Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
KilmarnockRoss County
1.46 +0.35xG1.25 +0.28
0.68Non-penalty xG0.46
1.80 +0.95xG on target1.00 +0.10
10 −1.5Shots7 −2.3
4 +0.9Shots on target1 −1.9
1 −0.5Big chances1 −0.2
53% +9Possession47% +4
323 +2Passes286 −23
60% −4Pass accuracy49% −13
63% +19Field tilt37% −1
36 +3Final-third entries23 −6
11 +1.8Box entries13 +5.2
14.8 0Passes per defensive action8.7 −6
5 +0.8Corners3 −0.9
12 −5Tackles15 −1
4 −7.4Interceptions10 +0.6
32 +12Clearances26 +2
0 −3.2Saves1 −2.4
8 −4Fouls15 +3
0 −1.8Offsides1 −0.9
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
36'49'63'78'
0–01–02–02–13–1
0'HTFT
Level
36 min (38%) · Kilmarnock 0.37, Ross County 0.02 xG
Kilmarnock ahead
59 min (62%) · Kilmarnock 1.10, Ross County 1.23 xG
Line-ups
Kilmarnock substitutes
70'Wright for Stokes
83'Watson for Armstrong
89'Cameron for Doidge
89'Robinson for Vassell
90'Alston for Polworth
Ross County substitutes
46'Murray for White
63'Edwards for Harmon
66'Smith for Iacovitti
66'Tillson for Cancola
84'Loturi for Samuel
Players
Kilmarnock
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Walker
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
3
1
Mayo
CB
90
0.00
0.05
0
0.08
7
8
Taylor
CB
90
0.00
0.04
1
0.00
0
7
Stokes
CB
70
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
3
7
Armstrong
RWB
83
1
1
0.79
0.21
1
0.09
9
4
McKenzie
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
1
3
Lyons
CM
90
1
0.09
0.03
0
0.07
8
6
Polworth
CM
90
0.07
0.20
2
0.12
4
2
Chambers
LWB
90
0.00
0.28
2
0.19
3
2
Doidge
ST
89
0.24
0.10
0
−0.02
4
4
Vassell
ST
89
1
0.28
0.01
0
−0.01
0
0
Wright
DF
20
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
5
Watson
MF
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Cameron
FW
1
0.00
0.02
0
0.00
0
0
Robinson
FW
1
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Alston
MF
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Laidlaw
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Watson
CB
90
0.00
0.04
1
0.14
6
4
Baldwin
CB
90
0.00
0.03
1
0.03
2
8
Iacovitti
CB
66
0.02
0.08
0
0.10
2
9
Randall
RWB
90
0.00
0.09
0
0.15
4
5
Kenneh
CM
90
0.08
0.04
0
0.07
4
5
Cancola
CM
66
0.07
0.00
0
−0.01
1
2
Harmon
LWB
63
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
7
Dhanda
AM
90
1
0.87
0.10
1
0.22
3
4
Samuel
ST
84
0.06
0.00
1
0.00
0
0
White
ST
46
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Murray
FW
44
0.14
0.00
0
0.00
1
2
Edwards
FW
27
0.00
0.03
0
0.12
1
1
Smith
DF
24
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
6
Tillson
MF
24
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
1
Loturi
MF
6
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
1
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Kilmarnock
From
To
Passes
Lyons
Armstrong
9
Lyons
Polworth
8
Polworth
Armstrong
7
Taylor
Walker
7
Mayo
Armstrong
6
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Baldwin
Watson
7
Dhanda
Baldwin
6
Cancola
Kenneh
5
Baldwin
Iacovitti
5
Watson
Samuel
4
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Kilmarnock
Against its average of 37 matches
Ross County
Against its average of 37 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Kilmarnock
11th
22%
–
−22
Ross County
11th
78%
>99%
+22
From the forecast before the match (28 May 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Expected goals
1.54
0.95
Win
51%
22%
Expected Points
1.79
0.94
Clean sheet
39%
21%
Kilmarnock 51%Draw 27%Ross County 22%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.
From the forecast as it stood on 28 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Kilmarnock win
Draw
Ross County win
Kilmarnock
11th
22%
–
–
>99%
Ross County
11th
78%
>99%
>99%
–
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Position
10th
11th
Played
37
37
Won, drawn, lost
10–7–20
9–7–21
Points
37 (1.00 per game)
34 (0.92 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.23
1.03
Goals
34–61
36–57
xG per game
1.11–1.39
0.97–1.52
Home: points, xG per game
1.61, 1.41–1.13
1.00, 0.98–1.43
Away: points, xG per game
0.42, 0.83–1.64
0.83, 0.96–1.61
Manager
Derek McInnes (37)
Malky Mackay (75)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−23%
+4%
−33%
+19%
Counter-attacks
−22%
−1%
−26%
+101%
Set pieces
+23%
+18%
+5%
average
Penalties
−59%
−17%
−59%
−17%
Headers
+7%
−20%
+11%
+2%
Left side
−1%
−6%
−34%
+11%
Centre
−15%
+12%
−11%
+14%
Right side
−16%
+13%
−33%
+31%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Kilmarnock attacking
Kilmarnock createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−1%+31%Centre−15%+14%Right side−16%+11%Open play−23%+19%Counter-attacks−22%+101%Set pieces+23%averageHeaders+7%+2%
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdKilmarnock concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−34%+13%Centre−11%+12%Right side−33%−6%Open play−33%+4%Counter-attacks−26%−1%Set pieces+5%+18%Headers+11%−20%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
KilmarnockRoss County
1.11xG0.97
1.39xG against1.52
44%Possession43%
11.5Shots9.3
12.7Shots against16.5
3.1Shots on target2.9
1.5Big chances1.2
19.6Touches in the opposition box17.6
321Passes309
64%Pass accuracy62%
4.2Corners3.9
44%Field tilt38%
33.1Final-third entries28.8
9.2Box entries7.8
14.5Passes per defensive action14.8
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Kilmarnock
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
29
1.19
1.06
Ahead
21
1.30
1.10
Behind
40
0.96
1.78
Ross County
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
47
0.84
1.34
Ahead
14
1.29
1.78
Behind
29
1.03
1.69
xG by period
Kilmarnock
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.12
0.19
4–15
16–30
0.17
0.26
5–14
31–45
0.26
0.21
9–7
46–60
0.26
0.20
7–7
61–75
0.14
0.17
5–8
76–90
0.17
0.35
4–10
Ross County
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.16
6–4
16–30
0.11
0.20
1–10
31–45
0.13
0.32
4–9
46–60
0.24
0.26
9–11
61–75
0.17
0.21
9–9
76–90
0.19
0.37
7–14
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts