Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Hibernian 0–2 Ross County

Tuesday 8 November 2022, 19:45 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 15 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Alan James Muir · Attendance 13,930

Ross County Harmon 45+2', Iacovitti 78'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianRoss County
Goals02
xG1.140.70
Expected Points1.680.98

Hibernian 44%Draw 34%Ross County 21%

Most likely score 1–0, 17%. Final score 0–2, 4%.

Ross County goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+11%4%5%10%8%3%3%3%15%17%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTStevenson on for Mitchell, 39'Youan on for Kukharevych and Campbell on for Kenneh, 46'Tavares on for Henderson, 58'Sims on for Edwards, 64'Akio on for Dhanda, 72'Smith on for Cancola and Hiwula-Mayifuila on for White, 89'Harmon 45+2'Iacovitti 78'Hibernian 1.14Ross County 0.7000.511.50153045607590HTStevenson on for Mitchell, 39'Youan on for Kukharevych and Campbell on for Kenneh, 46'Tavares on for Henderson, 58'Sims on for Edwards, 64'Akio on for Dhanda, 72'Smith on for Cancola and Hiwula-Mayifuila on for White, 89'Harmon 45+2'Iacovitti 78'1.140.70HibernianRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianRoss County

1.14 −0.17xG0.70 −0.05
0.43 −0.59xG on target0.68 −0.15
21 +3.9Shots6 −2.4
4 −1.1Shots on target3 +0.6
1 −0.4Big chances2 +1.2
28 +3Touches in the opposition box9 −8
64% +5Possession36% −8
532 +114Passes300 −32
82% +4Pass accuracy67% +2
74% +8Field tilt26% −12
81 +32Final-third entries20 −10
16 +1.5Box entries4 −3.8
13.7 +4Passes per defensive action14.8 0
4 −3.1Corners3 −0.9
11 −3Tackles17 +1
5 −2.4Interceptions12 +2.1
8 −10Clearances35 +14
1 −0.7Saves4 +1.0
10 −4Fouls19 +7
1 −0.9Offsides0 −2.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Bushiri 43', 0.22 xGKukharevych 26', 0.10 xGCadden 13', 0.08 xGBushiri 52', 0.07 xGMelkersen 59', 0.07 xGPorteous 67', 0.07 xGCampbell 87', 0.06 xGMelkersen 43', 0.05 xGPorteous 74', 0.05 xGPorteous 90+4', 0.05 xGKukharevych 6', 0.04 xGMitchell 10', 0.04 xGHenderson 57', 0.04 xGPorteous 80', 0.04 xGCadden 90+4', 0.04 xGPorteous 23', 0.03 xGTavares 88', 0.03 xGHanlon 66', 0.02 xGBushiri 82', 0.02 xGHenderson 53', 0.01 xGMelkersen 80', 0.01 xG6%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals56%0.64 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 0.64 xG, 0 goals19%0.22 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals14%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals5%0.06 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

White 42', 0.18 xGWhite 42', 0.08 xGDhanda 54', 0.06 xGAkio 90+3', 0.04 xGIacovitti 78', 0.21 xG, goalHarmon 45+2', 0.12 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals86%0.59 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.59 xG, 2 goals6%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals9%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianRoss County

0.65 13 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.50 4 shots, 1 goal
0.28 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.21 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.20 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
47 min (49%) · Hibernian 0.57, Ross County 0.38 xG
Ross County ahead
49 min (51%) · Hibernian 0.56, Ross County 0.32 xG

Line-ups

153341218611199920MarshallPorteousBushiriHanlonCaddenHendersonKennehNewellMitchellKukharevychMelkersenYellow card58'46'39'46'Hibernian 3-5-2Lee Johnson112156164147221026LaidlawJohnsonWatsonIacovittiHarmonCancolaLoturiEdwardsTillsonDhandaWhiteYellow cardGoalGoalYellow cardYellow card89'64'72'89'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay

Hibernian substitutes

  • 39' Stevenson for Mitchell
  • 46' Campbell for Kenneh
  • 46' Youan for Kukharevych
  • 58' Tavares for Henderson

Ross County substitutes

  • 64' Sims for Edwards
  • 72' Akio for Dhanda
  • 89' Smith for Cancola
  • 89' Hiwula-Mayifuila for White

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarshallGK900.000.0000.0430
PorteousCB900.240.1860.38228
BushiriCB900.310.0210.1192
HanlonCB900.020.0100.1692
CaddenRWB900.120.0510.19140
HendersonCM580.050.0600.0630
KennehCM460.000.000−0.0112
NewellCM900.000.1520.17122
MitchellLWB390.040.0710.0733
Kukharevych ST460.150.0000.0013
MelkersenST900.130.021−0.0410
StevensonMF510.000.0610.1441
CampbellMF440.060.031−0.0431
YouanFW440.000.011−0.0301
TavaresMF320.030.041−0.0210

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0771
JohnsonRB900.000.0100.0445
Watson CB900.000.0000.01022
IacovittiCB9010.210.0000.03214
Harmon LB90110.120.1710.0726
CancolaDM890.000.0000.0124
LoturiDM900.000.010−0.0115
EdwardsRW640.000.0100.0243
Tillson AM900.000.0000.0218
DhandaLW7210.060.1920.2252
WhiteST890.270.011−0.0111
SimsFW260.000.0000.0010
AkioFW180.040.0000.0010
SmithDF10.000.0000.0002
Hiwula-MayifuilaFW10.000.1310.0310

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Bushiri and Cadden: 3 passesBushiri and Kenneh: 3 passesCadden and Newell: 3 passesMitchell and Kukharevych: 3 passesNewell and Henderson: 3 passesBushiri and Henderson: 4 passesHanlon and Melkersen: 4 passesMitchell and Kenneh: 4 passesMitchell and Melkersen: 4 passesBushiri and Newell: 5 passesPorteous and Kenneh: 5 passesHenderson and Melkersen: 5 passesBushiri and Melkersen: 6 passesPorteous and Newell: 6 passesCadden and Melkersen: 6 passesPorteous and Melkersen: 7 passesHanlon and Newell: 7 passesHanlon and Kenneh: 7 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 8 passesCadden and Henderson: 8 passesPorteous and Henderson: 9 passesMarshall and Hanlon: 10 passesBushiri and Hanlon: 11 passesPorteous and Cadden: 12 passesHanlon and Mitchell: 18 passesBushiri and Porteous: 20 passesMarshall: 10 completed passesBushiri: 29 completed passesPorteous: 36 completed passesHanlon: 36 completed passesCadden: 14 completed passesMitchell: 19 completed passesNewell: 16 completed passesKenneh: 10 completed passesHenderson: 14 completed passesMelkersen: 16 completed passesKukharevych: 4 completed passes133541219116182099MarshallBushiriPorteousHanlonCaddenMitchellNewellKennehHendersonMelkersenKukharevychStarters until 39' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and Johnson: 3 passesLaidlaw and Iacovitti: 3 passesLaidlaw and Loturi: 3 passesJohnson and White: 3 passesWatson and Cancola: 3 passesIacovitti and Harmon: 3 passesHarmon and Edwards: 3 passesEdwards and Tillson: 3 passesDhanda and White: 3 passesCancola and Loturi: 4 passesLaidlaw and White: 5 passesJohnson and Dhanda: 5 passesWatson and Loturi: 5 passesIacovitti and Dhanda: 5 passesTillson and Dhanda: 5 passesHarmon and Dhanda: 6 passesJohnson and Edwards: 7 passesIacovitti and Loturi: 7 passesEdwards and Dhanda: 7 passesJohnson and Cancola: 8 passesJohnson and Loturi: 8 passesHarmon and Tillson: 8 passesLoturi and Dhanda: 10 passesHarmon and Loturi: 11 passesWatson and Iacovitti: 12 passesJohnson and Watson: 18 passesLaidlaw: 14 completed passesJohnson: 32 completed passesWatson: 23 completed passesIacovitti: 18 completed passesHarmon: 17 completed passesCancola: 12 completed passesLoturi: 29 completed passesEdwards: 7 completed passesTillson: 12 completed passesDhanda: 23 completed passesWhite: 7 completed passes112156164147221026LaidlawJohnsonWatsonIacovittiHarmonCancolaLoturiEdwardsTillsonDhandaWhiteStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
PorteousCadden24
BushiriPorteous24
HanlonBushiri19
NewellPorteous15
MarshallHanlon12

Ross County

FromToPasses
JohnsonWatson13
WatsonJohnson7
HarmonLoturi7
LaidlawWhite7
WatsonIacovitti6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

4+0.72−3.36−3.76−0.56+1.64−0.450.09+1.44−0.97+1.93+0.68+2.97−0.44+0.95+0.92−0.95+0.73−1.92−0.53+0.90−1.14+2.01−1.61+0.32+1.10−1.30−0.61−0.12−5.12−4.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Ross County

8+2.17−1.324+8.811+3.48+2.29+3.112+5.113+7.111+3.513+6.46+0.12−1.96+2.68+3.15+0.76+1.74+0.60−3.43−0.13−1.24+1.62+0.40−0.81−0.83+1.30−0.62+1.60−0.90−0.30−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.020.020.030.010.040.060.070.050.030.060.050.050.080.06−0.020.07−0.02−0.07−0.020.090.150.190.17LessMore

Ross County

0.040.030.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.010.030.020.040.010.020.01−0.04−0.010.010.050.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackHibernian1.19 → 1.18Ross County0.90 → 0.90Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.10 → 1.11Ross County1.49 → 1.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hibernian
Top six77%65%−12
11th<1%1%+1
Ross County
Top six1%3%+2
11th27%26%−1
Bottom40%27%−13
Dundee United
Top six2%3%+1
11th27%23%−4
Bottom31%37%+6
Kilmarnock
Top six4%5%+1
11th22%23%+1
Bottom20%23%+3

From the forecast before the match (8 November 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianRoss County
Expected goals1.750.73
Win61%15%
Expected Points2.080.68
Clean sheet48%17%

Hibernian 61%Draw 24%Ross County 15%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Ross County goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+9%6%2%4%9%3%8%5%2%3%2%1%14%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 November 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawRoss County win
Hibernian
Top six77%83%70%65%
11th<1%<1%1%1%
Ross County
Top six1%1%2%3%
11th27%28%26%26%
Bottom40%44%36%27%
Dundee United
Top six2%2%2%3%
11th27%27%27%23%
Bottom31%29%31%37%
Kilmarnock
Top six4%4%5%5%
11th22%22%21%23%
Bottom20%18%22%23%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L1–44 NovAberdeen (A)xG 1.50–1.69
  2. W3–029 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.87–0.82
  3. L1–221 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.88–0.85
  4. L1–615 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.44–2.74
  5. L0–111 OctDundee United (A)xG 1.31–0.56
  6. W1–08 OctMotherwell (H)xG 0.67–0.34

Ross County

  1. W3–25 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.14–0.59
  2. L1–230 OctHearts (H)xG 1.44–0.65
  3. L0–122 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 0.70–1.10
  4. D1–115 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.35–1.64
  5. W1–08 OctLivingston (A)xG 0.53–1.73
  6. L0–54 OctMotherwell (H)xG 0.52–2.58

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianRoss County
Position5th11th
Played1414
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠2–⁠63–⁠3–⁠8
Points20 (1.43 per game)12 (0.86 per game)
Expected Points per game1.590.96
Goals18–⁠2010–⁠24
xG per game1.31–⁠1.010.75–⁠1.38
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 1.42–⁠0.801.00, 0.81–⁠1.30
Away: points, xG per game0.86, 1.19–⁠1.230.67, 0.67–⁠1.48
ManagerLee Johnson (14)Malky Mackay (52)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackHibernian1.19, 4thRoss County0.90, 11thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.10, 3rdRoss County1.49, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovHibernian attack: 1.19Ross County attack: 0.901.190.90Ross CountyHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovHibernian defence: 1.10Ross County defence: 1.491.491.10

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−2%−32%−43%+15%
Counter-attacks−18%+127%−34%+90%
Set pieces+24%−15%−9%+1%
Penalties−14%−14%−100%−57%
Headers−2%−27%−15%−7%
Left side+22%−24%−22%+3%
Centre−25%−23%−27%+18%
Right side+30%−18%−58%+23%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRoss County concededLeft side+22%+23%Centre−25%+18%Right side+30%+3%Open play−2%+15%Counter-attacks−18%+90%Set pieces+24%+1%Headers−2%−7%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHibernian concededLeft side−22%−18%Centre−27%−23%Right side−58%−24%Open play−43%−32%Counter-attacks−34%+127%Set pieces−9%−15%Headers−15%−27%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianRoss County

1.31xG0.75
1.01xG against1.38
59%Possession44%
17.1Shots8.4
9.6Shots against15.9
5.1Shots on target2.4
1.4Big chances0.8
24.6Touches in the opposition box16.9
418Passes332
79%Pass accuracy65%
7.1Corners3.9
66%Field tilt38%
49.1Final-third entries30.1
14.5Box entries7.8
10.0Passes per defensive action15.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.011.16
Ahead181.520.63
Behind351.511.06

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level550.761.32
Ahead60.042.21
Behind300.871.32

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.111–5
16–300.080.170–3
31–450.270.183–2
46–600.320.184–3
61–750.260.146–3
76–900.240.234–4

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.172–2
16–300.130.200–4
31–450.140.271–2
46–600.080.333–8
61–750.150.171–1
76–900.140.233–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMarshall 14Cadden 11Porteous 3Porteous 10Bushiri 6Hanlon 12Cabraja 9Kukharevych 3Campbell 1Kenneh 11Campbell 5Doyle-Hayes 2Newell 7Henderson 2Boyle 6Cadden 3Melkersen 3Newell 4Campbell 4Cabraja 3Youan 6Henderson 2Newell 2Kukharevych 5Youan 4Boyle 34-2-3-1 in 7 of 14 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-5-2 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 5-3-2 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 14Johnson 10Watson 2Randall 2Baldwin 13Watson 1Iacovitti 14Purrington 11Harmon 3Tillson 7Callachan 6Paton 2Cancola 11Loturi 2Edwards 4Hiwula-Mayifuila 4Sims 2Dhanda 5Callachan 5Samuel 3Edwards 5Olaigbe 3Sims 2White 9Hiwula-Mayifuila 54-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 October 2022Ross County0–2HibernianxG 0.66–1.66
19 February 2022Hibernian2–0Ross CountyxG 1.00–0.19
24 November 2021Ross County1–0HibernianxG 1.21–0.52
8 August 2021Hibernian3–0Ross CountyxG 1.62–0.48
13 March 2021Ross County1–2HibernianxG 1.36–2.75
30 December 2020Hibernian0–2Ross CountyxG 1.42–0.69

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 4, Ross County won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 9–4 and xG 1.67–0.75 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kukharevych8608310.450.16
Boyle10936510.330.13
Youan10828130.230.15
Henderson7545120.220.09

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White9854300.280.06
Edwards9869220.140.11
Dhanda5579010.020.16
Johnson10939000.090.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.