Matches › 2023/24

Ross County 0–0 Kilmarnock

Saturday 25 November 2023, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 14 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 4,013

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Ross County	Kilmarnock
Goals	0	0
xG	0.88	0.65
Expected Points	1.51	1.10

Ross County 38%Draw 39%Kilmarnock 24%

Most likely score 0–0, 22%. Final score 0–0, 22%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyKilmarnock

0.88 +0.02xG0.65 −0.67

0.60 −0.23xG on target0.04 −1.28

15 +5.2Shots13 −1.7

5 +1.8Shots on target1 −3.0

0 −1.8Big chances0 −1.9

30 +15Touches in the opposition box13 −12

53% +11Possession47% −1

362 +41Passes323 −23

66% +3Pass accuracy59% −6

55% +13Field tilt45% −8

32 +4Final-third entries23 −13

10 +1.4Box entries7 −5.5

10.4 −5Passes per defensive action13.6 −1

9 +4.4Corners5 −2.0

11 −2Tackles13 +1

8 −0.9Interceptions4 −2.9

22 0Clearances20 +3

1 −3.3Saves3 +0.2

10 −3Fouls9 −3

2 0.0Offsides2 +1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Ross County

Kilmarnock

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyKilmarnock

0.67 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.46 10 shots, 0 goals

0.21 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.19 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–0

Level: 93 min (100%) · Ross County 0.88, Kilmarnock 0.65 xG

Line-ups

Ross County substitutes

76' White for Sims
83' Samuel for Randall
90+1' Turner for Dhanda

Kilmarnock substitutes

70' Vassell for McKenzie
87' Dallas for Watkins
90+3' Ndaba for Kennedy

Players

Ross County

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Laidlaw	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Nightingale	CB	90	0.00	0.07	1	−0.02	5	7
Baldwin	CB	90	0.03	0.11	0	0.18	8	4
Leak	CB	90	0.13	0.11	0	0.05	6	8
Brown	RWB	90	0.24	0.03	0	0.02	6	5
Allardice	CM	90	0.02	0.05	2	0.03	3	7
Randall	CM	83	0.14	0.02	0	0.04	2	5
Purrington	LWB	90	0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	4	7
Dhanda	AM	90	0.04	0.40	5	0.39	7	0
Murray	ST	90	0.14	0.15	2	0.24	4	2
Sims	ST	76	0.14	0.02	0	0.00	3	1
White	FW	14	0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	0	1
Samuel	FW	7	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Turner	MF	0	0.00	0.01	0	0.00	1	0

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Dennis	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	1
Mayo	RB	90	0.00	0.02	1	0.07	6	4
Wright	CB	90	0.16	0.00	0	0.02	1	6
Findlay	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.07	4	9
Deas	LB	90	0.00	0.17	1	0.22	7	4
Donnelly	DM	90	0.07	0.02	0	0.00	2	7
Armstrong	RM	90	0.14	0.16	2	0.14	5	1
Watson	CM	90	0.00	0.06	2	−0.04	3	5
McKenzie	CM	70	0.00	0.01	1	−0.01	0	4
Kennedy	LM	90	0.12	0.09	3	0.07	3	2
Watkins	ST	87	0.04	0.02	0	0.01	0	2
Vassell	FW	20	0.12	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Dallas	FW	3	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Ndaba	DF	0	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Kilmarnock

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

From	To	Passes
Nightingale	Baldwin	7
Dhanda	Murray	7
Leak	Allardice	7
Nightingale	Brown	7
Brown	Baldwin	7

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Mayo	Armstrong	11
Dennis	Findlay	9
Findlay	Dennis	8
Wright	Dennis	7
Mayo	Donnelly	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

Against its average of 12 matches

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 13 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

Kilmarnock

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Ross County
Top six	8%	7%	−1
11th	22%	22%	0
Bottom	25%	26%	+1
Kilmarnock
Top six	62%	61%	−1
11th	3%	2%	−1
Bottom	1%	1%	0
St. Johnstone
Top six	7%	8%	+1
11th	22%	21%	−1
Bottom	28%	27%	−1

From the forecast before the match (25 November 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Ross County	Kilmarnock
Expected goals	1.18	1.27
Win	34%	38%
Expected Points	1.29	1.42
Clean sheet	28%	31%

Ross County 34%Draw 29%Kilmarnock 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

From the forecast as it stood on 25 November 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Ross County win	Draw	Kilmarnock win
Ross County
Top six	8%	14%	7%	5%
11th	22%	20%	22%	24%
Bottom	25%	17%	26%	32%
Kilmarnock
Top six	62%	51%	61%	71%
11th	3%	5%	2%	1%
Bottom	1%	2%	1%	1%
St. Johnstone
Top six	7%	7%	8%	7%
11th	22%	21%	21%	23%
Bottom	28%	30%	27%	26%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

Kilmarnock

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Ross County	Kilmarnock
Position	11th	6th
Played	12	13
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠4–⁠6	4–⁠4–⁠5
Points	10 (0.83 per game)	16 (1.23 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.89	1.47
Goals	11–⁠21	15–⁠15
xG per game	0.86–⁠1.70	1.32–⁠1.13
Home: points, xG per game	0.80, 0.92–⁠1.40	2.00, 1.22–⁠0.83
Away: points, xG per game	0.86, 0.81–⁠1.91	0.33, 1.44–⁠1.49
Manager	Derek Adams (0)	Derek McInnes (51)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Ross County		Kilmarnock
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−27%	+24%	−11%	−31%
Counter-attacks	−62%	+90%	−53%	−17%
Set pieces	−30%	−5%	+32%	+16%
Penalties	−100%	+37%	−16%	−16%
Headers	−23%	−28%	+47%	−19%
Left side	−9%	+10%	+16%	−64%
Centre	−49%	+28%	−14%	−7%
Right side	−14%	+22%	+3%	+11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdKilmarnock concededLeft side−9%+11%Centre−49%−7%Right side−14%−64%Open play−27%−31%Counter-attacks−62%−17%Set pieces−30%+16%Headers−23%−19%

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdRoss County concededLeft side+16%+22%Centre−14%+28%Right side+3%+10%Open play−11%+24%Counter-attacks−53%+90%Set pieces+32%−5%Headers+47%−28%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyKilmarnock

0.86xG1.32

1.70xG against1.13

42%Possession48%

9.8Shots14.7

15.8Shots against11.5

3.2Shots on target4.0

1.8Big chances1.9

14.7Touches in the opposition box25.2

321Passes346

63%Pass accuracy65%

4.6Corners7.0

42%Field tilt53%

28.2Final-third entries36.1

8.6Box entries12.5

15.7Passes per defensive action14.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	52	0.85	1.18
Ahead	10	1.79	2.15
Behind	28	0.52	2.51

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	46	1.19	1.00
Ahead	19	1.18	1.28
Behind	26	1.66	1.28

xG by period

Ross County

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.18	0.10	0–0
16–30	0.13	0.35	0–5
31–45	0.07	0.42	1–4
46–60	0.15	0.22	4–3
61–75	0.12	0.22	3–4
76–90	0.19	0.39	3–5

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.10	0.15	1–3
16–30	0.23	0.17	3–2
31–45	0.24	0.20	2–4
46–60	0.25	0.10	3–3
61–75	0.22	0.14	4–0
76–90	0.29	0.36	2–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (5), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Kilmarnock

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
2 September 2023	Kilmarnock	0–1	Ross County	xG 1.42–0.72
28 May 2023	Kilmarnock	3–1	Ross County	xG 1.46–1.25
28 January 2023	Ross County	3–0	Kilmarnock	xG 1.74–1.38
22 October 2022	Kilmarnock	1–0	Ross County	xG 1.10–0.70
20 August 2022	Ross County	1–0	Kilmarnock	xG 0.65–0.70
10 April 2021	Kilmarnock	2–2	Ross County	xG 0.69–1.07

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 4, Kilmarnock won 3, and 2 were drawn. Goals 14–13 and xG 1.25–1.29 per game.

Key players

Ross County

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Murray	11	817	3	1	0.25	0.06
White	10	782	2	0	0.23	0.04
Loturi	8	654	1	0	0.18	0.05
Dhanda	11	797	0	2	0.02	0.21

Kilmarnock

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Armstrong	13	1,140	3	4	0.31	0.36
Vassell	9	769	5	0	0.37	0.09
Kennedy	11	1,030	0	1	0.16	0.19
Watson	10	933	1	2	0.11	0.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.