Sunday 31 July 2022, 16:30 · Celtic Park · Round 1 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 58,824
Celtic Welsh 3', Jota 75'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Celtic
Aberdeen
Goals
2
0
xG
1.90
0.23
Expected Points
2.56
0.27
Celtic 79%Draw 17%Aberdeen 3%
Most likely score 2–0, 23%. Final score 2–0, 23%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
CelticAberdeen
1.90xG0.23
2.04xG on target0.13
21Shots5
9Shots on target3
2Big chances0
69%Possession31%
684Passes319
88%Pass accuracy70%
84%Field tilt16%
109Final-third entries31
20Box entries9
8.9Passes per defensive action36.7
9Corners3
17Tackles13
7Interceptions14
9Clearances31
3Saves7
11Fouls12
1Offsides0
Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Celtic
Aberdeen
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
3'75'
1–02–0
0'HTFT
Level
3 min (3%) · Celtic 0.21, Aberdeen 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
87 min (97%) · Celtic 1.69, Aberdeen 0.23 xG
Line-ups
Celtic substitutes
65'Giakoumakis for Furuhashi
66'Turnbull for Hatate · 1 assist
66'Abada for Maeda
82'Ralston for Juranovic
83'Mooy for O'Riley
Aberdeen substitutes
62'Roberts for Kennedy
62'Duk for Miovski
Players
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Hart
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
2
Juranovic
RB
82
0.04
0.21
0
0.30
11
2
Carter-Vickers
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.10
7
4
Welsh
CB
90
1
0.18
0.06
0
0.27
32
5
Taylor
LB
90
0.00
0.07
0
0.09
9
7
McGregor
DM
90
0.09
0.05
1
0.12
9
3
Hatate
DM
66
0.12
0.11
3
0.15
9
2
Jota
RW
90
1
0.21
0.71
2
0.37
11
1
O'Riley
AM
83
1
0.27
0.80
6
0.33
7
2
Maeda
LW
66
0.00
0.16
1
0.07
1
2
Furuhashi
ST
65
0.48
0.09
0
0.05
0
0
Giakoumakis
FW
25
0.44
0.01
0
0.00
0
1
Turnbull
MF
24
1
0.00
0.16
3
0.17
6
0
Abada
FW
24
0.06
0.01
0
0.08
5
0
Ralston
DF
8
0.00
0.15
2
0.25
2
1
Mooy
MF
7
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
2
2
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Roos
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Richardson
RB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
5
Stewart
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.08
7
17
McCrorie
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
10
Coulson
LB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.05
7
4
Ramadani
DM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
5
6
Polvara
DM
90
0.02
0.04
0
0.03
3
10
Kennedy
RW
62
0.05
0.01
1
−0.01
4
2
Besuijen
AM
90
0.00
0.10
1
0.11
3
1
Hayes
LW
90
0.16
0.02
0
0.03
1
2
Miovski
ST
62
0.00
0.01
1
0.02
2
3
Roberts
MF
28
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Duk
FW
28
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Celtic
Aberdeen
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Welsh
Taylor
30
Carter-Vickers
Welsh
25
Carter-Vickers
Juranovic
25
Welsh
Carter-Vickers
24
Taylor
Welsh
18
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Coulson
Polvara
12
Roos
McCrorie
11
McCrorie
Roos
10
Coulson
McCrorie
9
Ramadani
Polvara
8
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Celtic
Aberdeen
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.
Threat
Celtic
Aberdeen
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Celtic
Title
52%
54%
+2
Aberdeen
Top six
62%
60%
−2
11th
3%
4%
+1
Bottom
2%
2%
0
Rangers
Title
48%
46%
−2
From the forecast before the match (31 July 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Celtic
Aberdeen
Expected goals
2.44
0.53
Win
79%
6%
Expected Points
2.53
0.32
Clean sheet
59%
9%
Celtic 79%Draw 15%Aberdeen 6%
Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Both sides score 38%.
From the forecast as it stood on 31 July 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Celtic win
Draw
Aberdeen win
Celtic
Title
52%
54%
44%
40%
Aberdeen
Top six
62%
60%
65%
75%
11th
3%
4%
3%
2%
Bottom
2%
2%
2%
1%
Rangers
Title
48%
46%
55%
59%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Celtic
Aberdeen
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+132%
−53%
−21%
−30%
Counter-attacks
+124%
−68%
−54%
−46%
Set pieces
+47%
−36%
+8%
−3%
Penalties
+31%
−62%
+50%
+13%
Headers
+106%
−37%
+11%
−12%
Left side
+74%
−58%
−6%
−26%
Centre
+151%
−46%
−20%
−20%
Right side
+65%
−48%
−14%
−29%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Digressive Celts