Matches › 2023/24

Hibernian 0–3 Rangers

Wednesday 24 January 2024, 19:45 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 18 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 18,617

Rangers Yilmaz 30', Cantwell 45+2', Dessers 74'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Rangers
Goals	0	3
xG	0.93	2.09
Expected Points	0.61	2.17

Hibernian 13%Draw 22%Rangers 65%

Most likely score 1–2, 12%. Final score 0–3, 8%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianRangers

0.93 −0.16xG2.09 −0.26

0.46 −0.67xG on target2.56 +0.36

9 −2Shots22 +2

3 −0.5Shots on target8 +1.2

2 +0.4Big chances4 +0.5

15 −7Touches in the opposition box30 −5

40% −13Possession60% −3

383 −40Passes568 +22

79% +2Pass accuracy86% +4

24% −22Field tilt76% +5

29 −7Final-third entries59 −1

4 −7Box entries21 +2

15.5 0Passes per defensive action19.1 +8

4 −0.7Corners10 +3.7

9 −5Tackles13 −3

13 +5.3Interceptions10 +2.3

24 +1Clearances14 −2

5 +2.0Saves3 +1.1

6 −3.7Fouls7 −3.9

2 +0.4Offsides3 +1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Rangers

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianRangers

0.43 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.89 17 shots, 3 goals

0.10 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.08 1 shot, 0 goals

0.40 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.13 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–10–20–3

Level: 30 min (32%) · Hibernian 0.20, Rangers 0.73 xG
Rangers ahead: 64 min (68%) · Hibernian 0.73, Rangers 1.37 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

58' Marcondes for Maolida
58' Jeggo for Newell
70' Amos for Levitt
70' Doidge for Vente
78' Whittaker for Megwa

Rangers substitutes

46' Sterling for Raskin
46' Lawrence for Cantwell
69' Wright for McCausland
73' Dessers for Silva · goal 74'
78' Jack for Matondo

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	0
Megwa	RB	78	0.04	0.01	0	0.04	3	8
Fish	CB	90	0.14	0.00	0	0.06	5	10
Obita	CB	90	0.00	0.19	1	0.18	8	6
Stevenson	LB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	5	5
Youan	RM	90	0.12	0.38	2	0.23	5	8
Levitt	CM	70	0.00	0.02	2	0.07	4	2
Newell	CM	58	0.00	0.05	1	0.03	3	3
Tavares	LM	90	0.00	0.08	2	0.01	2	1
Vente	ST	70	0.00	0.02	0	0.00	0	0
Maolida	ST	58	0.27	0.02	0	0.02	2	1
Marcondes	MF	32	0.13	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Jeggo	MF	32	0.00	0.02	1	0.04	2	1
Amos	MF	20	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	3
Doidge	FW	20	0.22	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Whittaker	MF	12	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Rangers

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Butland	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Tavernier	RB	90			0.00	0.20	1	0.27	14	3
Souttar	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.15	11	7
Balogun	CB	90			0.01	0.00	1	0.05	2	12
Yilmaz	LB	90	1		0.27	0.06	3	0.04	3	3
Raskin	DM	46			0.00	0.01	1	−0.02	2	1
Lundstram	DM	90		1	0.13	0.19	2	0.18	7	4
McCausland	RW	69		1	0.04	0.06	2	0.07	6	1
Cantwell	AM	46	1		0.02	0.07	1	0.07	0	0
Matondo	LW	78		1	0.45	0.34	2	0.38	8	3
Silva	ST	73			0.54	0.05	0	0.03	3	2
Sterling	DF	44			0.00	0.04	1	0.07	2	2
Lawrence	MF	44			0.08	0.03	1	0.04	1	2
Wright	FW	21			0.07	0.00	0	0.01	2	0
Dessers	FW	17	1		0.49	0.03	2	−0.06	0	0
Jack	MF	12			0.00	0.21	2	0.05	3	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Rangers

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Fish	Megwa	14
Fish	Marshall	12
Marshall	Obita	12
Marshall	Fish	10
Obita	Levitt	9

Rangers

From	To	Passes
Balogun	Souttar	22
Souttar	Tavernier	22
Lundstram	Souttar	20
Souttar	Balogun	18
Tavernier	Souttar	17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 20 matches

Rangers

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Rangers

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	49%	44%	−5
11th	3%	3%	0
Bottom	1%	1%	0
Rangers
Title	28%	32%	+4
Celtic
Title	72%	68%	−4
St. Mirren
Top six	53%	55%	+2
11th	2%	1%	−1

From the forecast before the match (24 January 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Rangers
Expected goals	0.73	2.13
Win	11%	69%
Expected Points	0.52	2.28
Clean sheet	12%	48%

Hibernian 11%Draw 20%Rangers 69%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

From the forecast as it stood on 24 January 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Rangers win
Hibernian
Top six	49%	71%	54%	44%
11th	3%	1%	2%	3%
Bottom	1%	<1%	<1%	1%
Rangers
Title	28%	17%	21%	32%
Celtic
Title	72%	83%	79%	68%
St. Mirren
Top six	53%	45%	49%	55%
11th	2%	1%	2%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Rangers

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Rangers
Position	6th	2nd
Played	20	20
Won, drawn, lost	6–⁠7–⁠7	15–⁠1–⁠4
Points	25 (1.25 per game)	46 (2.30 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.10	2.40
Goals	26–⁠29	41–⁠11
xG per game	1.09–⁠1.47	2.35–⁠0.59
Home: points, xG per game	1.30, 1.34–⁠1.36	2.40, 2.38–⁠0.70
Away: points, xG per game	1.20, 0.83–⁠1.57	2.20, 2.33–⁠0.49
Manager	Nick Montgomery (16)	Philippe Clement (12)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Rangers
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−16%	+11%	+80%	−60%
Counter-attacks	−58%	−25%	+73%	−30%
Set pieces	−7%	−2%	+28%	−45%
Penalties	−45%	+37%	+146%	−73%
Headers	−17%	−13%	+42%	−58%
Left side	−13%	−6%	+60%	−45%
Centre	−21%	−2%	+57%	−60%
Right side	−12%	+33%	+86%	−51%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRangers concededLeft side−13%−51%Centre−21%−60%Right side−12%−45%Open play−16%−60%Counter-attacks−58%−30%Set pieces−7%−45%Headers−17%−58%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHibernian concededLeft side+60%+33%Centre+57%−2%Right side+86%−6%Open play+80%+11%Counter-attacks+73%−25%Set pieces+28%−2%Headers+42%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianRangers

1.09xG2.35

1.47xG against0.59

53%Possession63%

10.6Shots20.5

14.5Shots against7.0

3.5Shots on target6.8

1.6Big chances3.5

21.9Touches in the opposition box34.6

423Passes546

77%Pass accuracy82%

4.7Corners6.3

46%Field tilt71%

35.6Final-third entries59.6

11.4Box entries18.6

15.2Passes per defensive action11.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	43	1.06	1.31
Ahead	26	0.98	1.63
Behind	21	1.25	1.59

Rangers

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	25	2.11	0.86
Ahead	47	2.37	0.46
Behind	18	2.62	0.57

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.14	0.22	2–3
16–30	0.21	0.15	4–3
31–45	0.15	0.23	3–3
46–60	0.16	0.22	3–5
61–75	0.18	0.31	9–7
76–90	0.24	0.34	5–8

Rangers

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.23	0.11	3–3
16–30	0.38	0.11	11–1
31–45	0.42	0.06	6–2
46–60	0.31	0.13	1–2
61–75	0.43	0.08	7–2
76–90	0.57	0.10	13–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-4-2 (14), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Rangers

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (12), 4-3-3 (6), 4-3-1-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
21 October 2023	Rangers	4–0	Hibernian	xG 2.69–0.45
21 May 2023	Hibernian	1–3	Rangers	xG 1.19–1.91
8 March 2023	Hibernian	1–4	Rangers	xG 0.48–4.02
15 December 2022	Rangers	3–2	Hibernian	xG 2.31–0.62
20 August 2022	Hibernian	2–2	Rangers	xG 0.77–1.57
9 February 2022	Rangers	2–0	Hibernian	xG 2.45–0.81

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 0, Rangers won 10, and 2 were drawn. Goals 10–27 and xG 0.68–2.15 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Doidge	6	590	3	2	0.44	0.05
Le Fondre	4	506	3	1	0.41	0.02
Youan	14	1,414	4	3	0.21	0.13
Boyle	16	1,437	2	3	0.16	0.15

Rangers

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Danilo	5	529	4	1	0.98	0.09
Tavernier	20	1,791	10	5	0.43	0.29
Dessers	14	1,122	6	2	0.60	0.11
Sima	15	1,380	10	2	0.45	0.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.