Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee FC 0–1 St. Mirren

Wednesday 9 March 2022, 19:45 · Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park · Round 24 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 5,069

St. Mirren Ronan 90+3'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCSt. Mirren
Goals01
xG0.491.09
Expected Points0.801.85

Dundee FC 15%Draw 35%St. Mirren 50%

Most likely score 0–1, 23%. Final score 0–1, 23%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+13%4%10%14%7%2%2%3%2%20%23%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTRudden on for McDaid and Byrne on for McCowan, 62'Daley-Campbell on for Anderson, 83'Henderson on for Kiltie, 77'Greive on for Brophy, 87'Ronan 90+3'St. Mirren 1.09Dundee FC 0.4900.511.50153045607590HTRudden on for McDaid and Byrne on for McCowan, 62'Daley-Campbell on for Anderson, 83'Henderson on for Kiltie, 77'Greive on for Brophy, 87'Ronan 90+3'1.090.49Dundee FCSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCSt. Mirren

0.49 −0.24xG1.09 +0.24
0.07 −0.63xG on target0.74 −0.08
7 −2.4Shots12 +1.6
1 −2.3Shots on target3 −0.6
0 −0.7Big chances4 +3.1
14 −1Touches in the opposition box19 +3
43% +3Possession57% +11
333 +40Passes433 +92
63% +2Pass accuracy71% +5
47% +10Field tilt53% +12
35 +10Final-third entries44 +15
9 +1.2Box entries12 +3.5
21.0 +5Passes per defensive action18.1 +2
5 +0.4Corners4 −1.0
16 +3Tackles12 −1
8 −1.6Interceptions8 −1.4
13 −10Clearances18 −2
1 −2.6Saves1 −2.9
8 −5Fouls10 −1
0 −1.9Offsides1 −1.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

McGhee 29', 0.18 xGKerr 90+1', 0.11 xGAnderson 10', 0.06 xGKerr 39', 0.05 xGMcGhee 37', 0.03 xGDaley-Campbell 87', 0.03 xGMcGinn 89', 0.03 xG37%0.18 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 0 goals22%0.11 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals16%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals24%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Brophy 34', 0.24 xGJones 61', 0.22 xGBrophy 61', 0.11 xGBrophy 61', 0.10 xGGogic 71', 0.08 xGBrophy 72', 0.05 xGBrophy 86', 0.04 xGJones 90', 0.04 xGJones 33', 0.03 xGTait 75', 0.02 xGJones 66', 0.01 xGRonan 90+3', 0.15 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals91%0.99 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.99 xG, 1 goal4%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCSt. Mirren

0.20 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.09 12 shots, 1 goal
0.29 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
93 min (99%) · Dundee FC 0.49, St. Mirren 1.09 xG
St. Mirren ahead
1 min (1%) · Dundee FC 0.00, St. Mirren 0.00 xG

Line-ups

302355318246771711SharpKerrRossiSweeneyMarshallMcMullanAndersonMcGheeMcGinnMcCowanMcDaid83'62'62'Dundee FC 4-4-1-1Mark McGhee2624183114361379LynessTaitShaughnessyDunneTanserKiltieRonanPowerGogicJonesBrophyYellow cardGoalYellow card77'87'St. Mirren 4-5-1Stephen Robinson

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 62' Byrne for McCowan
  • 62' Rudden for McDaid
  • 83' Daley-Campbell for Anderson

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 77' Henderson for Kiltie · 1 assist
  • 87' Greive for Brophy

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SharpGK900.000.0000.0650
KerrRB900.150.0200.06510
RossiCB900.000.0000.02211
SweeneyCB900.000.0000.0226
MarshallLB900.000.0100.0136
McMullanRM900.000.0210.0772
AndersonCM830.060.0810.0632
McGheeCM900.210.0100.0242
McGinnLM900.030.3120.0891
McCowanAM620.000.0300.0312
McDaidST620.000.0100.0011
ByrneMF280.000.010−0.0100
RuddenFW280.000.0110.0110
Daley-CampbellDF70.030.0000.0000

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LynessGK900.000.0000.0330
Tait RB900.020.1200.2341
ShaughnessyCB900.000.3400.2345
DunneCB900.000.0100.0955
TanserLB900.000.0610.181213
KiltieRM770.000.4130.2411
Ronan CM9010.150.0220.0132
PowerCM900.000.0200.0555
GogicCM900.080.0210.0154
JonesLM900.300.3810.2861
BrophyST870.540.0110.0931
HendersonMF1310.000.1010.0610
GreiveFW30.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Kerr and Anderson: 4 passesSweeney and Anderson: 4 passesSweeney and McGinn: 4 passesRossi and McGhee: 4 passesMcMullan and McGinn: 4 passesMcGhee and McCowan: 4 passesMcGhee and McDaid: 4 passesAnderson and McGinn: 4 passesAnderson and McDaid: 4 passesSharp and Sweeney: 5 passesSharp and Rossi: 5 passesKerr and McMullan: 5 passesKerr and McCowan: 5 passesMarshall and McCowan: 5 passesMcMullan and McDaid: 5 passesKerr and McGinn: 6 passesMcMullan and McGhee: 6 passesAnderson and McCowan: 6 passesSweeney and Marshall: 7 passesMcGinn and McCowan: 7 passesKerr and Rossi: 8 passesMarshall and Anderson: 8 passesMarshall and McGinn: 8 passesKerr and McGhee: 9 passesSweeney and Rossi: 9 passesMcGhee and Anderson: 9 passesSharp: 9 completed passesKerr: 24 completed passesSweeney: 17 completed passesRossi: 16 completed passesMarshall: 15 completed passesMcMullan: 10 completed passesMcGhee: 21 completed passesAnderson: 23 completed passesMcGinn: 21 completed passesMcCowan: 17 completed passesMcDaid: 8 completed passes302535318624771711SharpKerrSweeneyRossiMarshallMcMullanMcGheeAndersonMcGinnMcCowanMcDaidStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Mirren

Lyness and Shaughnessy: 5 passesLyness and Dunne: 5 passesTait and Kiltie: 5 passesTait and Gogic: 5 passesKiltie and Ronan: 5 passesPower and Ronan: 5 passesPower and Jones: 5 passesJones and Brophy: 5 passesDunne and Power: 6 passesTanser and Brophy: 7 passesShaughnessy and Power: 8 passesDunne and Gogic: 8 passesDunne and Ronan: 8 passesTait and Power: 9 passesShaughnessy and Ronan: 9 passesRonan and Jones: 9 passesTanser and Power: 11 passesGogic and Jones: 11 passesTait and Shaughnessy: 12 passesTait and Ronan: 12 passesTanser and Ronan: 12 passesTanser and Jones: 14 passesShaughnessy and Dunne: 15 passesTanser and Gogic: 19 passesDunne and Tanser: 25 passesLyness: 9 completed passesTait: 29 completed passesShaughnessy: 30 completed passesDunne: 36 completed passesTanser: 48 completed passesKiltie: 10 completed passesGogic: 28 completed passesPower: 29 completed passesRonan: 36 completed passesJones: 21 completed passesBrophy: 10 completed passes2624183111364379LynessTaitShaughnessyDunneTanserKiltieGogicPowerRonanJonesBrophyStarters until 77' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
McGheeAnderson8
SweeneyRossi7
MarshallAnderson7
KerrRossi6
MarshallSweeney6

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
DunneTanser16
TanserDunne12
ShaughnessyDunne11
TanserGogic11
RonanTait9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

8+2.65−2.012−2.25−3.05−2.411+3.86−0.58+2.18+0.74−2.29+4.41−2.42−3.67+3.83−0.72−0.11−2.04+0.56+4.23+1.20−1.40−1.11−0.72+1.21+0.70−0.90−0.31+0.34−5.11−4.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

St. Mirren

4+0.23−3.411−4.65−1.45−0.12−4.33−4.34−2.26−1.518+10.34−1.87+2.02−2.04−2.09+2.50−3.72−0.75+2.52−1.91−2.63+1.10−1.32+1.15+3.30−2.110.00−0.23+2.30−0.20−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.020.050.010.010.010.010.030.020.020.050.030.010.020.020.01−0.020.070.07LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.020.010.020.010.020.040.040.010.010.060.060.030.060.050.060.05−0.01−0.010.150.190.110.030.160.33LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackDundee FC0.78 → 0.76St. Mirren0.86 → 0.86Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.37 → 1.36St. Mirren1.26 → 1.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
11th32%24%−8
Bottom65%75%+10
St. Mirren
Top six14%28%+14
11th4%1%−3
Bottom<1%<1%0
St. Johnstone
11th59%70%+11
Bottom34%25%−9
Ross County
Top six26%23%−3

From the forecast before the match (9 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCSt. Mirren
Expected goals0.990.98
Win34%34%
Expected Points1.341.33
Clean sheet38%37%

Dundee FC 34%Draw 33%St. Mirren 34%

Most likely score 0–0, 15%. Both sides score 40%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+7%2%7%2%7%7%3%1%2%2%1%15%13%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawSt. Mirren win
Dundee FC
11th32%42%29%24%
Bottom65%51%69%75%
St. Mirren
Top six14%4%10%28%
11th4%8%4%1%
Bottom<1%1%<1%<1%
St. Johnstone
11th59%44%63%70%
Bottom34%47%31%25%
Ross County
Top six26%29%26%23%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. D1–15 MarMotherwell (A)xG 0.75–0.79
  2. D0–02 MarHibernian (H)xG 0.20–0.58
  3. L0–426 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.49–2.72
  4. L2–320 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.36–2.64
  5. W2–19 FebHearts (A)xG 0.86–1.76
  6. L1–25 FebRoss County (H)xG 1.12–1.78

St. Mirren

  1. L0–15 MarRoss County (A)xG 0.31–1.23
  2. L0–22 MarCeltic (A)xG 0.36–1.60
  3. L0–226 FebHearts (H)xG 0.11–3.13
  4. D1–119 FebLivingston (A)xG 0.13–1.29
  5. W2–19 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.22–1.02
  6. W1–05 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.38–1.22

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCSt. Mirren
Position12th9th
Played2929
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠8–⁠167–⁠12–⁠10
Points23 (0.79 per game)33 (1.14 per game)
Expected Points per game0.891.02
Goals24–⁠5026–⁠40
xG per game0.73–⁠1.500.85–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 0.84–⁠1.331.14, 0.87–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game0.60, 0.63–⁠1.661.13, 0.84–⁠1.82
ManagerMark McGhee (4)Stephen Robinson (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackDundee FC0.78, 12thSt. Mirren0.86, 10thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.37, 11thSt. Mirren1.26, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee FC attack: 0.78St. Mirren attack: 0.860.860.78St. MirrenDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee FC defence: 1.37St. Mirren defence: 1.261.371.26

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−43%+43%−43%+35%
Counter-attacks−68%−50%−11%+10%
Set pieces−12%−5%+4%+2%
Penalties−74%+3%−23%+29%
Headers−32%+5%+9%+12%
Left side−49%+7%−27%+34%
Centre−32%+38%−22%+23%
Right side−31%+28%−46%+24%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−49%+24%Centre−32%+23%Right side−31%+34%Open play−43%+35%Counter-attacks−68%+10%Set pieces−12%+2%Headers−32%+12%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee FC concededLeft side−27%+28%Centre−22%+38%Right side−46%+7%Open play−43%+43%Counter-attacks−11%−50%Set pieces+4%−5%Headers+9%+5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCSt. Mirren

0.73xG0.85
1.50xG against1.52
40%Possession46%
9.4Shots10.4
15.0Shots against15.3
3.3Shots on target3.6
0.7Big chances0.9
15.3Touches in the opposition box16.0
293Passes341
61%Pass accuracy66%
4.6Corners5.0
37%Field tilt41%
25.1Final-third entries29.1
7.8Box entries8.5
16.4Passes per defensive action16.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.641.29
Ahead120.961.15
Behind310.781.98

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.841.38
Ahead160.921.46
Behind250.841.82

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.135–4
16–300.080.325–11
31–450.090.343–12
46–600.190.275–9
61–750.130.223–8
76–900.110.233–6

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.215–4
16–300.100.211–7
31–450.140.255–7
46–600.220.354–8
61–750.110.355–10
76–900.220.156–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLegzdins 24Lawlor 4Sharp 1Kerr 19Elliot 5Daley-Campbell 4Fontaine 15Ashcroft 13Rossi 2Sweeney 21McGhee 6Marshall 20Kerr 6McGhee 1Byrne 15McGhee 12McMullan 2Anderson 20McGowan 11Robertson 1Adam 17Mulligan 3McMullan 16McGowan 3McCowan 3Mullen 12Griffiths 7McMullan 2McCowan 10McMullan 5McGowan 34-3-3 in 8 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 4-5-1 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTAlnwick 27Lyness 2Fraser 10Tait 6Millar 6Shaughnessy 19McCarthy 12Dunne 16Fraser 11Tanser 20Tait 5Brophy 4Power 26McGrath 3Millar 3Flynn 7Erhahon 6Gogic 5Shaughnessy 8Kiltie 5Fraser 4Ronan 7Kiltie 6McGrath 6Jones 7McGrath 6Ronan 5Main 12Brophy 9Greive 54-2-3-1 in 6 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-1-2 (6), 5-4-1 (4), 3-1-4-2 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 October 2021St. Mirren0–1Dundee FCxG 0.79–0.66
31 July 2021Dundee FC2–2St. MirrenxG 1.11–1.81

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 1, St. Mirren won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–2 and xG 0.89–1.30 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cummings4607300.410.09
Mullen141,295500.280.03
McMullan262,253170.080.19
Griffiths9828200.200.04

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy181,524600.290.01
Tanser242,031240.070.21
McGrath181,588210.100.15
Ronan201,589630.110.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.