Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Hibernian 2–0 Ross County

Saturday 19 February 2022, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 27 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 14,149

Hibernian Doyle-Hayes 50', 78'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianRoss County
Goals20
xG1.000.19
Expected Points2.060.56

Hibernian 56%Draw 37%Ross County 6%

Most likely score 1–0, 31%. Final score 2–0, 15%.

Ross County goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+6%8%15%3%4%30%31%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMueller on for Jasper, 70'Scott on for Nisbet and Wright on for Henderson, 76'McGregor on for Campbell, 89'Hungbo on for D. Samuel, 64'A. Samuel on for Tillson, 83'Doyle-Hayes 50'Doyle-Hayes 78'Hibernian 1.00Ross County 0.1900.511.50153045607590HTMueller on for Jasper, 70'Scott on for Nisbet and Wright on for Henderson, 76'McGregor on for Campbell, 89'Hungbo on for D. Samuel, 64'A. Samuel on for Tillson, 83'Doyle-Hayes 50'Doyle-Hayes 78'1.000.19HibernianRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianRoss County

1.00 −0.23xG0.19 −0.93
1.33 +0.13xG on target0.12 −1.18
15 +3Shots4 −6
6 +2.4Shots on target3 −1.1
2 +0.5Big chances0 −1.5
14 −5Touches in the opposition box10 −7
52% −2Possession48% +6
392 −32Passes371 +60
78% +2Pass accuracy72% +8
66% +13Field tilt34% −7
36 −4Final-third entries31 +2
5 −6.4Box entries5 −3.3
14.2 +2Passes per defensive action14.1 −2
7 +1.5Corners4 −0.2
14 −1Tackles10 −3
5 −4.4Interceptions8 −2.3
21 +5Clearances18 −8
3 +0.3Saves4 +0.3
14 +2Fouls13 0
3 +0.8Offsides5 +2.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Henderson 66', 0.31 xGNisbet 41', 0.09 xGPorteous 48', 0.09 xGCampbell 50', 0.09 xGPorteous 67', 0.09 xGDoig 87', 0.07 xGNisbet 48', 0.05 xGScott 81', 0.04 xGHenderson 25', 0.03 xGHenderson 49', 0.03 xGCadden 17', 0.02 xGBushiri 48', 0.01 xGCampbell 82', 0.01 xGDoyle-Hayes 78', 0.05 xG, goalDoyle-Hayes 50', 0.02 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals64%0.64 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.64 xG, 0 goals23%0.23 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals13%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.13 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

White 16', 0.14 xGCharles-Cook 52', 0.02 xGCallachan 58', 0.02 xGBaldwin 73', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals5%0.01 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals74%0.14 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.14 xG, 0 goals11%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals11%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianRoss County

0.60 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.18 3 shots, 0 goals
0.40 7 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.01 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
50 min (56%) · Hibernian 0.43, Ross County 0.14 xG
Hibernian ahead
40 min (44%) · Hibernian 0.57, Ross County 0.05 xG

Line-ups

1335162722323802015MaceyBushiriPorteousStevensonCaddenDoyle-HayesCampbellDoigHendersonJasperNisbetYellow cardGoalGoalYellow cardYellow card89'76'70'76'Hibernian 3-4-2-1Shaun Maloney1251636221781026LaidlawRandallBaldwinIacovittiVokinsH. PatonTillsonCharles-CookCallachanD. SamuelWhiteYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card83'64'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay

Hibernian substitutes

  • 70' Mueller for Jasper
  • 76' Wright for Henderson
  • 76' Scott for Nisbet
  • 89' McGregor for Campbell

Ross County substitutes

  • 64' Hungbo for D. Samuel
  • 83' A. Samuel for Tillson

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0102
Bushiri CB900.010.0100.0787
PorteousCB900.180.0010.0429
StevensonCB900.000.0000.0984
CaddenRWB900.020.0300.08100
Doyle-Hayes CM9020.070.0200.0654
CampbellCM8910.100.021−0.0613
DoigLWB900.070.0210.0451
HendersonAM760.380.1530.0414
JasperAM700.000.2030.0340
Nisbet ST760.130.011−0.0101
MuellerFW200.000.0600.0110
WrightDF140.000.0000.0010
ScottFW140.040.0000.0012
McGregorDF10.000.0000.0003

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0440
RandallRB900.000.0210.0786
Baldwin CB900.010.0100.07124
IacovittiCB900.000.0100.0638
VokinsLB900.000.1710.1178
H. Paton DM900.000.0700.0644
Tillson DM830.000.0000.0136
Charles-CookRW900.020.0110.0230
CallachanAM900.020.0100.0352
D. SamuelLW640.000.010−0.0212
White ST900.140.0500.0011
HungboFW260.000.0510.0420
A. SamuelFW70.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Macey and Bushiri: 5 passesPorteous and Jasper: 5 passesDoig and Doyle-Hayes: 5 passesJasper and Henderson: 5 passesPorteous and Doyle-Hayes: 6 passesPorteous and Campbell: 6 passesStevenson and Campbell: 6 passesBushiri and Henderson: 7 passesDoig and Jasper: 7 passesMacey and Porteous: 8 passesCadden and Henderson: 8 passesPorteous and Cadden: 9 passesBushiri and Doyle-Hayes: 10 passesStevenson and Jasper: 10 passesCadden and Jasper: 10 passesDoig and Campbell: 10 passesMacey and Stevenson: 11 passesDoyle-Hayes and Henderson: 11 passesStevenson and Doig: 12 passesBushiri and Porteous: 13 passesBushiri and Cadden: 15 passesPorteous and Stevenson: 19 passesCadden and Doyle-Hayes: 21 passesMacey: 19 completed passesBushiri: 31 completed passesPorteous: 40 completed passesStevenson: 32 completed passesCadden: 37 completed passesDoig: 23 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 29 completed passesCampbell: 18 completed passesJasper: 22 completed passesHenderson: 17 completed passesNisbet: 8 completed passes1335162732232208015MaceyBushiriPorteousStevensonCaddenDoigDoyle-HayesCampbellJasperHendersonNisbetStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and Baldwin: 4 passesRandall and Charles-Cook: 4 passesBaldwin and Callachan: 4 passesH. Paton and Charles-Cook: 4 passesTillson and Callachan: 4 passesCharles-Cook and Callachan: 4 passesD. Samuel and White: 4 passesCallachan and White: 4 passesIacovitti and Callachan: 5 passesVokins and Tillson: 5 passesVokins and Charles-Cook: 5 passesRandall and D. Samuel: 6 passesH. Paton and Callachan: 6 passesLaidlaw and White: 8 passesLaidlaw and Iacovitti: 9 passesVokins and H. Paton: 9 passesBaldwin and Iacovitti: 10 passesVokins and Callachan: 12 passesRandall and Baldwin: 17 passesIacovitti and Vokins: 23 passesLaidlaw: 18 completed passesRandall: 22 completed passesBaldwin: 25 completed passesIacovitti: 31 completed passesVokins: 36 completed passesH. Paton: 16 completed passesTillson: 12 completed passesCharles-Cook: 9 completed passesD. Samuel: 10 completed passesCallachan: 20 completed passesWhite: 10 completed passes1251636221710826LaidlawRandallBaldwinIacovittiVokinsH. PatonTillsonCharles-CookD. SamuelCallachanWhiteStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
CaddenDoyle-Hayes13
Doyle-HayesCadden12
PorteousStevenson10
BushiriCadden10
StevensonPorteous9

Ross County

FromToPasses
VokinsIacovitti15
IacovittiVokins13
BaldwinRandall12
RandallBaldwin12
VokinsCallachan10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

5+0.35+0.15−0.56+1.48+1.56−1.510+1.910+3.24−1.88+2.64+0.46−1.17+1.67+1.38+4.52−0.25+1.86+3.90−1.50−1.02+0.93+0.610.00−0.110.00−0.23+2.26−5.11−4.50−4.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Ross County

8+2.77+0.86−1.66−0.36−1.82−5.83−3.59+0.77−1.76+1.04−0.51−2.45−0.111+4.95+0.97+4.24+1.20−3.34+0.11−1.22−0.21+0.32+0.42−0.11+0.10−0.11+0.41+0.70−0.67−8.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.010.030.010.010.020.040.020.020.010.020.030.03−0.010.020.02−0.01−0.01−0.010.01−0.02−0.060.010.080.11LessMore

Ross County

0.010.040.030.030.010.010.020.030.010.050.040.010.050.010.01−0.020.030.070.06LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackHibernian1.15 → 1.14Ross County1.06 → 1.04Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.03 → 1.01Ross County1.47 → 1.46

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hibernian
Top six65%76%+11
11th<1%<1%0
Ross County
Top six5%2%−3
11th14%16%+2
Bottom4%6%+2
Aberdeen
Top six52%50%−2
Dundee United
Top six44%42%−2
11th2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (19 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianRoss County
Expected goals1.680.89
Win55%19%
Expected Points1.910.83
Clean sheet41%19%

Hibernian 55%Draw 25%Ross County 19%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 49%.

Ross County goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%5%2%4%1%6%5%2%3%2%1%12%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawRoss County win
Hibernian
Top six65%76%56%42%
11th<1%<1%1%1%
Ross County
Top six5%2%4%14%
11th14%16%13%7%
Bottom4%6%3%1%
Aberdeen
Top six52%50%53%56%
Dundee United
Top six44%42%45%48%
11th2%2%2%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L0–29 FebRangers (A)xG 0.81–2.45
  2. L0–15 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.22–0.38
  3. D0–01 FebHearts (H)xG 1.02–1.37
  4. L2–329 JanLivingston (H)xG 1.32–1.88
  5. D0–026 JanMotherwell (A)xG 0.38–0.61
  6. L0–217 JanCeltic (A)xG 0.57–2.94

Ross County

  1. D1–19 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.48–1.75
  2. W2–15 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.78–1.12
  3. D1–11 FebAberdeen (H)xG 0.32–0.74
  4. D3–329 JanRangers (H)xG 1.63–3.20
  5. L1–226 JanDundee United (A)xG 1.19–2.96
  6. W3–118 JanMotherwell (H)xG 1.20–0.59

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianRoss County
Position7th10th
Played2626
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠7–⁠116–⁠9–⁠11
Points31 (1.19 per game)27 (1.04 per game)
Expected Points per game1.451.17
Goals26–⁠3038–⁠44
xG per game1.23–⁠1.111.12–⁠1.49
Home: points, xG per game1.38, 1.22–⁠1.061.15, 1.20–⁠1.43
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.25–⁠1.160.92, 1.03–⁠1.55
ManagerShaun Maloney (8)Malky Mackay (26)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackHibernian1.15, 4thRoss County1.06, 6thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.03, 4thRoss County1.47, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebHibernian attack: 1.15Ross County attack: 1.061.151.06Ross CountyHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebHibernian defence: 1.03Ross County defence: 1.471.471.03

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+5%−12%−12%+19%
Counter-attacks+63%+19%−58%+63%
Set pieces−33%average−18%+40%
Penalties+42%−15%+70%−15%
Headers−10%+8%−40%+57%
Left side+4%−4%−12%+49%
Centre−7%−1%−20%+20%
Right sideaverage−27%−10%+13%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRoss County concededLeft side+4%+13%Centre−7%+20%Right sideaverage+49%Open play+5%+19%Counter-attacks+63%+63%Set pieces−33%+40%Headers−10%+57%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHibernian concededLeft side−12%−27%Centre−20%−1%Right side−10%−4%Open play−12%−12%Counter-attacks−58%+19%Set pieces−18%averageHeaders−40%+8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianRoss County

1.23xG1.12
1.11xG against1.49
54%Possession42%
11.7Shots10.2
11.1Shots against15.9
3.6Shots on target4.1
1.5Big chances1.5
19.2Touches in the opposition box16.9
424Passes312
76%Pass accuracy65%
5.5Corners4.2
53%Field tilt41%
39.5Final-third entries29.2
11.4Box entries8.3
12.6Passes per defensive action16.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.260.97
Ahead191.081.09
Behind251.301.39

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.901.39
Ahead141.481.53
Behind281.301.64

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.152–6
16–300.140.213–6
31–450.220.157–3
46–600.200.235–6
61–750.240.174–3
76–900.260.215–6

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.183–7
16–300.220.206–8
31–450.170.2210–8
46–600.120.223–8
61–750.200.308–5
76–900.330.378–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMacey 24Dabrowski 2McGinn 11Boyle 9Bushiri 5Porteous 21Wood 1Hanlon 18Stevenson 5McGregor 5Cadden 16McGinn 9Doig 1Doyle-Hayes 22Cadden 2Stevenson 1Newell 17Campbell 4Gogic 3Doig 18Stevenson 4Mitchell 2Campbell 9Allan 4Magennis 4Nisbet 23Scott 2Boyle 11Murphy 8Doidge 43-4-1-2 in 12 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (12), 4-2-3-1 (8), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 17Laidlaw 9Randall 10Clarke 10Ramsay 2Baldwin 15Watson 7Clarke 5Iacovitti 20H. Paton 1Burroughs 1Vokins 11Randall 5B. Paton 5Tillson 14H. Paton 10Callachan 8Spittal 10Cancola 9Charles-Cook 1Hungbo 11Charles-Cook 6Spittal 3Callachan 13Tillson 4H. Paton 3Charles-Cook 16Spittal 5Hungbo 4White 18D. Samuel 4A. Samuel 24-2-3-1 in 13 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 4-4-2 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
24 November 2021Ross County1–0HibernianxG 1.21–0.52
8 August 2021Hibernian3–0Ross CountyxG 1.62–0.48
13 March 2021Ross County1–2HibernianxG 1.36–2.75
30 December 2020Hibernian0–2Ross CountyxG 1.42–0.69
17 October 2020Ross County0–0HibernianxG 0.63–2.70

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 2, Ross County won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 5–4 and xG 1.80–0.87 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Doidge4512200.440.08
Boyle201,781730.310.21
Murphy8801210.320.19
Nisbet242,042500.350.05

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
D. Samuel7810100.310.06
Charles-Cook252,0551120.250.10
Spittal201,770420.120.17
Hungbo151,285330.140.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.