14%	14%	13%
Bottom	13%	16%	13%	12%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Livingston	Celtic
Position	7th	1st
Played	5	5
Won, drawn, lost	1–⁠3–⁠1	4–⁠1–⁠0
Points	6 (1.20 per game)	13 (2.60 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.25	2.22
Goals	5–⁠8	11–⁠3
xG per game	0.84–⁠1.10	2.65–⁠1.16
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.10–⁠0.69	2.33, 3.11–⁠0.74
Away: points, xG per game	1.33, 0.66–⁠1.37	3.00, 1.94–⁠1.78
Manager	David Martindale (104)	Brendan Rodgers (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Livingston		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−39%	−2%	+121%	+5%
Counter-attacks	−65%	−30%	+166%	−66%
Set pieces	+6%	+4%	+25%	−28%
Penalties	−83%	−76%	+140%	−83%
Headers	+24%	+4%	−14%	−27%
Left side	−43%	+28%	+53%	+17%
Centre	−15%	−8%	+111%	−14%
Right side	−42%	−23%	+124%	−25%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdCeltic concededLeft side−43%−25%Centre−15%−14%Right side−42%+17%Open play−39%+5%Counter-attacks−65%−66%Set pieces+6%−28%Headers+24%−27%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdLivingston concededLeft side+53%−23%Centre+111%−8%Right side+124%+28%Open play+121%−2%Counter-attacks+166%−30%Set pieces+25%+4%Headers−14%+4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonCeltic

0.84xG2.65

1.10xG against1.16

41%Possession68%

8.8Shots16.0

14.0Shots against8.8

2.4Shots on target7.8

0.8Big chances5.0

289Passes655

60%Pass accuracy83%

4.4Corners8.6

34%Field tilt72%

19.6Final-third entries64.4

6.4Box entries20.6

12.8Passes per defensive action10.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	55	1.09	0.69
Ahead	16	0.73	1.16
Behind	19	0.16	2.25

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	44	2.44	0.81
Ahead	46	2.84	1.48
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.06	0.13	1–1
16–30	0.05	0.08	0–0
31–45	0.07	0.11	0–0
46–60	0.11	0.26	0–1
61–75	0.29	0.16	3–1
76–90	0.24	0.36	1–5

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.30	0.21	1–0
16–30	0.57	0.22	3–1
31–45	0.39	0.20	2–0
46–60	0.60	0.07	1–1
61–75	0.38	0.23	3–0
76–90	0.40	0.21	1–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1)

Celtic

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
1 February 2023	Celtic	3–0	Livingston	xG 1.51–0.35
21 December 2022	Celtic	2–1	Livingston	xG 1.96–0.28
30 October 2022	Livingston	0–3	Celtic	xG 0.24–2.47
6 March 2022	Livingston	1–3	Celtic	xG 0.85–3.63
30 October 2021	Celtic	0–0	Livingston	xG 1.80–0.10
19 September 2021	Livingston	1–0	Celtic	xG 0.62–1.24

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Celtic won 6, and 3 were drawn. Goals 7–22 and xG 0.66–1.91 per game.

Key players

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Anderson	22	2,029	8	2	0.25	0.07
Bradley	12	945	1	2	0.12	0.14
Nouble	34	3,046	7	3	0.16	0.07
Montano	27	2,183	4	2	0.12	0.09

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Oh	3	535	6	0	1.12	0.14
Forrest	5	586	4	2	0.57	0.27
Furuhashi	36	2,726	31	4	0.76	0.07
Abada	16	1,703	11	6	0.48	0.34

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.