Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Aberdeen 4–0 Ross County

Sunday 24 September 2023, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 6 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 15,116

Aberdeen Miovski 21', 52', Duk 42', McGrath 47'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenRoss County
Goals40
xG3.330.85
Expected Points2.780.15

Aberdeen 90%Draw 7%Ross County 2%

Most likely score 3–1, 13%. Final score 4–0, 10%.

Ross County goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+2%3%8%8%3%5%1%4%5%5%2%2%2%12%13%10%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTHayes on for McGarry, 6'Clarkson on for McGrath and MacKenzie on for Hayes, 54'Sokler on for Miovski and Gueye on for Duk, 72'Loturi on for Turner and Sims on for Dhanda, 54'Brophy on for Murray, 60'Harmon on for Reid and Samuel on for White, 74'Miovski 21'Duk 42'McGrath 47'Miovski 52'Aberdeen 3.33Ross County 0.85012340153045607590HTHayes on for McGarry, 6'Clarkson on for McGrath and MacKenzie on for Hayes, 54'Sokler on for Miovski and Gueye on for Duk, 72'Loturi on for Turner and Sims on for Dhanda, 54'Brophy on for Murray, 60'Harmon on for Reid and Samuel on for White, 74'Miovski 21'Duk 42'McGrath 47'Miovski 52'3.330.85AberdeenRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenRoss County

3.33 +2.36xG0.85 −0.31
4.06 +3.27xG on target0.41 −0.89
13 +3.6Shots11 −0.6
6 +3.6Shots on target2 −2.2
5 +4.0Big chances1 −1.6
30 +12Touches in the opposition box20
49% +1Possession51% +11
370 +31Passes388 +98
68% +6Pass accuracy67% +8
46% −2Field tilt54% +9
37 +7Final-third entries39 +11
15 +5.4Box entries5 −5.2
18.4 +5Passes per defensive action15.0 0
5 −0.8Corners5 −0.2
15 −4Tackles16 +1
6 −2.6Interceptions7 −4.6
23 −4Clearances8 −16
2 −1.6Saves2 −2.6
9 −4Fouls10 −3
0 −0.6Offsides1 −2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Duk 32', 0.50 xGJensen 21', 0.17 xGRubezic 61', 0.15 xGMcGrath 31', 0.12 xGMcGrath 33', 0.11 xGRubezic 21', 0.07 xGMiovski 70', 0.05 xGJensen 27', 0.04 xGMiovski 45+5', 0.03 xGDuk 42', 0.84 xG, goalMcGrath 47', 0.61 xG, goalMiovski 21', 0.52 xG, goalMiovski 52', 0.12 xG, goal66%2.19 xGSix-yard box: 5 shots, 2.19 xG, 3 goals28%0.93 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.93 xG, 0 goals5%0.17 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 1 goal1%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Loturi 90+2', 0.34 xGLeak 25', 0.09 xGMurray 35', 0.06 xGBrophy 83', 0.06 xGBrown 90+1', 0.06 xGMurray 1', 0.05 xGRandall 73', 0.05 xGBrown 10', 0.04 xGRandall 32', 0.04 xGBrown 22', 0.03 xGSims 81', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals64%0.54 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.54 xG, 0 goals7%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals29%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenRoss County

1.71 8 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.42 9 shots, 0 goals
0.84 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.78 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.43 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
21 min (22%) · Aberdeen 0.76, Ross County 0.09 xG
Aberdeen ahead
76 min (78%) · Aberdeen 2.57, Ross County 0.76 xG

Line-ups

246335284157911RoosGartenmannRubezicJensenDevlinBarronShinnieMcGarryMcGrathMiovskiDukGoalGoalGoalGoal6'54'72'72'Aberdeen 3-4-1-2Barry Robson13554242743102615LaidlawNightingaleBaldwinLeakBrownRandallTurnerReidDhandaWhiteMurrayYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card54'74'54'74'60'Ross County 3-4-1-2Malky Mackay

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 6' Hayes for McGarry · off 54'
  • 54' MacKenzie for Hayes
  • 54' Clarkson for McGrath
  • 72' Sokler for Miovski
  • 72' Gueye for Duk

Ross County substitutes

  • 54' Sims for Dhanda
  • 54' Loturi for Turner
  • 60' Brophy for Murray
  • 74' Samuel for White
  • 74' Harmon for Reid

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0100.0430
GartenmannCB900.000.0210.07108
RubezicCB900.220.0010.0237
JensenCB9010.210.0010.01110
DevlinRWB900.000.0010.0534
BarronCM900.000.1320.0531
ShinnieCM9010.000.2010.1284
McGarryLWB60.000.0000.0000
McGrathAM5410.840.0210.0714
MiovskiST72210.730.7720.2402
DukST72111.340.0610.2763
HayesMF480.000.1110.0760
MacKenzieDF360.000.0000.0121
ClarksonMF360.000.0710.0010
SoklerFW180.000.0000.0013
GueyeFW180.000.0000.0420

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0341
Nightingale CB900.000.0200.0637
BaldwinCB900.000.3210.2198
Leak CB900.090.0700.2172
Brown RWB900.140.0830.0534
RandallCM900.090.0100.0014
TurnerCM540.000.0210.0004
ReidLWB740.000.0600.0840
Dhanda AM540.000.0410.0131
WhiteST740.000.032−0.0121
MurrayST600.110.0000.0110
SimsMF360.020.000−0.0111
LoturiMF360.340.0100.0330
BrophyFW300.060.0000.0101
SamuelFW160.000.0110.0310
HarmonDF160.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and Brown: 3 passesBrown and Turner: 3 passesBrown and Dhanda: 3 passesBrown and White: 3 passesTurner and Reid: 3 passesDhanda and Murray: 3 passesLaidlaw and Baldwin: 4 passesBaldwin and Brown: 4 passesBaldwin and Reid: 4 passesLeak and Turner: 4 passesBrown and Randall: 4 passesBrown and Murray: 4 passesRandall and White: 4 passesTurner and Dhanda: 4 passesBaldwin and Leak: 5 passesNightingale and Leak: 5 passesNightingale and Randall: 5 passesNightingale and Turner: 5 passesLeak and Reid: 5 passesBaldwin and Turner: 6 passesBaldwin and White: 6 passesBaldwin and Nightingale: 7 passesBaldwin and Dhanda: 9 passesLaidlaw: 5 completed passesBaldwin: 28 completed passesNightingale: 14 completed passesLeak: 14 completed passesBrown: 9 completed passesRandall: 12 completed passesTurner: 16 completed passesReid: 11 completed passesDhanda: 14 completed passesMurray: 5 completed passesWhite: 7 completed passes15354242743101526LaidlawBaldwinNightingaleLeakBrownRandallTurnerReidDhandaMurrayWhiteStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
RubezicGartenmann8
JensenRoos7
ShinnieBarron6
HayesShinnie6
BarronGartenmann6

Ross County

FromToPasses
BaldwinLeak10
LeakBaldwin9
BaldwinLoturi9
BaldwinLaidlaw8
DhandaBaldwin7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

5−2.45−2.48+1.63−2.49−1.611+3.66+0.46−2.89−0.87−0.45−0.84+1.48+1.26−1.84−2.030.01−2.04+0.43−1.03+0.84+3.40−1.00−2.02−1.81+0.21+1.00−0.20−0.20−1.015−3.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Ross County

4−0.23−4.49−2.82−3.212+2.42−3.84−1.66−1.810−0.26−0.42−5.02−1.27+3.67+2.23−3.47+2.03−1.05+1.27+1.62−2.41−2.21−0.21−1.22−0.40−1.81+0.410.00−0.40−0.65−6.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.030.010.020.050.010.010.050.010.010.010.010.070.070.020.040.050.070.060.070.050.010.150.140.11LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.030.020.010.020.020.010.020.030.020.030.020.020.05−0.020.010.030.090.070.05−0.010.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackAberdeen1.13 → 1.18Ross County1.07 → 1.05Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.40 → 1.36Ross County1.48 → 1.53

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six22%27%+5
11th14%11%−3
Bottom11%8%−3
Ross County
Top six31%25%−6
11th11%13%+2
Bottom7%10%+3

From the forecast before the match (24 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenRoss County
Expected goals1.531.03
Win48%25%
Expected Points1.711.02
Clean sheet36%22%

Aberdeen 48%Draw 27%Ross County 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

Ross County goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%9%5%2%5%5%2%2%2%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 24 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawRoss County win
Aberdeen
Top six22%27%19%15%
11th14%11%16%17%
Bottom11%8%13%16%
Ross County
Top six31%25%32%44%
11th11%13%11%6%
Bottom7%10%6%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–216 SepHearts (A)xG 0.53–1.18
  2. L0–23 SepHibernian (H)xG 0.98–1.23
  3. D2–227 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.87–1.97
  4. L1–313 AugCeltic (H)xG 1.76–2.94
  5. D0–05 AugLivingston (A)xG 0.70–0.76
  6. L0–527 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.00–3.56

Ross County

  1. D1–116 SepLivingston (H)xG 0.87–0.17
  2. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.72–1.42
  3. L0–226 AugRangers (H)xG 0.48–1.96
  4. W2–012 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.60–0.49
  5. L2–45 AugCeltic (A)xG 1.13–4.15
  6. L1–328 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 1.25–1.46

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenRoss County
Position11th7th
Played55
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠2–⁠32–⁠1–⁠2
Points2 (0.40 per game)7 (1.40 per game)
Expected Points per game0.841.17
Goals3–⁠96–⁠7
xG per game0.97–⁠1.621.16–⁠1.64
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 1.37–⁠2.081.33, 1.32–⁠0.87
Away: points, xG per game0.67, 0.70–⁠1.301.50, 0.92–⁠2.79
ManagerBarry Robson (20)Malky Mackay (81)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackAberdeen1.13, 7thRoss County1.07, 9thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.40, 8thRoss County1.48, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepAberdeen attack: 1.13Ross County attack: 1.071.131.07Ross CountyAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepAberdeen defence: 1.40Ross County defence: 1.481.481.40

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−32%−1%−2%+3%
Counter-attacks−66%+32%−80%+156%
Set pieces−12%+67%−4%−9%
Penalties+23%+31%−91%+121%
Headers−7%+11%+7%−15%
Left side−50%+19%+27%+7%
Centre−13%+41%−22%+17%
Right side−41%−24%−14%average

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRoss County concededLeft side−50%averageCentre−13%+17%Right side−41%+7%Open play−32%+3%Counter-attacks−66%+156%Set pieces−12%−9%Headers−7%−15%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdAberdeen concededLeft side+27%−24%Centre−22%+41%Right side−14%+19%Open play−2%−1%Counter-attacks−80%+32%Set pieces−4%+67%Headers+7%+11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenRoss County

0.97xG1.16
1.62xG against1.64
48%Possession40%
9.4Shots11.6
13.6Shots against14.8
2.4Shots on target4.2
1.0Big chances2.6
339Passes290
62%Pass accuracy60%
5.8Corners5.2
48%Field tilt44%
30.2Final-third entries27.8
9.6Box entries10.2
13.2Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.671.29
Ahead30.005.72
Behind361.481.70

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.510.96
Ahead201.441.31
Behind280.432.88

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.330–2
16–300.230.111–1
31–450.170.191–0
46–600.070.480–1
61–750.060.250–2
76–900.250.261–3

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.300.160–0
16–300.190.350–4
31–450.100.371–1
46–600.330.174–0
61–750.130.210–2
76–900.110.381–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTRoos 5Devlin 2MacDonald 2Gartenmann 1Rubezic 5MacKenzie 3Jensen 2Devlin 3Morris 2Clarkson 3Barron 1Polvara 1Shinnie 5McGarry 2Hayes 2Duncan 1McGrath 2Polvara 2Clarkson 1Miovski 5Duk 53-4-1-2 in 4 of 5 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (4), 3-5-2 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 5Nightingale 3Dhanda 1Sims 1Baldwin 5Leak 4Harmon 1Brown 5Randall 4Turner 2Dhanda 2Loturi 2Reid 2Harmon 2Dhanda 1Sims 2Randall 1Dhanda 1White 5Murray 53-4-1-2 in 2 of 5 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
14 April 2023Ross County0–1AberdeenxG 0.94–0.65
2 January 2023Aberdeen0–0Ross CountyxG 2.08–0.44
3 September 2022Ross County1–1AberdeenxG 1.36–0.83
9 April 2022Aberdeen0–1Ross CountyxG 1.06–0.92
1 February 2022Ross County1–1AberdeenxG 0.32–0.74
29 August 2021Aberdeen1–1Ross CountyxG 2.94–1.15

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 3, Ross County won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 10–8 and xG 1.67–0.82 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski423,3181820.490.04
Duk342,9301630.270.06
Clarkson363,015580.070.16
Hayes262,193250.060.16

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy8598320.340.09
Murray10997410.300.10
Sims131,031000.270.12
White383,3291220.320.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.