Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 1–1 Hibernian

Tuesday 31 January 2023, 19:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 24 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Graham Grainger · Attendance 3,074

Ross County Dhanda 73'

Hibernian Youan 31'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyHibernian
Goals11
xG0.691.03
Expected Points0.991.65

Ross County 21%Draw 36%Hibernian 43%

Most likely score 0–1, 22%. Final score 1–1, 19%.

Hibernian goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+14%10%2%10%7%1%3%6%3%1%22%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMurray on for Baldwin, 46'Loturi on for Tillson, 62'Sims on for Brophy and Cancola on for Callachan, 78'Stones on for White, 84'McKirdy on for Nisbet, 24'Egan-Riley on for Cadden and O'Connor on for Jeggo, 78'Dhanda 73'Youan 31'Hibernian 1.03Ross County 0.6900.511.50153045607590HTMurray on for Baldwin, 46'Loturi on for Tillson, 62'Sims on for Brophy and Cancola on for Callachan, 78'Stones on for White, 84'McKirdy on for Nisbet, 24'Egan-Riley on for Cadden and O'Connor on for Jeggo, 78'Dhanda 73'Youan 31'1.030.69Ross CountyHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyHibernian

0.69 −0.10xG1.03 −0.27
11 +3.1Shots12 −4.0
2 −0.3Shots on target3 −2.0
0 −1.0Big chances1 −0.4
20 +5Touches in the opposition box19 −5
45% +2Possession55% −1
326 +3Passes403 −4
61% −3Pass accuracy72% −4
38% 0Field tilt62% +1
28 −2Final-third entries43 −3
8 +0.8Box entries9 −4.3
19.9 +5Passes per defensive action14.6 +4
3 +0.1Corners3 −3.1
9 −7Tackles11 −5
6 −3.9Interceptions11 +2.8
25 +2Clearances31 +12
2 −1.4Saves1 −0.8
10 −2Fouls11 −2
2 −0.1Offsides0 −1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Callachan 44', 0.13 xGSims 79', 0.12 xGIacovitti 7', 0.09 xGBrophy 69', 0.08 xGHarmon 41', 0.07 xGWatson 61', 0.07 xGIacovitti 61', 0.05 xGTillson 42', 0.04 xGBrophy 13', 0.02 xGBrophy 55', 0.02 xGDhanda 73', 0.01 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals77%0.53 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.53 xG, 0 goals10%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals12%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 1 goal

Hibernian

Hanlon 52', 0.14 xGMcGeady 67', 0.09 xGFish 50', 0.06 xGCadden 43', 0.04 xGCampbell 12', 0.03 xGCadden 50', 0.03 xGStevenson 10', 0.02 xGMcGeady 12', 0.02 xGYouan 50', 0.02 xGYouan 51', 0.02 xGMcGeady 10', 0.01 xGYouan 31', 0.54 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals81%0.83 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.83 xG, 1 goal2%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals16%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyHibernian

0.42 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.23 7 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.54 1 shot, 1 goal
0.27 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.26 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
52 min (55%) · Ross County 0.23, Hibernian 0.62 xG
Hibernian ahead
42 min (45%) · Ross County 0.46, Hibernian 0.40 xG

Line-ups

11556222816102726LaidlawWatsonBaldwinIacovittiRandallTillsonCallachanHarmonDhandaBrophyWhiteYellow cardYellow cardGoal46'62'78'78'84'Ross County 3-4-1-2Malky Mackay11225416144632112315MarshallCaddenFishHanlonStevensonJeggoMcGeadyCampbellNewellYouanNisbetYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card78'78'24'Hibernian 4-1-4-1Lee Johnson

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Murray for Baldwin
  • 62' Loturi for Tillson · yellow card 90'
  • 78' Cancola for Callachan
  • 78' Sims for Brophy
  • 84' Stones for White

Hibernian substitutes

  • 24' McKirdy for Nisbet · yellow card 82'
  • 78' Egan-Riley for Cadden
  • 78' O'Connor for Jeggo

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Laidlaw GK900.000.0000.0340
WatsonCB900.070.0510.1747
Baldwin CB460.000.0200.0223
IacovittiCB900.140.0100.0478
RandallRWB900.000.0200.0127
TillsonCM620.040.0000.0126
CallachanCM780.130.0100.0133
HarmonLWB900.070.0100.0226
DhandaAM9010.010.1230.2084
BrophyST780.120.0100.0220
WhiteST840.000.0110.0021
MurrayFW440.000.0300.0320
Loturi MF280.000.0100.0122
CancolaMF120.000.3110.1520
SimsFW120.120.0000.0000
StonesFW60.000.000−0.0100

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarshallGK900.000.0000.0110
Cadden RB780.070.0210.0523
FishCB900.060.0100.04313
HanlonCB900.140.0110.04314
StevensonLB900.020.0400.1188
Jeggo DM780.000.0110.0433
McGeadyRM900.130.0200.1070
CampbellCM900.030.1010.0943
NewellCM900.000.1310.0319
Youan LM9010.580.0810.0321
NisbetST240.000.031−0.0100
McKirdy FW660.000.0200.0332
Egan-RileyDF120.000.0000.0002
O'ConnorMF120.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Baldwin and Dhanda: 3 passesIacovitti and Harmon: 3 passesWatson and Callachan: 3 passesRandall and Brophy: 3 passesTillson and Callachan: 3 passesTillson and Harmon: 3 passesTillson and Dhanda: 3 passesCallachan and White: 3 passesHarmon and Brophy: 3 passesDhanda and Brophy: 3 passesLaidlaw and Watson: 4 passesLaidlaw and White: 4 passesBaldwin and White: 4 passesWatson and Randall: 4 passesCallachan and Dhanda: 4 passesBaldwin and Watson: 6 passesLaidlaw: 12 completed passesBaldwin: 10 completed passesIacovitti: 7 completed passesWatson: 11 completed passesRandall: 4 completed passesTillson: 8 completed passesCallachan: 8 completed passesHarmon: 10 completed passesDhanda: 14 completed passesWhite: 4 completed passesBrophy: 3 completed passes15615222816102627LaidlawBaldwinIacovittiWatsonRandallTillsonCallachanHarmonDhandaWhiteBrophyStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Marshall and Hanlon: 3 passesCadden and McGeady: 3 passesFish and Jeggo: 3 passesFish and Newell: 3 passesHanlon and Stevenson: 3 passesHanlon and Newell: 3 passesStevenson and Nisbet: 3 passesJeggo and Newell: 3 passesCampbell and Nisbet: 3 passesCadden and Newell: 4 passesFish and Hanlon: 4 passesNewell and Youan: 4 passesCadden and Jeggo: 5 passesStevenson and Newell: 6 passesCadden and Fish: 7 passesCadden and Campbell: 7 passesStevenson and Youan: 12 passesMarshall: 4 completed passesCadden: 16 completed passesFish: 11 completed passesHanlon: 12 completed passesStevenson: 15 completed passesJeggo: 8 completed passesMcGeady: 4 completed passesNewell: 14 completed passesCampbell: 7 completed passesYouan: 9 completed passesNisbet: 4 completed passes11225416144611322315MarshallCaddenFishHanlonStevensonJeggoMcGeadyNewellCampbellYouanNisbetStarters until 24' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
WatsonIacovitti7
DhandaBrophy6
WatsonRandall6
RandallWatson6
LaidlawWhite5

Hibernian

FromToPasses
StevensonYouan13
YouanStevenson8
CaddenJeggo8
YouanNewell8
JeggoCadden8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

5−0.74−4.4160.07−0.99+2.76−1.47−0.315+8.56−1.78+0.610+4.640.00−3.41−3.97+2.93−1.22−1.71−1.43−0.13−1.02−0.62+0.21+0.41−0.61−1.00−0.71+0.60−0.70−0.31+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Hibernian

7+2.59+3.28−3.218+10.88+1.310+4.63−3.03−1.514+8.014+6.87+1.65−0.12−1.14−1.65−2.75+1.44−0.30−2.72−2.92−2.52−0.31−1.02+1.220.03+0.510.01+0.31+0.10−0.71+0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.020.020.010.020.030.03−0.010.030.010.040.050.09−0.010.09−0.050.150.13LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.020.020.060.010.050.020.06−0.010.010.010.040.07−0.03−0.010.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.23AttackRoss County0.90 → 0.90Hibernian1.20 → 1.20Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.46 → 1.46Hibernian1.17 → 1.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six<1%<1%0
11th26%27%+1
Bottom41%42%+1
Hibernian
Top six78%76%−2
Kilmarnock
11th27%27%0
Bottom27%28%+1
Dundee United
Top six3%3%0
11th20%19%−1
Bottom17%16%−1

From the forecast before the match (31 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyHibernian
Expected goals1.051.26
Win30%41%
Expected Points1.201.51
Clean sheet28%35%

Ross County 30%Draw 29%Hibernian 41%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

Hibernian goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+8%3%1%10%8%3%1%5%7%4%2%2%2%2%11%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 31 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawHibernian win
Ross County
Top six<1%1%<1%<1%
11th26%26%27%26%
Bottom41%29%42%49%
Hibernian
Top six78%67%76%88%
Kilmarnock
11th27%25%27%28%
Bottom27%31%28%23%
Dundee United
Top six3%3%3%3%
11th20%19%19%20%
Bottom17%20%16%14%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W3–028 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 1.74–1.38
  2. D1–114 JanMotherwell (A)xG 1.23–0.82
  3. L0–27 JanLivingston (H)xG 0.86–0.90
  4. D0–02 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.44–2.08
  5. L0–328 DecDundee United (A)xG 0.98–0.85
  6. L0–123 DecRangers (H)xG 0.38–2.13

Hibernian

  1. W6–028 JanAberdeen (H)xG 2.60–0.52
  2. D2–214 JanDundee United (H)xG 0.80–0.87
  3. W3–28 JanMotherwell (A)xG 1.73–1.64
  4. L0–32 JanHearts (A)xG 1.19–1.76
  5. L0–428 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.55–2.61
  6. W4–024 DecLivingston (H)xG 2.06–2.06

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyHibernian
Position11th5th
Played2323
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠5–⁠139–⁠3–⁠11
Points20 (0.87 per game)30 (1.30 per game)
Expected Points per game0.951.45
Goals18–⁠3535–⁠37
xG per game0.79–⁠1.421.30–⁠1.20
Home: points, xG per game0.92, 0.83–⁠1.431.75, 1.42–⁠1.03
Away: points, xG per game0.82, 0.74–⁠1.420.82, 1.16–⁠1.39
ManagerMalky Mackay (61)Lee Johnson (23)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.23AttackRoss County0.90, 12thHibernian1.20, 4thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.46, 12thHibernian1.17, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanRoss County attack: 0.90Hibernian attack: 1.201.200.90HibernianRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanRoss County defence: 1.46Hibernian defence: 1.171.461.17

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−39%+22%−5%−22%
Counter-attacks+27%+103%+30%+39%
Set pieces−31%+4%+24%−9%
Penalties−78%−78%−35%+51%
Headers−30%+3%+13%−18%
Left side−33%+10%+15%−30%
Centre−26%+21%−17%−7%
Right side−50%+34%+26%−17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHibernian concededLeft side−33%−17%Centre−26%−7%Right side−50%−30%Open play−39%−22%Counter-attacks+27%+39%Set pieces−31%−9%Headers−30%−18%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRoss County concededLeft side+15%+34%Centre−17%+21%Right side+26%+10%Open play−5%+22%Counter-attacks+30%+103%Set pieces+24%+4%Headers+13%+3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyHibernian

0.79xG1.30
1.42xG against1.20
43%Possession56%
7.9Shots16.0
16.5Shots against10.5
2.3Shots on target5.0
1.0Big chances1.4
14.8Touches in the opposition box23.8
323Passes407
64%Pass accuracy76%
2.9Corners6.1
38%Field tilt61%
29.5Final-third entries46.2
7.2Box entries13.3
15.0Passes per defensive action11.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.791.31
Ahead120.591.99
Behind270.871.39

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.131.23
Ahead221.541.23
Behind361.301.16

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.163–3
16–300.130.181–4
31–450.120.262–3
46–600.150.305–8
61–750.120.212–7
76–900.150.305–10

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.114–8
16–300.100.173–5
31–450.240.217–5
46–600.270.256–7
61–750.240.168–5
76–900.270.307–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 23Johnson 14Randall 7Watson 2Baldwin 16Watson 6Randall 1Iacovitti 23Harmon 11Purrington 11Kenneh 1Tillson 11Callachan 8Loturi 7Cancola 16Paton 2Dhanda 1Edwards 8Hiwula-Mayifuila 4Watson 2Callachan 8Dhanda 7Tillson 4Edwards 6Olaigbe 4Dhanda 3White 15Hiwula-Mayifuila 5Dhanda 14-2-3-1 in 21 of 23 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (21), 3-4-1-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMarshall 23Cadden 17Porteous 4Fish 1Bushiri 13Porteous 12Fish 2Hanlon 19Cabraja 11Stevenson 7Kukharevych 3Kenneh 13Campbell 8Porteous 4Newell 13Boyle 6Cadden 5Magennis 3Campbell 6Newell 6Cabraja 3Youan 11Newell 3McGeady 2Kukharevych 6Youan 5Nisbet 44-2-3-1 in 9 of 23 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 4-1-4-1 (5), 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 November 2022Hibernian0–2Ross CountyxG 1.14–0.70
1 October 2022Ross County0–2HibernianxG 0.66–1.66
19 February 2022Hibernian2–0Ross CountyxG 1.00–0.19
24 November 2021Ross County1–0HibernianxG 1.21–0.52
8 August 2021Hibernian3–0Ross CountyxG 1.62–0.48
13 March 2021Ross County1–2HibernianxG 1.36–2.75

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 3, Hibernian won 4, and 1 was a draw. Goals 6–9 and xG 0.74–1.60 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White181,627510.240.06
Edwards151,354220.130.08
Callachan161,307110.100.09
Dhanda131,163130.040.14

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet6504810.660.01
Kukharevych10744310.390.13
Boyle10936510.330.13
Youan171,485260.190.17

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.