Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Aberdeen 1–1 Dundee FC

Tuesday 30 January 2024, 19:45 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 9 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 15,512

Aberdeen Miovski 31' (pen)

Dundee FC Ashcroft 55'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenDundee FC
Goals11
xG1.460.59
Non-penalty xG0.670.59
Expected Points2.160.57

Aberdeen 63%Draw 27%Dundee FC 10%

Most likely score 1–0, 24%. Final score 1–1, 17%.

Dundee FC goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+6%4%1%17%4%17%11%3%5%3%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTGueye on for Sokler and Duncan on for MacKenzie, 67'Phillips on for Milne, 75'Morris on for Clarkson, 87'Mulligan on for Sylla, 46'Costelloe on for McGhee and Tiffoney on for Robinson, 68'Main on for Bakayoko, 72'Miovski 31' (pen)Ashcroft 55'Aberdeen 1.46Dundee FC 0.5900.511.520153045607590HTGueye on for Sokler and Duncan on for MacKenzie, 67'Phillips on for Milne, 75'Morris on for Clarkson, 87'Mulligan on for Sylla, 46'Costelloe on for McGhee and Tiffoney on for Robinson, 68'Main on for Bakayoko, 72'Miovski 31' (pen)Ashcroft 55'1.460.59AberdeenDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenDundee FC

1.46 +0.12xG0.59 −0.70
0.67Non-penalty xG0.59
1.77 +0.56xG on target0.67 −0.78
10 −2Shots9 −2
4 +0.2Shots on target3 −1.0
2 +0.4Big chances2 +0.1
28 +4Touches in the opposition box16 −5
53% +4Possession47% +5
397 +23Passes361 +38
68% 0Pass accuracy67% 0
52% +6Field tilt48% +11
25 −6Final-third entries36 +3
13 +2.3Box entries6 −3.2
16.7 +2Passes per defensive action13.3 −4
0 −4.8Corners3 −1.8
8 −9Tackles19 +3
2 −6.4Interceptions3 −6.7
11 −14Clearances25 −3
2 −1.1Saves3 +0.2
13 +2.1Fouls17 +7.1
1 −0.1Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

McGrath 49', 0.18 xGSokler 39', 0.14 xGSokler 61', 0.12 xGShinnie 16', 0.08 xGMcGrath 74', 0.04 xGMiovski 8', 0.03 xGMiovski 13', 0.03 xGClarkson 18', 0.02 xGJensen 34', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals82%0.55 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.55 xG, 0 goals9%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals9%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Mulligan 60', 0.12 xGAshcroft 54', 0.10 xGBeck 90+5', 0.06 xGBakayoko 16', 0.05 xGCostelloe 73', 0.05 xGBoateng 15', 0.03 xGMulligan 56', 0.02 xGCameron 90', 0.01 xGAshcroft 55', 0.14 xG, goal24%0.14 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.14 xG, 1 goal38%0.22 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals12%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals22%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenDundee FC

0.63 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.28 5 shots, 0 goals
0.04 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.30 4 shots, 1 goal
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
71 min (75%) · Aberdeen 1.11, Dundee FC 0.35 xG
Aberdeen ahead
24 min (25%) · Aberdeen 0.35, Dundee FC 0.24 xG

Line-ups

2422752810437919RoosDevlinMacDonaldJensenMilneClarksonShinnieMacKenzieMcGrathMiovskiSoklerYellow cardYellow cardGoal75'87'67'67'Aberdeen 3-4-1-2Barry Robson316145363102328169CarsonMcGheeAshcroftShaughnessyDodgsonBeckCameronBoatengSyllaRobinsonBakayokoGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow card68'46'68'72'Dundee FC 5-3-2Tony Docherty

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 67' Gueye for Sokler
  • 67' Duncan for MacKenzie
  • 75' Phillips for Milne
  • 87' Morris for Clarkson

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 46' Mulligan for Sylla
  • 68' Costelloe for McGhee
  • 68' Tiffoney for Robinson
  • 72' Main for Bakayoko

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0100.0640
DevlinCB900.000.0110.0996
MacDonaldCB900.000.0000.0323
Jensen CB900.020.0100.0534
MilneRWB750.000.1110.1741
ClarksonCM870.020.0610.0111
ShinnieCM900.080.0700.1063
MacKenzieLWB670.000.3110.1230
McGrath AM900.230.0810.1242
MiovskiST9010.850.1510.0810
SoklerST670.260.0210.0001
GueyeFW230.000.041−0.0101
DuncanFW230.000.0100.0111
PhillipsMF150.000.0000.0000
MorrisFW30.000.0000.0002

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0120
McGheeRWB680.000.010−0.0642
AshcroftCB9010.240.0100.05713
ShaughnessyCB900.000.1710.1656
Dodgson CB900.000.0100.0566
Beck LWB9010.060.1530.1726
CameronCM900.010.0400.0436
Boateng CM900.030.0510.1091
SyllaCM460.000.0010.0124
RobinsonST680.000.0000.0120
BakayokoST720.050.030−0.0211
MulliganMF440.140.020−0.0531
CostelloeFW220.050.000−0.0433
TiffoneyFW220.000.0110.0110
MainFW180.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Roos and MacDonald: 4 passesJensen and Clarkson: 4 passesMacDonald and McGrath: 4 passesDevlin and Clarkson: 4 passesDevlin and Miovski: 4 passesClarkson and MacKenzie: 4 passesShinnie and Sokler: 4 passesRoos and Jensen: 5 passesRoos and Clarkson: 5 passesMilne and Clarkson: 5 passesClarkson and Shinnie: 5 passesJensen and Sokler: 6 passesMacDonald and Devlin: 6 passesMacDonald and Clarkson: 6 passesDevlin and Milne: 6 passesMilne and Sokler: 6 passesClarkson and McGrath: 6 passesMilne and Miovski: 7 passesRoos and MacKenzie: 8 passesRoos and Devlin: 9 passesJensen and Shinnie: 10 passesMilne and McGrath: 13 passesJensen and MacDonald: 14 passesJensen and MacKenzie: 18 passesRoos: 21 completed passesJensen: 39 completed passesMacDonald: 23 completed passesDevlin: 16 completed passesMilne: 21 completed passesClarkson: 22 completed passesShinnie: 14 completed passesMacKenzie: 20 completed passesMcGrath: 17 completed passesMiovski: 9 completed passesSokler: 6 completed passes2452722810437919RoosJensenMacDonaldDevlinMilneClarksonShinnieMacKenzieMcGrathMiovskiSoklerStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee FC

Shaughnessy and Dodgson: 3 passesAshcroft and Boateng: 3 passesAshcroft and Robinson: 3 passesBeck and Boateng: 3 passesBakayoko and Robinson: 3 passesDodgson and Beck: 4 passesDodgson and Sylla: 4 passesDodgson and Cameron: 4 passesBoateng and Bakayoko: 4 passesCarson and Ashcroft: 5 passesMcGhee and Ashcroft: 5 passesMcGhee and Robinson: 5 passesAshcroft and Sylla: 5 passesAshcroft and Cameron: 5 passesBeck and Cameron: 5 passesCameron and Bakayoko: 5 passesCarson: 5 completed passesMcGhee: 6 completed passesShaughnessy: 5 completed passesDodgson: 12 completed passesAshcroft: 19 completed passesBeck: 5 completed passesSylla: 8 completed passesBoateng: 7 completed passesCameron: 14 completed passesBakayoko: 5 completed passesRobinson: 7 completed passes316531463282310916CarsonMcGheeShaughnessyDodgsonAshcroftBeckSyllaBoatengCameronBakayokoRobinsonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
JensenMacKenzie10
MacDonaldJensen10
MacKenzieJensen8
JensenShinnie8
JensenMacDonald7

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
CameronBakayoko9
CameronBeck9
DodgsonBeck7
AshcroftMcGhee7
CameronDodgson6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

2−3.07−1.23−5.22−2.53−4.84−2.56−0.26−3.69+0.25−1.24−2.34+0.15−0.66−0.14−0.51−2.10−2.01−3.33−2.24+1.75+3.31+0.30−1.42−0.50−1.20−0.50−0.31+0.70−0.56−9.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Dundee FC

1−4.55−3.720+0.62−6.05−2.870.05−0.29+2.211+2.77+1.14−0.70−3.83−1.77+1.37+2.24+0.82−0.22−1.51−2.11−1.41−0.910.00−1.28+5.20−0.81+0.60−0.52+1.42+1.21−9.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.040.030.010.030.050.010.030.020.030.010.020.010.020.020.07−0.010.030.060.170.14LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.050.010.040.010.050.020.040.060.02−0.010.04−0.050.01−0.07−0.060.050.020.11LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackAberdeen1.21 → 1.22Dundee FC1.10 → 1.08Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.34 → 1.32Dundee FC1.50 → 1.50

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six54%48%−6
11th2%2%0
Bottom<1%1%+1
Dundee FC
Top six46%49%+3
11th4%3%−1
Bottom<1%<1%0
St. Mirren
Top six51%54%+3

From the forecast before the match (30 January 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenDundee FC
Expected goals1.661.05
Win51%23%
Expected Points1.790.96
Clean sheet35%19%

Aberdeen 51%Draw 26%Dundee FC 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee FC goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+7%6%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 January 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawDundee FC win
Aberdeen
Top six54%65%48%34%
11th2%1%2%3%
Bottom<1%<1%1%1%
Dundee FC
Top six46%35%49%66%
11th4%5%3%1%
Bottom<1%1%<1%<1%
St. Mirren
Top six51%50%54%51%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–227 JanHearts (A)xG 0.93–1.58
  2. D1–124 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.21–0.99
  3. W3–02 JanRoss County (A)xG 1.72–0.14
  4. L0–330 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.03–2.73
  5. W2–120 DecLivingston (H)xG 1.00–1.53
  6. W2–19 DecHearts (H)xG 1.74–0.33

Dundee FC

  1. W4–127 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.11–2.22
  2. L2–323 JanHearts (A)xG 0.69–2.21
  3. D2–230 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 0.53–0.69
  4. L0–326 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.13–2.79
  5. W1–016 DecRoss County (A)xG 2.43–0.90
  6. L1–39 DecRangers (A)xG 1.11–2.08

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenDundee FC
Position8th7th
Played2020
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠5–⁠96–⁠7–⁠7
Points23 (1.15 per game)25 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game1.251.25
Goals23–⁠3228–⁠32
xG per game1.34–⁠1.601.29–⁠1.74
Home: points, xG per game1.22, 1.40–⁠1.471.33, 1.24–⁠1.87
Away: points, xG per game1.09, 1.29–⁠1.711.18, 1.33–⁠1.63
ManagerBarry Robson (35)Tony Docherty (20)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackAberdeen1.21, 4thDundee FC1.10, 8thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.34, 5thDundee FC1.50, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanAberdeen attack: 1.21Dundee FC attack: 1.101.211.10Dundee FCAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanAberdeen defence: 1.34Dundee FC defence: 1.501.501.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−11%+13%−16%+25%
Counter-attacks+64%−13%−14%+36%
Set pieces+14%+24%+45%+9%
Penalties−21%+57%−48%+83%
Headers−2%+45%+2%+55%
Left side−3%+11%+3%+27%
Centre+16%+25%+11%+21%
Right side−23%−6%−20%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee FC concededLeft side−3%+19%Centre+16%+21%Right side−23%+27%Open play−11%+25%Counter-attacks+64%+36%Set pieces+14%+9%Headers−2%+55%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdAberdeen concededLeft side+3%−6%Centre+11%+25%Right side−20%+11%Open play−16%+13%Counter-attacks−14%−13%Set pieces+45%+24%Headers+2%+45%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenDundee FC

1.34xG1.29
1.60xG against1.74
49%Possession42%
11.8Shots11.3
12.9Shots against15.2
3.8Shots on target4.0
1.6Big chances1.9
23.9Touches in the opposition box20.7
374Passes324
68%Pass accuracy67%
4.8Corners4.8
46%Field tilt38%
31.0Final-third entries32.7
10.7Box entries9.2
14.2Passes per defensive action17.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.021.27
Ahead191.851.77
Behind271.492.04

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.261.52
Ahead221.181.91
Behind221.452.03

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.211–4
16–300.190.325–5
31–450.280.165–1
46–600.180.243–2
61–750.240.215–5
76–900.340.474–15

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.181–3
16–300.120.295–4
31–450.240.265–3
46–600.250.263–5
61–750.240.284–5
76–900.310.4610–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTRoos 20Gartenmann 16Devlin 3Polvara 3Rubezic 16MacDonald 4Jensen 15MacKenzie 3Devlin 17Morris 2Milne 1Clarkson 10Barron 7McGrath 2Shinnie 20MacKenzie 7McGarry 6Hayes 5McGrath 7Clarkson 6Polvara 6Miovski 19Sokler 3Duk 11McGrath 6Hayes 13-4-1-2 in 9 of 20 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (9), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (3), 5-3-2 (2)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 18Sharp 1McCracken 1Portales 10McGhee 5Ashcroft 4Shaughnessy 20Lamie 11Donnelly 5Dodgson 1McGhee 11McCowan 2Robertson 2Cameron 12Robertson 3Mulligan 3Boateng 17Sylla 5Beck 2McCowan 16Beck 14Tiffoney 2McCowan 1Bakayoko 19Robinson 6Rudden 9Tiffoney 3McCowan 13-5-2 in 10 of 20 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (10), 5-3-2 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 April 2022Aberdeen1–0Dundee FCxG 1.54–0.85
2 April 2022Dundee FC2–2AberdeenxG 1.07–0.89
26 December 2021Aberdeen2–1Dundee FCxG 1.12–0.12
16 October 2021Dundee FC2–1AberdeenxG 0.56–0.96

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 2, Dundee FC won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 6–5 and xG 1.13–0.65 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski201,7061020.470.11
McGrath151,242610.320.14
Duk111,007240.290.15
Clarkson161,533120.080.28

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson8721300.520.03
Rudden9821210.330.04
Bakayoko191,635530.320.05
Tiffoney6537110.160.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.