Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 1–0 Kilmarnock

Saturday 20 August 2022, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 5,500

Ross County Edwards 86' · Callachan sent off 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Ross County	Kilmarnock
Goals	1	0
xG	0.65	0.70
Expected Points	1.26	1.32

Ross County 28%Draw 42%Kilmarnock 30%

Most likely score 0–0, 26%. Final score 1–0, 17%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyKilmarnock

0.65 −0.11xG0.70 −0.07

1.52 +1.04xG on target0.29 −0.07

8 +0.7Shots14 +2.7

5 +3.0Shots on target2 −0.7

1 0.0Big chances0 −0.3

50% +9Possession50% +15

337 +10Passes329 +51

64% −2Pass accuracy65% −2

47% +16Field tilt53% +21

22 −11Final-third entries32 +2

6 −2.3Box entries8 −1.0

14.9 −1Passes per defensive action13.4 −4

1 −2.3Corners7 +4.0

9 −8Tackles11 −6

5 −6Interceptions11 −2

18 −7Clearances12 −9

2 0.0Saves4 +0.3

15 +3Fouls16 +1

5 +2.0Offsides0 −3.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Ross County

Kilmarnock

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyKilmarnock

0.39 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.29 7 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.06 1 shot, 0 goals

0.26 1 shot, 1 goalSet pieces0.35 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–0

Level: 88 min (92%) · Ross County 0.65, Kilmarnock 0.65 xG
Ross County ahead: 8 min (8%) · Ross County 0.00, Kilmarnock 0.05 xG

Line-ups

Ross County substitutes

57' White for Hiwula-Mayifuila
57' Edwards for Sims · goal 86'
82' Tillson for Olaigbe
85' Watson for Dhanda

Kilmarnock substitutes

46' Cameron for Lafferty
74' Sotona for Shaw · yellow card 82'
84' Armstrong for Mayo
84' Donnelly for Power · yellow card 88'

Players

Ross County

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Laidlaw	GK	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.03	4	1
Johnson	RB	90		0.08	0.08	2	0.07	4	2
Baldwin	CB	90		0.00	0.07	1	0.17	7	5
Iacovitti	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	−0.08	3	3
Purrington	LB	90		0.00	0.01	1	0.03	4	9
Callachan	DM	81		0.10	0.01	1	0.03	3	4
Cancola	DM	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.03	5	3
Sims	RW	57		0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	2	1
Dhanda	AM	85		0.02	0.01	0	0.04	4	3
Olaigbe	LW	82		0.05	0.00	0	0.00	1	2
Hiwula-Mayifuila	ST	57		0.06	0.03	0	0.03	1	0
White	FW	33		0.08	0.08	0	0.17	0	2
Edwards	FW	33	1	0.26	0.07	1	0.06	1	0
Tillson	MF	8		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Watson	DF	5		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Walker	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Alebiosu	RWB	90	0.00	0.17	1	0.22	8	4
Wright	CB	90	0.01	0.01	0	0.03	1	5
Taylor	CB	90	0.12	0.01	0	0.03	5	10
Mayo	CB	84	0.04	0.01	0	0.06	5	6
McInroy	LWB	90	0.00	0.35	6	−0.01	3	4
McKenzie	CM	90	0.00	0.03	0	0.00	0	0
Power	CM	84	0.06	0.64	0	−0.05	3	2
Polworth	CM	90	0.04	0.18	2	0.18	7	3
Shaw	ST	74	0.27	0.01	0	−0.10	1	0
Lafferty	ST	46	0.02	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Cameron	FW	44	0.09	0.04	0	−0.03	2	0
Sotona	MF	16	0.06	0.01	1	0.01	0	1
Armstrong	MF	6	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Donnelly	MF	6	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Kilmarnock

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

From	To	Passes
Iacovitti	Purrington	10
Purrington	Iacovitti	10
Iacovitti	Laidlaw	10
Baldwin	Johnson	9
Johnson	Baldwin	8

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Alebiosu	Polworth	8
Polworth	Alebiosu	7
Polworth	Power	6
Wright	Polworth	6
Power	Mayo	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

Against its average of 3 matches

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

Kilmarnock

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Ross County
Top six	8%	11%	+3
11th	20%	20%	0
Bottom	30%	22%	−8
Kilmarnock
Top six	26%	18%	−8
11th	13%	16%	+3
Bottom	14%	20%	+6

From the forecast before the match (20 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Ross County	Kilmarnock
Expected goals	1.21	1.11
Win	38%	33%
Expected Points	1.43	1.28
Clean sheet	33%	30%

Ross County 38%Draw 30%Kilmarnock 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

From the forecast as it stood on 20 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Ross County win	Draw	Kilmarnock win
Ross County
Top six	8%	11%	7%	4%
11th	20%	20%	21%	20%
Bottom	30%	22%	31%	40%
Kilmarnock
Top six	26%	18%	25%	36%
11th	13%	16%	14%	11%
Bottom	14%	20%	14%	8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

Kilmarnock

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Ross County	Kilmarnock
Position	12th	11th
Played	3	3
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠0–⁠3	0–⁠1–⁠2
Points	0 (0.00 per game)	1 (0.33 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.96	0.84
Goals	2–⁠6	1–⁠8
xG per game	0.76–⁠1.26	0.77–⁠1.83
Home: points, xG per game	0.00, 0.39–⁠1.75	0.50, 0.96–⁠1.86
Away: points, xG per game	0.00, 0.95–⁠1.02	0.00, 0.37–⁠1.77
Manager	Malky Mackay (41)	Derek McInnes (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Ross County		Kilmarnock
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−31%	+27%	−20%	+13%
Counter-attacks	+95%	−26%	−50%	−50%
Set pieces	−39%	+3%	−1%	+92%
Penalties	−16%	−25%	−50%	−50%
Headers	−40%	+29%	−25%	−2%
Left side	−28%	+11%	−8%	+21%
Centre	−27%	+42%	−26%	+48%
Right side	−37%	−4%	−10%	+14%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdKilmarnock concededLeft side−28%+14%Centre−27%+48%Right side−37%+21%Open play−31%+13%Counter-attacks+95%−50%Set pieces−39%+92%Headers−40%−2%

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdRoss County concededLeft side−8%−4%Centre−26%+42%Right side−10%+11%Open play−20%+27%Counter-attacks−50%−26%Set pieces−1%+3%Headers−25%+29%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyKilmarnock

0.76xG0.77

1.26xG against1.83

41%Possession35%

7.3Shots11.3

15.3Shots against15.0

2.0Shots on target2.7

1.0Big chances0.3

327Passes278

66%Pass accuracy67%

3.3Corners3.0

31%Field tilt32%

33.0Final-third entries30.3

8.3Box entries9.0

16.4Passes per defensive action17.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	61	0.75	1.67
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	29	0.79	0.39

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	34	0.93	1.43
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	56	0.67	2.07

xG by period

Ross County

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.06	0.07	0–0
16–30	0.32	0.07	0–0
31–45	0.08	0.55	0–0
46–60	0.03	0.33	1–3
61–75	0.14	0.10	0–0
76–90	0.13	0.15	1–3

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.10	0.33	0–1
16–30	0.17	0.08	0–0
31–45	0.16	0.36	0–3
46–60	0.14	0.28	0–1
61–75	0.04	0.09	0–0
76–90	0.16	0.70	1–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

Kilmarnock

Formations: 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
10 April 2021	Kilmarnock	2–2	Ross County	xG 0.69–1.07
6 March 2021	Ross County	3–2	Kilmarnock	xG 1.21–1.67
21 November 2020	Kilmarnock	3–1	Ross County	xG 2.12–1.87
12 August 2020	Ross County	2–2	Kilmarnock	xG 2.02–1.06

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, Kilmarnock won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 8–9 and xG 1.54–1.38 per game.

Key players

Ross County

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Samuel	12	1,208	1	0	0.23	0.04
Callachan	36	3,158	4	1	0.17	0.04
White	31	2,948	6	6	0.16	0.04
Baldwin	30	2,771	2	2	0.06	0.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.