Matches › 2022/23

Celtic 4–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 18 February 2023, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 26 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 59,090

Celtic McGregor 2', Hatate 13', 76', Abada 89'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	Aberdeen
Goals	4	0
xG	1.50	0.27
Expected Points	2.32	0.42

Celtic 69%Draw 25%Aberdeen 6%

Most likely score 1–0, 25%. Final score 4–0, 3%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticAberdeen

1.50 −0.93xG0.27 −1.08

2.38 −0.10xG on target0.00 −1.48

20 +1Shots5 −7

10 +2.8Shots on target0 −4.1

1 −2.4Big chances0 −2.0

56 +16Touches in the opposition box4 −16

78% +6Possession22% −27

832 +177Passes232 −139

89% +2Pass accuracy64% −8

92% +12Field tilt8% −32

127 +45Final-third entries17 −19

30 +5.7Box entries2 −7.9

6.8 −2.6Passes per defensive action26.6 +10.0

8 +0.6Corners0 −5.3

15 +1Tackles14 +1

7 −1.0Interceptions16 +7.6

7 −8Clearances22 −1

0 −1.6Saves7 +4.1

13 +2Fouls6 −4

1 −1.7Offsides0 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

Aberdeen

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticAberdeen

1.48 19 shots, 4 goalsOpen play0.25 4 shots, 0 goals

0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.01 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

1–02–03–0

Level: 2 min (2%) · Celtic 0.06, Aberdeen 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead: 90 min (98%) · Celtic 1.44, Aberdeen 0.27 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

63' Iwata for O'Riley
63' Haksabanovic for Jota · 1 assist
64' Abada for Maeda · goal 89'
71' Furuhashi for Oh
79' Forrest for Hatate

Aberdeen substitutes

46' Coulson for Miovski
63' Duncan for Clarkson
82' Watkins for Duk

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	0	1
Johnston	RB	90			0.03	0.41	2	0.39	14	5
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.07	1	0.20	5	1
Starfelt	CB	90			0.00	0.04	0	0.20	11	6
Taylor	LB	90		1	0.00	0.12	2	0.12	14	2
O'Riley	CM	63			0.23	0.27	3	−0.01	3	1
McGregor	CM	90	1		0.06	0.20	1	0.16	3	4
Hatate	CM	79	2		0.43	0.66	1	0.37	12	4
Jota	RW	63			0.23	0.19	1	0.11	12	4
Oh	ST	71			0.00	0.09	1	−0.07	0	2
Maeda	LW	64			0.12	0.12	0	0.04	5	0
Iwata	MF	27			0.04	0.05	0	0.01	2	0
Haksabanovic	FW	27		1	0.15	0.07	1	0.05	1	0
Abada	FW	26	1		0.13	0.14	1	0.08	6	0
Furuhashi	FW	19			0.08	0.03	0	0.16	0	0
Forrest	FW	11			0.00	0.05	2	0.02	0	0

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Gorter	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Pollock	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	6
MacDonald	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	9
MacKenzie	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	11
Kennedy	RWB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.03	3	2
Ramadani	CM	90	0.07	0.01	0	−0.02	2	4
Clarkson	CM	63	0.12	0.01	1	0.02	2	2
Shinnie	CM	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.05	2	9
Hayes	LWB	90	0.08	0.01	1	0.00	1	1
Miovski	ST	46	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Duk	ST	82	0.00	0.02	1	0.04	3	2
Coulson	DF	44	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	4	3
Duncan	FW	27	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Watkins	FW	8	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Aberdeen

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Starfelt	Carter-Vickers	32
Taylor	Starfelt	28
Carter-Vickers	Starfelt	25
McGregor	Taylor	25
Taylor	Hatate	20

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Pollock	Kennedy	7
MacDonald	Pollock	6
Kennedy	Miovski	6
MacKenzie	MacDonald	5
Kennedy	Pollock	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 25 matches

Aberdeen

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

Aberdeen

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Celtic
Title	95%	96%	+1
Aberdeen
Top six	51%	49%	−2
St. Mirren
Top six	54%	56%	+2
Rangers
Title	5%	4%	−1

From the forecast before the match (18 February 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	Aberdeen
Expected goals	3.15	0.52
Win	88%	3%
Expected Points	2.72	0.19
Clean sheet	60%	4%

Celtic 88%Draw 9%Aberdeen 3%

Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 39%.

From the forecast as it stood on 18 February 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Celtic win	Draw	Aberdeen win
Celtic
Title	95%	96%	91%	87%
Aberdeen
Top six	51%	49%	61%	76%
St. Mirren
Top six	54%	56%	48%	42%
Rangers
Title	5%	4%	9%	13%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

Aberdeen

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	Aberdeen
Position	1st	7th
Played	25	25
Won, drawn, lost	23–⁠1–⁠1	10–⁠2–⁠13
Points	70 (2.80 per game)	32 (1.28 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.44	1.24
Goals	78–⁠18	39–⁠47
xG per game	2.43–⁠0.62	1.35–⁠1.69
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 2.47–⁠0.52	1.92, 1.72–⁠1.21
Away: points, xG per game	2.62, 2.40–⁠0.72	0.58, 0.96–⁠2.20
Manager	Ange Postecoglou (63)	Barry Robson (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		Aberdeen
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+126%	−62%	−8%	+10%
Counter-attacks	+62%	−83%	+63%	+15%
Set pieces	+47%	−46%	−14%	+40%
Penalties	−38%	+3%	+85%	+126%
Headers	+64%	−44%	+17%	+13%
Left side	+68%	−55%	−14%	+30%
Centre	+146%	−58%	−9%	+8%
Right side	+72%	−67%	+4%	+18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdAberdeen concededLeft side+68%+18%Centre+146%+8%Right side+72%+30%Open play+126%+10%Counter-attacks+62%+15%Set pieces+47%+40%Headers+64%+13%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdCeltic concededLeft side−14%−67%Centre−9%−58%Right side+4%−55%Open play−8%−62%Counter-attacks+63%−83%Set pieces−14%−46%Headers+17%−44%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticAberdeen

2.43xG1.35

0.62xG against1.69

72%Possession49%

18.8Shots12.0

6.6Shots against14.3

7.2Shots on target4.1

3.4Big chances2.0

40.5Touches in the opposition box20.3

655Passes371

87%Pass accuracy72%

7.4Corners5.3

80%Field tilt40%

82.0Final-third entries35.9

24.3Box entries9.9

9.4Passes per defensive action16.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	29	2.38	0.49
Ahead	57	2.48	0.68
Behind	4	2.14	0.83

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	1.17	1.58
Ahead	24	1.74	1.27
Behind	26	1.29	2.23

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.37	0.08	15–1
16–30	0.25	0.07	7–1
31–45	0.49	0.14	17–4
46–60	0.42	0.15	14–7
61–75	0.24	0.10	6–2
76–90	0.65	0.08	19–3

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.23	3–6
16–30	0.17	0.21	4–5
31–45	0.33	0.32	9–10
46–60	0.23	0.25	6–7
61–75	0.28	0.35	10–8
76–90	0.25	0.34	7–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (23), 4-2-3-1 (2)

Aberdeen

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (8), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
17 December 2022	Aberdeen	0–1	Celtic	xG 0.06–2.36
31 July 2022	Celtic	2–0	Aberdeen	xG 1.90–0.23
9 February 2022	Aberdeen	2–3	Celtic	xG 0.67–1.12
28 November 2021	Celtic	2–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.31–0.85
3 October 2021	Aberdeen	1–2	Celtic	xG 0.57–1.65
21 April 2021	Aberdeen	1–1	Celtic	xG 1.52–2.87

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 7, Aberdeen won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 16–8 and xG 1.84–0.92 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Giakoumakis	4	685	6	1	0.87	0.09
Abada	9	1,084	8	3	0.54	0.41
Furuhashi	21	1,546	19	1	0.82	0.03
Forrest	5	469	4	2	0.58	0.26

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	25	2,017	14	0	0.63	0.02
Besuijen	9	897	3	1	0.23	0.18
Duk	17	1,536	10	2	0.30	0.04
Hayes	13	1,120	1	5	0.10	0.21

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.