Sunday 24 April 2022, 14:30 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 34 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 6,698
Celtic Furuhashi 12', Jota 87'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Ross County
Celtic
Goals
0
2
xG
0.30
2.76
Expected Points
0.08
2.86
Ross County 1%Draw 6%Celtic 94%
Most likely score 0–3, 22%. Final score 0–2, 22%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Ross CountyCeltic
0.30 −0.77xG2.76 +0.25
0.04 −1.18xG on target2.30 −0.13
6 −3.5Shots22 +1.6
1 −2.8Shots on target5 −2.0
0 −1.4Big chances4 +0.2
14 −2Touches in the opposition box24 −13
26% −16Possession74% +4
215 −92Passes588 −65
56% −8Pass accuracy85% −2
26% −15Field tilt74% −4
22 −6Final-third entries71 −4
8 0.0Box entries10 −12.5
17.3 +1Passes per defensive action11.5 +1
2 −2.0Corners11 +1.6
19 +6Tackles8 −4
12 +1.2Interceptions6 −1.7
32 +6Clearances18 +3
3 −0.5Saves1 −0.4
13 0Fouls9 −3
7 +4.7Offsides3 +1.2
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Ross County
Celtic
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
12'87'
0–00–1
0'HTFT
Level
12 min (13%) · Ross County 0.00, Celtic 0.17 xG
Celtic ahead
80 min (87%) · Ross County 0.30, Celtic 2.58 xG
Line-ups
Ross County substitutes
70'Cancola for Tillson
70'Hungbo for H. Paton
88'Samuel for Charles-Cook
Celtic substitutes
64'Giakoumakis for O'Riley
64'Abada for Furuhashi
64'Rogic for Maeda
74'Turnbull for Hatate
90'Forrest for Jota
Players
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Laidlaw
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
1
Randall
RB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.09
1
21
Watson
CB
90
0.00
0.09
0
0.17
3
8
Iacovitti
CB
90
0.07
0.00
0
0.03
4
11
Vokins
LB
90
0.02
0.04
0
0.12
3
7
Tillson
DM
70
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
1
2
Callachan
DM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
5
4
Spittal
RW
90
0.02
0.02
0
−0.03
5
6
H. Paton
AM
70
0.16
0.02
1
0.01
0
2
Charles-Cook
LW
88
0.00
0.14
2
0.07
1
1
White
ST
90
0.03
0.01
0
0.01
0
1
Cancola
MF
20
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
3
Hungbo
FW
20
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
0
Samuel
FW
2
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Hart
GK
90
0.00
0.00
1
0.02
0
1
Ralston
RB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.06
7
6
Carter-Vickers
CB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.06
3
7
Starfelt
CB
90
0.07
0.01
0
0.22
15
6
Taylor
LB
90
0.01
0.14
2
0.16
10
2
O'Riley
CM
64
0.13
0.05
2
0.02
1
2
McGregor
CM
90
0.11
0.03
0
0.10
6
2
Hatate
CM
74
0.03
0.03
1
0.03
3
1
Jota
RW
90
1
1
0.88
0.60
4
0.44
11
2
Furuhashi
ST
64
1
0.89
0.01
0
0.15
3
0
Maeda
LW
64
0.32
0.08
1
0.05
3
3
Giakoumakis
FW
26
0.12
0.01
0
−0.01
0
0
Abada
FW
26
0.06
0.26
1
0.20
2
1
Rogic
FW
26
0.07
0.02
1
0.04
2
0
Turnbull
MF
16
0.07
0.01
0
−0.01
1
0
Forrest
FW
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Ross County
Celtic
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Laidlaw
White
9
Randall
Spittal
6
Tillson
Spittal
5
Spittal
Watson
4
Vokins
Charles-Cook
4
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Starfelt
Taylor
23
Hart
Starfelt
21
Starfelt
McGregor
16
Taylor
Hatate
15
Taylor
Starfelt
14
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Ross County
Against its average of 33 matches
Celtic
Against its average of 33 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Ross County
Celtic
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Celtic
Title
96%
98%
+2
Rangers
Title
4%
2%
−2
From the forecast before the match (24 April 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Ross County
Celtic
Expected goals
0.70
2.48
Win
8%
76%
Expected Points
0.41
2.44
Clean sheet
8%
50%
Ross County 8%Draw 16%Celtic 76%
Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 47%.
From the forecast as it stood on 24 April 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Ross County win
Draw
Celtic win
Celtic
Title
96%
88%
92%
98%
Rangers
Title
4%
12%
8%
2%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Ross County
Celtic
Position
5th
1st
Played
33
33
Won, drawn, lost
10–10–13
26–4–3
Points
40 (1.21 per game)
82 (2.48 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.17
2.45
Goals
45–52
78–19
xG per game
1.07–1.45
2.51–0.56
Home: points, xG per game
1.38, 1.23–1.33
2.75, 3.00–0.43
Away: points, xG per game
1.06, 0.93–1.57
2.24, 2.05–0.69
Manager
Malky Mackay (33)
Ange Postecoglou (33)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Ross County
Celtic
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−22%
+18%
+135%
−57%
Counter-attacks
−61%
+40%
+99%
−62%
Set pieces
−16%
+30%
+59%
−42%
Penalties
+87%
+4%
+45%
−59%
Headers
−46%
+51%
+100%
−37%
Left side
−17%
+40%
+77%
−62%
Centre
−22%
+15%
+155%
−50%
Right side
−24%
+13%
+70%
−48%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdCeltic concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−17%−48%Centre−22%−50%Right side−24%−62%Open play−22%−57%Counter-attacks−61%−62%Set pieces−16%−42%Headers−46%−37%
Celtic attacking
Celtic createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+77%+13%Centre+155%+15%Right side+70%+40%Open play+135%+18%Counter-attacks+99%+40%Set pieces+59%+30%Headers+100%+51%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Ross CountyCeltic
1.07xG2.51
1.45xG against0.56
42%Possession70%
9.5Shots20.4
15.9Shots against6.5
3.8Shots on target7.0
1.4Big chances3.8
16.2Touches in the opposition box37.1
307Passes653
64%Pass accuracy87%
4.0Corners9.4
40%Field tilt79%
28.4Final-third entries75.2
8.0Box entries22.5
16.1Passes per defensive action10.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Ross County
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
48
1.02
1.28
Ahead
16
1.15
1.45
Behind
26
1.13
1.77
Celtic
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
38
2.43
0.46
Ahead
47
2.61
0.67
Behind
4
2.22
0.36
xG by period
Ross County
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.08
0.16
4–8
16–30
0.19
0.24
6–11
31–45
0.17
0.21
12–9
46–60
0.16
0.21
5–9
61–75
0.17
0.29
9–6
76–90
0.29
0.34
9–9
Celtic
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.36
0.10
10–2
16–30
0.47
0.07
22–4
31–45
0.48
0.08
14–2
46–60
0.25
0.10
10–5
61–75
0.38
0.14
9–5
76–90
0.56
0.08
13–1
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts