Matches › 2023/24

Hibernian 2–0 St. Johnstone

Saturday 23 September 2023, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 6 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 16,850

Hibernian Miller 35', Vente 69'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Goals	2	0
xG	2.78	0.62
Expected Points	2.67	0.22

Hibernian 86%Draw 11%St. Johnstone 4%

Most likely score 3–0, 14%. Final score 2–0, 14%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianSt. Johnstone

2.78 +1.73xG0.62 −0.14

3.14 +1.96xG on target0.56 0.00

17 +5.6Shots12 +4.4

8 +3.8Shots on target1 −1.2

7 +5.4Big chances1 −0.2

54% −1Possession46% +5

466 +63Passes375 +66

79% +5Pass accuracy77% +16

61% +8Field tilt39% +6

51 +14Final-third entries44 +22

19 +8.0Box entries13 +6.2

12.5 0Passes per defensive action10.0 −6

4 −0.4Corners4 −0.2

16 +3Tackles27 +13

4 −4.2Interceptions9 −2.8

31 +14Clearances16 −12

1 −1.0Saves5 +0.2

9 −3Fouls10 −3

1 −0.4Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianSt. Johnstone

2.34 13 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.27 7 shots, 0 goals

0.14 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.30 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.35 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 35 min (37%) · Hibernian 0.38, St. Johnstone 0.13 xG
Hibernian ahead: 60 min (63%) · Hibernian 2.40, St. Johnstone 0.48 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

53' Youan for Tavares
70' Stevenson for Obita
70' Whittaker for Le Fondre
81' Doidge for Vente
81' Hanlon for Bushiri

St. Johnstone substitutes

66' Kucheriavyi for Wright
75' Franczak for MacPherson
75' Jephcott for May

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Miller	RB	90	1		0.14	0.10	2	0.12	8	8
Fish	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.14	13	7
Bushiri	CB	81			0.01	0.01	0	0.10	9	9
Obita	LB	70			0.00	0.02	0	0.01	1	5
Tavares	RM	53			0.09	0.01	0	0.01	2	0
Jeggo	CM	90			0.00	0.16	2	0.07	7	6
Newell	CM	90		1	0.00	0.53	4	0.41	6	7
Boyle	LM	90			0.07	0.51	5	0.27	8	0
Le Fondre	ST	70		1	0.24	0.04	1	0.01	2	4
Vente	ST	81	1		0.29	0.06	2	0.07	3	1
Youan	FW	37			0.76	0.01	0	0.11	6	0
Stevenson	DF	20			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Whittaker	DF	20			0.48	0.01	0	0.01	0	3
Doidge	FW	9			0.67	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Hanlon	DF	9			0.01	0.00	0	0.03	2	4

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Mitov	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	1
Brown	RB	90	0.00	0.05	1	0.05	4	6
McClelland	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	4
Considine	CB	90	0.25	0.01	0	0.06	4	6
Robinson	LB	90	0.00	0.08	0	0.12	9	6
Sprangler	DM	90	0.00	0.02	2	0.03	2	11
Wright	RM	66	0.06	0.10	1	0.04	2	2
Phillips	CM	90	0.12	0.03	1	0.07	2	5
MacPherson	CM	75	0.04	0.08	2	0.09	5	4
Carey	LM	90	0.07	0.34	0	0.35	17	4
May	ST	75	0.05	0.02	1	0.05	4	1
Kucheriavyi	MF	24	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	3	4
Franczak		15	0.00	–	–	0.00	0	–
Jephcott	FW	15	0.03	0.01	0	−0.02	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Marshall	Fish	16
Marshall	Bushiri	15
Fish	Marshall	14
Bushiri	Obita	13
Miller	Fish	10

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Considine	Robinson	17
Robinson	Carey	13
Sprangler	Robinson	11
Robinson	Considine	11
Brown	McClelland	9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 5 matches

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	57%	65%	+8
11th	4%	3%	−1
Bottom	3%	1%	−2
St. Johnstone
Top six	11%	8%	−3
11th	20%	22%	+2
Bottom	28%	32%	+4

From the forecast before the match (23 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Expected goals	1.70	0.86
Win	57%	18%
Expected Points	1.95	0.80
Clean sheet	42%	18%

Hibernian 57%Draw 25%St. Johnstone 18%

Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 48%.

From the forecast as it stood on 23 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	St. Johnstone win
Hibernian
Top six	57%	65%	50%	45%
11th	4%	3%	6%	6%
Bottom	3%	1%	3%	6%
St. Johnstone
Top six	11%	8%	12%	19%
11th	20%	22%	20%	17%
Bottom	28%	32%	26%	19%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Position	10th	12th
Played	5	5
Won, drawn, lost	1–⁠1–⁠3	0–⁠2–⁠3
Points	4 (0.80 per game)	2 (0.40 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.28	0.61
Goals	9–⁠10	2–⁠8
xG per game	1.05–⁠1.13	0.76–⁠1.97
Home: points, xG per game	0.00, 1.11–⁠1.61	0.33, 1.00–⁠1.74
Away: points, xG per game	1.33, 1.00–⁠0.80	0.50, 0.39–⁠2.31
Manager	Nick Montgomery (1)	Steven MacLean (11)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		St. Johnstone
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−22%	−21%	−44%	+52%
Counter-attacks	+5%	+51%	−64%	+232%
Set pieces	−20%	−20%	average	+23%
Penalties	+16%	+29%	−87%	−89%
Headers	−25%	+50%	−16%	+1%
Left side	−21%	−11%	−50%	+31%
Centre	−27%	−22%	−19%	+39%
Right side	−7%	−8%	−46%	+123%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−21%+123%Centre−27%+39%Right side−7%+31%Open play−22%+52%Counter-attacks+5%+232%Set pieces−20%+23%Headers−25%+1%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−50%−8%Centre−19%−22%Right side−46%−11%Open play−44%−21%Counter-attacks−64%+51%Set piecesaverage−20%Headers−16%+50%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianSt. Johnstone

1.05xG0.76

1.13xG against1.97

55%Possession41%

11.4Shots7.6

10.4Shots against17.2

4.2Shots on target2.2

1.6Big chances1.2

403Passes309

74%Pass accuracy61%

4.4Corners4.2

53%Field tilt33%

37.0Final-third entries21.6

11.0Box entries6.8

13.0Passes per defensive action15.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	38	0.61	1.65
Ahead	17	1.02	0.83
Behind	34	1.54	0.70

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	51	0.62	1.87
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	39	0.94	2.12

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.11	0.28	1–2
16–30	0.10	0.08	0–1
31–45	0.09	0.18	0–0
46–60	0.16	0.12	1–0
61–75	0.17	0.31	3–4
76–90	0.41	0.15	4–3

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.22	0.13	0–0
16–30	0.01	0.39	0–1
31–45	0.02	0.21	0–2
46–60	0.09	0.32	0–2
61–75	0.07	0.36	0–1
76–90	0.35	0.56	2–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

Formations: 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
22 April 2023	St. Johnstone	1–1	Hibernian	xG 0.84–0.45
21 October 2022	Hibernian	1–2	St. Johnstone	xG 0.88–0.85
30 July 2022	St. Johnstone	0–1	Hibernian	xG 0.15–0.78
15 May 2022	Hibernian	4–0	St. Johnstone	xG 1.99–0.51
5 March 2022	Hibernian	0–0	St. Johnstone	xG 0.99–0.44
27 November 2021	St. Johnstone	1–2	Hibernian	xG 0.12–2.27

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 5, St. Johnstone won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 13–8 and xG 1.31–0.52 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Youan	35	2,985	9	9	0.25	0.16
Boyle	14	1,313	6	1	0.28	0.13
Henderson	11	1,177	1	3	0.19	0.10
Doidge	5	583	2	2	0.20	0.06

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
May	33	2,897	9	6	0.22	0.11
Carey	29	2,495	3	3	0.17	0.14
Wright	38	3,285	7	1	0.16	0.06
MacPherson	17	1,604	0	1	0.08	0.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.