Matches › 2022/23

Aberdeen 0–1 Celtic

Saturday 17 December 2022, 12:30 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 17 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 15,567

Celtic McGregor 87'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Aberdeen	Celtic
Goals	0	1
xG	0.06	2.36
Expected Points	0.09	2.83

Aberdeen <1%Draw 8%Celtic 92%

Most likely score 0–2, 28%. Final score 0–1, 20%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenCeltic

0.06 −1.56xG2.36 −0.15

0.00 −1.80xG on target1.84 −0.76

2 −11Shots33 +14

0 −4.5Shots on target10 +2.6

0 −2.7Big chances1 −2.4

7 −16Touches in the opposition box59 +22

20% −30Possession80% +10

209 −169Passes853 +246

57% −17Pass accuracy88% +1

6% −36Field tilt94% +15

21 −17Final-third entries114 +38

4 −7Box entries37 +14

22.8 +8Passes per defensive action10.5 0

0 −4.7Corners7 −0.7

9 −6Tackles15 +2

16 +7.7Interceptions6 −0.7

29 +5Clearances11 −4

8 +4.8Saves0 −1.8

8 −2Fouls8 −3

1 −0.3Offsides0 −2.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Aberdeen

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenCeltic

0.01 1 shot, 0 goalsOpen play2.27 31 shots, 1 goal

0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.09 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–0

Level: 87 min (94%) · Aberdeen 0.05, Celtic 2.36 xG
Celtic ahead: 6 min (6%) · Aberdeen 0.01, Celtic 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Aberdeen substitutes

73' Hayes for Miovski
76' Duncan for Clarkson
90+3' Morris for Stewart

Celtic substitutes

46' Abada for Maeda
72' Turnbull for Hatate
72' Giakoumakis for Furuhashi
73' Forrest for Jota · 1 assist
90' Mooy for O'Riley

Players

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Roos	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	4	0
McCrorie	CB	90	0.01	0.00	0	0.02	4	5
Stewart	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	17
MacKenzie	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.03	3	9
Kennedy	RWB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	2	4
Barron	CM	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.00	0	5
Ramadani	CM	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.04	2	9
Clarkson	CM	76	0.05	0.00	0	0.01	1	6
Coulson	LWB	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.03	3	5
Miovski	ST	73	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Duk	ST	90	0.00	0.01	1	0.01	2	4
Hayes	DF	17	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	1	0
Duncan	FW	14	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	1
Morris	FW	0	0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Ralston	RB	90			0.07	0.35	2	0.26	7	4
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.09	5	4
Starfelt	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.06	4	6
Taylor	LB	90			0.23	0.24	2	0.20	15	3
McGregor	CM	90	1		0.19	0.45	6	0.46	14	1
O'Riley	CM	90			0.14	0.54	5	0.20	6	2
Hatate	CM	72			0.31	0.20	1	0.00	4	1
Maeda	RW	46			0.00	0.08	2	0.11	5	4
Furuhashi	ST	72			0.89	0.05	1	−0.10	0	0
Jota	LW	73			0.06	0.12	1	0.15	4	2
Abada	FW	44			0.20	0.64	3	0.42	10	0
Turnbull	MF	18			0.13	0.07	1	−0.01	0	1
Giakoumakis	FW	18			0.11	0.00	1	−0.01	0	0
Forrest	FW	17		1	0.04	0.05	1	0.04	3	2
Mooy	MF	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Roos	Duk	7
Ramadani	Duk	6
Kennedy	Barron	4
Clarkson	Duk	3
Ramadani	Coulson	3

Celtic

From	To	Passes
McGregor	Taylor	43
Ralston	McGregor	41
Taylor	McGregor	38
McGregor	Ralston	34
McGregor	O'Riley	34

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

Against its average of 15 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Aberdeen
Top six	94%	93%	−1
Celtic
Title	91%	92%	+1
Rangers
Title	9%	8%	−1

From the forecast before the match (17 December 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Aberdeen	Celtic
Expected goals	0.81	1.99
Win	14%	65%
Expected Points	0.63	2.15
Clean sheet	14%	45%

Aberdeen 14%Draw 22%Celtic 65%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

From the forecast as it stood on 17 December 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Aberdeen win	Draw	Celtic win
Aberdeen
Top six	94%	98%	95%	93%
Celtic
Title	91%	85%	89%	92%
Rangers
Title	9%	15%	11%	8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Aberdeen	Celtic
Position	3rd	1st
Played	15	15
Won, drawn, lost	8–⁠1–⁠6	14–⁠0–⁠1
Points	25 (1.67 per game)	42 (2.80 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.50	2.42
Goals	29–⁠23	50–⁠13
xG per game	1.62–⁠1.53	2.51–⁠0.68
Home: points, xG per game	2.57, 2.24–⁠1.12	3.00, 2.50–⁠0.57
Away: points, xG per game	0.88, 1.07–⁠1.89	2.62, 2.52–⁠0.77
Manager	Jim Goodwin (0)	Ange Postecoglou (53)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Aberdeen		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+11%	+4%	+132%	−63%
Counter-attacks	+81%	+15%	+147%	−99%
Set pieces	−23%	+38%	+65%	−37%
Penalties	+179%	+74%	−65%	+39%
Headers	+30%	−4%	+92%	−43%
Left side	−20%	+3%	+57%	−43%
Centre	+9%	+1%	+178%	−63%
Right side	+25%	+40%	+82%	−69%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdCeltic concededLeft side−20%−69%Centre+9%−63%Right side+25%−43%Open play+11%−63%Counter-attacks+81%−99%Set pieces−23%−37%Headers+30%−43%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdAberdeen concededLeft side+57%+40%Centre+178%+1%Right side+82%+3%Open play+132%+4%Counter-attacks+147%+15%Set pieces+65%+38%Headers+92%−4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenCeltic

1.62xG2.51

1.53xG against0.68

50%Possession70%

12.7Shots18.7

13.9Shots against7.0

4.5Shots on target7.4

2.7Big chances3.4

22.6Touches in the opposition box37.0

378Passes607

74%Pass accuracy86%

4.7Corners7.7

42%Field tilt79%

37.7Final-third entries76.3

10.9Box entries22.5

15.1Passes per defensive action10.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	36	1.46	1.29
Ahead	30	1.93	1.21
Behind	23	1.46	2.32

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	27	2.69	0.59
Ahead	59	2.42	0.69
Behind	4	2.63	0.97

xG by period

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.10	0.16	2–2
16–30	0.20	0.24	4–4
31–45	0.46	0.28	7–4
46–60	0.30	0.24	5–5
61–75	0.28	0.30	6–5
76–90	0.28	0.31	5–3

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.44	0.12	11–1
16–30	0.25	0.08	2–0
31–45	0.43	0.14	9–3
46–60	0.40	0.17	8–5
61–75	0.29	0.09	5–1
76–90	0.70	0.09	15–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-5-2 (3), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (13), 4-2-3-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
31 July 2022	Celtic	2–0	Aberdeen	xG 1.90–0.23
9 February 2022	Aberdeen	2–3	Celtic	xG 0.67–1.12
28 November 2021	Celtic	2–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.31–0.85
3 October 2021	Aberdeen	1–2	Celtic	xG 0.57–1.65
21 April 2021	Aberdeen	1–1	Celtic	xG 1.52–2.87
27 February 2021	Celtic	1–0	Aberdeen	xG 1.33–1.15

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 0, Celtic won 6, and 2 were drawn. Goals 8–15 and xG 1.02–1.78 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	15	1,238	11	0	0.80	0.03
Duk	7	732	6	2	0.49	0.04
Besuijen	9	766	3	0	0.22	0.20
Hayes	9	750	1	3	0.11	0.15

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Abada	5	605	7	2	0.79	0.36
Furuhashi	11	788	10	1	0.94	0.04
Giakoumakis	4	575	6	1	0.86	0.06
Jota	10	869	5	6	0.35	0.48

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.