Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Ross County 1–0 Hibernian

Wednesday 24 November 2021, 19:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 12 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 3,316

Ross County Spittal 72'

Hibernian Doidge sent off 84' · Boyle sent off 90+5'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyHibernian
Goals10
xG1.210.52
Expected Points1.940.74

Ross County 54%Draw 32%Hibernian 14%

Most likely score 1–0, 23%. Final score 1–0, 23%.

Hibernian goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+15%8%2%15%3%14%8%2%4%3%23%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTDoidge (Hibernian), red card 84'Boyle (Hibernian), red card 90+5'Cancola on for Tillson, 62'Spittal on for Charles-Cook, 71'Watson on for White, 81'Doidge on for Nisbet, 67'Allan on for Campbell, 76'Gullan on for Doig, 81'Spittal 72'Ross County 1.21Hibernian 0.5200.511.50153045607590HTDoidge (Hibernian), red card 84'Boyle (Hibernian), red card 90+5'Cancola on for Tillson, 62'Spittal on for Charles-Cook, 71'Watson on for White, 81'Doidge on for Nisbet, 67'Allan on for Campbell, 76'Gullan on for Doig, 81'Spittal 72'1.210.52Ross CountyHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyHibernian

1.21 +0.19xG0.52 −0.89
1.73 +0.71xG on target0.44 −1.06
10 0Shots6 −6
5 +1.1Shots on target4 0.0
4 +2.9Big chances0 −1.5
20 +1Touches in the opposition box15 +1
41% −2Possession59% +6
296 −26Passes419 +22
68% 0Pass accuracy75% +1
40% 0Field tilt60% +7
27 0Final-third entries57 +19
11 +2.3Box entries9 −3.1
14.2 −5Passes per defensive action12.5 0
6 +2.6Corners3 −2.5
9 −4Tackles15 +1
12 +2.5Interceptions8 −0.7
27 +2Clearances13 −4
4 +0.7Saves4 +1.3
10 −2Fouls11 0
5 +2.8Offsides4 +2.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Clarke 90+1', 0.41 xGSpittal 87', 0.24 xGHungbo 75', 0.21 xGWhite 20', 0.15 xGWhite 42', 0.07 xGHungbo 90+1', 0.06 xGHungbo 45', 0.04 xGHungbo 70', 0.02 xGWhite 29', 0.01 xGSpittal 72', 0.01 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals56%0.68 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.68 xG, 0 goals25%0.30 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals17%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.21 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 1 goal

Hibernian

Hanlon 34', 0.14 xGNisbet 15', 0.12 xGNisbet 12', 0.09 xGNisbet 63', 0.08 xGNisbet 60', 0.05 xGBoyle 54', 0.04 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals83%0.43 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.43 xG, 0 goals8%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals10%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyHibernian

0.99 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.52 6 shots, 0 goals
0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.16 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
72 min (76%) · Ross County 0.29, Hibernian 0.52 xG
Ross County ahead
23 min (24%) · Ross County 0.91, Hibernian 0.00 xG

Line-ups

312051622322617826Maynard-BrewerClarkeBaldwinIacovittiRandallHungboTillsonPatonCharles-CookCallachanWhiteYellow cardYellow card62'71'81'Ross County 4-4-1-1Malky Mackay162442722321131510MaceyMcGinnMcGregorHanlonCaddenDoyle-HayesCampbellNewellDoigNisbetBoyleYellow cardSent off76'81'67'Hibernian 3-5-2Jack Ross

Ross County substitutes

  • 62' Cancola for Tillson
  • 71' Spittal for Charles-Cook · goal 72'
  • 81' Watson for White

Hibernian substitutes

  • 67' Doidge for Nisbet · red card 84'
  • 76' Allan for Campbell
  • 81' Gullan for Doig

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Maynard-BrewerGK900.000.0000.0431
ClarkeRB900.410.0500.2096
BaldwinCB900.000.0000.0328
IacovittiCB900.000.0410.0248
Randall LB900.000.0100.0346
HungboRM900.320.1920.1050
Tillson CM620.000.0000.0004
PatonCM9010.000.0430.1356
Charles-CookLM710.000.010−0.0111
CallachanAM900.000.031−0.0145
WhiteST810.230.060−0.0101
CancolaMF280.000.0000.0002
SpittalMF1910.250.0100.0420
WatsonDF90.000.0000.0110

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0222
McGinnCB900.000.0200.13168
McGregorCB900.000.0100.02410
HanlonCB900.140.0100.0565
CaddenRWB900.000.3640.33141
Doyle-HayesCM900.000.0710.0025
CampbellCM760.000.010−0.0511
NewellCM900.000.0200.0484
DoigLWB810.000.0200.0870
Nisbet ST670.340.0200.0222
Boyle ST900.040.1510.3180
Doidge FW170.000.0000.0000
AllanMF140.000.0000.0000
GullanFW90.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Maynard-Brewer and Randall: 3 passesClarke and Randall: 3 passesIacovitti and Callachan: 3 passesHungbo and Tillson: 3 passesCharles-Cook and Callachan: 3 passesCallachan and White: 3 passesMaynard-Brewer and Clarke: 4 passesMaynard-Brewer and White: 4 passesClarke and Tillson: 4 passesBaldwin and Iacovitti: 4 passesBaldwin and Paton: 4 passesHungbo and Charles-Cook: 4 passesHungbo and Callachan: 4 passesClarke and Paton: 5 passesClarke and White: 5 passesIacovitti and Tillson: 5 passesRandall and Paton: 5 passesRandall and White: 5 passesHungbo and White: 5 passesPaton and Charles-Cook: 5 passesHungbo and Paton: 6 passesPaton and White: 6 passesRandall and Tillson: 7 passesClarke and Hungbo: 9 passesClarke and Baldwin: 12 passesRandall and Charles-Cook: 13 passesMaynard-Brewer: 8 completed passesClarke: 29 completed passesBaldwin: 13 completed passesIacovitti: 9 completed passesRandall: 23 completed passesHungbo: 14 completed passesPaton: 17 completed passesTillson: 12 completed passesCharles-Cook: 13 completed passesCallachan: 9 completed passesWhite: 9 completed passes312051622362217826Maynard-BrewerClarkeBaldwinIacovittiRandallHungboPatonTillsonCharles-CookCallachanWhiteStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Macey and McGinn: 4 passesMacey and Hanlon: 4 passesHanlon and Newell: 4 passesMcGregor and Newell: 4 passesDoyle-Hayes and Campbell: 4 passesBoyle and Nisbet: 4 passesMacey and McGregor: 5 passesMcGregor and Doyle-Hayes: 5 passesCadden and Boyle: 5 passesDoig and Campbell: 6 passesMcGinn and Campbell: 7 passesHanlon and Doyle-Hayes: 7 passesCadden and Doyle-Hayes: 7 passesMcGinn and Newell: 8 passesDoyle-Hayes and Newell: 8 passesDoyle-Hayes and Doig: 8 passesHanlon and McGregor: 9 passesCadden and Newell: 10 passesNewell and Doig: 10 passesHanlon and Doig: 11 passesCadden and Campbell: 11 passesMcGinn and McGregor: 12 passesMcGinn and Cadden: 15 passesMcGinn and Doyle-Hayes: 15 passesCadden and Nisbet: 15 passesMacey: 12 completed passesMcGinn: 40 completed passesHanlon: 24 completed passesMcGregor: 24 completed passesCadden: 32 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 33 completed passesNewell: 30 completed passesDoig: 20 completed passesCampbell: 20 completed passesBoyle: 7 completed passesNisbet: 9 completed passes164242722113321015MaceyMcGinnHanlonMcGregorCaddenDoyle-HayesNewellDoigCampbellBoyleNisbetStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
ClarkeBaldwin12
ClarkeHungbo8
Charles-CookRandall7
RandallCharles-Cook6
PatonHungbo6

Hibernian

FromToPasses
McGinnDoyle-Hayes14
CaddenNisbet12
Doyle-HayesMcGinn12
DoigHanlon11
HanlonDoig10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

2−4.04−1.617+1.86−1.43−3.54−4.73−4.96−0.512+3.813+6.43−2.23−1.34+0.27+2.99+3.26+1.41−1.81−1.42−0.82−1.01−1.23+0.70−0.40−1.33+1.80−0.800.03+2.80−0.20−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Hibernian

5+0.44−1.08−4.15−0.26+0.616+9.45−2.54−2.27−0.58+2.25−1.04−0.94+0.83−3.42−2.52−3.14+1.02−0.15+1.95+1.51−1.42+0.40−0.80−1.11−1.20−1.20−0.12+1.30−0.20−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.020.010.050.010.010.020.010.010.010.030.010.020.050.010.020.01−0.020.10−0.010.02−0.100.03−0.010.22LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.040.010.010.060.030.010.020.040.110.060.03−0.010.030.03−0.02−0.010.050.11−0.020.180.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.22AttackRoss County1.05 → 1.05Hibernian1.33 → 1.28Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.58 → 1.53Hibernian1.07 → 1.07

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six2%4%+2
11th31%28%−3
Bottom38%29%−9
Hibernian
Top six86%77%−9
11th<1%1%+1
Dundee FC
11th27%24%−3
Bottom47%52%+5
Aberdeen
Top six43%45%+2
11th3%4%+1

From the forecast before the match (24 November 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyHibernian
Expected goals1.001.68
Win22%53%
Expected Points0.911.83
Clean sheet19%37%

Ross County 22%Draw 25%Hibernian 53%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

Hibernian goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+7%5%2%6%5%2%3%6%5%3%1%1%2%2%11%10%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 24 November 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawHibernian win
Ross County
Top six2%4%1%1%
11th31%28%32%31%
Bottom38%29%36%43%
Hibernian
Top six86%77%82%91%
11th<1%1%1%<1%
Dundee FC
11th27%24%26%29%
Bottom47%52%48%44%
Aberdeen
Top six43%45%43%41%
11th3%4%3%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L2–47 NovRangers (A)xG 0.48–1.23
  2. W5–027 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.57–0.48
  3. L2–323 OctLivingston (H)xG 2.11–0.57
  4. L2–316 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.15–1.10
  5. L0–12 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.90–1.26
  6. L1–225 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.79–0.85

Hibernian

  1. L1–327 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.50–2.86
  2. L0–123 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.22–0.24
  3. L0–316 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.41–0.73
  4. L1–23 OctRangers (A)xG 0.23–1.68
  5. W1–026 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.90–0.22
  6. D2–218 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.10–0.82

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyHibernian
Position12th7th
Played1211
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠3–⁠84–⁠3–⁠4
Points6 (0.50 per game)15 (1.36 per game)
Expected Points per game1.071.63
Goals17–⁠2615–⁠15
xG per game1.02–⁠1.501.41–⁠1.01
Home: points, xG per game0.40, 1.29–⁠1.391.67, 1.43–⁠0.96
Away: points, xG per game0.57, 0.83–⁠1.581.00, 1.38–⁠1.08
ManagerMalky Mackay (12)Jack Ross (49)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.22AttackRoss County1.05, 7thHibernian1.33, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.58, 12thHibernian1.07, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovRoss County attack: 1.05Hibernian attack: 1.331.331.05HibernianRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovRoss County defence: 1.58Hibernian defence: 1.071.581.07

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−10%+42%+16%−14%
Counter-attacks−91%+37%+70%+134%
Set pieces−49%+13%−34%−2%
Penalties+58%−47%+130%−100%
Headers−49%+45%−36%+17%
Left side−21%+56%+1%−20%
Centre−40%+12%−6%+14%
Right side+9%+56%+28%−31%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHibernian concededLeft side−21%−31%Centre−40%+14%Right side+9%−20%Open play−10%−14%Counter-attacks−91%+134%Set pieces−49%−2%Headers−49%+17%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRoss County concededLeft side+1%+56%Centre−6%+12%Right side+28%+56%Open play+16%+42%Counter-attacks+70%+37%Set pieces−34%+13%Headers−36%+45%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyHibernian

1.02xG1.41
1.50xG against1.01
42%Possession52%
10.4Shots12.3
15.3Shots against11.2
3.9Shots on target4.0
1.1Big chances1.5
19.2Touches in the opposition box14.4
322Passes397
68%Pass accuracy74%
3.4Corners5.5
40%Field tilt52%
27.1Final-third entries37.8
8.7Box entries12.1
19.4Passes per defensive action12.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level380.781.38
Ahead161.531.40
Behind361.051.68

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.410.95
Ahead241.110.97
Behind251.671.15

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.163–4
16–300.150.222–5
31–450.260.247–6
46–600.060.210–3
61–750.240.293–3
76–900.200.382–5

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.151–4
16–300.160.183–3
31–450.200.143–2
46–600.250.164–2
61–750.420.213–1
76–900.240.171–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 7Laidlaw 5Clarke 5Randall 3Burroughs 2Baldwin 6Clarke 3Donaldson 1Iacovitti 11Paton 1Burroughs 1B. Paton 5Charles-Cook 2Burroughs 2Tillson 7Cancola 2Callachan 5Spittal 5Paton 4Hungbo 3Charles-Cook 2Baldwin 2Callachan 5Tillson 3Paton 2Charles-Cook 7Spittal 3Callachan 1White 9A. Samuel 2Burroughs 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMacey 11McGinn 9Cadden 2Porteous 9Wood 1Hanlon 9McGregor 3Doig 8Stevenson 2Nisbet 1Doyle-Hayes 8Cadden 1Newell 8Magennis 3Gogic 2Boyle 7Cadden 2McGinn 1Magennis 4Allan 3Newell 1Murphy 6Nisbet 1Boyle 1Nisbet 6Boyle 3Scott 14-2-3-1 in 7 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 August 2021Hibernian3–0Ross CountyxG 1.62–0.48
13 March 2021Ross County1–2HibernianxG 1.36–2.75
30 December 2020Hibernian0–2Ross CountyxG 1.42–0.69
17 October 2020Ross County0–0HibernianxG 0.63–2.70

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, Hibernian won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–5 and xG 0.79–2.12 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White9859220.270.03
Callachan11978210.250.04
Spittal10882300.140.15
Charles-Cook12963420.170.11

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle11971700.440.18
Murphy6489000.300.21
Magennis7580210.240.15
Nisbet9775200.260.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.