Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 1–2 Celtic

Saturday 8 October 2022, 12:30 · McDiarmid Park · Round 10 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 7,121

St. Johnstone Mitchell 90+3'

Celtic Considine 42' (og), Giakoumakis 90+5'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Johnstone	Celtic
Goals	1	2
xG	0.43	1.66
Expected Points	0.40	2.39

St. Johnstone 6%Draw 21%Celtic 73%

Most likely score 0–1, 22%. Final score 1–2, 10%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.43 −0.36xG1.66 −1.04

1.16 +0.27xG on target1.34 −1.36

8 −1.4Shots11 −9.0

3 +0.3Shots on target4 −3.9

3 +2.0Big chances3 −0.6

10 −7Touches in the opposition box26 −6

25% −17Possession75% +5

198 −131Passes616 +3

52% −13Pass accuracy85% −2

25% −7Field tilt75% −2

14 −12Final-third entries58 −23

4 −3.7Box entries17 −5.0

18.6 +3Passes per defensive action7.7 −2

2 −1.3Corners8 +0.4

17 0Tackles7 −8

9 −2.2Interceptions9 +2.0

27 +1Clearances18 +3

3 +0.9Saves2 +0.2

14 +2.7Fouls10 +0.4

0 −1.8Offsides9 +6.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Johnstone

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.29 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.50 7 shots, 1 goal

0.14 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.16 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–1

Level: 44 min (45%) · St. Johnstone 0.02, Celtic 1.09 xG
Celtic ahead: 53 min (55%) · St. Johnstone 0.40, Celtic 0.57 xG

Line-ups

St. Johnstone substitutes

63' Crawford for Kucheriavyi · 1 assist
63' May for Murphy
75' McLennan for Clark
75' Bair for Brown

Celtic substitutes

46' Maeda for Jota
68' Mooy for Hatate
68' Abildgaard for O'Riley
68' Forrest for Abada
82' McCarthy for Haksabanovic

Players

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Matthews	GK	90			0.00	0.00	1	0.02	2	1
Wright	RWB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	4	13
Mitchell	CB	90	1		0.13	0.00	0	0.04	4	5
Gordon	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	9
Considine	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	5
Brown	LWB	75			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	1	4
McGowan	CM	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.04	2	6
Hallberg	CM	90			0.00	0.04	2	0.01	1	3
Kucheriavyi	CM	63			0.01	0.00	0	0.01	0	7
Murphy	ST	63			0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	0
Clark	ST	75			0.01	0.01	0	0.01	0	0
Crawford	MF	27		1	0.00	0.13	1	0.01	0	3
May	FW	27			0.17	0.04	1	0.06	1	0
McLennan	MF	15			0.11	0.00	1	0.00	0	1
Bair	FW	15			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Ralston	RB	90			0.00	0.07	0	0.17	12	7
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.10	6	3
Welsh	CB	90			0.04	0.01	0	0.12	5	6
Bernabei	LB	90		1	0.00	0.45	1	0.28	15	4
O'Riley	DM	68			0.06	0.06	3	0.04	5	3
Hatate	DM	68			0.00	0.13	1	−0.04	6	2
Abada	RW	68			1.00	0.02	0	0.05	2	0
Haksabanovic	AM	82			0.09	0.26	1	0.31	11	2
Jota	LW	46			0.00	0.19	1	0.04	4	1
Giakoumakis	ST	90	1		0.47	0.19	0	0.15	0	1
Maeda	FW	44			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	1
Mooy	MF	22			0.00	0.37	1	0.19	4	2
Abildgaard	MF	22			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	2
Forrest	FW	22			0.00	0.08	0	0.13	5	0
McCarthy	MF	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Matthews	Clark	5
Wright	Murphy	4
Matthews	Considine	4
Clark	Wright	4
Wright	Clark	4

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Welsh	Bernabei	34
Welsh	Carter-Vickers	23
Carter-Vickers	Welsh	20
Carter-Vickers	Ralston	19
Hart	Welsh	17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 9 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Johnstone
Top six	9%	7%	−2
11th	17%	17%	0
Bottom	9%	10%	+1
Celtic
Title	72%	75%	+3
Rangers
Title	28%	25%	−3

From the forecast before the match (8 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Johnstone	Celtic
Expected goals	0.54	2.30
Win	7%	77%
Expected Points	0.36	2.47
Clean sheet	10%	59%

St. Johnstone 7%Draw 16%Celtic 77%

Most likely score 0–2, 16%. Both sides score 38%.

From the forecast as it stood on 8 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Johnstone win	Draw	Celtic win
St. Johnstone
Top six	9%	18%	13%	7%
11th	17%	11%	15%	17%
Bottom	9%	5%	6%	10%
Celtic
Title	72%	56%	68%	75%
Rangers
Title	28%	44%	32%	25%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Johnstone	Celtic
Position	9th	1st
Played	9	8
Won, drawn, lost	3–⁠1–⁠5	7–⁠0–⁠1
Points	10 (1.11 per game)	21 (2.62 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.04	2.52
Goals	10–⁠13	27–⁠4
xG per game	0.79–⁠1.26	2.70–⁠0.47
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 0.89–⁠0.76	3.00, 2.46–⁠0.42
Away: points, xG per game	1.20, 0.71–⁠1.66	2.25, 2.95–⁠0.53
Manager	Callum Davidson (85)	Ange Postecoglou (46)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Johnstone		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−45%	+14%	+137%	−67%
Counter-attacks	−51%	−100%	+71%	−100%
Set pieces	−23%	−31%	+116%	−29%
Penalties	−26%	−26%	−100%	−100%
Headers	−51%	+13%	+100%	−21%
Left side	−46%	−12%	+57%	−50%
Centre	−47%	−20%	+201%	−61%
Right side	−24%	+43%	+82%	−69%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side−46%−69%Centre−47%−61%Right side−24%−50%Open play−45%−67%Counter-attacks−51%−100%Set pieces−23%−29%Headers−51%−21%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+57%+43%Centre+201%−20%Right side+82%−12%Open play+137%+14%Counter-attacks+71%−100%Set pieces+116%−31%Headers+100%+13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.79xG2.70

1.26xG against0.47

42%Possession70%

9.4Shots20.0

15.7Shots against6.8

2.7Shots on target7.9

1.0Big chances3.6

17.0Touches in the opposition box32.5

329Passes613

65%Pass accuracy86%

3.3Corners7.6

32%Field tilt77%

26.3Final-third entries81.2

7.7Box entries22.0

16.0Passes per defensive action10.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	43	0.79	0.97
Ahead	24	0.82	1.22
Behind	23	0.77	1.84

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	26	2.68	0.31
Ahead	58	2.82	0.47
Behind	6	1.63	1.19

xG by period

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.10	0.13	2–1
16–30	0.22	0.10	2–1
31–45	0.06	0.22	1–2
46–60	0.13	0.19	1–2
61–75	0.07	0.21	1–1
76–90	0.21	0.40	3–6

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.48	0.03	6–0
16–30	0.26	0.11	0–0
31–45	0.72	0.14	7–2
46–60	0.39	0.12	4–2
61–75	0.31	0.03	2–0
76–90	0.54	0.05	8–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (5), 5-3-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (7), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
9 April 2022	Celtic	7–0	St. Johnstone	xG 4.73–0.06
26 December 2021	St. Johnstone	1–3	Celtic	xG 0.26–2.57
23 October 2021	Celtic	2–0	St. Johnstone	xG 2.70–0.13
12 May 2021	Celtic	4–0	St. Johnstone	xG 2.22–1.53
14 February 2021	St. Johnstone	1–2	Celtic	xG 0.30–1.44
6 December 2020	Celtic	1–1	St. Johnstone	xG 1.73–1.30

7 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 0, Celtic won 6, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–21 and xG 0.60–2.44 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Carey	6	512	2	0	0.21	0.06
May	5	464	2	3	0.17	0.05
Murphy	8	646	1	0	0.10	0.05
Wright	9	780	1	0	0.09	0.05

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Furuhashi	8	525	7	1	1.08	0.05
O'Riley	7	550	0	5	0.29	0.53
Jota	7	636	4	5	0.35	0.46
Juranovic	7	622	1	1	0.06	0.23

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.