Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Hibernian 3–0 Ross County

Sunday 8 August 2021, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 2 · Half-time 3–0 · Attendance 5,600

Hibernian Boyle 22', Magennis 26', Doidge 33'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianRoss County
Goals30
xG1.620.48
Expected Points2.230.52

Hibernian 66%Draw 25%Ross County 9%

Most likely score 1–0, 20%. Final score 3–0, 9%.

Ross County goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+11%5%1%12%2%9%2%9%5%1%3%2%20%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMcGregor on for Hanlon, 46'Mackay on for Boyle, 71'Allan on for Murphy, 79'Clarke on for Donaldson and Burroughs on for H. Paton, 46'Cancola on for Callachan, 75'Boyle 22'Magennis 26'Doidge 33'Hibernian 1.62Ross County 0.4800.511.520153045607590HTMcGregor on for Hanlon, 46'Mackay on for Boyle, 71'Allan on for Murphy, 79'Clarke on for Donaldson and Burroughs on for H. Paton, 46'Cancola on for Callachan, 75'Boyle 22'Magennis 26'Doidge 33'1.620.48HibernianRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianRoss County

1.62 −1.26xG0.48 +0.17
2.08 −0.71xG on target0.00 0.00
18 +4.0Shots8 +4.0
6 +1.0Shots on target0 0.0
3 0.0Big chances0 0.0
59% +2Possession41% −4
463 +43Passes328 +10
82% +3Pass accuracy74% +8
67% +3Field tilt33% −3
45 +7Final-third entries28 +4
15 +1.0Box entries5 −2.0
16.5 +2Passes per defensive action18.4 +7
11 +7.0Corners4 +4.0
13 −4Tackles16 −6
7 −3.0Interceptions4 −4.0
11 −6Clearances24 −16
0 −3.0Saves3 +1.0
7 −4Fouls11 −8
2 +2.0Offsides2 +2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Doidge 40', 0.29 xGMurphy 28', 0.25 xGDoidge 59', 0.18 xGDoidge 64', 0.14 xGMagennis 13', 0.13 xGBoyle 24', 0.10 xGMagennis 13', 0.07 xGMcGregor 90', 0.07 xGDoidge 15', 0.04 xGBoyle 2', 0.03 xGDoyle-Hayes 52', 0.03 xGMurphy 57', 0.02 xGPorteous 29', 0.01 xGMurphy 36', 0.01 xGMcGregor 64', 0.01 xGMagennis 26', 0.18 xG, goalDoidge 33', 0.04 xG, goalBoyle 22', 0.02 xG, goal22%0.36 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.36 xG, 0 goals65%1.04 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.04 xG, 2 goals8%0.13 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals4%0.06 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.06 xG, 1 goal

Ross County

White 8', 0.19 xGCallachan 37', 0.11 xGSpittal 36', 0.05 xGClarke 67', 0.04 xGIacovitti 82', 0.04 xGIacovitti 14', 0.02 xGBurroughs 54', 0.02 xGBurroughs 69', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals73%0.35 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.35 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals23%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals4%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianRoss County

1.13 11 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.46 7 shots, 0 goals
0.49 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.02 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
22 min (24%) · Hibernian 0.29, Ross County 0.20 xG
Hibernian ahead
69 min (76%) · Hibernian 1.33, Ross County 0.28 xG

Line-ups

165432211107189MaceyMcGinnPorteousHanlonDoigDoyle-HayesNewellBoyleMagennisMurphyDoidgeGoalGoalGoal46'71'79'Hibernian 4-2-3-1Jack Ross12251516176227826LaidlawRandallDonaldsonWatsonIacovittiCharles-CookH. PatonTillsonSpittalCallachanWhite46'46'75'Ross County 5-4-1Malky Mackay

Hibernian substitutes

  • 46' McGregor for Hanlon
  • 71' Mackay for Boyle
  • 79' Allan for Murphy

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Clarke for Donaldson · yellow card 56'
  • 46' Burroughs for H. Paton
  • 75' Cancola for Callachan · yellow card 90+1'

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0211
McGinnRB9010.000.0910.19134
PorteousCB900.010.0310.0978
HanlonCB460.000.0000.0433
DoigLB9010.000.1510.2273
Doyle-HayesDM900.030.0300.0383
NewellDM9010.000.4230.2465
BoyleRW7110.140.3640.4140
MagennisAM9010.380.071−0.0201
MurphyLW790.280.2420.23121
DoidgeST9010.690.021−0.1321
McGregorDF440.080.012−0.0512
MackayMF190.000.0100.0130
AllanMF110.000.0000.0000

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0331
RandallRWB900.000.1520.1724
DonaldsonCB460.000.0100.0224
WatsonCB900.000.0000.0238
IacovittiCB900.050.0310.1566
Charles-CookLWB900.000.0710.18127
H. PatonRM460.000.020−0.0111
TillsonCM900.000.0100.0027
SpittalCM900.050.0520.0722
CallachanLM750.110.0210.0001
WhiteST900.190.000−0.0114
Clarke DF440.040.0100.0341
BurroughsDF440.040.000−0.0102
Cancola MF150.000.0000.0011

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Macey and Porteous: 3 passesPorteous and Newell: 3 passesPorteous and Murphy: 3 passesHanlon and Magennis: 3 passesNewell and Doidge: 3 passesBoyle and Murphy: 3 passesMagennis and Murphy: 3 passesMurphy and Doidge: 3 passesMacey and Hanlon: 4 passesMcGinn and Newell: 4 passesMcGinn and Boyle: 4 passesPorteous and Doig: 4 passesDoig and Magennis: 5 passesDoyle-Hayes and Boyle: 5 passesHanlon and Doig: 6 passesDoyle-Hayes and Murphy: 6 passesNewell and Murphy: 6 passesHanlon and Murphy: 7 passesHanlon and Newell: 8 passesHanlon and Doyle-Hayes: 9 passesDoig and Newell: 9 passesMcGinn and Porteous: 11 passesMcGinn and Doyle-Hayes: 11 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 11 passesDoig and Murphy: 11 passesPorteous and Doyle-Hayes: 12 passesMacey: 7 completed passesMcGinn: 24 completed passesPorteous: 26 completed passesHanlon: 27 completed passesDoig: 18 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 25 completed passesNewell: 20 completed passesBoyle: 7 completed passesMagennis: 8 completed passesMurphy: 20 completed passesDoidge: 5 completed passes165432211107189MaceyMcGinnPorteousHanlonDoigDoyle-HayesNewellBoyleMagennisMurphyDoidgeStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and White: 3 passesRandall and Spittal: 3 passesRandall and White: 3 passesIacovitti and Callachan: 3 passesDonaldson and Tillson: 3 passesWatson and Tillson: 3 passesH. Paton and Callachan: 3 passesH. Paton and White: 3 passesCallachan and White: 3 passesLaidlaw and Watson: 4 passesIacovitti and Watson: 4 passesDonaldson and Spittal: 4 passesSpittal and White: 4 passesLaidlaw and Iacovitti: 5 passesRandall and Tillson: 5 passesCharles-Cook and Spittal: 5 passesSpittal and Callachan: 5 passesIacovitti and Charles-Cook: 6 passesH. Paton and Spittal: 6 passesCharles-Cook and Callachan: 7 passesRandall and H. Paton: 8 passesLaidlaw: 10 completed passesRandall: 12 completed passesIacovitti: 13 completed passesDonaldson: 8 completed passesWatson: 9 completed passesCharles-Cook: 11 completed passesH. Paton: 14 completed passesTillson: 10 completed passesSpittal: 16 completed passesCallachan: 9 completed passesWhite: 9 completed passes12162515176227826LaidlawRandallIacovittiDonaldsonWatsonCharles-CookH. PatonTillsonSpittalCallachanWhiteStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
McGinnDoyle-Hayes18
PorteousDoig13
Doyle-HayesMcGinn12
PorteousDoyle-Hayes11
DoigNewell10

Ross County

FromToPasses
Charles-CookCallachan8
SpittalCharles-Cook8
IacovittiCharles-Cook7
RandallClarke7
IacovittiWhite6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

5+1.08+2.030.05+2.06−2.08+1.02−6.09+2.07−3.02−5.04−2.030.040.08+4.02−2.010.01−1.05−2.06−1.00−2.010.020.01+1.00−2.00−4.000.000.000.02+2.01−13.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Ross County

7+1.04−1.0160.09−6.0140.010+4.02−3.06−6.03−3.09+3.04+1.00−2.03−6.02−3.06+3.03−1.030.030.02−2.02−2.00−2.000.02+1.00−1.000.000.000.02+2.05−7.04−8.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.010.010.020.010.010.040.070.020.040.020.090.020.010.040.060.070.100.040.170.040.13−0.150.030.170.24LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.010.010.020.020.020.010.030.040.020.04−0.010.040.06−0.01−0.050.01−0.010.010.090.130.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackHibernian1.32 → 1.35Ross County0.93 → 0.93Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.02 → 1.01Ross County1.54 → 1.55

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hibernian
Title2%3%+1
Top six89%92%+3
Ross County
Top six6%5%−1
11th23%24%+1
Bottom28%31%+3
Motherwell
Top six13%13%0
11th19%19%0
Bottom15%14%−1
Livingston
Top six29%29%0
11th10%9%−1
Bottom6%6%0

From the forecast before the match (8 August 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianRoss County
Expected goals1.940.78
Win64%14%
Expected Points2.150.63
Clean sheet46%14%

Hibernian 64%Draw 22%Ross County 14%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 47%.

Ross County goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+7%5%2%4%1%4%1%8%6%2%4%3%1%2%1%12%10%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 August 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawRoss County win
Hibernian
Title2%3%2%1%
Top six89%92%86%82%
Ross County
Top six6%5%7%13%
11th23%24%22%20%
Bottom28%31%25%19%
Motherwell
Top six13%13%13%12%
11th19%19%19%17%
Bottom15%14%16%19%
Livingston
Top six29%29%28%29%
11th10%9%10%12%
Bottom6%6%6%6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. W3–21 AugMotherwell (A)xG 2.88–1.47
  2. D0–015 MayCeltic (H)xG 0.35–2.10
  3. W1–012 MayAberdeen (A)xG 0.44–1.28
  4. L0–11 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.08–0.73
  5. W2–121 AprLivingston (H)xG 2.31–1.77
  6. L1–211 AprRangers (A)xG 1.09–0.58

Ross County

  1. D0–031 JulSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.31–1.68
  2. W2–116 MayMotherwell (A)xG 1.23–0.67
  3. W2–112 MayHamilton Academical (H)xG 0.41–0.69
  4. W2–01 MayDundee United (A)xG 2.18–0.16
  5. L1–321 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.65–2.23
  6. D2–210 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 1.07–0.69

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianRoss County
Position4th7th
Played11
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠0–⁠00–⁠1–⁠0
Points3 (3.00 per game)1 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game2.360.24
Goals3–⁠20–⁠0
xG per game2.88–⁠1.470.31–⁠1.68
Home: points, xG per game–⁠1.00, 0.31–⁠1.68
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 2.88–⁠1.47–⁠
ManagerJack Ross (39)Malky Mackay (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackHibernian1.32, 3rdRoss County0.93, 11thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.02, 5thRoss County1.54, 12th

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+39%−22%−29%+26%
Counter-attacks−15%+160%+7%−20%
Set pieces+3%+26%−7%+8%
Penalties+120%−21%−74%+173%
Headers+14%−1%+14%−14%
Left side+4%−15%−28%+14%
Centre+46%−19%−19%+18%
Right side+15%+44%−19%+26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRoss County concededLeft side+4%+26%Centre+46%+18%Right side+15%+14%Open play+39%+26%Counter-attacks−15%−20%Set pieces+3%+8%Headers+14%−14%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHibernian concededLeft side−28%+44%Centre−19%−19%Right side−19%−15%Open play−29%−22%Counter-attacks+7%+160%Set pieces−7%+26%Headers+14%−1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianRoss County

2.88xG0.31
1.47xG against1.68
57%Possession45%
14.0Shots4.0
9.0Shots against10.0
5.0Shots on target0.0
3.0Big chances0.0
420Passes318
79%Pass accuracy66%
4.0Corners0.0
64%Field tilt36%
38.0Final-third entries24.0
14.0Box entries7.0
14.1Passes per defensive action11.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level383.222.98
Ahead200.180.77
Behind324.130.14

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level900.311.68
Ahead0––
Behind0––

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.440–1
16–300.730.201–1
31–450.060.000–0
46–600.930.071–0
61–751.030.601–0
76–900.040.170–0

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.280.110–0
16–300.020.000–0
31–450.000.040–0
46–600.000.000–0
61–750.000.850–0
76–900.010.680–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMacey 1McGinn 1Porteous 1Hanlon 1Stevenson 1Newell 1Gogic 1Boyle 1Magennis 1Murphy 1Nisbet 14-2-3-1 in every start

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTLaidlaw 1Donaldson 1Iacovitti 1Watson 1Randall 1Callachan 1Tillson 1Spittal 1Charles-C… 1Charles-CookWhite 1Samuel 13-5-2 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
13 March 2021Ross County1–2HibernianxG 1.36–2.75
30 December 2020Hibernian0–2Ross CountyxG 1.42–0.69
17 October 2020Ross County0–0HibernianxG 0.63–2.70

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 1, Ross County won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–3 and xG 2.29–0.89 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet292,6571420.480.08
Boyle363,2421360.390.15
Doidge292,739820.370.07
Murphy151,288110.110.16

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shaw121,284610.290.06
White121,108450.290.05
Charles-Cook101,115000.160.07
Spittal8616110.050.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.