Saturday 30 April 2022, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 35 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Andrew Dallas · Attendance 4,253
St. Mirren Kiltie 53'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Goals
0
1
xG
0.25
0.87
Expected Points
0.71
1.87
St. Johnstone 10%Draw 42%St. Mirren 48%
Most likely score 0–0, 33%. Final score 0–1, 29%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
0.25 −0.39xG0.87 +0.02
0.00 −0.60xG on target0.73 −0.10
5 −3.8Shots12 +1.6
0 −2.5Shots on target3 −0.4
0 −0.5Big chances1 0.0
59% +16Possession41% −5
378 +50Passes269 −72
61% −2Pass accuracy53% −13
66% +27Field tilt34% −8
39 +11Final-third entries34 +4
7 +0.1Box entries9 +0.9
10.3 −6Passes per defensive action14.1 −2
6 +1.5Corners5 −0.1
12 −4Tackles12 −2
9 −1.0Interceptions7 −2.7
28 +3Clearances35 +15
2 −1.1Saves0 −3.6
12 0Fouls13 +3
0 −1.6Offsides2 −0.4
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
53'
0–00–1
0'HTFT
Level
53 min (57%) · St. Johnstone 0.07, St. Mirren 0.55 xG
St. Mirren ahead
40 min (43%) · St. Johnstone 0.18, St. Mirren 0.32 xG
Line-ups
St. Johnstone substitutes
59'MacPherson for Crawford
60'Middleton for Sang
75'May for Davidson
75'Bair for Ciftci
St. Mirren substitutes
82'Flynn for Kiltie
90'Brophy for Greive
Players
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Clark
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
5
1
Rooney
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
6
13
Gordon
CB
90
0.03
0.00
0
0.01
0
10
McCart
CB
90
0.13
0.08
1
0.13
4
8
Sang
RWB
60
0.00
0.04
0
0.07
7
4
Hallberg
CM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.01
2
4
Davidson
CM
75
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
0
3
Booth
LWB
90
0.02
0.05
0
0.10
6
1
Crawford
AM
59
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
3
2
Hendry
ST
90
0.05
0.02
0
−0.06
0
3
Ciftci
ST
75
0.00
0.04
0
−0.02
1
0
MacPherson
MF
31
0.00
0.09
1
0.02
2
1
Middleton
MF
30
0.03
0.00
0
0.03
2
3
May
FW
15
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
0
Bair
FW
15
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
St. Mirren
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Alnwick
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
5
1
Fraser
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
4
7
Shaughnessy
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
6
McCarthy
CB
90
0.13
0.01
0
0.04
4
5
Tait
RWB
90
0.01
0.01
1
0.02
2
6
Gogic
CM
90
0.10
0.07
1
0.16
9
8
Ronan
CM
90
0.00
0.32
0
0.27
9
3
Tanser
LWB
90
0.00
0.30
2
0.07
5
7
Kiltie
AM
82
1
0.23
0.06
1
0.07
3
1
Main
ST
90
0.21
0.01
3
0.01
4
3
Greive
ST
90
1
0.19
0.14
1
0.12
2
4
Flynn
MF
8
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Brophy
FW
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Booth
Crawford
12
Crawford
Booth
11
Booth
Ciftci
8
Hallberg
MacPherson
7
Sang
Hallberg
6
St. Mirren
From
To
Passes
Tanser
Main
7
Ronan
Kiltie
7
Gogic
Greive
6
Ronan
Gogic
5
Greive
Kiltie
4
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 34 matches
St. Mirren
Against its average of 34 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Johnstone
11th
84%
92%
+8
Bottom
4%
7%
+3
St. Mirren
11th
10%
<1%
−10
Dundee FC
11th
4%
7%
+3
Bottom
96%
93%
−3
Aberdeen
11th
2%
<1%
−2
From the forecast before the match (30 April 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Expected goals
1.07
0.84
Win
40%
27%
Expected Points
1.52
1.15
Clean sheet
43%
34%
St. Johnstone 40%Draw 33%St. Mirren 27%
Most likely score 0–0, 15%. Both sides score 38%.
From the forecast as it stood on 30 April 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Johnstone win
Draw
St. Mirren win
St. Johnstone
11th
84%
73%
91%
92%
Bottom
4%
1%
5%
7%
St. Mirren
11th
10%
21%
3%
<1%
Dundee FC
11th
4%
1%
5%
7%
Bottom
96%
99%
95%
93%
Aberdeen
11th
2%
4%
1%
<1%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Position
11th
10th
Played
34
34
Won, drawn, lost
7–10–17
8–12–14
Points
31 (0.91 per game)
36 (1.06 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.89
1.02
Goals
22–45
30–51
xG per game
0.64–1.37
0.85–1.50
Home: points, xG per game
1.00, 0.66–1.21
0.94, 0.79–1.26
Away: points, xG per game
0.82, 0.62–1.52
1.18, 0.90–1.74
Manager
Callum Davidson (72)
Steve Robinson (0)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−51%
+3%
−43%
+30%
Counter-attacks
−79%
+144%
−24%
+63%
Set pieces
−35%
+3%
+8%
+4%
Penalties
−39%
+42%
−39%
+2%
Headers
−54%
+8%
−1%
+8%
Left side
−35%
+18%
−27%
+38%
Centre
−54%
+4%
−24%
+16%
Right side
−49%
+10%
−42%
+28%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
0.64xG0.85
1.37xG against1.50
43%Possession46%
8.8Shots10.4
13.9Shots against14.9
2.5Shots on target3.4
0.5Big chances1.0
13.5Touches in the opposition box15.4
328Passes341
63%Pass accuracy66%
4.5Corners5.1
39%Field tilt42%
27.7Final-third entries29.7
6.9Box entries8.1
16.2Passes per defensive action16.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
50
0.69
1.18
Ahead
15
0.59
1.76
Behind
25
0.57
1.51
St. Mirren
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
48
0.83
1.33
Ahead
16
0.86
1.43
Behind
26
0.87
1.85
xG by period
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.21
5–7
16–30
0.09
0.13
5–5
31–45
0.08
0.22
4–8
46–60
0.09
0.25
3–8
61–75
0.15
0.23
2–9
76–90
0.10
0.32
3–8
St. Mirren
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.07
0.19
7–5
16–30
0.09
0.20
1–9
31–45
0.16
0.24
6–9
46–60
0.19
0.34
4–10
61–75
0.12
0.34
5–11
76–90
0.21
0.18
7–7
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.