Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
CelticHibernian
2.74 +0.15xG0.44 −0.92
4.58 +2.03xG on target0.81 −0.10
20 +1Shots9 −9
9 +1.6Shots on target5 −0.2
4 +0.4Big chances1 −0.2
48 +18Touches in the opposition box13 −14
57% −13Possession43% −18
521 −93Passes383 −35
83% −3Pass accuracy76% −2
72% −5Field tilt28% −40
62 −16Final-third entries31 −20
25 +4Box entries7 −9
11.5 +1.6Passes per defensive action14.2 +5.1
7 −0.7Corners2 −6.6
13 −1Tackles19 +5
5 −2.2Interceptions11 +4.0
19 +4Clearances11 −6
4 +2.2Saves3 +1.5
17 +7.3Fouls7 −7.8
3 −0.3Offsides3 +1.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Celtic
Hibernian
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
9'18'24'56'58'73'89'
0–01–03–04–15–1
0'HTFT
Level
9 min (10%) · Celtic 0.45, Hibernian 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
82 min (90%) · Celtic 2.29, Hibernian 0.44 xG
Line-ups
Celtic substitutes
46'Maeda for Haksabanovic · goal 89'
65'Abildgaard for O'Riley
65'Abada for Forrest · 1 assist
70'Furuhashi for Hatate
76'McCarthy for Giakoumakis
Hibernian substitutes
46'Cabraja for Stevenson
46'Bushiri for Cadden
46'Magennis for Kukharevych
46'Youan for McKirdy · goal 56'
79'Mitchell for Kenneh
Players
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Hart
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Ralston
RB
90
0.00
0.04
1
0.09
6
5
Carter-Vickers
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.08
8
7
Jenz
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.11
7
5
Bernabei
LB
90
1
0.00
0.09
2
0.14
7
3
Mooy
CM
90
2
0.22
0.41
3
0.31
10
3
O'Riley
CM
65
0.06
0.06
0
0.10
7
7
Hatate
CM
70
0.00
0.06
1
0.08
2
2
Forrest
RW
65
3
0.92
0.12
3
0.11
4
0
Giakoumakis
ST
76
2
0.67
0.01
0
−0.09
1
1
Haksabanovic
LW
46
1
0.04
0.64
3
0.51
16
0
Maeda
FW
44
1
0.22
0.01
0
0.03
4
1
Abildgaard
MF
25
0.04
0.00
0
−0.03
1
3
Abada
FW
25
1
0.36
0.09
3
0.09
5
0
Furuhashi
FW
20
0.19
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
McCarthy
MF
14
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
2
1
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Marshall
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
0
Cadden
RB
46
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
3
Porteous
CB
90
0.04
0.01
1
0.09
7
7
Hanlon
CB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.05
5
8
Stevenson
LB
46
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
5
0
Kenneh
DM
79
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
1
2
Boyle
RM
90
1
0.04
0.03
2
0.06
5
2
Campbell
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
1
7
Newell
CM
90
0.02
0.08
4
0.06
4
4
McKirdy
LM
46
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Kukharevych
ST
46
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Cabraja
DF
44
0.04
0.01
0
0.05
1
4
Bushiri
DF
44
0.05
0.00
0
0.00
1
3
Magennis
MF
44
0.03
0.01
0
0.01
1
2
Youan
FW
44
1
0.18
0.01
0
0.02
0
4
Mitchell
MF
11
0.03
0.00
0
0.02
3
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Celtic
Hibernian
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Ralston
Mooy
20
Hart
Jenz
18
Carter-Vickers
Ralston
17
Ralston
Carter-Vickers
16
Mooy
Ralston
16
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Newell
Porteous
13
Marshall
Hanlon
12
Bushiri
Porteous
12
Marshall
Porteous
10
Porteous
Magennis
9
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Celtic
Against its average of 9 matches
Hibernian
Against its average of 10 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Celtic
Hibernian
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Celtic
Title
70%
73%
+3
Hibernian
Top six
91%
90%
−1
Rangers
Title
30%
27%
−3
From the forecast before the match (15 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Celtic
Hibernian
Expected goals
2.30
0.56
Win
76%
7%
Expected Points
2.45
0.38
Clean sheet
57%
10%
Celtic 76%Draw 17%Hibernian 7%
Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Both sides score 39%.
From the forecast as it stood on 15 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Celtic win
Draw
Hibernian win
Celtic
Title
70%
73%
63%
57%
Hibernian
Top six
91%
90%
93%
97%
Rangers
Title
30%
27%
37%
43%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Celtic
Hibernian
Position
1st
3rd
Played
9
10
Won, drawn, lost
8–0–1
5–2–3
Points
24 (2.67 per game)
17 (1.70 per game)
Expected Points per game
2.51
1.74
Goals
29–5
12–8
xG per game
2.59–0.47
1.36–0.81
Home: points, xG per game
3.00, 2.46–0.42
2.20, 1.44–0.78
Away: points, xG per game
2.40, 2.69–0.51
1.20, 1.28–0.84
Manager
Ange Postecoglou (47)
Lee Johnson (10)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Celtic
Hibernian
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+133%
−66%
+1%
−46%
Counter-attacks
+52%
−100%
+1%
+71%
Set pieces
+102%
−30%
+41%
−30%
Penalties
−100%
−100%
−33%
−33%
Headers
+88%
−27%
+22%
−33%
Left side
+40%
−49%
+38%
−38%
Centre
+205%
−62%
−19%
−50%
Right side
+72%
−68%
+26%
−17%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
CelticHibernian
2.59xG1.36
0.47xG against0.81
70%Possession61%
19.0Shots18.3
6.9Shots against9.0
7.4Shots on target5.2
3.6Big chances1.2
30.3Touches in the opposition box27.5
614Passes418
86%Pass accuracy79%
7.7Corners8.6
77%Field tilt68%
78.5Final-third entries51.4
21.4Box entries15.8
9.9Passes per defensive action9.1
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Celtic
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
28
2.62
0.26
Ahead
57
2.65
0.50
Behind
5
1.63
1.19
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
37
0.92
0.94
Ahead
17
1.58
0.71
Behind
36
1.71
0.73
xG by period
Celtic
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.50
0.02
6–0
16–30
0.23
0.10
0–0
31–45
0.64
0.13
8–2
46–60
0.35
0.10
4–2
61–75
0.33
0.04
2–0
76–90
0.53
0.08
9–1
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.10
1–4
16–30
0.08
0.10
0–1
31–45
0.25
0.15
1–1
46–60
0.39
0.19
3–1
61–75
0.18
0.13
3–0
76–90
0.32
0.14
4–1
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Celtic
Formations: 4-3-3 (7), 4-2-3-1 (2)
Hibernian
Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-3-2 (1)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts