Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Dundee FC 2–1 St. Johnstone

Sunday 11 February 2024, 14:00 · The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park · Round 22 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 7,102

Dundee FC McCowan 75' (pen), McGhee 89'

St. Johnstone M. Smith 9'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCSt. Johnstone
Goals21
xG3.191.37
Non-penalty xG2.411.37
Expected Points2.450.41

Dundee FC 77%Draw 14%St. Johnstone 9%

Most likely score 3–1, 10%. Final score 2–1, 8%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+2%3%2%1%5%6%2%7%7%3%5%6%2%3%4%3%1%1%2%1%8%10%8%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTCostelloe on for Robinson, 46'Mellon on for Tiffoney, 67'Lamie on for Donnelly, 89'Ashcroft on for Mellon, 90+14'C. Smith on for Olufunwa and Kucheriavyi on for Kimpioka, 58'Sprangler on for K. Smith, 69'McGowan on for Keltjens, 79'Jaiyesimi on for M. Smith, 90+14'McCowan 75' (pen)McGhee 89'M. Smith 9'Dundee FC 3.19St. Johnstone 1.37012340153045607590HTCostelloe on for Robinson, 46'Mellon on for Tiffoney, 67'Lamie on for Donnelly, 89'Ashcroft on for Mellon, 90+14'C. Smith on for Olufunwa and Kucheriavyi on for Kimpioka, 58'Sprangler on for K. Smith, 69'McGowan on for Keltjens, 79'Jaiyesimi on for M. Smith, 90+14'McCowan 75' (pen)McGhee 89'M. Smith 9'3.191.37Dundee FCSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCSt. Johnstone

3.19 +1.96xG1.37 +0.52
2.41Non-penalty xG1.37
1.69 +0.35xG on target0.72 −0.07
26 +15.0Shots15 +5.6
6 +2.1Shots on target3 +0.2
4 +2.2Big chances1 −0.2
51 +31Touches in the opposition box24 +8
59% +17Possession41% −2
425 +96Passes294 −41
71% +4Pass accuracy60% −5
54% +16Field tilt46% +8
35 +2Final-third entries26 0
18 +8.7Box entries11 +3.9
19.3 +2Passes per defensive action12.3 −5
13 +8.2Corners7 +3.6
12 −4Tackles21 +4
3 −6.1Interceptions8 −1.4
25 −3Clearances37 +11
2 −0.9Saves4 +0.4
6 −4Fouls15 +4
0 −1.4Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Shaughnessy 14', 0.63 xGBeck 80', 0.21 xGBakayoko 85', 0.19 xGCostelloe 50', 0.17 xGShaughnessy 65', 0.13 xGBeck 47', 0.11 xGCameron 4', 0.10 xGShaughnessy 13', 0.10 xGDonnelly 53', 0.10 xGDonnelly 5', 0.07 xGCameron 11', 0.06 xGTiffoney 6', 0.05 xGMcCowan 19', 0.05 xGMcGhee 50', 0.05 xGTiffoney 13', 0.04 xGMcGhee 40', 0.04 xGShaughnessy 57', 0.04 xGTiffoney 44', 0.03 xGBakayoko 20', 0.02 xGTiffoney 22', 0.02 xGTiffoney 32', 0.02 xGBeck 41', 0.02 xGCostelloe 62', 0.02 xGDonnelly 24', 0.01 xGMcGhee 89', 0.13 xG, goal44%1.05 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 1.05 xG, 0 goals29%0.70 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.70 xG, 1 goal19%0.46 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.46 xG, 0 goals7%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Sidibeh 59', 0.20 xGKimpioka 33', 0.19 xGConsidine 60', 0.17 xGSidibeh 37', 0.13 xGSidibeh 46', 0.13 xGGordon 39', 0.10 xGKucheriavyi 81', 0.08 xGConsidine 18', 0.07 xGSidibeh 45+1', 0.05 xGGordon 68', 0.05 xGSidibeh 90+16', 0.05 xGSidibeh 87', 0.04 xGKucheriavyi 90+5', 0.03 xGSidibeh 18', 0.02 xGM. Smith 9', 0.07 xG, goal24%0.32 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals66%0.90 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.90 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals10%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCSt. Johnstone

0.92 12 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.78 8 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.13 1 shot, 0 goals
1.49 13 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.47 6 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
23 min (21%) · Dundee FC 0.75, St. Johnstone 0.19 xG
Dundee FC ahead
17 min (16%) · Dundee FC 0.00, St. Johnstone 0.07 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
67 min (63%) · Dundee FC 2.44, St. Johnstone 1.11 xG

Line-ups

316525632810177916CarsonMcGheeShaughnessyDonnellyBeckSyllaCameronMcCowanTiffoneyBakayokoRobinsonGoalYellow cardGoalYellow card89'67'46'Dundee FC 4-1-3-2Tony Docherty1356417332219112916MitovK. SmithGordonConsidineOlufunwaKeltjensM. SmithRobinsonCareyKimpiokaSidibehYellow cardYellow cardGoal69'58'79'90+14'58'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Craig Levein

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 46' Costelloe for Robinson · yellow card 48'
  • 67' Mellon for Tiffoney · yellow card 83', off 90+14'
  • 89' Lamie for Donnelly
  • 90+14' Ashcroft for Mellon

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 58' C. Smith for Olufunwa
  • 58' Kucheriavyi for Kimpioka · yellow card 88'
  • 69' Sprangler for K. Smith
  • 79' McGowan for Keltjens
  • 90+14' Jaiyesimi for M. Smith

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0331
McGhee RB9010.220.0500.0664
ShaughnessyCB900.890.0000.0218
DonnellyCB890.180.6430.4763
BeckLB9010.340.3950.2391
SyllaDM900.000.1620.0535
CameronCM900.150.0930.1073
McCowanAM9010.840.1040.1194
TiffoneyCM670.160.0320.0670
Bakayoko ST900.210.0200.0023
RobinsonST460.000.0000.0013
Costelloe FW440.190.0400.1253
Mellon FW230.000.0000.0001
LamieDF10.000.0000.0004
AshcroftDF00.000.0000.0003

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Mitov GK900.000.0000.0331
K. SmithCB690.000.000−0.0108
Gordon CB900.150.1910.32017
ConsidineCB900.250.0000.0328
OlufunwaRWB580.000.0100.0214
KeltjensCM790.000.0200.05313
M. SmithCM9010.070.1730.0488
RobinsonLWB900.000.0410.0857
CareyAM9010.000.2950.1451
KimpiokaST580.190.010−0.0512
SidibehST900.610.0210.0131
C. SmithMF320.000.1710.0911
Kucheriavyi MF320.100.0200.0322
SpranglerMF210.000.0100.0113
McGowanDF110.000.0200.0430
JaiyesimiFW00.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Donnelly and Sylla: 3 passesSylla and Tiffoney: 3 passesSylla and McCowan: 3 passesMcGhee and McCowan: 4 passesBeck and Cameron: 4 passesMcGhee and Sylla: 5 passesBeck and Tiffoney: 5 passesSylla and Cameron: 5 passesMcCowan and Bakayoko: 5 passesCameron and Robinson: 5 passesShaughnessy and Donnelly: 6 passesDonnelly and Cameron: 6 passesBeck and Sylla: 6 passesMcCowan and Cameron: 6 passesCameron and Bakayoko: 6 passesCarson and Donnelly: 7 passesCarson and Beck: 7 passesMcGhee and Robinson: 7 passesShaughnessy and Sylla: 7 passesCarson and Shaughnessy: 8 passesMcGhee and Shaughnessy: 9 passesTiffoney and McCowan: 10 passesDonnelly and Beck: 14 passesBeck and McCowan: 14 passesMcGhee and Cameron: 22 passesCarson: 13 completed passesMcGhee: 27 completed passesShaughnessy: 18 completed passesDonnelly: 21 completed passesBeck: 29 completed passesSylla: 21 completed passesTiffoney: 6 completed passesMcCowan: 24 completed passesCameron: 31 completed passesBakayoko: 6 completed passesRobinson: 4 completed passes316525632871710916CarsonMcGheeShaughnessyDonnellyBeckSyllaTiffoneyMcCowanCameronBakayokoRobinsonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

K. Smith and Olufunwa: 3 passesOlufunwa and Keltjens: 3 passesRobinson and Carey: 3 passesMitov and Sidibeh: 4 passesConsidine and M. Smith: 4 passesM. Smith and Kimpioka: 4 passesCarey and Kimpioka: 4 passesOlufunwa and Kimpioka: 5 passesRobinson and Sidibeh: 5 passesM. Smith and Carey: 6 passesM. Smith and Sidibeh: 6 passesConsidine and Robinson: 7 passesM. Smith and Robinson: 7 passesMitov: 8 completed passesConsidine: 10 completed passesGordon: 4 completed passesK. Smith: 5 completed passesOlufunwa: 8 completed passesKeltjens: 7 completed passesM. Smith: 19 completed passesRobinson: 13 completed passesCarey: 10 completed passesKimpioka: 9 completed passesSidibeh: 4 completed passes1463517332219112916MitovConsidineGordonK. SmithOlufunwaKeltjensM. SmithRobinsonCareyKimpiokaSidibehStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
DonnellyBeck14
BeckDonnelly14
ShaughnessyMcGhee13
McGheeCameron12
CameronMcGhee12

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
RobinsonCarey8
ConsidineRobinson8
CareyRobinson6
C. SmithSidibeh6
RobinsonM. Smith5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

2−3.222+3.18−2.07−0.44−3.57−0.15−0.47−0.24−0.64+0.34−0.711+4.91−3.74+0.81−1.31−2.43−0.11−1.10−1.71−0.10−1.23+0.10−0.71+0.61+0.61+0.43+2.34−4.34−4.11−4.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

St. Johnstone

12+6.019+11.328+13.84−5.85−2.28+1.24−3.84−2.07−0.86−2.83−3.54−0.70−3.74−1.48+1.49+4.73−0.13+1.26+3.46+1.62+0.11−0.52+0.82+0.82−0.21+0.40−0.20−0.20−0.22+1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.020.020.010.020.010.020.010.010.040.040.060.010.020.030.060.010.010.090.060.070.190.170.26LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.040.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.040.030.010.010.040.010.090.010.040.170.12−0.03−0.11−0.040.030.32LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackDundee FC1.07 → 1.12St. Johnstone0.95 → 0.94Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.54 → 1.50St. Johnstone1.41 → 1.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six23%33%+10
11th5%3%−2
Bottom<1%<1%0
St. Johnstone
Top six3%1%−2
11th16%21%+5
Bottom3%5%+2
Ross County
11th48%45%−3
Bottom21%21%0
Hibernian
Top six20%18%−2
11th6%6%0

From the forecast before the match (11 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.391.05
Win44%28%
Expected Points1.611.11
Clean sheet35%25%

Dundee FC 44%Draw 28%St. Johnstone 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+9%9%5%2%7%2%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Dundee FC
Top six23%33%18%12%
11th5%3%5%8%
Bottom<1%<1%<1%1%
St. Johnstone
Top six3%1%3%8%
11th16%21%15%9%
Bottom3%5%3%1%
Ross County
11th48%45%48%51%
Bottom21%21%22%22%
Hibernian
Top six20%18%20%22%
11th6%6%6%7%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L0–27 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.26–1.63
  2. L2–33 FebHearts (H)xG 1.69–1.76
  3. D1–130 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.59–1.46
  4. W4–127 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.11–2.22
  5. L2–323 JanHearts (A)xG 0.69–2.21
  6. D2–230 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 0.53–0.69

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–17 FebHearts (H)xG 0.45–0.70
  2. W1–03 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.54–0.58
  3. D1–127 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.82–0.87
  4. D1–124 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.99–1.21
  5. D0–027 DecLivingston (A)xG 0.25–0.93
  6. L1–223 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 1.37–1.37

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCSt. Johnstone
Position6th10th
Played2324
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠8–⁠95–⁠9–⁠10
Points26 (1.13 per game)24 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.180.94
Goals31–⁠3816–⁠30
xG per game1.23–⁠1.720.85–⁠1.51
Home: points, xG per game1.20, 1.29–⁠1.861.31, 1.04–⁠1.36
Away: points, xG per game1.08, 1.19–⁠1.620.64, 0.63–⁠1.69
ManagerTony Docherty (23)Craig Levein (14)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackDundee FC1.07, 9thSt. Johnstone0.95, 11thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.54, 11thSt. Johnstone1.41, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebDundee FC attack: 1.07St. Johnstone attack: 0.951.070.95St. JohnstoneDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebDundee FC defence: 1.54St. Johnstone defence: 1.411.541.41

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−17%+24%−34%+21%
Counter-attacks−25%+34%−78%+46%
Set pieces+44%+4%−7%+8%
Penalties−55%+103%−78%−35%
Headers+11%+51%average+18%
Left side−2%+26%−39%+9%
Centre+7%+14%−18%+18%
Right side−18%+25%−47%+35%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−2%+35%Centre+7%+18%Right side−18%+9%Open play−17%+21%Counter-attacks−25%+46%Set pieces+44%+8%Headers+11%+18%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee FC concededLeft side−39%+25%Centre−18%+14%Right side−47%+26%Open play−34%+24%Counter-attacks−78%+34%Set pieces−7%+4%Headersaverage+51%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCSt. Johnstone

1.23xG0.85
1.72xG against1.51
42%Possession43%
11.0Shots9.4
15.2Shots against14.3
3.9Shots on target2.8
1.8Big chances1.2
20.4Touches in the opposition box15.8
329Passes335
67%Pass accuracy65%
4.8Corners3.4
38%Field tilt37%
33.5Final-third entries25.8
9.3Box entries7.1
17.4Passes per defensive action17.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.181.47
Ahead211.201.98
Behind211.372.05

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.851.15
Ahead150.731.60
Behind220.942.30

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.161–3
16–300.130.286–4
31–450.220.285–4
46–600.250.265–6
61–750.220.274–6
76–900.310.4710–15

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.093–1
16–300.140.212–4
31–450.120.163–4
46–600.120.282–6
61–750.130.372–8
76–900.240.404–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 21Sharp 1McCracken 1Portales 10Ashcroft 7McGhee 5Shaughnessy 23Lamie 11Donnelly 5Dodgson 4McGhee 14McCowan 2Robertson 2Cameron 15Robertson 3Mulligan 3Boateng 20Sylla 6Beck 2McCowan 18Beck 17Tiffoney 2McCowan 1Bakayoko 21Robinson 7Mellon 2Rudden 9Tiffoney 3Beck 13-5-2 in 10 of 23 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (10), 5-3-2 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 24McGowan 11Costelloe 4Olufunwa 2Gordon 19McClelland 5Considine 16Robinson 7Brown 8Olufunwa 5Franczak 3Phillips 11Kucheriavyi 5Sprangler 4M. Smith 9Robinson 8Carey 5Phillips 5Robinson 4Gallacher 4M. Smith 6Kucheriavyi 5Carey 5Kane 7Jaiyesimi 6May 6Carey 8Clark 5Robinson 33-4-1-2 in 6 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 September 2023St. Johnstone2–2Dundee FCxG 1.75–1.44
23 April 2022Dundee FC1–1St. JohnstonexG 0.37–1.12
26 January 2022St. Johnstone0–0Dundee FCxG 0.67–0.22
1 December 2021Dundee FC1–0St. JohnstonexG 1.01–0.34
2 October 2021St. Johnstone3–1Dundee FCxG 1.90–0.41

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 1, St. Johnstone won 1, and 3 were drawn. Goals 5–6 and xG 0.69–1.16 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson9844300.510.02
Rudden9821210.330.04
Bakayoko211,810530.300.05
Mulligan3489100.230.06

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane7788100.390.03
Jaiyesimi7550100.340.06
Clark5461400.360.02
Kucheriavyi141,150200.140.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.