Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Livingston 1–4 Dundee FC

Saturday 27 January 2024, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 23 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Ross Hardie · Attendance 1,906

Livingston Yengi 78' (pen)

Dundee FC Bakayoko 19', McCowan 62', Robinson 79', Mellon 87' · McCowan sent off 74'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonDundee FC
Goals14
xG2.221.11
Non-penalty xG0.641.11
Expected Points2.250.52

Livingston 67%Draw 23%Dundee FC 10%

Most likely score 2–1, 19%. Final score 1–4, <1%.

Dundee FC goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+1%5%9%5%11%12%2%6%11%6%1%2%3%2%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMcCowan (Dundee FC), second yellow card 74'Brandon on for Mackay, Yengi on for Donnellan, and Nouble on for Stephen Kelly, 57'Sangare on for Shinnie, 71'Howley on for Robertson and Mulligan on for Costelloe, 46'Boateng on for Howley, 59'Mellon on for Tiffoney, 61'Robinson on for Bakayoko, 72'Yengi 78' (pen)Bakayoko 19'McCowan 62'Robinson 79'Mellon 87'Livingston 2.22Dundee FC 1.1101230153045607590HTMcCowan (Dundee FC), second yellow card 74'Brandon on for Mackay, Yengi on for Donnellan, and Nouble on for Stephen Kelly, 57'Sangare on for Shinnie, 71'Howley on for Robertson and Mulligan on for Costelloe, 46'Boateng on for Howley, 59'Mellon on for Tiffoney, 61'Robinson on for Bakayoko, 72'Yengi 78' (pen)Bakayoko 19'McCowan 62'Robinson 79'Mellon 87'2.221.11LivingstonDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonDundee FC

2.22 +1.27xG1.11 −0.19
0.64Non-penalty xG1.11
2.40 +1.67xG on target2.01 +0.59
15 +6.0Shots7 −4.5
3 +1.0Shots on target5 +1.1
3 +1.8Big chances2 +0.1
29 +12Touches in the opposition box19 −2
63% +19Possession37% −5
486 +164Passes294 −31
74% +13Pass accuracy57% −11
75% +31Field tilt25% −13
55 +29Final-third entries30 −3
10 +2.4Box entries9 −0.2
12.0 −2Passes per defensive action24.3 +7
5 +1.5Corners3 −1.8
19 +2Tackles17 +1
2 −5.8Interceptions7 −2.8
16 −7Clearances46 +19
1 −1.9Saves2 −0.8
7 −6.0Fouls14 +4.3
7 +5.3Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Nottingham 7', 0.12 xGYengi 90+3', 0.09 xGNottingham 35', 0.06 xGMackay 47', 0.06 xGBradley 69', 0.06 xGMackay 15', 0.05 xGMackay 46', 0.04 xGPenrice 81', 0.04 xGObileye 63', 0.03 xGPenrice 69', 0.03 xGObileye 90+3', 0.03 xGObileye 33', 0.02 xGBradley 67', 0.01 xG19%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals41%0.26 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals11%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals29%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Ashcroft 31', 0.05 xGDodgson 4', 0.03 xGMellon 66', 0.01 xGRobinson 79', 0.46 xG, goalMcCowan 62', 0.39 xG, goalBakayoko 19', 0.09 xG, goalMellon 87', 0.08 xG, goal42%0.46 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.46 xG, 1 goal47%0.52 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.52 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals10%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 1 goal1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonDundee FC

0.41 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.06 6 shots, 4 goals
0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.17 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
1.58 2 shots, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
19 min (20%) · Livingston 0.18, Dundee FC 0.12 xG
Dundee FC ahead
74 min (80%) · Livingston 2.04, Dundee FC 0.99 xG

Line-ups

2322161122182910169McGovernDonnellanNottinghamObileyeMackayShinnieHoltPenriceStephen KellyBradleyAnderson57'57'71'57'Livingston 3-4-2-1David Martindale30651431928174497SharpMcGheeShaughnessyAshcroftDodgsonRobertsonSyllaMcCowanCostelloeBakayokoTiffoneyYellow cardGoalYellow cardSent off, second yellowGoal46'46'72'61'Dundee FC 4-3-3Tony Docherty

Livingston substitutes

  • 57' Brandon for Mackay
  • 57' Nouble for Stephen Kelly
  • 57' Yengi for Donnellan · goal 78' (pen)
  • 71' Sangare for Shinnie

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 46' Mulligan for Costelloe
  • 46' Howley for Robertson · off 59'
  • 59' Boateng for Howley · 1 assist
  • 61' Mellon for Tiffoney · goal 87', 2 assists
  • 72' Robinson for Bakayoko · goal 79'

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGovernGK900.000.0000.0330
DonnellanCB570.000.0000.0206
NottinghamCB900.190.0100.0968
ObileyeCB900.080.040−0.0633
MackayRWB570.150.0200.0224
ShinnieCM710.790.0400.0541
HoltCM900.000.0810.0952
PenriceLWB900.070.1220.0653
Stephen KellyAM570.000.0910.0133
BradleyAM900.070.0400.0331
AndersonST900.000.2340.0321
BrandonMF330.000.0710.21113
NoubleFW330.000.1010.1843
YengiFW3310.880.2500.0011
SangareMF190.000.020−0.0530

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SharpGK900.000.0000.0341
McGheeRB900.000.0000.00117
ShaughnessyCB900.000.080−0.10312
AshcroftCB900.050.0500.07116
Dodgson LB900.030.1000.1035
RobertsonCM460.000.010−0.0101
SyllaCM900.000.0100.03611
McCowan CM7410.390.1310.1693
CostelloeRW460.000.0200.0210
BakayokoST7210.090.021−0.0702
TiffoneyLW610.000.0300.0352
MulliganMF440.000.000−0.0100
HowleyMF130.000.0100.0310
BoatengMF3110.000.0110.0112
MellonFW29120.090.4220.2310
RobinsonFW1810.460.0000.0004

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Donnellan and Nottingham: 4 passesDonnellan and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesObileye and Mackay: 4 passesShinnie and Anderson: 4 passesDonnellan and Shinnie: 5 passesObileye and Holt: 5 passesMackay and Holt: 5 passesMackay and Anderson: 5 passesBradley and Anderson: 5 passesObileye and Stephen Kelly: 6 passesPenrice and Holt: 6 passesShinnie and Bradley: 6 passesDonnellan and Mackay: 7 passesObileye and Penrice: 7 passesMcGovern and Obileye: 8 passesPenrice and Shinnie: 8 passesShinnie and Stephen Kelly: 8 passesMcGovern and Nottingham: 9 passesObileye and Nottingham: 10 passesPenrice and Bradley: 10 passesDonnellan and Holt: 11 passesNottingham and Holt: 12 passesMcGovern: 15 completed passesDonnellan: 20 completed passesObileye: 28 completed passesNottingham: 23 completed passesMackay: 9 completed passesPenrice: 20 completed passesShinnie: 22 completed passesHolt: 24 completed passesStephen Kelly: 11 completed passesBradley: 11 completed passesAnderson: 9 completed passes2326211129221810169McGovernDonnellanObileyeNottinghamMackayPenriceShinnieHoltStephen KellyBradleyAndersonStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee FC

Sharp and Shaughnessy: 3 passesMcGhee and Shaughnessy: 3 passesAshcroft and Bakayoko: 3 passesAshcroft and Tiffoney: 3 passesRobertson and McCowan: 3 passesRobertson and Bakayoko: 3 passesBakayoko and Tiffoney: 3 passesSharp and Ashcroft: 4 passesShaughnessy and Robertson: 4 passesAshcroft and McCowan: 4 passesSylla and Tiffoney: 4 passesMcCowan and Bakayoko: 4 passesMcGhee and Robertson: 5 passesShaughnessy and Ashcroft: 5 passesAshcroft and Dodgson: 5 passesAshcroft and Robertson: 5 passesDodgson and Tiffoney: 8 passesMcCowan and Tiffoney: 12 passesDodgson and McCowan: 13 passesSharp: 5 completed passesMcGhee: 5 completed passesShaughnessy: 14 completed passesAshcroft: 15 completed passesDodgson: 16 completed passesSylla: 9 completed passesRobertson: 15 completed passesMcCowan: 21 completed passesCostelloe: 3 completed passesBakayoko: 8 completed passesTiffoney: 10 completed passes30651432819174497SharpMcGheeShaughnessyAshcroftDodgsonSyllaRobertsonMcCowanCostelloeBakayokoTiffoneyStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
NottinghamBrandon11
PenriceBradley10
ObileyePenrice10
NottinghamHolt10
HoltPenrice10

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
DodgsonMcCowan10
McCowanTiffoney9
AshcroftDodgson7
McCowanDodgson7
RobertsonAshcroft5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

6+0.19+2.012−2.38+2.06−1.31−3.34−3.94−3.52−4.36+0.97+3.67+1.33−3.57+2.51−3.32+0.130.06+0.85+1.82−0.13+2.23+0.61−2.41+0.30−0.31+0.31+0.70−0.61−5.51−4.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Dundee FC

7+1.612+3.526+6.911+0.813+5.310+2.470.07+1.89+2.311+2.83−3.04−0.74+0.35+0.43−2.81−4.01−2.35+3.03−0.53−0.20−2.52+0.12+1.11−0.20−3.00−0.80−0.50−0.50−0.62+1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.020.030.020.010.030.050.020.050.010.040.030.040.070.080.040.040.020.01−0.18−0.010.060.100.11LessMore

Dundee FC

0.020.010.050.020.010.010.020.010.010.050.040.040.07−0.020.060.06−0.01−0.05−0.020.15LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackLivingston0.97 → 0.99Dundee FC1.09 → 1.10Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.41 → 1.40Dundee FC1.48 → 1.50

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
11th21%19%−2
Bottom62%70%+8
Dundee FC
Top six31%43%+12
11th7%4%−3
Bottom2%<1%−2
Aberdeen
Top six65%61%−4
Ross County
Top six3%3%0
11th29%31%+2
Bottom18%15%−3

From the forecast before the match (27 January 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonDundee FC
Expected goals1.331.10
Win41%30%
Expected Points1.521.19
Clean sheet33%27%

Livingston 41%Draw 29%Dundee FC 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

Dundee FC goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+10%9%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 January 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawDundee FC win
Livingston
11th21%23%20%19%
Bottom62%53%65%70%
Dundee FC
Top six31%23%29%43%
11th7%9%7%4%
Bottom2%4%2%<1%
Aberdeen
Top six65%68%64%61%
Ross County
Top six3%4%3%3%
11th29%27%28%31%
Bottom18%22%17%15%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L1–22 JanHearts (H)xG 1.66–1.94
  2. L1–330 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.94–1.48
  3. D0–027 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.93–0.25
  4. L0–223 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.00–3.66
  5. L1–220 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.53–1.00
  6. D0–016 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 1.14–0.88

Dundee FC

  1. L2–323 JanHearts (A)xG 0.69–2.21
  2. D2–230 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 0.53–0.69
  3. L0–326 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.13–2.79
  4. W1–016 DecRoss County (A)xG 2.43–0.90
  5. L1–39 DecRangers (A)xG 1.11–2.08
  6. D3–32 DecMotherwell (A)xG 1.59–0.89

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonDundee FC
Position12th8th
Played2119
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠6–⁠135–⁠7–⁠7
Points12 (0.57 per game)22 (1.16 per game)
Expected Points per game1.231.29
Goals12–⁠3224–⁠31
xG per game0.95–⁠1.311.30–⁠1.71
Home: points, xG per game0.70, 1.11–⁠1.201.33, 1.24–⁠1.87
Away: points, xG per game0.45, 0.80–⁠1.411.00, 1.35–⁠1.57
ManagerDavid Martindale (120)Tony Docherty (19)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackLivingston0.97, 10thDundee FC1.09, 8thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.41, 9thDundee FC1.48, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanLivingston attack: 0.97Dundee FC attack: 1.091.090.97Dundee FCLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanLivingston defence: 1.41Dundee FC defence: 1.481.481.41

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−46%−9%−19%+29%
Counter-attacks−20%+4%−12%+37%
Set pieces−19%+6%+52%+13%
Penalties+30%+4%−42%+44%
Headers−20%−10%+7%+58%
Left side−37%+4%+4%+30%
Centre−30%−8%+12%+24%
Right side−49%−4%−25%+20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee FC concededLeft side−37%+20%Centre−30%+24%Right side−49%+30%Open play−46%+29%Counter-attacks−20%+37%Set pieces−19%+13%Headers−20%+58%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdLivingston concededLeft side+4%−4%Centre+12%−8%Right side−25%+4%Open play−19%−9%Counter-attacks−12%+4%Set pieces+52%+6%Headers+7%−10%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonDundee FC

0.95xG1.30
1.31xG against1.71
44%Possession42%
9.0Shots11.5
12.7Shots against15.2
2.0Shots on target3.9
1.2Big chances1.9
16.7Touches in the opposition box20.8
322Passes325
61%Pass accuracy68%
3.5Corners4.8
44%Field tilt38%
26.1Final-third entries32.8
7.6Box entries9.2
13.6Passes per defensive action17.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.791.30
Ahead61.570.76
Behind321.081.44

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.271.53
Ahead191.171.78
Behind231.452.03

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.221–3
16–300.090.162–4
31–450.120.141–5
46–600.150.342–7
61–750.190.154–4
76–900.310.292–9

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.181–3
16–300.120.314–4
31–450.250.235–3
46–600.260.273–5
61–750.230.293–5
76–900.300.438–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTGeorge 17Hamilton 4de Lucas 10Nottingham 6Shinnie 3Obileye 15Devlin 17Sean Kelly 7Parkes 3Brandon 11Nouble 3Mackay 3Holt 18Penrice 7Sangare 2Shinnie 10Pittman 3Sean Kelly 2Penrice 12Shinnie 2Pittman 2Pittman 11Sangare 4Kelly 4Nouble 8Anderson 7Shinnie 2Guthrie 8Nouble 8Anderson 43-4-2-1 in 7 of 21 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 18McCracken 1Portales 10McGhee 5Ashcroft 3Shaughnessy 19Lamie 11Donnelly 5Dodgson 1McGhee 10McCowan 2Kerr 2Cameron 12Mulligan 3Robertson 2Boateng 17Sylla 4Beck 2McCowan 15Beck 14Tiffoney 2McCowan 1Bakayoko 18Robinson 6Rudden 9Tiffoney 2McCowan 13-5-2 in 10 of 19 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (10), 5-3-2 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 November 2023Dundee FC1–0LivingstonxG 0.67–1.49
28 October 2023Livingston0–2Dundee FCxG 0.14–2.02
15 May 2022Livingston2–1Dundee FCxG 1.48–1.58
26 February 2022Dundee FC0–4LivingstonxG 0.49–2.72
18 January 2022Livingston2–0Dundee FCxG 1.27–0.56
11 September 2021Dundee FC0–0LivingstonxG 1.08–0.44

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 3, Dundee FC won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 8–4 and xG 1.26–1.07 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson111,148300.350.05
Sean Kelly10818300.300.04
Penrice191,676020.020.20
Kelly5499000.100.12

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson8703200.480.03
Bakayoko181,563430.330.05
Rudden9821210.330.04
Tiffoney5476110.180.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.