Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Celtic 4–0 Ross County

Saturday 19 March 2022, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 31 · Half-time 3–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 58,432

Celtic Giakoumakis 11', 18', 61' (pen), Maeda 26'

Ross County Ramsay sent off 28'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticRoss County
Goals40
xG3.360.14
Non-penalty xG2.570.14
Expected Points2.950.03

Celtic 97%Draw 2%Ross County <1%

Most likely score 3–0, 23%. Final score 4–0, 19%.

Ross County goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+1%7%1%3%4%3%11%2%7%1%17%23%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTRamsay (Ross County), red card 28'O'Riley on for Rogic, 33'Abada on for Jota and Ralston on for Juranovic, 62'Turnbull on for Hatate and Bitton on for McGregor, 74'Watson on for Hungbo, 32'Spittal on for H. Paton and Burroughs on for White, 54'B. Paton on for Charles-Cook and Cancola on for Tillson, 75'Giakoumakis 11'Giakoumakis 18'Maeda 26'Giakoumakis 61' (pen)Celtic 3.36Ross County 0.14012340153045607590HTRamsay (Ross County), red card 28'O'Riley on for Rogic, 33'Abada on for Jota and Ralston on for Juranovic, 62'Turnbull on for Hatate and Bitton on for McGregor, 74'Watson on for Hungbo, 32'Spittal on for H. Paton and Burroughs on for White, 54'B. Paton on for Charles-Cook and Cancola on for Tillson, 75'Giakoumakis 11'Giakoumakis 18'Maeda 26'Giakoumakis 61' (pen)3.360.14CelticRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticRoss County

3.36 +0.92xG0.14 −0.92
2.57Non-penalty xG0.14
3.94 +1.62xG on target0.07 −1.15
24 +3.5Shots3 −6.7
10 +3.1Shots on target1 −2.9
6 +2.4Big chances0 −1.4
52 +15Touches in the opposition box3 −14
81% +11Possession19% −24
743 +93Passes170 −144
89% +2Pass accuracy51% −14
96% +16Field tilt4% −37
102 +28Final-third entries10 −19
34 +11.7Box entries1 −7.2
10.2 0Passes per defensive action21.4 +5
16 +6.6Corners5 +1.0
4 −9Tackles10 −3
5 −2.8Interceptions21 +10.6
13 −1Clearances27 0
1 −0.3Saves5 +1.5
9 −3Fouls10 −3
1 −0.9Offsides4 +1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Giakoumakis 17', 0.32 xGTaylor 38', 0.30 xGMaeda 25', 0.21 xGMaeda 67', 0.16 xGGiakoumakis 45+1', 0.10 xGStarfelt 36', 0.09 xGO'Riley 39', 0.09 xGMcGregor 72', 0.07 xGGiakoumakis 37', 0.06 xGBitton 77', 0.06 xGJota 35', 0.05 xGGiakoumakis 45', 0.05 xGAbada 83', 0.05 xGJota 2', 0.04 xGMcGregor 54', 0.03 xGJota 59', 0.03 xGHatate 66', 0.03 xGMcGregor 26', 0.02 xGGiakoumakis 26', 0.02 xGJota 52', 0.02 xGGiakoumakis 18', 0.34 xG, goalGiakoumakis 11', 0.25 xG, goalMaeda 26', 0.21 xG, goal30%0.78 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.78 xG, 1 goal41%1.06 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.06 xG, 2 goals18%0.45 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.45 xG, 0 goals11%0.28 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

White 42', 0.11 xGB. Paton 90+1', 0.03 xGTillson 58', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals79%0.11 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals21%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticRoss County

2.12 16 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.45 7 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.14 3 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
11 min (12%) · Celtic 0.28, Ross County 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
82 min (88%) · Celtic 3.07, Ross County 0.14 xG

Line-ups

1588204341421817738HartJuranovicCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorHatateMcGregorRogicJotaGiakoumakisMaedaGoalGoalGoalGoal62'74'74'33'62'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou11951622282361726LaidlawRamsayBaldwinIacovittiRandallTillsonCallachanHungboH. PatonCharles-CookWhiteSent offYellow card75'32'54'75'54'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay

Celtic substitutes

  • 33' O'Riley for Rogic
  • 62' Ralston for Juranovic
  • 62' Abada for Jota
  • 74' Bitton for McGregor
  • 74' Turnbull for Hatate

Ross County substitutes

  • 32' Watson for Hungbo
  • 54' Burroughs for White
  • 54' Spittal for H. Paton
  • 75' B. Paton for Charles-Cook
  • 75' Cancola for Tillson

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0101
JuranovicRB620.000.1810.2850
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0610.2172
StarfeltCB900.090.0800.32144
TaylorLB900.300.1000.0692
HatateCM740.030.3930.1741
McGregorCM740.120.5020.2574
RogicCM330.000.0120.0031
JotaRW6210.140.7840.36100
GiakoumakisST90311.920.4310.0411
MaedaLW9010.570.332−0.0222
O'RileyMF570.090.3320.0142
RalstonDF280.000.0820.0751
AbadaFW280.050.1610.2260
BittonDF160.060.0300.0112
TurnbullMF160.000.0400.0100

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0442
Ramsay RB280.000.000−0.0100
Baldwin CB900.000.0100.0466
IacovittiCB900.000.000−0.01013
RandallLB900.000.0000.01014
TillsonDM750.010.0000.0107
CallachanDM900.000.0000.0115
HungboRW320.000.0200.0001
H. PatonAM540.000.000−0.0102
Charles-CookLW750.000.0910.0113
WhiteST540.110.000−0.0111
WatsonDF580.000.0000.0018
BurroughsDF360.000.000−0.0101
SpittalMF360.000.0110.0101
B. PatonDF150.030.0000.0001
CancolaMF150.000.000−0.0300

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Hart and Juranovic: 3 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 3 passesStarfelt and Rogic: 3 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 3 passesHatate and Giakoumakis: 3 passesStarfelt and Hatate: 4 passesTaylor and Hatate: 4 passesMcGregor and Maeda: 4 passesJuranovic and Starfelt: 5 passesJuranovic and Jota: 5 passesCarter-Vickers and Rogic: 5 passesCarter-Vickers and Jota: 5 passesTaylor and Jota: 5 passesHatate and McGregor: 5 passesJuranovic and Carter-Vickers: 6 passesTaylor and McGregor: 6 passesRogic and Jota: 6 passesTaylor and Maeda: 8 passesStarfelt and Maeda: 9 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 11 passesMcGregor and Jota: 11 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 12 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 25 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 34 passesHart: 6 completed passesJuranovic: 15 completed passesStarfelt: 48 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 34 completed passesTaylor: 31 completed passesRogic: 10 completed passesHatate: 11 completed passesMcGregor: 28 completed passesJota: 16 completed passesGiakoumakis: 2 completed passesMaeda: 11 completed passes1588420318414217738HartJuranovicStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorRogicHatateMcGregorJotaGiakoumakisMaedaStarters until 33' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Ramsay and Tillson: 3 passesCallachan and H. Paton: 3 passesBaldwin and Hungbo: 4 passesLaidlaw and White: 5 passesLaidlaw: 5 completed passesRamsay: 4 completed passesBaldwin: 6 completed passesIacovitti: 0 completed passesRandall: 4 completed passesTillson: 2 completed passesCallachan: 0 completed passesHungbo: 3 completed passesH. Paton: 6 completed passesCharles-Cook: 0 completed passesWhite: 4 completed passes11951622282361726LaidlawRamsayBaldwinIacovittiRandallTillsonCallachanHungboH. PatonCharles-CookWhiteStarters until 28' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltCarter-Vickers41
TaylorStarfelt31
Carter-VickersStarfelt30
StarfeltTaylor23
McGregorStarfelt16

Ross County

FromToPasses
LaidlawWhite8
H. PatonCallachan3
BaldwinHungbo3
BaldwinTillson3
BaldwinWatson3

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

2−1.76+1.56−1.72−2.03−2.11−5.34−0.74+0.21−5.215+6.73−2.83−1.22−1.49+3.75−1.13−1.81−2.81−1.33−1.73−2.83+0.53+1.23+1.33+0.82−0.80−0.51+0.50−0.61+0.40−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Ross County

6+0.712+5.719+3.621+13.45−1.04−4.45−2.711+4.612+3.53−5.80−5.53−1.73−0.22−3.20−6.13−1.31−2.20−2.82−1.15+1.34+1.70−2.10−0.71−0.62−0.21+0.11+0.90−0.60−0.31+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.020.030.010.020.030.020.070.020.080.030.060.120.150.210.020.070.150.010.220.100.300.11−0.310.030.42LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.010.010.01−0.01−0.01−0.030.010.020.010.020.02LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackCeltic2.02 → 2.06Ross County1.02 → 1.02Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.69 → 0.68Ross County1.38 → 1.41

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title80%84%+4
Ross County
Top six23%18%−5
11th1%1%0
Rangers
Title20%16%−4
Motherwell
Top six42%43%+1

From the forecast before the match (19 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticRoss County
Expected goals2.820.59
Win83%5%
Expected Points2.610.27
Clean sheet55%6%

Celtic 83%Draw 12%Ross County 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 42%.

Ross County goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+4%2%9%6%2%8%2%7%2%9%5%2%5%3%4%2%13%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawRoss County win
Celtic
Title80%84%69%57%
Ross County
Top six23%18%36%69%
11th1%1%<1%–
Rangers
Title20%16%31%43%
Motherwell
Top six42%43%40%31%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W3–16 MarLivingston (A)xG 3.63–0.85
  2. W2–02 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.60–0.36
  3. D0–027 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.94–0.13
  4. W3–220 FebDundee FC (H)xG 2.64–0.36
  5. W3–29 FebAberdeen (A)xG 1.12–0.67
  6. W4–06 FebMotherwell (A)xG 2.79–0.24

Ross County

  1. W1–05 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.23–0.31
  2. W1–02 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.05–1.17
  3. W3–126 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.28–0.57
  4. L0–219 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.19–1.00
  5. D1–19 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.48–1.75
  6. W2–15 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.78–1.12

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticRoss County
Position1st6th
Played3030
Won, drawn, lost23–⁠4–⁠39–⁠9–⁠12
Points73 (2.43 per game)36 (1.20 per game)
Expected Points per game2.441.18
Goals65–⁠1843–⁠47
xG per game2.44–⁠0.571.06–⁠1.39
Home: points, xG per game2.71, 2.86–⁠0.481.40, 1.14–⁠1.30
Away: points, xG per game2.19, 2.08–⁠0.661.00, 0.98–⁠1.49
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (30)Malky Mackay (30)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackCeltic2.02, 1stRoss County1.02, 7thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.69, 2ndRoss County1.38, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarCeltic attack: 2.02Ross County attack: 1.022.021.02Ross CountyCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarCeltic defence: 0.69Ross County defence: 1.381.380.69

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+127%−58%−21%+12%
Counter-attacks+123%−57%−56%+57%
Set pieces+65%−37%−23%+35%
Penalties+25%−50%+100%−25%
Headers+98%−31%−42%+48%
Left side+78%−61%−16%+42%
Centre+159%−48%−27%+14%
Right side+53%−52%−18%+7%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRoss County concededLeft side+78%+7%Centre+159%+14%Right side+53%+42%Open play+127%+12%Counter-attacks+123%+57%Set pieces+65%+35%Headers+98%+48%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdCeltic concededLeft side−16%−52%Centre−27%−48%Right side−18%−61%Open play−21%−58%Counter-attacks−56%−57%Set pieces−23%−37%Headers−42%−31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticRoss County

2.44xG1.06
0.57xG against1.39
70%Possession43%
20.5Shots9.7
6.5Shots against15.6
6.9Shots on target3.9
3.6Big chances1.4
36.6Touches in the opposition box16.7
650Passes314
87%Pass accuracy65%
9.4Corners4.0
80%Field tilt42%
74.0Final-third entries29.1
22.3Box entries8.2
10.2Passes per defensive action16.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level402.450.43
Ahead452.500.72
Behind51.940.37

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.931.28
Ahead171.151.38
Behind261.231.60

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.330.097–1
16–300.470.0819–4
31–450.480.0812–2
46–600.250.109–5
61–750.360.146–5
76–900.560.0812–1

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.174–7
16–300.200.196–9
31–450.150.2011–8
46–600.140.225–9
61–750.190.289–5
76–900.290.358–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 27Bain 2Barkas 1Ralston 20Juranovic 9Welsh 1Carter-Vickers 25Bitton 1Starfelt 26Welsh 8Taylor 14Juranovic 9Scales 4Rogic 14O'Riley 6Christie 2McGregor 25Bitton 10McCarthy 4Turnbull 16Hatate 9Johnston 1Abada 20Forrest 3Jota 2Furuhashi 9Giakoumakis 6Maeda 5Jota 16Forrest 4Furuhashi 34-3-3 in 26 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (26), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 17Laidlaw 13Randall 11Clarke 10Ramsay 4Baldwin 19Watson 7Clarke 5Iacovitti 24H. Paton 1Burroughs 1Vokins 12Randall 8B. Paton 5Tillson 18H. Paton 11Spittal 10Callachan 11Cancola 9Charles-Cook 1Hungbo 13Charles-Cook 8Spittal 3Callachan 14H. Paton 6Tillson 4Charles-Cook 18Hungbo 5Spittal 5White 22Samuel 4A. Samuel 24-2-3-1 in 17 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (17), 4-4-2 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
15 December 2021Ross County1–2CelticxG 0.65–2.72
11 September 2021Celtic3–0Ross CountyxG 2.71–0.45
21 February 2021Ross County1–0CelticxG 0.98–2.31
23 December 2020Celtic2–0Ross CountyxG 2.15–0.29
12 September 2020Ross County0–5CelticxG 0.81–3.32

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 4, Ross County won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 12–2 and xG 2.64–0.64 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi12949800.810.16
Giakoumakis7655500.770.11
Abada231,947960.500.32
Turnbull181,586540.280.43

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hungbo181,522630.220.14
Samuel8884100.290.05
Charles-Cook292,3991320.220.09
Spittal201,818420.120.17

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.