Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 0–2 Hibernian

Saturday 1 October 2022, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 9 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Alan James Muir · Attendance 4,243

Hibernian Porteous 46', Boyle 80'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyHibernian
Goals02
xG0.661.66
Expected Points0.652.10

Ross County 13%Draw 26%Hibernian 61%

Most likely score 0–1, 16%. Final score 0–2, 14%.

Hibernian goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%6%10%6%2%2%4%3%2%16%14%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTDhanda on for Cancola, 46'Olaigbe on for Akio and Watson on for Johnson, 57'Hiwula-Mayifuila on for White, 68'Sims on for Edwards, 74'McKirdy on for Youan, 55'Magennis on for Kukharevych, 82'Henderson on for Newell, 89'Porteous 46'Boyle 80'Hibernian 1.66Ross County 0.6600.511.520153045607590HTDhanda on for Cancola, 46'Olaigbe on for Akio and Watson on for Johnson, 57'Hiwula-Mayifuila on for White, 68'Sims on for Edwards, 74'McKirdy on for Youan, 55'Magennis on for Kukharevych, 82'Henderson on for Newell, 89'Porteous 46'Boyle 80'1.660.66Ross CountyHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyHibernian

0.66 −0.08xG1.66 +0.24
9 +1.3Shots24 +5.9
2 0.0Shots on target9 +4.6
1 +0.1Big chances1 −0.4
18 0Touches in the opposition box36 +15
39% −3Possession61% 0
262 −59Passes404 −14
59% −5Pass accuracy75% −4
30% −4Field tilt70% 0
27 −2Final-third entries48 −5
4 −3.1Box entries19 +2.3
16.6 +0.1Passes per defensive action8.2 −0.8
6 +3.4Corners11 +2.1
17 +1Tackles15 +1
4 −6.4Interceptions9 +2.6
20 −4Clearances17 0
7 +3.9Saves2 +0.3
13 +2Fouls14 −1
3 +0.4Offsides2 +0.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Edwards 27', 0.22 xGWatson 69', 0.12 xGJohnson 29', 0.09 xGCallachan 53', 0.09 xGCallachan 26', 0.05 xGPurrington 88', 0.05 xGJohnson 3', 0.01 xGCancola 27', 0.01 xGIacovitti 80', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals89%0.57 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.57 xG, 0 goals2%0.01 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals8%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals2%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Kukharevych 58', 0.20 xGCampbell 1', 0.16 xGYouan 48', 0.13 xGPorteous 7', 0.09 xGKukharevych 44', 0.09 xGKukharevych 72', 0.09 xGCampbell 80', 0.07 xGBoyle 85', 0.06 xGBoyle 90', 0.05 xGHanlon 35', 0.04 xGCampbell 58', 0.04 xGKukharevych 64', 0.04 xGMcKirdy 90+2', 0.04 xGNewell 24', 0.03 xGNewell 45', 0.03 xGCabraja 51', 0.03 xGCabraja 65', 0.03 xGKenneh 76', 0.03 xGKenneh 60', 0.02 xGCadden 87', 0.02 xGPorteous 17', 0.01 xGCabraja 17', 0.01 xGBoyle 80', 0.22 xG, goalPorteous 46', 0.11 xG, goal12%0.20 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.20 xG, 1 goal48%0.80 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.80 xG, 1 goal7%0.11 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals29%0.48 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.48 xG, 0 goals5%0.08 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyHibernian

0.40 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.29 17 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.06 1 shot, 0 goals
0.25 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.31 6 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
46 min (50%) · Ross County 0.39, Hibernian 0.57 xG
Hibernian ahead
46 min (50%) · Ross County 0.26, Hibernian 1.09 xG

Line-ups

112563424188726LaidlawJohnsonBaldwinIacovittiPurringtonCancolaPatonAkioCallachanEdwardsWhiteYellow card57'46'57'74'68'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay11254332677112399MarshallCaddenPorteousHanlonCabrajaCampbellKennehBoyleNewellYouanKukharevychGoalGoal89'55'82'Hibernian 4-2-3-1Lee Johnson

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Dhanda for Cancola
  • 57' Watson for Johnson
  • 57' Olaigbe for Akio
  • 68' Hiwula-Mayifuila for White
  • 74' Sims for Edwards

Hibernian substitutes

  • 55' McKirdy for Youan
  • 82' Magennis for Kukharevych
  • 89' Henderson for Newell

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0540
JohnsonRB570.110.0000.0221
BaldwinCB900.000.0300.05511
IacovittiCB900.010.0500.0543
PurringtonLB900.050.0200.0326
Cancola DM460.010.010−0.0101
PatonDM900.000.082−0.02110
AkioRW570.000.0500.0503
CallachanAM900.130.091−0.0113
EdwardsLW740.220.0410.1273
WhiteST680.000.0100.0020
DhandaMF440.000.1020.0111
WatsonDF330.120.0000.0115
OlaigbeMF330.000.0000.0100
Hiwula-MayifuilaFW220.000.0000.0111
SimsFW160.000.0000.0000

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarshallGK900.000.0000.0210
CaddenRB900.020.2230.30114
PorteousCB9010.210.0600.26176
HanlonCB900.040.1920.2980
CabrajaLB900.070.0200.0555
CampbellDM900.270.6520.2423
KennehDM900.050.0000.0217
BoyleRW9010.330.1040.12104
NewellAM890.060.0610.1795
YouanLW550.130.0400.0564
KukharevychST820.420.041−0.0704
McKirdyFW350.040.011−0.0120
MagennisMF80.000.0000.0102
HendersonMF10.000.001−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and White: 3 passesJohnson and White: 3 passesIacovitti and White: 3 passesPurrington and Callachan: 3 passesCallachan and White: 3 passesBaldwin and Cancola: 4 passesIacovitti and Callachan: 4 passesPurrington and Paton: 4 passesCancola and Callachan: 4 passesJohnson and Cancola: 6 passesCallachan and Edwards: 6 passesJohnson and Paton: 7 passesPurrington and Edwards: 11 passesLaidlaw: 7 completed passesJohnson: 9 completed passesBaldwin: 7 completed passesIacovitti: 8 completed passesPurrington: 9 completed passesCancola: 11 completed passesPaton: 12 completed passesAkio: 1 completed passesCallachan: 12 completed passesEdwards: 11 completed passesWhite: 7 completed passes112563424188726LaidlawJohnsonBaldwinIacovittiPurringtonCancolaPatonAkioCallachanEdwardsWhiteStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Marshall and Cadden: 3 passesCadden and Hanlon: 3 passesCadden and Newell: 3 passesHanlon and Campbell: 3 passesCabraja and Kenneh: 3 passesMarshall and Porteous: 4 passesCadden and Youan: 4 passesHanlon and Newell: 4 passesCampbell and Boyle: 4 passesYouan and Kukharevych: 4 passesCadden and Campbell: 5 passesPorteous and Campbell: 5 passesKenneh and Newell: 5 passesNewell and Kukharevych: 5 passesPorteous and Kenneh: 6 passesPorteous and Newell: 6 passesCadden and Boyle: 7 passesHanlon and Kenneh: 7 passesHanlon and Youan: 8 passesMarshall and Hanlon: 11 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 12 passesHanlon and Cabraja: 12 passesNewell and Youan: 12 passesCabraja and Newell: 14 passesCadden and Porteous: 15 passesCabraja and Youan: 17 passesMarshall: 13 completed passesCadden: 24 completed passesPorteous: 26 completed passesHanlon: 33 completed passesCabraja: 30 completed passesKenneh: 17 completed passesCampbell: 12 completed passesBoyle: 7 completed passesNewell: 23 completed passesYouan: 24 completed passesKukharevych: 5 completed passes11254363277112399MarshallCaddenPorteousHanlonCabrajaKennehCampbellBoyleNewellYouanKukharevychStarters until 55' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
EdwardsPurrington7
PurringtonEdwards7
PatonPurrington5
PatonJohnson5
CallachanPurrington4

Hibernian

FromToPasses
CabrajaNewell14
HanlonCabraja13
CabrajaYouan12
NewellCabraja10
CaddenPorteous10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

5−1.48−1.6160.08−0.75−1.33−2.77+0.410+3.38−1.03−2.64+0.42−1.46+0.74+0.36+1.73−0.41−2.36+3.12−2.03+1.63+1.10−0.91−0.11+0.10−0.71+0.71+0.30−0.12+1.71−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Hibernian

4+0.98+3.780.09+2.31−2.69+3.72−2.18+3.110+0.77+2.49+5.05+3.15−3.71−1.33−1.90−3.31−2.74−1.93+0.64+2.04+2.92−0.94+0.91+0.41+0.43+2.00−1.110.02−5.11−4.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.020.010.010.020.010.010.020.03−0.01−0.030.020.02−0.050.020.040.040.040.050.04LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.030.040.030.020.030.010.070.030.020.070.030.010.030.030.060.06−0.020.180.140.170.180.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.18AttackRoss County0.89 → 0.89Hibernian1.17 → 1.20Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.45 → 1.47Hibernian1.05 → 1.04

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six6%4%−2
11th23%25%+2
Bottom23%29%+6
Hibernian
Top six83%88%+5
11th<1%<1%0
Dundee United
11th24%25%+1
Bottom37%34%−3
St. Johnstone
Top six10%9%−1
11th19%18%−1
Bottom15%14%−1

From the forecast before the match (1 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyHibernian
Expected goals0.951.29
Win27%44%
Expected Points1.101.60
Clean sheet28%39%

Ross County 27%Draw 30%Hibernian 44%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 45%.

Hibernian goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%9%8%4%1%5%6%4%2%2%2%1%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawHibernian win
Ross County
Top six6%11%5%4%
11th23%18%24%25%
Bottom23%16%22%29%
Hibernian
Top six83%76%81%88%
11th<1%1%<1%<1%
Dundee United
11th24%23%24%25%
Bottom37%40%38%34%
St. Johnstone
Top six10%9%11%9%
11th19%21%19%18%
Bottom15%16%15%14%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. D0–017 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.39–0.82
  2. D1–13 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.36–0.83
  3. L0–427 AugRangers (A)xG 0.48–3.19
  4. W1–020 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 0.65–0.70
  5. L0–113 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.35–0.25
  6. L1–36 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.39–1.75

Hibernian

  1. W3–117 SepAberdeen (H)xG 2.80–0.66
  2. W1–03 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.44–0.39
  3. L0–127 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.80–1.37
  4. D2–220 AugRangers (H)xG 0.77–1.57
  5. L1–213 AugLivingston (A)xG 1.86–1.45
  6. D1–17 AugHearts (H)xG 1.50–0.96

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyHibernian
Position10th6th
Played77
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠2–⁠43–⁠2–⁠2
Points5 (0.71 per game)11 (1.57 per game)
Expected Points per game0.991.68
Goals4–⁠119–⁠7
xG per game0.74–⁠1.331.42–⁠0.94
Home: points, xG per game1.33, 0.80–⁠1.092.00, 1.63–⁠0.90
Away: points, xG per game0.25, 0.69–⁠1.511.00, 1.15–⁠0.99
ManagerMalky Mackay (45)Lee Johnson (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.18AttackRoss County0.89, 11thHibernian1.17, 4thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.45, 11thHibernian1.05, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepRoss County attack: 0.89Hibernian attack: 1.171.170.89HibernianRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepRoss County defence: 1.45Hibernian defence: 1.051.451.05

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−53%+25%−3%−40%
Counter-attacks−22%−46%+23%+111%
Set pieces+9%−19%+50%−26%
Penalties−100%−100%+2%+2%
Headers−29%+31%+47%−18%
Left side−31%+3%+45%−30%
Centre−21%+23%−19%−39%
Right side−69%+7%+21%−19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHibernian concededLeft side−31%−19%Centre−21%−39%Right side−69%−30%Open play−53%−40%Counter-attacks−22%+111%Set pieces+9%−26%Headers−29%−18%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRoss County concededLeft side+45%+7%Centre−19%+23%Right side+21%+3%Open play−3%+25%Counter-attacks+23%−46%Set pieces+50%−19%Headers+47%+31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyHibernian

0.74xG1.42
1.33xG against0.94
42%Possession61%
7.7Shots18.1
16.9Shots against9.0
2.0Shots on target4.4
0.9Big chances1.4
18.0Touches in the opposition box21.0
321Passes418
64%Pass accuracy79%
2.6Corners8.9
34%Field tilt69%
28.7Final-third entries53.4
7.1Box entries16.7
16.5Passes per defensive action9.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level670.681.28
Ahead10.001.12
Behind220.921.49

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level350.941.07
Ahead151.610.85
Behind401.780.86

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.160–0
16–300.160.150–1
31–450.090.330–1
46–600.070.341–4
61–750.140.130–0
76–900.220.233–5

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.101–3
16–300.090.080–1
31–450.310.191–1
46–600.320.232–1
61–750.220.152–0
76–900.360.183–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 7Johnson 4Randall 2Watson 1Baldwin 6Watson 1Iacovitti 7Purrington 7Callachan 6Loturi 1Cancola 6Tillson 1Sims 2Tillson 1Olaigbe 1Dhanda 3Samuel 3Tillson 1Olaigbe 2Tillson 1Harmon 1Hiwula-Mayifuila 5White 24-2-3-1 in every start

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMarshall 7Cadden 7Porteous 6Bushiri 3Hanlon 5Cabraja 6Campbell 1Kenneh 5Doyle-Hayes 2Campbell 1Newell 5Henderson 1Melkersen 3Boyle 2Porteous 1Campbell 3Henderson 2Newell 1Youan 3Henderson 2Boyle 1Youan 4Boyle 1Kukharevych 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 7 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 February 2022Hibernian2–0Ross CountyxG 1.00–0.19
24 November 2021Ross County1–0HibernianxG 1.21–0.52
8 August 2021Hibernian3–0Ross CountyxG 1.62–0.48
13 March 2021Ross County1–2HibernianxG 1.36–2.75
30 December 2020Hibernian0–2Ross CountyxG 1.42–0.69
17 October 2020Ross County0–0HibernianxG 0.63–2.70

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 2, Hibernian won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–7 and xG 0.76–1.67 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Purrington7586000.030.11
Baldwin6540010.060.06
Callachan6531000.050.03
Iacovitti7630100.040.00

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Youan7579030.220.19
Newell7630100.080.21
Porteous7630000.120.07
Cadden7615010.030.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.