Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Hibernian 0–0 Celtic

Sunday 27 February 2022, 12:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 28 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 17,374

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianCeltic
Goals00
xG0.130.94
Expected Points0.522.09

Hibernian 4%Draw 39%Celtic 57%

Most likely score 0–1, 34%. Final score 0–0, 34%.

Celtic goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+15%4%4%5%2%34%34%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTDoidge on for Nisbet, 26'Mueller on for Wright, 62'Allan on for Stevenson, 76'O'Riley on for Rogic, 58'Celtic 0.94Hibernian 0.1300.250.50.7510153045607590HTDoidge on for Nisbet, 26'Mueller on for Wright, 62'Allan on for Stevenson, 76'O'Riley on for Rogic, 58'0.940.13HibernianCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianCeltic

0.13 −1.09xG0.94 −1.55
0.00 −1.21xG on target0.63 −1.78
2 −10Shots13 −8
0 −3.7Shots on target3 −4.0
0 −1.5Big chances2 −1.7
8 −11Touches in the opposition box23 −14
39% −15Possession61% −9
361 −62Passes538 −114
75% 0Pass accuracy85% −2
20% −33Field tilt80% +1
20 −19Final-third entries57 −17
5 −6Box entries15 −8
21.8 +9Passes per defensive action11.6 +2
3 −2.5Corners8 −1.6
13 −2Tackles16 +3
15 +5.7Interceptions4 −4.3
28 +12Clearances9 −6
3 +0.3Saves0 −1.4
9 −3Fouls16 +4
1 −1.3Offsides2 +0.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Jasper 54', 0.07 xGDoig 81', 0.05 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals42%0.05 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals58%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Abada 78', 0.29 xGAbada 14', 0.22 xGJota 90+5', 0.06 xGJuranovic 37', 0.05 xGJuranovic 45+3', 0.05 xGAbada 90', 0.05 xGJota 39', 0.04 xGO'Riley 71', 0.04 xGHatate 90+8', 0.04 xGAbada 6', 0.03 xGJota 54', 0.03 xGMcGregor 58', 0.02 xGJuranovic 65', 0.02 xG5%0.05 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals31%0.29 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.29 xG, 0 goals33%0.31 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals23%0.22 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals7%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianCeltic

0.13 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.77 9 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.17 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
101 min (100%) · Hibernian 0.13, Celtic 0.94 xG

Line-ups

133532722321682015MaceyBushiriPorteousDoigCaddenDoyle-HayesCampbellStevensonWrightJasperNisbetYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card76'62'26'Hibernian 3-4-2-1Shaun Maloney15882043184241113817HartJuranovicCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorRogicMcGregorHatateAbadaMaedaJotaYellow cardYellow card58'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou

Hibernian substitutes

  • 26' Doidge for Nisbet
  • 62' Mueller for Wright
  • 76' Allan for Stevenson · yellow card 90+3'

Celtic substitutes

  • 58' O'Riley for Rogic

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0340
Bushiri CB900.000.0000.0314
Porteous CB900.000.0000.02316
DoigCB900.050.0000.1149
Cadden RWB900.000.0210.0778
Doyle-HayesCM900.000.010−0.0116
CampbellCM900.000.0010.0015
Stevenson LWB760.000.0000.0433
WrightAM620.000.0200.0023
JasperAM900.070.0300.0452
NisbetST260.000.0000.0220
DoidgeFW640.000.0000.0102
MuellerFW280.000.010−0.0213
Allan MF140.000.0200.0000

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0100
JuranovicRB900.120.0410.13115
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0100.0953
Starfelt CB900.000.0100.1252
TaylorLB900.000.2720.1384
Rogic CM580.000.0310.0422
McGregorCM900.020.0410.0443
HatateCM900.040.0410.0343
AbadaRW900.590.0700.0882
MaedaST900.000.000−0.0102
JotaLW900.130.2420.49182
O'RileyMF320.040.0610.0011

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Macey and Porteous: 3 passesBushiri and Campbell: 3 passesPorteous and Campbell: 3 passesDoig and Campbell: 3 passesCampbell and Nisbet: 3 passesMacey and Bushiri: 4 passesPorteous and Cadden: 4 passesPorteous and Stevenson: 4 passesPorteous and Doyle-Hayes: 4 passesDoig and Jasper: 4 passesStevenson and Campbell: 5 passesStevenson and Jasper: 5 passesBushiri and Cadden: 6 passesCadden and Wright: 6 passesBushiri and Porteous: 7 passesDoig and Stevenson: 8 passesPorteous and Doig: 12 passesCadden and Doyle-Hayes: 12 passesMacey: 7 completed passesBushiri: 12 completed passesPorteous: 20 completed passesDoig: 17 completed passesCadden: 17 completed passesStevenson: 10 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 12 completed passesCampbell: 13 completed passesJasper: 4 completed passesWright: 5 completed passesNisbet: 3 completed passes133532716223220815MaceyBushiriPorteousDoigCaddenStevensonDoyle-HayesCampbellJasperWrightNisbetStarters until 26' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Carter-Vickers and Rogic: 4 passesCarter-Vickers and Hatate: 4 passesJuranovic and Rogic: 5 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 5 passesTaylor and McGregor: 5 passesStarfelt and Hatate: 6 passesJuranovic and Starfelt: 7 passesRogic and Abada: 7 passesHatate and McGregor: 7 passesMcGregor and Abada: 7 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 8 passesStarfelt and Jota: 8 passesTaylor and Jota: 8 passesMcGregor and Jota: 9 passesHart and Starfelt: 11 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 11 passesHatate and Jota: 11 passesJuranovic and Hatate: 13 passesJuranovic and McGregor: 16 passesJuranovic and Abada: 18 passesTaylor and Hatate: 18 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 21 passesJuranovic and Carter-Vickers: 35 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 35 passesHart: 12 completed passesJuranovic: 55 completed passesStarfelt: 52 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 54 completed passesTaylor: 33 completed passesRogic: 10 completed passesHatate: 28 completed passesMcGregor: 34 completed passesAbada: 16 completed passesMaeda: 3 completed passesJota: 16 completed passes15884203184142113817HartJuranovicStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorRogicHatateMcGregorAbadaMaedaJotaStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
PorteousDoig18
DoigStevenson12
BushiriPorteous11
Doyle-HayesCadden9
DoigPorteous8

Celtic

FromToPasses
JuranovicCarter-Vickers27
Carter-VickersStarfelt27
StarfeltCarter-Vickers27
Carter-VickersJuranovic25
StarfeltTaylor17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

6+1.33−1.933+22.15−0.45+0.310+3.57−0.44−1.410+1.86−1.08+2.35−0.51−2.73−4.02−3.54−1.70−3.71−1.24+0.710+5.92−0.30−1.50−0.90−1.21−1.43+2.00−0.10−1.01+0.80−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Celtic

2−1.95+0.45−2.94−0.29+4.08+1.74−0.92−2.02−4.57−1.112+6.34−0.21−2.45−0.57+0.97+2.36+2.34+1.712+7.67+1.02−0.45+3.21−0.82−0.30−2.90−0.50−0.51+0.50−0.71+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.010.020.010.020.010.010.010.020.040.010.010.010.010.010.040.01−0.01−0.010.01−0.020.010.010.01−0.020.05−0.010.07LessMore

Celtic

0.010.020.030.020.010.010.030.030.010.090.030.060.090.020.100.070.050.04−0.020.090.010.060.060.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackHibernian1.15 → 1.12Celtic2.06 → 2.02Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.01 → 0.98Celtic0.72 → 0.70

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hibernian
Top six78%82%+4
Celtic
Title74%67%−7
Rangers
Title26%33%+7
Aberdeen
Top six30%28%−2

From the forecast before the match (27 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianCeltic
Expected goals0.811.70
Win17%58%
Expected Points0.761.99
Clean sheet18%45%

Hibernian 17%Draw 25%Celtic 58%

Most likely score 0–1, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

Celtic goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%6%5%2%3%5%4%2%1%1%13%12%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawCeltic win
Hibernian
Top six78%93%82%72%
Celtic
Title74%60%67%81%
Rangers
Title26%40%33%19%
Aberdeen
Top six30%25%28%32%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. W2–019 FebRoss County (H)xG 1.00–0.19
  2. L0–29 FebRangers (A)xG 0.81–2.45
  3. L0–15 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.22–0.38
  4. D0–01 FebHearts (H)xG 1.02–1.37
  5. L2–329 JanLivingston (H)xG 1.32–1.88
  6. D0–026 JanMotherwell (A)xG 0.38–0.61

Celtic

  1. W3–220 FebDundee FC (H)xG 2.64–0.36
  2. W3–29 FebAberdeen (A)xG 1.12–0.67
  3. W4–06 FebMotherwell (A)xG 2.79–0.24
  4. W3–02 FebRangers (H)xG 1.45–0.43
  5. W1–029 JanDundee United (H)xG 3.43–0.56
  6. W2–126 JanHearts (A)xG 1.70–1.22

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianCeltic
Position5th1st
Played2727
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠7–⁠1121–⁠3–⁠3
Points34 (1.26 per game)66 (2.44 per game)
Expected Points per game1.472.45
Goals28–⁠3060–⁠17
xG per game1.22–⁠1.082.49–⁠0.59
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 1.20–⁠1.002.69, 2.95–⁠0.49
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.25–⁠1.162.21, 2.05–⁠0.68
ManagerShaun Maloney (9)Ange Postecoglou (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackHibernian1.15, 4thCeltic2.06, 1stDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.01, 3rdCeltic0.72, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebHibernian attack: 1.15Celtic attack: 2.062.061.15CelticHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebHibernian defence: 1.01Celtic defence: 0.721.010.72

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+3%−15%+136%−56%
Counter-attacks+65%+20%+110%−55%
Set pieces−31%−5%+50%−42%
Penalties+42%−15%+14%−43%
Headers−10%+5%+80%−26%
Left side+4%−7%+80%−58%
Centre−10%−6%+160%−49%
Right side+3%−27%+57%−52%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side+4%−52%Centre−10%−49%Right side+3%−58%Open play+3%−56%Counter-attacks+65%−55%Set pieces−31%−42%Headers−10%−26%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+80%−27%Centre+160%−6%Right side+57%−7%Open play+136%−15%Counter-attacks+110%+20%Set pieces+50%−5%Headers+80%+5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianCeltic

1.22xG2.49
1.08xG against0.59
54%Possession70%
11.8Shots20.7
10.8Shots against6.8
3.7Shots on target7.0
1.5Big chances3.7
19.0Touches in the opposition box37.3
423Passes652
76%Pass accuracy87%
5.5Corners9.6
54%Field tilt79%
39.3Final-third entries73.7
11.2Box entries22.7
12.6Passes per defensive action10.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.240.94
Ahead201.091.01
Behind241.301.39

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level392.470.45
Ahead462.570.73
Behind51.940.37

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.142–6
16–300.140.203–6
31–450.210.147–3
46–600.210.226–6
61–750.250.174–3
76–900.250.206–6

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.107–1
16–300.450.0818–4
31–450.510.0812–2
46–600.250.096–4
61–750.380.166–5
76–900.570.0811–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMacey 25Dabrowski 2McGinn 11Boyle 9Bushiri 6Porteous 22Wood 1Hanlon 18Stevenson 6McGregor 5Cadden 17McGinn 9Doig 1Doyle-Hayes 23Cadden 2Stevenson 1Newell 17Campbell 5Gogic 3Doig 19Stevenson 4Mitchell 2Campbell 9Allan 4Magennis 4Nisbet 24Scott 2Boyle 11Murphy 8Doidge 43-4-1-2 in 12 of 27 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (12), 4-2-3-1 (8), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 24Bain 2Barkas 1Ralston 19Juranovic 7Welsh 1Carter-Vickers 22Bitton 1Starfelt 23Welsh 8Taylor 11Juranovic 9Scales 4Rogic 12O'Riley 5Christie 2McGregor 22Bitton 9McCarthy 4Turnbull 16Hatate 7Johnston 1Abada 18Jota 2Rogic 2Furuhashi 9Giakoumakis 6Abada 3Jota 13Forrest 4Furuhashi 34-3-3 in 23 of 27 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (23), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 January 2022Celtic2–0HibernianxG 2.94–0.57
27 October 2021Hibernian1–3CelticxG 1.50–2.86
15 May 2021Hibernian0–0CelticxG 0.35–2.10
11 January 2021Celtic1–1HibernianxG 0.97–1.83
21 November 2020Hibernian2–2CelticxG 1.54–1.91
27 September 2020Celtic3–0HibernianxG 1.94–0.60

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 0, Celtic won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 4–11 and xG 1.07–2.12 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Doidge4512200.440.08
Boyle201,781730.310.21
Murphy8801210.320.19
Magennis7580210.240.15

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi12949800.810.16
Abada211,777960.510.35
Giakoumakis7640500.740.11
Turnbull181,586540.280.43

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.