Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 2–1 Aberdeen

Saturday 5 February 2022, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 25 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 4,276

Livingston Obileye 8', Forrest 49' · Montano sent off 82'

Aberdeen Ramirez 66'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonAberdeen
Goals21
xG1.061.02
Expected Points1.391.27

Livingston 35%Draw 34%Aberdeen 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 2–1, 8%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+10%11%6%2%8%2%7%8%5%1%2%2%1%14%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMontano (Livingston), second yellow card 82'Pittman on for Lewis, 46'Boyes on for Forrest and Chukwuemeka on for Anderson, 84'Bailey on for Chukwuemeka, 90'MacKenzie on for Jenks, 46'Kennedy on for Ramsay, 64'Emmanuel-Thomas on for Montgomery, 84'Obileye 8'Forrest 49'Ramirez 66'Livingston 1.06Aberdeen 1.0200.511.50153045607590HTMontano (Livingston), second yellow card 82'Pittman on for Lewis, 46'Boyes on for Forrest and Chukwuemeka on for Anderson, 84'Bailey on for Chukwuemeka, 90'MacKenzie on for Jenks, 46'Kennedy on for Ramsay, 64'Emmanuel-Thomas on for Montgomery, 84'Obileye 8'Forrest 49'Ramirez 66'1.061.02LivingstonAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonAberdeen

1.06 +0.25xG1.02 −0.07
1.76 +1.00xG on target0.79 −0.32
8 −1.2Shots14 +0.4
4 +0.9Shots on target6 +1.6
1 +0.1Big chances0 −1.1
12 −3Touches in the opposition box20 +2
29% −11Possession71% +12
195 −108Passes485 +15
53% −10Pass accuracy78% +1
30% −7Field tilt70% +11
21 −3Final-third entries43 +3
8 +0.3Box entries10 +0.7
14.9 −1Passes per defensive action6.7 −7
7 +3.5Corners5 −0.2
13 −3Tackles14 +2
6 −4.8Interceptions5 −2.9
24 +1Clearances19 +2
4 +0.8Saves2 +0.7
24 +11Fouls10 −3
5 +2.7Offsides0 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Anderson 53', 0.13 xGHolt 55', 0.07 xGAnderson 8', 0.06 xGFitzwater 4', 0.03 xGForrest 36', 0.03 xGMontano 23', 0.02 xGForrest 49', 0.37 xG, goalObileye 8', 0.34 xG, goal32%0.34 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.34 xG, 1 goal21%0.22 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals39%0.41 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.41 xG, 1 goal8%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Ramirez 90+5', 0.21 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 90+1', 0.17 xGFerguson 80', 0.12 xGHayes 61', 0.09 xGBates 90+6', 0.08 xGRamsay 58', 0.05 xGKennedy 66', 0.04 xGFerguson 77', 0.04 xGOjo 2', 0.03 xGOjo 14', 0.03 xGHayes 44', 0.03 xGRamsay 20', 0.01 xGMcCrorie 89', 0.01 xGRamirez 66', 0.12 xG, goal21%0.21 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.21 xG, 0 goals55%0.56 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.56 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals23%0.23 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonAberdeen

0.63 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.73 11 shots, 1 goal
0.43 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.29 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
8 min (8%) · Livingston 0.37, Aberdeen 0.03 xG
Livingston ahead
89 min (92%) · Livingston 0.69, Aberdeen 0.98 xG

Line-ups

322562933181611917StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenriceOmeongaHoltLewisMontanoAndersonForrestYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellowGoalYellow card46'84'84'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale25222271119161020179WoodsRamsayMcCrorieBatesMontgomeryFergusonOjoBesuijenJenksHayesRamirezYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal64'84'46'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Stephen Glass

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Pittman for Lewis · yellow card 71'
  • 84' Boyes for Forrest
  • 84' Chukwuemeka for Anderson · off 90'
  • 90' Bailey for Chukwuemeka

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' MacKenzie for Jenks · yellow card 90+1'
  • 64' Kennedy for Ramsay
  • 84' Emmanuel-Thomas for Montgomery

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Stryjek GK900.000.0000.0113
DevlinRB900.000.0100.0222
Fitzwater CB900.030.0100.0354
ObileyeCB9010.340.0000.0226
PenriceLB900.000.0100.0545
Omeonga CM900.000.0000.0338
Holt CM900.070.0100.0025
Lewis CM460.000.0410.0003
Montano RW8210.020.4010.1343
AndersonST840.190.0000.0210
Forrest LW8410.410.1020.21103
Pittman MF440.000.031−0.0603
BoyesDF60.000.0000.0004
ChukwuemekaFW60.000.0000.0110
BaileyMF00.000.0000.0110

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WoodsGK900.000.0000.0330
RamsayRB640.060.0110.0641
McCrorieCB900.010.0100.13137
BatesCB900.080.0000.0314
MontgomeryLB840.000.021−0.0134
FergusonDM900.170.020−0.0116
Ojo DM900.060.0420.0652
Besuijen RW900.000.3230.1673
JenksAM460.000.000−0.0202
Hayes LW900.120.6530.60125
RamirezST9010.320.010−0.0102
MacKenzie DF440.000.0100.0352
KennedyMF260.040.2410.1141
Emmanuel-ThomasFW60.170.2710.1710

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Stryjek and Obileye: 3 passesLewis and Forrest: 3 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 4 passesDevlin and Forrest: 4 passesMontano and Forrest: 4 passesPenrice and Lewis: 6 passesStryjek: 4 completed passesDevlin: 8 completed passesFitzwater: 7 completed passesObileye: 2 completed passesPenrice: 3 completed passesOmeonga: 2 completed passesLewis: 7 completed passesHolt: 6 completed passesMontano: 1 completed passesAnderson: 2 completed passesForrest: 7 completed passes322562933161811917StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenriceOmeongaLewisHoltMontanoAndersonForrestStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Ferguson and Besuijen: 3 passesFerguson and Ramirez: 3 passesMcCrorie and Hayes: 4 passesBates and Montgomery: 5 passesMcCrorie and Besuijen: 5 passesOjo and Besuijen: 5 passesRamsay and Ferguson: 6 passesWoods and McCrorie: 7 passesRamsay and Besuijen: 7 passesMontgomery and Ojo: 7 passesOjo and Ferguson: 7 passesBates and Hayes: 8 passesMcCrorie and Ferguson: 8 passesMontgomery and Hayes: 8 passesBates and Ojo: 9 passesOjo and Hayes: 9 passesWoods and Bates: 10 passesFerguson and Hayes: 10 passesBates and Ferguson: 11 passesMcCrorie and Ojo: 13 passesRamsay and McCrorie: 16 passesRamsay and Ojo: 18 passesBates and McCrorie: 20 passesWoods: 12 completed passesRamsay: 27 completed passesBates: 35 completed passesMcCrorie: 42 completed passesMontgomery: 14 completed passesOjo: 34 completed passesFerguson: 23 completed passesBesuijen: 9 completed passesJenks: 2 completed passesHayes: 26 completed passesRamirez: 5 completed passes25222721116191020179WoodsRamsayBatesMcCrorieMontgomeryOjoFergusonBesuijenJenksHayesRamirezStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
PenriceForrest5
ForrestMontano4
OmeongaHolt4
ForrestOmeonga4
PenriceLewis3

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
McCrorieBates17
RamsayOjo13
OjoMcCrorie12
FergusonMcCrorie11
McCrorieRamsay11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

2−3.52−4.322+6.23−4.34−2.79+1.44−3.74−2.412+4.07−2.49+2.95+0.13−1.14−1.24−2.62−2.43+0.25+2.43−0.15+0.84+1.63+1.60−1.16+4.54+2.11−0.30−0.40−0.50−0.31+0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Aberdeen

2−2.74−1.615+4.14−1.02−3.14−3.05−0.34−0.78+1.38−0.14−2.06+1.85+1.72−3.63−0.61−2.21−1.34+1.44−0.63+0.62+0.810.00−1.43+0.60−0.60−0.10−0.70−0.23+2.41−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.060.020.010.010.010.050.010.060.02−0.01−0.050.070.11LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.030.040.030.110.010.010.030.050.070.010.020.040.13−0.06−0.010.080.180.050.040.070.34LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackLivingston0.93 → 0.94Aberdeen1.06 → 1.06Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.19 → 1.19Aberdeen0.95 → 0.96

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six18%33%+15
11th6%2%−4
Bottom2%<1%−2
Aberdeen
Top six78%64%−14
11th<1%1%+1

From the forecast before the match (5 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonAberdeen
Expected goals0.901.04
Win30%38%
Expected Points1.221.45
Clean sheet35%41%

Livingston 30%Draw 33%Aberdeen 38%

Most likely score 0–0, 15%. Both sides score 39%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%3%7%2%6%6%3%1%2%2%15%14%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawAberdeen win
Livingston
Top six18%33%15%10%
11th6%2%6%8%
Bottom2%<1%2%2%
Aberdeen
Top six78%64%77%89%
11th<1%1%<1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L1–21 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.24–0.41
  2. W3–229 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.88–1.32
  3. L0–126 JanRangers (A)xG 0.34–1.51
  4. W2–018 JanDundee FC (H)xG 1.27–0.56
  5. L1–226 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.43–0.92
  6. D1–118 DecRoss County (H)xG 1.00–0.57

Aberdeen

  1. D1–11 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.74–0.32
  2. L0–125 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.47–0.13
  3. D1–118 JanRangers (H)xG 1.49–1.03
  4. W2–126 DecDundee FC (H)xG 1.12–0.12
  5. L0–122 DecHibernian (A)xG 0.70–0.41
  6. W1–011 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.77–0.21

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonAberdeen
Position8th6th
Played2423
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠5–⁠128–⁠5–⁠10
Points26 (1.08 per game)29 (1.26 per game)
Expected Points per game0.981.48
Goals22–⁠3127–⁠27
xG per game0.81–⁠1.341.09–⁠0.83
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.02–⁠1.241.82, 1.38–⁠0.67
Away: points, xG per game1.15, 0.63–⁠1.420.75, 0.82–⁠0.98
ManagerDavid Martindale (47)Stephen Glass (28)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackLivingston0.93, 8thAberdeen1.06, 6thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.19, 7thAberdeen0.95, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston attack: 0.93Aberdeen attack: 1.061.060.93AberdeenLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston defence: 1.19Aberdeen defence: 0.951.190.95

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−35%+6%−12%−43%
Counter-attacks−32%−1%−53%−19%
Set pieces−15%+12%+14%−13%
Penalties−67%+64%−31%+3%
Headers−26%+8%+11%−22%
Left side−5%+3%−16%−32%
Centre−34%+2%−9%−38%
Right side−42%+21%+5%−26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−5%−26%Centre−34%−38%Right side−42%−32%Open play−35%−43%Counter-attacks−32%−19%Set pieces−15%−13%Headers−26%−22%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side−16%+21%Centre−9%+2%Right side+5%+3%Open play−12%+6%Counter-attacks−53%−1%Set pieces+14%+12%Headers+11%+8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonAberdeen

0.81xG1.09
1.34xG against0.83
40%Possession59%
9.2Shots13.6
14.1Shots against7.8
3.1Shots on target4.4
0.9Big chances1.1
15.2Touches in the opposition box18.3
303Passes470
63%Pass accuracy77%
3.5Corners5.2
37%Field tilt59%
24.0Final-third entries40.2
7.7Box entries9.3
16.2Passes per defensive action14.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.801.10
Ahead160.751.81
Behind280.851.47

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.860.87
Ahead191.320.86
Behind211.450.71

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.181–6
16–300.150.175–4
31–450.180.206–4
46–600.110.204–4
61–750.150.202–6
76–900.120.394–7

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.104–3
16–300.160.135–4
31–450.160.143–4
46–600.140.175–8
61–750.280.097–4
76–900.170.203–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 24Devlin 19McMillan 4Fitzwater 1Fitzwater 22Obileye 20Parkes 5Longridge 1Penrice 11Longridge 7Kelly 3Pittman 10Bailey 4McMillan 4Holt 24Kelly 1Omeonga 16Penrice 3Shinnie 3Bailey 9Sibbald 6Forrest 3Anderson 16Shinnie 6Forrest 1Forrest 11Shinnie 4Montano 44-3-3 in 11 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLewis 21Woods 2Ramsay 13Ojo 7Gurr 3McCrorie 17Gallagher 7Brown 4Bates 15Considine 2MacKenzie 1Hayes 9MacKenzie 7Campbell 6Ferguson 17McGeouch 7Ojo 3Brown 11Longstaff 3Hedges 1Hedges 9Ojo 6Hayes 2Brown 5Jenks 5Hedges 5Watkins 8Hayes 4Ramirez 3Ramirez 18Watkins 3Emmanuel-Thomas 24-2-3-1 in 7 of 23 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (6), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 December 2021Aberdeen2–0LivingstonxG 1.18–0.08
8 August 2021Livingston1–2AberdeenxG 1.30–0.44
1 May 2021Livingston1–2AberdeenxG 1.35–1.78
2 February 2021Aberdeen0–2LivingstonxG 0.36–0.56
30 January 2021Livingston0–0AberdeenxG 0.98–1.38
23 August 2020Aberdeen2–1LivingstonxG 2.15–1.62

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Aberdeen won 4, and 1 was a draw. Goals 5–8 and xG 0.98–1.22 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest161,481220.200.14
Anderson161,236830.230.07
Montano5521000.220.02
Bailey151,353210.120.08

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watkins11967300.380.09
Ramirez221,939830.240.05
Ferguson211,881510.210.08
Jenks6599220.150.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.