Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

St. Johnstone 1–3 Celtic

Sunday 26 December 2021, 12:30 · McDiarmid Park · Round 20 · Half-time 0–2 · Attendance 500

St. Johnstone Kane 69'

Celtic Abada 9', 22', Bitton 82'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Goals13
xG0.262.57
Expected Points0.132.78

St. Johnstone 2%Draw 9%Celtic 90%

Most likely score 0–2, 22%. Final score 1–3, 5%.

Celtic goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+4%13%11%5%2%1%4%6%5%3%1%22%20%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTKane on for Bryson and Craig on for Crawford, 46'Middleton on for May, 63'Dawson on for Furuhashi, 15'Montgomery on for Scales, 87'Kane 69'Abada 9'Abada 22'Bitton 82'Celtic 2.57St. Johnstone 0.2601230153045607590HTKane on for Bryson and Craig on for Crawford, 46'Middleton on for May, 63'Dawson on for Furuhashi, 15'Montgomery on for Scales, 87'Kane 69'Abada 9'Abada 22'Bitton 82'2.570.26St. JohnstoneCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.26 −0.39xG2.57 +0.02
0.52 −0.01xG on target3.32 +0.89
5 −3.8Shots25 +3.4
1 −1.3Shots on target10 +3.1
0 −0.6Big chances5 +1.3
10 −5Touches in the opposition box36 −2
28% −16Possession72% 0
257 −83Passes670 −1
59% −6Pass accuracy87% −1
29% −12Field tilt71% −11
21 −9Final-third entries85 +8
7 −0.6Box entries20 −3.5
21.3 +5.4Passes per defensive action10.1 +0.5
3 −1.5Corners9 −0.6
21 +7Tackles17 +5
13 +2.6Interceptions9 +1.8
23 0Clearances8 −7
6 +2.9Saves0 −1.7
11 −1Fouls9 −3
1 −0.6Offsides1 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Kane 68', 0.06 xGButterfield 78', 0.05 xGMay 12', 0.03 xGButterfield 24', 0.03 xGKane 69', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals65%0.17 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals35%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Abada 9', 0.55 xGScales 45+1', 0.44 xGBitton 31', 0.14 xGDawson 86', 0.11 xGAbada 31', 0.10 xGRogic 6', 0.09 xGJuranovic 27', 0.07 xGAbada 47', 0.07 xGBitton 66', 0.06 xGBitton 70', 0.06 xGFuruhashi 11', 0.05 xGAbada 21', 0.05 xGAbada 36', 0.05 xGRogic 21', 0.04 xGRogic 34', 0.04 xGAbada 36', 0.04 xGBitton 51', 0.04 xGAbada 39', 0.03 xGJuranovic 60', 0.03 xGWelsh 18', 0.02 xGAbada 90+2', 0.02 xGBitton 27', 0.01 xGAbada 9', 0.34 xG, goalAbada 22', 0.10 xG, goalBitton 82', 0.05 xG, goal30%0.78 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.78 xG, 1 goal48%1.23 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.23 xG, 1 goal7%0.18 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.18 xG, 1 goal12%0.32 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals3%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.26 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play2.15 17 shots, 3 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.09 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.33 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
9 min (10%) · St. Johnstone 0.00, Celtic 0.98 xG
Celtic ahead
84 min (90%) · St. Johnstone 0.26, Celtic 1.59 xG

Line-ups

12564213342421277ParishDendonckerGordonMcCartBrownBrysonButterfieldBoothCrawfordSolomon-OtaborMayYellow cardYellow card46'46'63'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson15720458861618118BarkasWelshCarter-VickersStarfeltScalesJuranovicBittonMcCarthyRogicAbadaFuruhashiGoalYellow cardGoalGoal87'15'Celtic 4-3-1-2Ange Postecoglou

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' Craig for Crawford
  • 46' Kane for Bryson · goal 69'
  • 63' Middleton for May

Celtic substitutes

  • 15' Dawson for Furuhashi
  • 87' Montgomery for Scales

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ParishGK900.000.0000.0221
Dendoncker CB900.000.0100.0213
GordonCB900.000.0000.02116
McCartCB900.000.0000.0008
BrownRWB900.000.010−0.04013
BrysonCM460.000.0000.0004
Butterfield CM900.090.0100.0436
BoothLWB900.000.0920.2878
CrawfordAM460.000.011−0.0100
Solomon-OtaborAM9010.000.0510.1450
MayST630.030.0000.0002
CraigMF440.000.0600.0311
KaneFW4410.150.000−0.0102
MiddletonFW270.000.1910.0820

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BarkasGK900.000.0000.0100
WelshRB900.020.0510.1083
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0300.19218
StarfeltCB900.000.0200.1166
ScalesLB870.440.0400.0492
JuranovicCM900.110.4550.1056
Bitton CM9010.350.6430.31173
McCarthyCM900.000.1000.12116
RogicAM9020.170.6160.72110
AbadaST9021.340.1020.1010
FuruhashiST150.050.0000.0100
DawsonMF750.110.0100.0810
MontgomeryDF30.000.0100.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Parish and Brown: 3 passesDendoncker and Brown: 3 passesDendoncker and Butterfield: 3 passesGordon and Butterfield: 3 passesGordon and Crawford: 3 passesMcCart and Crawford: 3 passesBrown and Butterfield: 3 passesBrown and Solomon-Otabor: 3 passesBooth and Butterfield: 3 passesMcCart and Booth: 5 passesBooth and Solomon-Otabor: 6 passesButterfield and Crawford: 6 passesBooth and Crawford: 7 passesBrown and Bryson: 9 passesParish: 4 completed passesDendoncker: 6 completed passesGordon: 9 completed passesMcCart: 6 completed passesBrown: 10 completed passesBooth: 13 completed passesButterfield: 12 completed passesBryson: 8 completed passesSolomon-Otabor: 5 completed passesCrawford: 9 completed passesMay: 5 completed passes12564224341327217ParishDendonckerGordonMcCartBrownBoothButterfieldBrysonSolomon-OtaborCrawfordMayStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
BoothMcCart7
BrownBryson6
McCartBooth6
Solomon-OtaborBrown6
DendonckerBrown5

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltCarter-Vickers41
Carter-VickersStarfelt40
Carter-VickersWelsh29
WelshCarter-Vickers19
StarfeltBitton18

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

6−0.19+2.017+3.53−2.74−0.710+2.512+4.09+2.75−2.514+7.76+0.60−3.79+3.95−0.55+1.02−1.80−2.40−2.64−0.37+4.32+0.11+0.52+0.44+2.30−1.11+0.31+0.12+1.70−0.71−7.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Celtic

6+2.04−0.64−0.37+1.78+2.51−3.81−3.19+3.46−1.72−2.83−1.12−1.66+0.811+5.45+0.63−0.74+2.09+5.38+2.61−1.20−1.420.01−0.91−1.81+0.60−0.51+0.60−0.63+2.34−4.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.020.060.020.010.010.010.010.05−0.020.090.05−0.05−0.010.120.16LessMore

Celtic

0.010.030.020.020.030.030.010.040.070.040.030.050.180.090.060.12−0.050.020.030.130.01−0.010.320.340.28LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackSt. Johnstone0.84 → 0.85Celtic1.95 → 1.99Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.12 → 1.15Celtic0.73 → 0.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six1%1%0
11th26%26%0
Bottom31%35%+4
Celtic
Title27%29%+2
Rangers
Title73%71%−2
Dundee FC
Top six1%1%0
11th25%25%0
Bottom39%37%−2

From the forecast before the match (26 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Expected goals0.611.82
Win11%66%
Expected Points0.562.21
Clean sheet16%55%

St. Johnstone 11%Draw 23%Celtic 66%

Most likely score 0–1, 16%. Both sides score 39%.

Celtic goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%9%4%1%5%10%9%5%2%2%3%3%2%16%15%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawCeltic win
St. Johnstone
Top six1%2%1%1%
11th26%24%25%26%
Bottom31%17%27%35%
Celtic
Title27%16%23%29%
Rangers
Title73%84%77%71%
Dundee FC
Top six1%1%2%1%
11th25%23%24%25%
Bottom39%46%41%37%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–222 DecRoss County (H)xG 0.32–2.15
  2. L0–218 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.52–0.31
  3. L0–215 DecRangers (A)xG 0.30–1.90
  4. L0–111 DecAberdeen (H)xG 0.21–0.77
  5. L0–11 DecDundee FC (A)xG 0.34–1.01
  6. L1–227 NovHibernian (H)xG 0.12–2.27

Celtic

  1. D0–022 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.68–0.29
  2. W2–115 DecRoss County (A)xG 2.72–0.65
  3. W1–012 DecMotherwell (H)xG 2.45–0.75
  4. W3–05 DecDundee United (A)xG 4.36–0.21
  5. W1–02 DecHearts (H)xG 2.86–0.67
  6. W2–128 NovAberdeen (H)xG 2.31–0.85

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Position12th2nd
Played1919
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠5–⁠1113–⁠3–⁠3
Points14 (0.74 per game)42 (2.21 per game)
Expected Points per game0.892.44
Goals10–⁠2239–⁠11
xG per game0.65–⁠1.332.55–⁠0.61
Home: points, xG per game0.60, 0.77–⁠1.312.56, 3.10–⁠0.49
Away: points, xG per game0.89, 0.52–⁠1.361.90, 2.06–⁠0.72
ManagerCallum Davidson (57)Ange Postecoglou (19)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackSt. Johnstone0.84, 12thCeltic1.95, 1stDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.12, 6thCeltic0.73, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecSt. Johnstone attack: 0.84Celtic attack: 1.951.950.84CelticSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecSt. Johnstone defence: 1.12Celtic defence: 0.731.120.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−47%−6%+140%−51%
Counter-attacks−70%+167%+143%−56%
Set pieces−33%+10%+62%−40%
Penalties−61%+55%+16%−61%
Headers−61%+8%+71%−16%
Left side−30%+6%+84%−58%
Centre−54%+9%+165%−40%
Right side−41%−3%+65%−57%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side−30%−57%Centre−54%−40%Right side−41%−58%Open play−47%−51%Counter-attacks−70%−56%Set pieces−33%−40%Headers−61%−16%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+84%−3%Centre+165%+9%Right side+65%+6%Open play+140%−6%Counter-attacks+143%+167%Set pieces+62%+10%Headers+71%+8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.65xG2.55
1.33xG against0.61
44%Possession72%
8.8Shots21.6
14.1Shots against6.9
2.3Shots on target6.9
0.6Big chances3.7
14.8Touches in the opposition box38.5
340Passes671
65%Pass accuracy88%
4.5Corners9.6
41%Field tilt82%
29.6Final-third entries76.7
7.6Box entries23.5
15.9Passes per defensive action9.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level540.581.20
Ahead140.921.78
Behind220.651.38

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level432.230.45
Ahead403.000.82
Behind71.950.39

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.141–1
16–300.060.162–3
31–450.100.184–4
46–600.110.262–4
61–750.160.240–4
76–900.120.361–6

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.114–1
16–300.470.1012–3
31–450.440.105–2
46–600.240.106–2
61–750.380.124–2
76–900.680.098–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 18Parish 1Muller 7Brown 5Dendoncker 4Gordon 12Ambrose 4Kerr 3McCart 18Rooney 11O'Halloran 4Brown 3Bryson 6Davidson 5MacPherson 5Craig 9Wotherspoon 4Butterfield 2Booth 15Devine 4Crawford 7Middleton 6Davidson 3O'Halloran 6Wotherspoon 5Kane 4Kane 8May 6O'Halloran 23-4-2-1 in 10 of 19 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (10), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 5-3-2 (2)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 17Bain 2Ralston 15Juranovic 4Carter-Vickers 14Bitton 1Starfelt 15Welsh 8Juranovic 8Taylor 6Scales 2Rogic 10Christie 2Forrest 1McGregor 17Bitton 6McCarthy 3Turnbull 16Johnston 1Abada 13Rogic 1Moffat 1Furuhashi 9Ajeti 3Edouard 3Jota 10Johnston 2Forrest 24-3-3 in 16 of 19 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (16), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
23 October 2021Celtic2–0St. JohnstonexG 2.70–0.13
12 May 2021Celtic4–0St. JohnstonexG 2.22–1.53
14 February 2021St. Johnstone1–2CelticxG 0.30–1.44
6 December 2020Celtic1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.73–1.30
4 October 2020St. Johnstone0–2CelticxG 0.63–1.71

5 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 0, Celtic won 4, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–11 and xG 0.78–1.96 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May8804210.230.13
Kane121,104200.210.02
Middleton8687000.150.07
Craig9826000.090.06

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi11934800.820.16
Abada151,274430.380.35
Turnbull181,586540.280.43
Rogic11931330.320.35

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.