Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Aberdeen 2–3 Celtic

Wednesday 9 February 2022, 19:45 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 26 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 15,291

Aberdeen Ramirez 56', Ferguson 61'

Celtic Jota 16', 62', O'Riley 20'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenCeltic
Goals23
xG0.671.12
Expected Points0.931.72

Aberdeen 20%Draw 34%Celtic 46%

Most likely score 0–1, 19%. Final score 2–3, 1%.

Celtic goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+11%3%10%9%2%3%5%3%14%19%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTOjo on for McGeouch and Kennedy on for Ramsay, 46'Bitton on for Hatate and Giakoumakis on for Maeda, 76'Rogic on for O'Riley and Forrest on for Abada, 89'Ramirez 56'Ferguson 61'Jota 16'O'Riley 20'Jota 62'Celtic 1.12Aberdeen 0.6700.511.50153045607590HTOjo on for McGeouch and Kennedy on for Ramsay, 46'Bitton on for Hatate and Giakoumakis on for Maeda, 76'Rogic on for O'Riley and Forrest on for Abada, 89'Ramirez 56'Ferguson 61'Jota 16'O'Riley 20'Jota 62'1.120.67AberdeenCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenCeltic

0.67 −0.42xG1.12 −1.41
0.53 −0.57xG on target1.58 −0.87
8 −6Shots12 −9
4 −0.5Shots on target5 −2.2
0 −1.1Big chances2 −1.7
11 −7Touches in the opposition box21 −17
36% −23Possession64% −6
328 −143Passes607 −41
63% −14Pass accuracy84% −4
40% −20Field tilt60% −18
21 −19Final-third entries46 −27
6 −3.3Box entries13 −10.2
23.9 +10Passes per defensive action9.1 −1
1 −4.2Corners3 −6.8
16 +4Tackles16 +3
7 −0.8Interceptions15 +6.8
14 −3Clearances12 −3
2 +0.7Saves2 +0.6
11 −2Fouls17 +5
3 +1.7Offsides3 +1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Ferguson 69', 0.11 xGFerguson 75', 0.08 xGRamirez 24', 0.03 xGBesuijen 66', 0.02 xGHayes 90', 0.02 xGRamirez 90+1', 0.02 xGRamirez 56', 0.25 xG, goalFerguson 61', 0.15 xG, goal16%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals59%0.40 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.40 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals22%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Maeda 70', 0.16 xGMaeda 13', 0.11 xGHatate 26', 0.08 xGHatate 10', 0.04 xGAbada 39', 0.04 xGMaeda 73', 0.03 xGStarfelt 50', 0.02 xGJota 70', 0.02 xGJota 84', 0.01 xGJota 16', 0.41 xG, goalJota 62', 0.17 xG, goalO'Riley 20', 0.02 xG, goal37%0.41 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.41 xG, 1 goal29%0.32 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.32 xG, 1 goal29%0.32 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals6%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenCeltic

0.20 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.04 9 shots, 3 goals
0.48 3 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.08 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
17 min (19%) · Aberdeen 0.00, Celtic 0.74 xG
Celtic ahead
74 min (81%) · Aberdeen 0.67, Celtic 0.39 xG

Line-ups

252527221581917109WoodsMcCrorieGallagherBatesRamsayMcGeouchBrownFergusonHayesBesuijenRamirezYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal46'46'Aberdeen 3-5-2Stephen Glass15562043334241113817HartRalstonCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorO'RileyMcGregorHatateAbadaMaedaJotaGoalGoalGoalYellow card89'76'89'76'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Ojo for McGeouch · 2 assists
  • 46' Kennedy for Ramsay

Celtic substitutes

  • 76' Bitton for Hatate
  • 76' Giakoumakis for Maeda
  • 89' Forrest for Abada
  • 89' Rogic for O'Riley

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WoodsGK900.000.0000.0353
McCrorieCB900.000.0100.0426
Gallagher CB900.000.0000.0318
Bates CB900.000.0000.0453
RamsayRWB460.000.0000.0011
McGeouchCM460.000.000−0.0112
BrownCM900.000.0110.0145
FergusonCM9010.330.021−0.0405
HayesLWB900.020.3910.2163
BesuijenST900.020.0200.0121
RamirezST9010.310.0200.0532
OjoMF4420.000.2120.0330
KennedyMF440.000.0100.0011

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0000
RalstonRB9010.000.1820.21134
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0010.0646
StarfeltCB900.020.0110.0964
TaylorLB900.000.0710.17107
O'RileyCM89110.020.3730.0874
McGregorCM900.000.0400.0334
HatateCM760.120.0200.0041
AbadaRW890.040.6210.30113
MaedaST760.300.000−0.0302
Jota LW9020.620.0400.0476
BittonDF140.000.0100.0311
GiakoumakisFW140.000.000−0.0102
ForrestFW10.000.000––0
RogicFW10.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Woods and McCrorie: 3 passesWoods and Ramsay: 3 passesWoods and Hayes: 3 passesWoods and Ferguson: 3 passesGallagher and McCrorie: 3 passesMcCrorie and Ramsay: 3 passesRamsay and Ferguson: 3 passesBrown and McGeouch: 3 passesWoods and Bates: 4 passesGallagher and Bates: 4 passesGallagher and McGeouch: 4 passesBates and Hayes: 4 passesRamsay and Besuijen: 4 passesFerguson and Brown: 4 passesBates and Ferguson: 5 passesRamsay and McGeouch: 5 passesHayes and Ferguson: 5 passesHayes and Brown: 5 passesMcCrorie and McGeouch: 6 passesWoods: 8 completed passesGallagher: 12 completed passesBates: 11 completed passesMcCrorie: 9 completed passesRamsay: 14 completed passesHayes: 13 completed passesFerguson: 13 completed passesBrown: 9 completed passesMcGeouch: 13 completed passesBesuijen: 0 completed passesRamirez: 1 completed passes255272221719815109WoodsGallagherBatesMcCrorieRamsayHayesFergusonBrownMcGeouchBesuijenRamirezStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

McGregor and Jota: 6 passesO'Riley and Hatate: 7 passesHatate and Jota: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 8 passesMaeda and Jota: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 9 passesO'Riley and McGregor: 9 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 10 passesRalston and Starfelt: 11 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 12 passesStarfelt and Hatate: 13 passesO'Riley and Abada: 13 passesHatate and McGregor: 15 passesHart and Starfelt: 16 passesTaylor and McGregor: 16 passesRalston and O'Riley: 17 passesTaylor and Hatate: 19 passesTaylor and Jota: 26 passesRalston and Abada: 28 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 28 passesRalston and McGregor: 32 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 41 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 55 passesHart: 20 completed passesRalston: 82 completed passesStarfelt: 71 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 64 completed passesTaylor: 65 completed passesO'Riley: 32 completed passesHatate: 33 completed passesMcGregor: 55 completed passesAbada: 24 completed passesMaeda: 7 completed passesJota: 25 completed passes15564203334142113817HartRalstonStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorO'RileyHatateMcGregorAbadaMaedaJotaStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
McCrorieKennedy9
HayesFerguson7
McCrorieBrown7
KennedyMcCrorie7
OjoBesuijen6

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltTaylor32
RalstonCarter-Vickers28
Carter-VickersRalston27
TaylorJota25
McGregorRalston20

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

3−1.64−1.59−2.06+1.14−1.011+4.114+8.72−2.76−0.86−2.110+4.18+3.71−2.31−4.89+3.57+3.43−0.10−2.21−1.73−1.56+3.61−0.210.00−1.34+1.65+4.50−0.10−0.70−0.20−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Celtic

3−1.04−0.86−2.24−0.312+7.15−1.33−2.12−2.113+6.816+8.23−2.75+0.93−0.48+2.615+9.21−3.83−0.63+0.78+3.710+4.13+0.71−0.81−0.98+5.930.00−0.40−0.51+0.50−0.72+1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.02−0.010.020.010.010.010.050.01−0.010.16LessMore

Celtic

0.010.030.020.040.020.050.030.040.070.040.060.020.020.050.06−0.030.070.040.08−0.03−0.010.29LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackAberdeen1.06 → 1.07Celtic2.05 → 2.06Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen0.96 → 0.96Celtic0.69 → 0.71

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six64%57%−7
11th1%1%0
Celtic
Title68%74%+6
Rangers
Title32%26%−6
St. Mirren
Top six29%30%+1

From the forecast before the match (9 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenCeltic
Expected goals0.741.62
Win16%58%
Expected Points0.751.99
Clean sheet20%48%

Aberdeen 16%Draw 26%Celtic 58%

Most likely score 0–1, 15%. Both sides score 43%.

Celtic goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+10%7%3%6%9%5%2%3%4%3%2%1%15%12%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawCeltic win
Aberdeen
Top six64%83%69%57%
11th1%<1%<1%1%
Celtic
Title68%57%62%74%
Rangers
Title32%43%38%26%
St. Mirren
Top six29%24%29%30%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L1–25 FebLivingston (A)xG 1.02–1.06
  2. D1–11 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.74–0.32
  3. L0–125 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.47–0.13
  4. D1–118 JanRangers (H)xG 1.49–1.03
  5. W2–126 DecDundee FC (H)xG 1.12–0.12
  6. L0–122 DecHibernian (A)xG 0.70–0.41

Celtic

  1. W4–06 FebMotherwell (A)xG 2.79–0.24
  2. W3–02 FebRangers (H)xG 1.45–0.43
  3. W1–029 JanDundee United (H)xG 3.43–0.56
  4. W2–126 JanHearts (A)xG 1.70–1.22
  5. W2–017 JanHibernian (H)xG 2.94–0.57
  6. W3–126 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.57–0.26

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenCeltic
Position7th1st
Played2425
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠5–⁠1119–⁠3–⁠3
Points29 (1.21 per game)60 (2.40 per game)
Expected Points per game1.472.46
Goals28–⁠2954–⁠13
xG per game1.09–⁠0.842.53–⁠0.59
Home: points, xG per game1.82, 1.38–⁠0.672.67, 2.98–⁠0.50
Away: points, xG per game0.69, 0.84–⁠0.992.15, 2.13–⁠0.68
ManagerStephen Glass (29)Ange Postecoglou (25)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackAberdeen1.06, 6thCeltic2.05, 1stDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen0.96, 3rdCeltic0.69, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebAberdeen attack: 1.06Celtic attack: 2.052.051.06CelticAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebAberdeen defence: 0.96Celtic defence: 0.690.960.69

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−13%−42%+140%−54%
Counter-attacks−55%−23%+114%−56%
Set pieces+15%−9%+59%−47%
Penalties−33%average+28%−36%
Headers+11%−23%+73%−25%
Left side−15%−32%+83%−60%
Centre−9%−37%+166%−49%
Right side+2%−26%+61%−49%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdCeltic concededLeft side−15%−49%Centre−9%−49%Right side+2%−60%Open play−13%−54%Counter-attacks−55%−56%Set pieces+15%−47%Headers+11%−25%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdAberdeen concededLeft side+83%−26%Centre+166%−37%Right side+61%−32%Open play+140%−42%Counter-attacks+114%−23%Set pieces+59%−9%Headers+73%−23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenCeltic

1.09xG2.53
0.84xG against0.59
59%Possession70%
13.6Shots21.1
7.8Shots against6.9
4.5Shots on target7.2
1.1Big chances3.7
18.4Touches in the opposition box37.9
471Passes648
77%Pass accuracy87%
5.2Corners9.8
59%Field tilt79%
40.3Final-third entries72.7
9.3Box entries23.2
13.7Passes per defensive action10.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.850.89
Ahead181.320.86
Behind241.390.72

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level392.410.46
Ahead462.710.73
Behind51.950.39

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.124–4
16–300.160.125–4
31–450.150.143–4
46–600.140.195–9
61–750.280.098–4
76–900.180.193–4

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.117–1
16–300.460.0816–3
31–450.490.0910–2
46–600.260.086–2
61–750.380.155–4
76–900.600.0910–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLewis 21Woods 3Ramsay 14Ojo 7Gurr 3McCrorie 18Gallagher 7Brown 4Bates 16Considine 2MacKenzie 1Hayes 9MacKenzie 7Campbell 6Ferguson 18McGeouch 7Brown 11Ojo 4Longstaff 3Hedges 9Ojo 6Hayes 2Jenks 6Brown 5Hedges 5Watkins 8Hayes 5Ramirez 3Ramirez 19Watkins 3Emmanuel-Thomas 24-2-3-1 in 8 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (8), 4-3-3 (6), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 22Bain 2Barkas 1Ralston 17Juranovic 7Welsh 1Carter-Vicke… 20Carter-VickersBitton 1Starfelt 21Welsh 8Taylor 10Juranovic 8Scales 4Rogic 12O'Riley 3Christie 2McGregor 20Bitton 9McCarthy 4Turnbull 16Hatate 5Johnston 1Abada 17Rogic 2Forrest 2Furuhashi 9Giakoumakis 5Abada 3Jota 12Forrest 4Furuhashi 34-3-3 in 21 of 25 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (21), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 November 2021Celtic2–1AberdeenxG 2.31–0.85
3 October 2021Aberdeen1–2CelticxG 0.57–1.65
21 April 2021Aberdeen1–1CelticxG 1.52–2.87
27 February 2021Celtic1–0AberdeenxG 1.33–1.15
17 February 2021Celtic1–0AberdeenxG 0.98–0.43
25 October 2020Aberdeen3–3CelticxG 2.76–2.04

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 0, Celtic won 4, and 2 were drawn. Goals 6–10 and xG 1.21–1.86 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watkins11967300.380.09
Ramirez232,029930.240.05
Emmanuel-Thomas7657010.080.20
Ferguson221,971510.200.07

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi12949800.810.16
Abada201,665960.540.33
Giakoumakis6536200.710.01
Turnbull181,586540.280.43

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.