Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
CelticRoss County
4.15xG1.13
3.37Non-penalty xG1.13
5.77xG on target0.82
18Shots7
12Shots on target2
7Big chances1
75%Possession25%
806Passes264
91%Pass accuracy67%
74%Field tilt26%
53Final-third entries25
17Box entries6
9.9Passes per defensive action28.4
4Corners8
15Tackles14
11Interceptions16
18Clearances19
0Saves8
6Fouls14
0Offsides3
Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Celtic
Ross County
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
17'26'42'60'73'90+5'
0–01–02–03–03–14–1
0'HTFT
Level
17 min (18%) · Celtic 0.83, Ross County 0.83 xG
Celtic ahead
79 min (82%) · Celtic 3.33, Ross County 0.30 xG
Line-ups
Celtic substitutes
66'Starfelt for Nawrocki
67'Hatate for Turnbull
79'Yang for Abada
79'Forrest for Furuhashi
84'Holm for O'Riley
Ross County substitutes
57'Samuel for Murray
57'Turner for Sims · yellow card 90+2'
57'Allardice for Loturi · off 67'
67'Henderson for Allardice
82'Smith for White · 1 assist
Players
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Hart
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
0
2
Ralston
RB
90
0.00
0.10
0
0.11
8
3
Carter-Vickers
CB
90
0.08
0.02
0
0.14
10
6
Nawrocki
CB
66
0.00
0.06
1
0.24
18
6
Taylor
LB
90
0.03
0.05
0
0.06
9
5
O'Riley
CM
84
1
1
0.52
0.48
3
0.31
7
6
McGregor
CM
90
0.00
0.03
1
−0.01
2
5
Turnbull
CM
67
2
2.00
0.09
1
0.04
3
0
Abada
RW
79
1
0.15
0.12
1
0.18
9
0
Furuhashi
ST
79
1
1
0.70
0.64
4
0.05
3
3
Maeda
LW
90
0.15
0.24
1
0.15
3
6
Starfelt
DF
24
0.00
0.00
0
0.07
7
2
Hatate
MF
23
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
3
0
Yang
FW
11
0.00
0.01
0
0.09
4
0
Forrest
FW
11
0.52
0.01
0
−0.01
0
1
Holm
MF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Laidlaw
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
1
Nightingale
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
11
Baldwin
CB
90
0.01
0.00
0
−0.07
4
6
Harmon
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
6
Brown
RWB
90
1
0.06
0.02
1
0.04
2
5
Randall
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
−0.04
2
3
Loturi
CM
57
0.00
0.21
1
0.13
1
3
Dhanda
LWB
90
1
0.00
0.22
3
0.13
7
3
Sims
AM
57
0.53
0.01
0
−0.06
0
3
White
ST
82
1
0.25
0.00
0
0.13
0
2
Murray
ST
57
0.29
0.00
1
0.03
3
2
Samuel
FW
33
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Turner
MF
33
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
0
4
Allardice
MF
10
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Henderson
MF
23
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Smith
DF
8
1
0.00
0.00
1
0.02
3
2
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Celtic
Ross County
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Nawrocki
Taylor
25
McGregor
Ralston
24
Nawrocki
Carter-Vickers
23
Ralston
Carter-Vickers
23
Carter-Vickers
Ralston
22
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Dhanda
Baldwin
8
Dhanda
Loturi
6
Brown
Sims
5
Randall
Dhanda
5
Baldwin
Dhanda
5
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Celtic
Ross County
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.
Threat
Celtic
Ross County
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Celtic
Title
56%
57%
+1
Ross County
Top six
21%
20%
−1
11th
16%
16%
0
Bottom
14%
14%
0
Rangers
Title
44%
43%
−1
Aberdeen
Top six
50%
50%
0
11th
6%
6%
0
Bottom
3%
3%
0
From the forecast before the match (5 August 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Celtic
Ross County
Expected goals
3.25
0.54
Win
88%
3%
Expected Points
2.73
0.18
Clean sheet
58%
4%
Celtic 88%Draw 9%Ross County 3%
Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 40%.
From the forecast as it stood on 5 August 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Celtic win
Draw
Ross County win
Celtic
Title
56%
57%
50%
45%
Ross County
Top six
21%
20%
26%
35%
11th
16%
16%
13%
8%
Bottom
14%
14%
11%
8%
Rangers
Title
44%
43%
49%
55%
Aberdeen
Top six
50%
50%
44%
48%
11th
6%
6%
7%
8%
Bottom
3%
3%
4%
3%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Celtic
Ross County
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+108%
−55%
−34%
+16%
Counter-attacks
+57%
−64%
−27%
+98%
Set pieces
+30%
−50%
+4%
+3%
Penalties
+4%
+4%
−48%
−9%
Headers
+57%
−29%
+9%
+2%
Left side
+68%
−41%
−35%
+10%
Centre
+114%
−60%
−13%
+11%
Right side
+60%
−58%
−33%
+31%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
Celtic attacking
Celtic createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+68%+31%Centre+114%+11%Right side+60%+10%Open play+108%+16%Counter-attacks+57%+98%Set pieces+30%+3%Headers+57%+2%
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdCeltic concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−35%−58%Centre−13%−60%Right side−33%−41%Open play−34%−55%Counter-attacks−27%−64%Set pieces+4%−50%Headers+9%−29%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Digressive Celts