Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Johnstone 0–1 Hearts

Wednesday 7 February 2024, 19:45 · McDiarmid Park · Round 25 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Iain Snedden · Attendance 4,518

Hearts Shankland 55'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneHearts
Goals01
xG0.450.70
Expected Points1.031.52

St. Johnstone 19%Draw 45%Hearts 36%

Most likely score 0–0, 32%. Final score 0–1, 23%.

Hearts goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+7%1%14%13%3%3%2%32%23%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTSprangler on for Franczak, 46'Sidibeh on for Gallacher and Clark on for Kimpioka, 65'Jaiyesimi on for C. Smith, 84'Halkett on for Kingsley, 75'Grant on for Vargas and Oda on for Fraser, 83'Shankland 55'Hearts 0.70St. Johnstone 0.4500.250.50.750153045607590HTSprangler on for Franczak, 46'Sidibeh on for Gallacher and Clark on for Kimpioka, 65'Jaiyesimi on for C. Smith, 84'Halkett on for Kingsley, 75'Grant on for Vargas and Oda on for Fraser, 83'Shankland 55'0.700.45St. JohnstoneHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneHearts

0.45 −0.42xG0.70 −0.54
0.03 −0.79xG on target1.14 −0.20
10 +0.7Shots9 −4.3
2 −0.8Shots on target4 −0.4
0 −1.3Big chances1 −0.3
11 −5Touches in the opposition box26 +1
48% +5Possession52% −4
454 +124Passes493 +42
78% +13Pass accuracy82% +7
36% −2Field tilt64% +10
35 +10Final-third entries53 +11
3 −4.3Box entries19 +6.3
29.4 +12Passes per defensive action12.4 0
2 −1.4Corners4 −2.9
19 +2Tackles15 0
8 −1.5Interceptions8 +1.7
22 −4Clearances12 −10
3 −0.6Saves1 −1.7
9 −3Fouls10 −2
0 −1.6Offsides3 +2.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Sidibeh 90+1', 0.12 xGClark 79', 0.06 xGKimpioka 38', 0.05 xGKimpioka 39', 0.05 xGSidibeh 76', 0.05 xGC. Smith 47', 0.04 xGSidibeh 90', 0.03 xGKimpioka 30', 0.02 xGCarey 79', 0.02 xGCarey 54', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals61%0.28 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals11%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals22%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals7%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Kingsley 26', 0.09 xGKent 53', 0.08 xGVargas 43', 0.07 xGForrest 12', 0.05 xGVargas 67', 0.05 xGFraser 66', 0.04 xGForrest 48', 0.03 xGLembikisa 84', 0.02 xGShankland 54', 0.26 xG, goal13%0.09 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals59%0.41 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.41 xG, 1 goal19%0.13 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals10%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneHearts

0.28 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.42 5 shots, 1 goal
0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.13 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.27 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
55 min (57%) · St. Johnstone 0.18, Hearts 0.58 xG
Hearts ahead
41 min (43%) · St. Johnstone 0.28, Hearts 0.12 xG

Line-ups

117451946501115329MitovOlufunwaConsidineMcGowanRobinsonFranczakC. SmithCareyKucheriavyiGallacherKimpiokaYellow cardYellow cardYellow card46'84'65'65'St. Johnstone 4-5-1Craig Levein28812319867729179ClarkLembikisaKentKingsleyCochraneNieuwenhofBaningimeVargasFraserForrestShanklandYellow cardGoal75'83'83'Hearts 4-2-3-1Steven Naismith

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' Sprangler for Franczak
  • 65' Clark for Kimpioka
  • 65' Sidibeh for Gallacher
  • 84' Jaiyesimi for C. Smith · yellow card 90+6'

Hearts substitutes

  • 75' Halkett for Kingsley
  • 83' Grant for Vargas
  • 83' Oda for Fraser

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0240
OlufunwaRB900.000.0100.0014
Considine CB900.000.0000.07410
McGowan CB900.000.0000.04313
Robinson LB900.000.0400.1297
FranczakRM460.000.0100.0112
C. SmithCM840.040.0810.0131
CareyCM900.030.0310.0896
KucheriavyiCM900.000.1230.0422
GallacherLM650.000.0310.0243
KimpiokaST650.120.010−0.0200
SpranglerMF440.000.010−0.0113
ClarkMF250.060.0010.0010
SidibehFW250.200.0000.0100
Jaiyesimi MF60.000.0000.0110

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0111
LembikisaRB900.020.1210.26121
KentCB9010.080.1820.23107
KingsleyCB750.090.0200.1567
CochraneLB900.000.1920.19165
NieuwenhofDM900.000.0510.0322
BaningimeDM900.000.020−0.0214
Vargas RW830.120.0100.0113
FraserAM830.040.0610.1454
ForrestLW900.080.0900.0690
ShanklandST9010.260.2410.0112
HalkettDF150.000.0000.0102
GrantMF70.000.0100.0001
OdaFW70.000.0310.0200

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Franczak and Kucheriavyi: 4 passesFranczak and C. Smith: 4 passesCarey and Gallacher: 4 passesKucheriavyi and C. Smith: 4 passesGallacher and Kimpioka: 4 passesOlufunwa and Franczak: 5 passesOlufunwa and Carey: 5 passesMcGowan and Considine: 5 passesMcGowan and C. Smith: 5 passesKucheriavyi and Kimpioka: 5 passesMcGowan and Franczak: 6 passesFranczak and Carey: 6 passesCarey and Kucheriavyi: 6 passesCarey and Kimpioka: 6 passesMitov and McGowan: 7 passesOlufunwa and McGowan: 7 passesConsidine and Kucheriavyi: 7 passesMcGowan and Carey: 8 passesRobinson and Carey: 8 passesRobinson and Kucheriavyi: 8 passesOlufunwa and C. Smith: 10 passesConsidine and Carey: 10 passesKucheriavyi and Gallacher: 10 passesRobinson and Gallacher: 14 passesConsidine and Robinson: 15 passesMitov: 13 completed passesOlufunwa: 17 completed passesMcGowan: 21 completed passesConsidine: 25 completed passesRobinson: 25 completed passesFranczak: 13 completed passesCarey: 32 completed passesKucheriavyi: 27 completed passesC. Smith: 15 completed passesGallacher: 19 completed passesKimpioka: 12 completed passes117541946111550329MitovOlufunwaMcGowanConsidineRobinsonFranczakCareyKucheriavyiC. SmithGallacherKimpiokaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Hearts

Lembikisa and Kingsley: 5 passesCochrane and Baningime: 5 passesNieuwenhof and Fraser: 5 passesCochrane and Nieuwenhof: 6 passesBaningime and Fraser: 6 passesBaningime and Forrest: 6 passesKent and Baningime: 7 passesFraser and Forrest: 7 passesClark and Kingsley: 8 passesLembikisa and Fraser: 9 passesKent and Fraser: 9 passesCochrane and Fraser: 9 passesKingsley and Fraser: 10 passesKingsley and Forrest: 10 passesClark and Kent: 11 passesLembikisa and Vargas: 11 passesKent and Nieuwenhof: 11 passesLembikisa and Kent: 13 passesNieuwenhof and Baningime: 13 passesLembikisa and Nieuwenhof: 16 passesKingsley and Baningime: 18 passesCochrane and Forrest: 30 passesKingsley and Cochrane: 40 passesKent and Kingsley: 46 passesClark: 16 completed passesLembikisa: 32 completed passesKent: 59 completed passesKingsley: 74 completed passesCochrane: 51 completed passesNieuwenhof: 34 completed passesBaningime: 35 completed passesVargas: 14 completed passesFraser: 25 completed passesForrest: 31 completed passesShankland: 7 completed passes28812319867729179ClarkLembikisaKentKingsleyCochraneNieuwenhofBaningimeVargasFraserForrestShanklandStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
CareyRobinson14
RobinsonConsidine13
RobinsonCarey13
RobinsonGallacher12
CareyConsidine11

Hearts

FromToPasses
KentKingsley26
KingsleyCochrane24
CochraneForrest23
KingsleyKent20
CochraneKingsley16

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

19+13.610+2.412−2.310+0.28+0.85−1.911+3.35−1.15−2.911+2.36−0.51−3.92−1.85−0.47+0.43−1.31−2.21−0.82−0.64−0.40−2.00−1.50−1.32+0.94+1.80−0.60−0.20−0.20−0.30−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Hearts

6+0.48+0.24−2.85+0.612+4.25−0.64−0.42−5.43−3.711+5.74−1.22−2.89+3.58+2.06+2.12−2.00−3.04+0.83−1.85+3.31−0.63+1.82+0.83+0.70−0.81+0.20−0.60−0.82+1.36−9.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.020.010.020.020.03−0.010.040.020.020.010.04−0.020.030.03−0.010.040.010.08LessMore

Hearts

0.010.020.020.020.010.010.080.020.040.030.020.040.100.100.040.01−0.030.080.070.10−0.010.120.21LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackSt. Johnstone0.97 → 0.95Hearts1.32 → 1.32Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.41 → 1.41Hearts1.23 → 1.21

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six7%3%−4
11th13%18%+5
Bottom3%5%+2
Aberdeen
Top six48%50%+2
11th2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (7 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneHearts
Expected goals1.101.32
Win30%41%
Expected Points1.201.52
Clean sheet27%33%

St. Johnstone 30%Draw 29%Hearts 41%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

Hearts goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%8%3%1%9%9%4%1%5%7%5%2%2%3%2%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 7 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawHearts win
St. Johnstone
Top six7%13%6%3%
11th13%8%12%18%
Bottom3%1%3%5%
Aberdeen
Top six48%45%48%50%
11th2%2%2%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–03 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.54–0.58
  2. D1–127 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.82–0.87
  3. D1–124 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.99–1.21
  4. D0–027 DecLivingston (A)xG 0.25–0.93
  5. L1–223 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 1.37–1.37
  6. L0–220 DecRangers (A)xG 0.09–3.14

Hearts

  1. W3–23 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.76–1.69
  2. W2–027 JanAberdeen (H)xG 1.58–0.93
  3. W3–223 JanDundee FC (H)xG 2.21–0.69
  4. W2–12 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.94–1.66
  5. D2–230 DecRoss County (H)xG 1.87–1.54
  6. W1–027 DecHibernian (A)xG 1.30–1.85

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneHearts
Position10th3rd
Played2324
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠9–⁠914–⁠3–⁠7
Points24 (1.04 per game)45 (1.88 per game)
Expected Points per game0.931.33
Goals16–⁠2932–⁠22
xG per game0.87–⁠1.551.24–⁠1.43
Home: points, xG per game1.42, 1.09–⁠1.411.75, 1.36–⁠1.26
Away: points, xG per game0.64, 0.63–⁠1.692.00, 1.13–⁠1.61
ManagerCraig Levein (13)Steven Naismith (20)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackSt. Johnstone0.97, 11thHearts1.32, 3rdDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.41, 8thHearts1.23, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Johnstone attack: 0.97Hearts attack: 1.321.320.97HeartsSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Johnstone defence: 1.41Hearts defence: 1.231.411.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−34%+22%−9%+2%
Counter-attacks−80%+54%−7%−34%
Set pieces−6%+8%−12%+19%
Penalties−77%−32%+9%+31%
Headers+2%+20%−27%+11%
Left side−41%+7%−6%−9%
Centre−16%+21%−19%−1%
Right side−47%+38%+5%+27%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHearts concededLeft side−41%+27%Centre−16%−1%Right side−47%−9%Open play−34%+2%Counter-attacks−80%−34%Set pieces−6%+19%Headers+2%+11%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−6%+38%Centre−19%+21%Right side+5%+7%Open play−9%+22%Counter-attacks−7%+54%Set pieces−12%+8%Headers−27%+20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneHearts

0.87xG1.24
1.55xG against1.43
43%Possession56%
9.3Shots13.3
14.5Shots against13.5
2.8Shots on target4.4
1.3Big chances1.3
16.1Touches in the opposition box25.3
330Passes450
65%Pass accuracy75%
3.4Corners6.9
38%Field tilt54%
25.4Final-third entries41.8
7.3Box entries12.7
16.9Passes per defensive action12.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.871.15
Ahead160.731.60
Behind220.962.45

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.301.18
Ahead270.851.69
Behind181.691.67

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.103–1
16–300.140.212–4
31–450.120.163–4
46–600.120.272–5
61–750.140.382–8
76–900.240.424–7

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.193–2
16–300.180.275–4
31–450.100.181–2
46–600.230.286–4
61–750.320.149–4
76–900.280.378–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 23McGowan 10Costelloe 4Olufunwa 2Gordon 19McClelland 5Considine 15Robinson 7Brown 8Olufunwa 4Franczak 3Phillips 11Kucheriavyi 4Sprangler 4M. Smith 9Robinson 7Carey 5Phillips 5Robinson 4Gallacher 4M. Smith 6Kucheriavyi 5Carey 4Kane 7Jaiyesimi 6May 6Carey 8Clark 5Robinson 33-4-1-2 in 6 of 23 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTClark 24Kingsley 11Sibbick 5Atkinson 5Kent 24Halkett 4Rowles 20Oda 7Forrest 5Atkinson 5Nieuwen… 16NieuwenhofDevlin 7Denholm 6Baningime 14Boyce 3Shankland 2Grant 8Lowry 7Haring 5Cochrane 13Forrest 3Vargas 3Shankland 22Kingsley 6Vargas 5Cochrane 43-5-2 in 12 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (12), 4-2-3-1 (10), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 November 2023Hearts1–0St. JohnstonexG 1.44–0.85
5 August 2023St. Johnstone0–2HeartsxG 0.94–1.77
4 March 2023Hearts3–0St. JohnstonexG 1.63–1.19
28 December 2022St. Johnstone2–3HeartsxG 2.50–2.33
28 August 2022Hearts3–2St. JohnstonexG 2.74–0.77
19 February 2022St. Johnstone2–1HeartsxG 0.69–1.56

8 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 1, Hearts won 6, and 1 was a draw. Goals 7–16 and xG 1.16–1.76 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane7788100.390.03
Jaiyesimi7544100.350.06
Kucheriavyi131,060200.160.09
Carey191,760240.040.15

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland242,1601610.470.13
Boyce7631130.360.20
Lowry10733010.110.23
Grant8772130.170.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.