Most likely score 6+–0, 29%. Final score 7–0, 29%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
CelticSt. Johnstone
4.73 +2.29xG0.06 −0.58
3.94Non-penalty xG0.06
5.38 +3.04xG on target0.00 −0.61
23 +2.7Shots1 −7.8
10 +3.1Shots on target0 −2.5
8 +4.3Big chances0 −0.5
53 +16Touches in the opposition box4 −10
84% +15Possession16% −27
968 +325Passes184 −146
92% +6Pass accuracy53% −10
97% +19Field tilt3% −37
122 +48Final-third entries8 −20
29 +6.7Box entries3 −4.0
16.0 +6Passes per defensive action46.4 +31
7 −2.5Corners2 −2.5
6 −6Tackles21 +6
3 −4.8Interceptions9 −1.1
3 −12Clearances15 −10
0 −1.4Saves3 −0.2
3 −9Fouls5 −7
1 −0.8Offsides0 −1.8
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
8'22'36'52'70'73'78'
0–01–02–03–04–07–0
0'HTFT
Level
8 min (9%) · Celtic 0.51, St. Johnstone 0.06 xG
Celtic ahead
83 min (91%) · Celtic 4.22, St. Johnstone 0.00 xG
Line-ups
Celtic substitutes
27'Abada for Giakoumakis · goal 78'
46'O'Riley for Rogic · goal 70', goal 73'
55'Turnbull for Hatate · 1 assist
74'McCarthy for McGregor
74'Furuhashi for Jota
St. Johnstone substitutes
46'MacPherson for Davidson
46'Sang for Rooney
64'May for Middleton
64'Bair for Hendry
77'Butterfield for Hallberg
Players
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Hart
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
0
0
Juranovic
RB
90
1
1
0.99
0.38
2
0.17
16
1
Carter-Vickers
CB
90
0.00
0.05
1
0.27
22
0
Starfelt
CB
90
0.00
0.05
0
0.28
19
2
Taylor
LB
90
1
0.00
0.41
3
0.05
5
1
Rogic
CM
46
0.47
0.08
0
0.00
1
0
McGregor
CM
74
0.00
0.18
0
0.19
5
1
Hatate
CM
55
1
0.52
0.38
0
0.08
5
0
Jota
RW
74
1
0.16
0.68
3
0.53
12
1
Giakoumakis
ST
27
1
0.49
0.03
1
−0.01
1
1
Maeda
LW
90
1
1
0.22
0.21
2
0.06
6
2
Abada
FW
63
1
1.08
0.09
1
0.01
3
1
O'Riley
MF
44
2
0.63
0.75
1
0.15
8
1
Turnbull
MF
35
1
0.00
0.21
2
0.17
1
1
McCarthy
MF
16
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
1
0
Furuhashi
FW
16
0.15
0.02
0
0.01
2
0
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Clark
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Rooney
RWB
46
0.00
0.01
1
0.01
2
3
Brown
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
7
Gordon
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
1
9
McCart
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
5
Booth
LWB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
6
Davidson
CM
46
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
3
Hallberg
CM
77
0.06
0.00
0
0.01
0
3
Middleton
CM
64
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
2
Crawford
ST
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
2
Hendry
ST
64
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
MacPherson
MF
44
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Sang
MF
44
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
2
May
FW
26
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Bair
FW
26
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Butterfield
MF
13
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Starfelt
Carter-Vickers
54
Carter-Vickers
Starfelt
46
Taylor
Starfelt
41
Starfelt
Taylor
30
Carter-Vickers
Juranovic
29
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Booth
McCart
4
Crawford
Rooney
3
Crawford
Brown
3
Hendry
Middleton
3
Middleton
Hallberg
3
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Celtic
Against its average of 32 matches
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 32 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Celtic
Title
97%
98%
+1
St. Johnstone
11th
78%
81%
+3
Bottom
5%
6%
+1
St. Mirren
Top six
1%
1%
0
11th
10%
8%
−2
Bottom
<1%
<1%
0
Rangers
Title
3%
2%
−1
From the forecast before the match (9 April 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Expected goals
2.32
0.45
Win
79%
5%
Expected Points
2.54
0.31
Clean sheet
64%
10%
Celtic 79%Draw 15%St. Johnstone 5%
Most likely score 2–0, 17%. Both sides score 33%.
From the forecast as it stood on 9 April 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Celtic win
Draw
St. Johnstone win
Celtic
Title
97%
98%
93%
90%
St. Johnstone
11th
78%
81%
76%
56%
Bottom
5%
6%
4%
<1%
St. Mirren
Top six
1%
1%
<1%
1%
11th
10%
8%
12%
24%
Bottom
<1%
<1%
–
1%
Rangers
Title
3%
2%
7%
10%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Position
1st
11th
Played
32
32
Won, drawn, lost
25–4–3
7–9–16
Points
79 (2.47 per game)
30 (0.94 per game)
Expected Points per game
2.43
0.89
Goals
71–19
21–37
xG per game
2.44–0.58
0.64–1.29
Home: points, xG per game
2.73, 2.89–0.45
1.00, 0.66–1.21
Away: points, xG per game
2.24, 2.05–0.69
0.87, 0.63–1.39
Manager
Ange Postecoglou (32)
Callum Davidson (70)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+128%
−55%
−50%
−4%
Counter-attacks
+117%
−58%
−76%
+171%
Set pieces
+59%
−40%
−38%
+3%
Penalties
+33%
−56%
−33%
+33%
Headers
+102%
−33%
−57%
+7%
Left side
+77%
−61%
−36%
+7%
Centre
+154%
−49%
−53%
+1%
Right side
+58%
−47%
−49%
+9%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−36%−47%Centre−53%−49%Right side−49%−61%Open play−50%−55%Counter-attacks−76%−58%Set pieces−38%−40%Headers−57%−33%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
CelticSt. Johnstone
2.44xG0.64
0.58xG against1.29
69%Possession43%
20.3Shots8.8
6.7Shots against13.8
6.9Shots on target2.5
3.7Big chances0.5
36.5Touches in the opposition box13.5
643Passes330
87%Pass accuracy63%
9.5Corners4.5
78%Field tilt40%
73.7Final-third entries27.9
22.3Box entries7.0
10.4Passes per defensive action15.6
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Celtic
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
39
2.40
0.46
Ahead
46
2.50
0.70
Behind
5
2.22
0.36
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
52
0.69
1.17
Ahead
16
0.59
1.76
Behind
22
0.57
1.25
xG by period
Celtic
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.34
0.10
9–2
16–30
0.48
0.08
21–4
31–45
0.48
0.08
13–2
46–60
0.23
0.10
9–5
61–75
0.37
0.14
7–5
76–90
0.54
0.08
12–1
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.18
5–5
16–30
0.09
0.13
5–4
31–45
0.07
0.23
4–7
46–60
0.09
0.23
3–7
61–75
0.14
0.23
1–7
76–90
0.11
0.30
3–7
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.