Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Celtic 2–0 Hibernian

Monday 17 January 2022, 19:45 · Celtic Park · Round 21 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 58,296

Celtic Maeda 4', Juranovic 25' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticHibernian
Goals20
xG2.940.57
Non-penalty xG2.150.57
Expected Points2.820.11

Celtic 92%Draw 7%Hibernian 1%

Most likely score 3–0, 17%. Final score 2–0, 14%.

Hibernian goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+5%4%10%2%3%11%8%2%4%3%1%14%17%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTGiakoumakis on for Maeda, 74'Ideguchi on for Hatate and Johnston on for Abada, 75'Jota on for Forrest, 82'Murphy on for Campbell, 57'Stevenson on for Doig and Scott on for Nisbet, 66'Allan on for Newell and Bradley on for Wright, 75'Maeda 4'Juranovic 25' (pen)Celtic 2.94Hibernian 0.57012340153045607590HTGiakoumakis on for Maeda, 74'Ideguchi on for Hatate and Johnston on for Abada, 75'Jota on for Forrest, 82'Murphy on for Campbell, 57'Stevenson on for Doig and Scott on for Nisbet, 66'Allan on for Newell and Bradley on for Wright, 75'Maeda 4'Juranovic 25' (pen)2.940.57CelticHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticHibernian

2.94 +0.39xG0.57 −0.77
2.15Non-penalty xG0.57
2.33 −0.14xG on target0.00 −1.26
21 −1Shots5 −7
5 −2.0Shots on target0 −3.8
3 −0.8Big chances1 −0.5
33 −5Touches in the opposition box13 −7
47% −25Possession53% −1
507 −164Passes592 +178
85% −3Pass accuracy85% +10
72% −9Field tilt28% −28
60 −17Final-third entries26 −15
19 −4Box entries10 −2
16.1 +6.5Passes per defensive action15.3 +2.5
8 −1.6Corners1 −4.7
16 +4Tackles11 −3
10 +2.8Interceptions20 +11.1
6 −9Clearances17 +1
0 −1.6Saves3 +0.5
14 +2Fouls9 −3
2 +0.2Offsides2 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Abada 56', 0.79 xGHatate 48', 0.31 xGForrest 39', 0.08 xGRogic 87', 0.08 xGRogic 18', 0.07 xGForrest 79', 0.07 xGStarfelt 14', 0.06 xGStarfelt 56', 0.06 xGAbada 47', 0.05 xGAbada 45', 0.04 xGCarter-Vickers 52', 0.04 xGJota 89', 0.04 xGForrest 20', 0.03 xGAbada 40', 0.03 xGHatate 36', 0.02 xGRogic 37', 0.02 xGJuranovic 56', 0.02 xGForrest 69', 0.02 xGHatate 40', 0.00 xGMaeda 4', 0.31 xG, goal37%0.79 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.79 xG, 0 goals43%0.93 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.93 xG, 1 goal6%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals14%0.30 xGEdge of the box: 10 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Nisbet 3', 0.27 xGNisbet 35', 0.20 xGNisbet 44', 0.04 xGMurphy 87', 0.04 xGCampbell 35', 0.02 xG47%0.27 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.27 xG, 0 goals35%0.20 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.20 xG, 0 goals18%0.10 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticHibernian

1.13 13 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.57 5 shots, 0 goals
1.02 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
4 min (4%) · Celtic 0.31, Hibernian 0.27 xG
Celtic ahead
86 min (96%) · Celtic 2.63, Hibernian 0.30 xG

Line-ups

15882043184142113849HartJuranovicCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorRogicHatateMcGregorAbadaMaedaForrestGoalYellow cardGoal75'75'74'82'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou133432711228321015MaceyBushiriHanlonDoigCaddenNewellDoyle-HayesWrightCampbellBoyleNisbetYellow cardYellow card66'75'75'57'66'Hibernian 3-4-1-2Shaun Maloney

Celtic substitutes

  • 74' Giakoumakis for Maeda
  • 75' Ideguchi for Hatate
  • 75' Johnston for Abada
  • 82' Jota for Forrest

Hibernian substitutes

  • 57' Murphy for Campbell
  • 66' Stevenson for Doig
  • 66' Scott for Nisbet
  • 75' Allan for Newell
  • 75' Bradley for Wright

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0330
JuranovicRB9010.810.2230.11137
Carter-VickersCB900.040.0010.0447
StarfeltCB900.120.0110.0519
TaylorLB900.000.4420.20121
Rogic CM9010.170.2720.1631
HatateCM750.340.0730.0233
McGregorCM900.000.0210.0752
AbadaRW750.910.1900.2460
MaedaST7410.310.000−0.0201
ForrestLW820.200.0510.1670
GiakoumakisFW160.000.000−0.0100
IdeguchiMF150.000.0110.0102
JohnstonFW150.000.0000.0442
JotaFW80.040.0000.0110

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0130
Bushiri CB900.000.0400.1118
HanlonCB900.000.0000.0339
DoigCB660.000.0000.0304
CaddenRWB900.000.3420.3295
NewellCM750.000.010−0.0714
Doyle-Hayes CM900.000.0200.0026
WrightLWB750.000.0100.0143
CampbellAM570.020.0100.0135
BoyleST900.000.0110.0740
NisbetST660.510.0000.0000
MurphyMF330.040.1200.1150
StevensonMF240.000.0000.0114
ScottFW240.000.0000.0002
AllanMF150.000.0000.0001
BradleyMF150.000.0100.0323

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Juranovic and Starfelt: 5 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 5 passesRogic and Hatate: 5 passesRogic and McGregor: 5 passesJuranovic and Taylor: 6 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 7 passesTaylor and Maeda: 7 passesTaylor and Rogic: 8 passesJuranovic and Hatate: 9 passesMcGregor and Forrest: 9 passesHart and Starfelt: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 10 passesRogic and Abada: 11 passesHatate and Forrest: 11 passesJuranovic and Rogic: 12 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 12 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 14 passesTaylor and McGregor: 14 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 15 passesHatate and McGregor: 19 passesJuranovic and McGregor: 20 passesTaylor and Hatate: 21 passesTaylor and Forrest: 22 passesJuranovic and Abada: 27 passesJuranovic and Carter-Vickers: 29 passesHart: 20 completed passesJuranovic: 60 completed passesStarfelt: 32 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 45 completed passesTaylor: 56 completed passesRogic: 20 completed passesHatate: 37 completed passesMcGregor: 47 completed passesAbada: 23 completed passesMaeda: 8 completed passesForrest: 22 completed passes15884203184142113849HartJuranovicStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorRogicHatateMcGregorAbadaMaedaForrestStarters until 74' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Hibernian

Macey and Doig: 5 passesCadden and Boyle: 5 passesNewell and Boyle: 5 passesCampbell and Wright: 5 passesBushiri and Doyle-Hayes: 6 passesDoyle-Hayes and Wright: 6 passesMacey and Bushiri: 8 passesBushiri and Newell: 8 passesCadden and Doyle-Hayes: 8 passesDoyle-Hayes and Newell: 8 passesCadden and Wright: 9 passesDoyle-Hayes and Campbell: 10 passesHanlon and Doyle-Hayes: 13 passesCadden and Nisbet: 13 passesHanlon and Newell: 14 passesBushiri and Cadden: 15 passesDoig and Campbell: 15 passesMacey and Hanlon: 16 passesDoig and Doyle-Hayes: 16 passesCadden and Newell: 21 passesBushiri and Hanlon: 29 passesHanlon and Doig: 34 passesMacey: 22 completed passesBushiri: 36 completed passesHanlon: 59 completed passesDoig: 38 completed passesCadden: 43 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 37 completed passesNewell: 35 completed passesCampbell: 25 completed passesWright: 17 completed passesBoyle: 8 completed passesNisbet: 9 completed passes133432722113281015MaceyBushiriHanlonDoigCaddenDoyle-HayesNewellCampbellWrightBoyleNisbetStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersJuranovic18
JuranovicCarter-Vickers18
TaylorForrest15
JuranovicAbada15
Carter-VickersHart14

Hibernian

FromToPasses
BushiriHanlon26
HanlonDoig20
DoigHanlon17
HanlonBushiri16
CaddenBushiri14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

2−2.02−2.55−3.31−3.31−4.46+0.44−0.640.010+4.24−3.67+2.31−3.01−2.59+3.85−0.912+7.56+2.46+3.97+3.09+3.53+0.93+1.61−1.04+2.15+2.21+0.62+1.61+0.61+0.41+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Hibernian

5+0.53−1.723+12.49+3.84−1.06−0.370.08+2.57−1.25−1.32−4.03−2.73−0.63−4.06+1.01−4.27+3.42−0.11−2.45+1.11−1.21−0.60−1.02+0.82−0.40−1.20−0.10−1.01+0.80−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.050.010.050.050.020.100.040.050.090.070.060.070.130.010.05−0.100.06−0.010.20LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.020.020.090.040.010.020.030.020.01−0.02−0.010.030.100.01−0.030.04−0.020.020.24LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackCeltic1.99 → 2.02Hibernian1.22 → 1.21Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.74 → 0.72Hibernian0.99 → 1.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title28%32%+4
Hibernian
Top six93%92%−1
Rangers
Title72%68%−4

From the forecast before the match (17 January 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticHibernian
Expected goals1.960.74
Win66%13%
Expected Points2.180.60
Clean sheet48%14%

Celtic 66%Draw 22%Hibernian 13%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 45%.

Hibernian goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+7%4%2%4%4%8%6%2%4%3%1%2%1%13%10%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 17 January 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawHibernian win
Celtic
Title28%32%23%17%
Hibernian
Top six93%92%95%98%
Rangers
Title72%68%77%83%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W3–126 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.57–0.26
  2. D0–022 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.68–0.29
  3. W2–115 DecRoss County (A)xG 2.72–0.65
  4. W1–012 DecMotherwell (H)xG 2.45–0.75
  5. W3–05 DecDundee United (A)xG 4.36–0.21
  6. W1–02 DecHearts (H)xG 2.86–0.67

Hibernian

  1. W3–126 DecDundee United (A)xG 1.80–0.54
  2. W1–022 DecAberdeen (H)xG 0.41–0.70
  3. W1–014 DecDundee FC (H)xG 1.14–0.62
  4. D1–111 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.06–0.60
  5. L0–18 DecLivingston (A)xG 1.95–1.23
  6. D1–14 DecMotherwell (H)xG 1.89–1.32

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticHibernian
Position2nd5th
Played2020
Won, drawn, lost14–⁠3–⁠38–⁠5–⁠7
Points45 (2.25 per game)29 (1.45 per game)
Expected Points per game2.461.61
Goals42–⁠1224–⁠22
xG per game2.55–⁠0.591.34–⁠0.96
Home: points, xG per game2.56, 3.10–⁠0.491.70, 1.22–⁠1.02
Away: points, xG per game2.00, 2.10–⁠0.681.20, 1.45–⁠0.91
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (20)Shaun Maloney (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackCeltic1.99, 1stHibernian1.22, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.74, 2ndHibernian0.99, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecCeltic attack: 1.99Hibernian attack: 1.221.991.22HibernianCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecCeltic defence: 0.74Hibernian defence: 0.990.990.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+142%−52%+14%−17%
Counter-attacks+143%−57%+66%+51%
Set pieces+61%−43%−36%−26%
Penalties+16%−61%+94%−61%
Headers+75%−18%−12%+2%
Left side+92%−59%−7%−15%
Centre+165%−42%+5%−7%
Right side+63%−57%+8%−38%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+92%−38%Centre+165%−7%Right side+63%−15%Open play+142%−17%Counter-attacks+143%+51%Set pieces+61%−26%Headers+75%+2%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side−7%−57%Centre+5%−42%Right side+8%−59%Open play+14%−52%Counter-attacks+66%−57%Set pieces−36%−43%Headers−12%−18%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticHibernian

2.55xG1.34
0.59xG against0.96
72%Possession54%
21.8Shots12.2
6.8Shots against10.0
7.0Shots on target3.8
3.8Big chances1.5
38.4Touches in the opposition box20.1
671Passes414
88%Pass accuracy75%
9.6Corners5.7
81%Field tilt56%
77.2Final-third entries41.1
23.3Box entries12.0
9.6Passes per defensive action12.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level412.310.44
Ahead422.880.77
Behind71.950.39

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.310.83
Ahead231.151.00
Behind211.601.19

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.370.105–1
16–300.470.0913–3
31–450.460.095–2
46–600.240.106–2
61–750.370.124–3
76–900.650.089–1

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.091–4
16–300.150.173–4
31–450.250.156–3
46–600.220.135–3
61–750.290.184–2
76–900.260.245–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 17Bain 2Barkas 1Ralston 15Juranovic 4Welsh 1Carter-Vickers 15Bitton 1Starfelt 16Welsh 8Juranovic 8Taylor 6Scales 3Rogic 10Christie 2Juranovic 1McGregor 17Bitton 7McCarthy 4Turnbull 16Johnston 1Abada 13Rogic 2Juranovic 1Furuhashi 9Abada 3Ajeti 3Jota 10Furuhashi 3Johnston 24-3-3 in 16 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (16), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMacey 20McGinn 11Cadden 8Doig 1Porteous 16Wood 1Hanlon 17McGregor 5Stevenson 1Doig 13Stevenson 4Nisbet 1Doyle-Hayes 16Cadden 2Newell 14Gogic 3Magennis 3Boyle 9McGinn 6Cadden 3Campbell 7Allan 4Magennis 4Murphy 8Nisbet 6Doig 2Nisbet 10Boyle 8Scott 14-2-3-1 in 8 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (8), 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 October 2021Hibernian1–3CelticxG 1.50–2.86
15 May 2021Hibernian0–0CelticxG 0.35–2.10
11 January 2021Celtic1–1HibernianxG 0.97–1.83
21 November 2020Hibernian2–2CelticxG 1.54–1.91
27 September 2020Celtic3–0HibernianxG 1.94–0.60

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 2, Hibernian won 0, and 3 were drawn. Goals 9–4 and xG 1.96–1.16 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi12949800.810.16
Abada161,364630.440.34
Turnbull181,586540.280.43
Rogic121,021350.300.37

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle191,691730.330.22
Murphy8743210.340.19
Nisbet181,526500.370.04
Magennis7580210.240.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.