Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Motherwell 1–0 Ross County

Saturday 20 May 2023, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 36 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 5,470

Motherwell van Veen 90+9' (pen)

Ross County Edwards sent off 90+1'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellRoss County
Goals10
xG1.470.29
Non-penalty xG0.680.29
Expected Points2.460.33

Motherwell 75%Draw 21%Ross County 4%

Most likely score 1–0, 34%. Final score 1–0, 34%.

Ross County goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%2%12%1%22%7%7%2%1%34%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTEdwards (Ross County), second yellow card 90+1'Cornelius on for Paton, 44'Blaney on for Furlong, 65'Obika on for Mandron and Aitchison on for Casey, 71'McKinstry on for van Veen, 90+12'Smith on for Iacovitti, 55'Murray on for Samuel and Tillson on for Loturi, 64'Edwards on for Kenneh, 77'Sims on for Dhanda, 90+5'van Veen 90+9' (pen)Motherwell 1.47Ross County 0.2900.511.520153045607590HTEdwards (Ross County), second yellow card 90+1'Cornelius on for Paton, 44'Blaney on for Furlong, 65'Obika on for Mandron and Aitchison on for Casey, 71'McKinstry on for van Veen, 90+12'Smith on for Iacovitti, 55'Murray on for Samuel and Tillson on for Loturi, 64'Edwards on for Kenneh, 77'Sims on for Dhanda, 90+5'van Veen 90+9' (pen)1.470.29MotherwellRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellRoss County

1.47 +0.20xG0.29 −0.66
0.68Non-penalty xG0.29
1.59 +0.38xG on target0.08 −0.78
16 +4.4Shots6 −3.2
6 +2.4Shots on target1 −1.8
1 −0.7Big chances0 −1.1
59% +12Possession41% −2
382 +38Passes263 −48
76% +10Pass accuracy65% +4
63% +17Field tilt37% 0
49 +16Final-third entries37 +8
12 +3.6Box entries9 +1.3
8.8 −5Passes per defensive action13.6 −1
3 −1.9Corners4 +0.2
10 −7Tackles14 −2
9 −0.1Interceptions9 −0.4
17 −2Clearances15 −9
1 −1.7Saves5 +1.7
15 +2Fouls14 +2
1 −0.8Offsides1 −0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Casey 32', 0.08 xGvan Veen 77', 0.07 xGGoss 76', 0.06 xGMcGinn 24', 0.05 xGvan Veen 37', 0.05 xGvan Veen 56', 0.05 xGObika 75', 0.05 xGvan Veen 82', 0.05 xGMandron 56', 0.04 xGCornelius 61', 0.04 xGAitchison 84', 0.04 xGvan Veen 16', 0.03 xGBlaney 86', 0.03 xGButcher 57', 0.02 xGMcGinn 3', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals32%0.22 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals33%0.23 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals29%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals6%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Baldwin 36', 0.09 xGSamuel 34', 0.07 xGDhanda 87', 0.06 xGKenneh 73', 0.03 xGDhanda 11', 0.02 xGDhanda 45', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals76%0.22 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals10%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals14%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellRoss County

0.51 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.16 4 shots, 0 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.14 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.13 2 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
99 min (97%) · Motherwell 1.47, Ross County 0.29 xG
Motherwell ahead
3 min (3%) · Motherwell 0.00, Ross County 0.00 xG

Line-ups

116665225327247219KellyMcGinnButcherCaseyO'DonnellPatonGossFurlongSpittalMandronvan VeenYellow cardYellow cardGoal71'44'65'71'90+12'Motherwell 3-4-1-2Stuart Kettlewell115562421416102526LaidlawWatsonBaldwinIacovittiRandallKennehLoturiHarmonDhandaSamuelWhite55'77'64'90+5'64'Ross County 3-4-1-2Malky Mackay

Motherwell substitutes

  • 44' Cornelius for Paton
  • 65' Blaney for Furlong
  • 71' Aitchison for Casey · yellow card 79'
  • 71' Obika for Mandron
  • 90+12' McKinstry for van Veen

Ross County substitutes

  • 55' Smith for Iacovitti
  • 64' Tillson for Loturi
  • 64' Murray for Samuel
  • 77' Edwards for Kenneh · yellow card 85', second yellow 90+1'
  • 90+5' Sims for Dhanda

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0331
McGinnCB900.060.0200.10106
ButcherCB900.020.0210.13103
Casey CB710.080.0000.0242
O'DonnellRWB900.000.3120.1467
PatonCM440.000.0110.0031
GossCM900.060.0820.1482
FurlongLWB650.000.1010.1171
Spittal AM900.000.1210.15118
MandronST710.040.010−0.0101
van VeenST9011.040.0800.0720
CorneliusMF460.040.0610.0421
BlaneyDF250.030.0310.0423
Aitchison FW190.040.0000.0331
ObikaFW190.050.0000.0001
McKinstryFW00.000.0000.0000

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0300.0961
WatsonCB900.000.0200.0475
BaldwinCB900.090.0100.0338
IacovittiCB550.000.0000.0436
RandallRWB900.000.0800.1145
KennehCM770.030.0000.0221
LoturiCM640.000.0220.0213
HarmonLWB900.000.1010.0525
DhandaAM900.100.0410.0642
SamuelST640.070.0000.1102
WhiteST900.000.050−0.1120
SmithDF350.000.0610.0823
TillsonMF260.000.0000.0112
MurrayFW260.000.0000.0211
Edwards FW130.000.0000.0020
SimsMF00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Casey and Furlong: 4 passesCasey and Spittal: 4 passesButcher and O'Donnell: 4 passesMcGinn and Goss: 4 passesO'Donnell and Goss: 4 passesO'Donnell and Spittal: 4 passesO'Donnell and van Veen: 4 passesPaton and Goss: 4 passesPaton and Mandron: 4 passesKelly and Casey: 5 passesButcher and McGinn: 5 passesFurlong and Spittal: 5 passesFurlong and Mandron: 5 passesPaton and Spittal: 6 passesKelly and McGinn: 8 passesPaton and Furlong: 8 passesGoss and Spittal: 8 passesKelly and Butcher: 10 passesCasey and Goss: 11 passesGoss and Furlong: 12 passesCasey and Butcher: 15 passesKelly: 19 completed passesCasey: 24 completed passesButcher: 22 completed passesMcGinn: 12 completed passesO'Donnell: 15 completed passesPaton: 13 completed passesGoss: 26 completed passesFurlong: 23 completed passesSpittal: 15 completed passesMandron: 8 completed passesvan Veen: 4 completed passes152661625327247219KellyCaseyButcherMcGinnO'DonnellPatonGossFurlongSpittalMandronvan VeenStarters until 44' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and White: 3 passesWatson and Dhanda: 3 passesWatson and Samuel: 3 passesIacovitti and Kenneh: 3 passesRandall and Dhanda: 3 passesKenneh and Dhanda: 3 passesLoturi and Harmon: 3 passesBaldwin and Dhanda: 4 passesWatson and Loturi: 4 passesIacovitti and White: 4 passesLoturi and Dhanda: 4 passesHarmon and White: 5 passesBaldwin and Watson: 6 passesBaldwin and Loturi: 6 passesRandall and Kenneh: 6 passesHarmon and Dhanda: 6 passesWatson and Randall: 7 passesIacovitti and Loturi: 7 passesLaidlaw: 5 completed passesBaldwin: 16 completed passesWatson: 13 completed passesIacovitti: 13 completed passesRandall: 11 completed passesKenneh: 12 completed passesLoturi: 16 completed passesHarmon: 12 completed passesDhanda: 12 completed passesWhite: 6 completed passesSamuel: 3 completed passes151562421416102625LaidlawBaldwinWatsonIacovittiRandallKennehLoturiHarmonDhandaWhiteSamuelStarters until 55' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
CaseyButcher11
KellyButcher9
ButcherGoss9
GossCasey8
GossSpittal8

Ross County

FromToPasses
LaidlawWhite7
BaldwinWhite6
HarmonDhanda6
BaldwinLoturi6
KennehRandall5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

4−0.83−2.913+0.48+1.16+0.110+2.47+0.14−2.08+0.24−1.35+1.76−0.74−0.83−0.71−2.04+0.36+1.11−1.51−0.710.02−0.21−1.71−0.10−0.42+1.32+1.60−1.14−3.34−3.12−3.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Ross County

5−0.65−3.815−1.34−3.912+5.74−4.76−1.37+0.35−2.48+0.32−3.82−2.00−3.43−1.810+6.25+0.45+1.70−2.61−1.92−1.88+4.51−0.80−0.91−0.61−1.30−1.00−0.51+0.30−0.30−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.030.020.030.060.010.010.040.020.050.050.080.100.010.020.040.08−0.010.070.040.040.05−0.05−0.020.050.14LessMore

Ross County

0.010.060.010.010.010.010.070.010.020.020.030.010.070.030.010.010.020.03−0.07−0.050.090.010.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackMotherwell1.16 → 1.19Ross County1.00 → 0.97Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.25 → 1.21Ross County1.41 → 1.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th43%48%+5
Bottom19%26%+7
St. Johnstone
11th14%9%−5
Bottom2%2%0
Dundee United
11th22%26%+4
Bottom69%64%−5

From the forecast before the match (20 May 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellRoss County
Expected goals1.590.90
Win53%21%
Expected Points1.860.88
Clean sheet41%20%

Motherwell 53%Draw 26%Ross County 21%

Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 48%.

Ross County goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%5%2%4%1%6%5%2%2%2%13%12%11%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawRoss County win
Ross County
11th43%48%44%29%
Bottom19%26%15%4%
St. Johnstone
11th14%9%16%25%
Bottom2%2%3%4%
Dundee United
11th22%26%20%16%
Bottom69%64%71%79%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. W2–013 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.53–0.75
  2. W2–06 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 1.67–0.43
  3. D1–122 AprCeltic (A)xG 0.81–2.04
  4. L1–215 AprDundee United (H)xG 2.47–1.53
  5. W3–08 AprLivingston (H)xG 1.59–0.84
  6. W3–11 AprHibernian (A)xG 1.79–0.90

Ross County

  1. W3–113 MayDundee United (A)xG 3.37–2.19
  2. W2–06 MayLivingston (H)xG 0.72–0.58
  3. L1–622 AprHearts (A)xG 1.59–3.68
  4. L0–114 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.94–0.65
  5. W2–08 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.91–0.86
  6. L0–22 AprCeltic (H)xG 0.40–3.30

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellRoss County
Position7th11th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost12–⁠7–⁠169–⁠6–⁠20
Points43 (1.23 per game)33 (0.94 per game)
Expected Points per game1.321.05
Goals48–⁠4833–⁠53
xG per game1.27–⁠1.360.95–⁠1.49
Home: points, xG per game1.06, 1.30–⁠1.161.00, 0.91–⁠1.37
Away: points, xG per game1.39, 1.23–⁠1.540.88, 1.00–⁠1.62
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (11)Malky Mackay (73)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackMotherwell1.16, 5thRoss County1.00, 9thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.25, 4thRoss County1.41, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayMotherwell attack: 1.16Ross County attack: 1.001.161.00Ross CountyMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayMotherwell defence: 1.25Ross County defence: 1.411.411.25

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−12%+8%−34%+22%
Counter-attacks+54%−9%−20%+116%
Set pieces−7%+9%+9%−4%
Penalties+16%−42%−71%−42%
Headers−29%+36%+16%+8%
Left side−1%+1%−32%+14%
Centre−13%+18%−8%+14%
Right side−5%−4%−38%+34%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdRoss County concededLeft side−1%+34%Centre−13%+14%Right side−5%+14%Open play−12%+22%Counter-attacks+54%+116%Set pieces−7%−4%Headers−29%+8%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdMotherwell concededLeft side−32%−4%Centre−8%+18%Right side−38%+1%Open play−34%+8%Counter-attacks−20%−9%Set pieces+9%+9%Headers+16%+36%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellRoss County

1.27xG0.95
1.36xG against1.49
47%Possession43%
11.6Shots9.2
12.2Shots against16.7
3.6Shots on target2.8
1.7Big chances1.1
16.4Touches in the opposition box17.6
344Passes311
65%Pass accuracy62%
4.9Corners3.8
46%Field tilt38%
33.4Final-third entries28.6
8.4Box entries7.7
14.0Passes per defensive action15.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.311.70
Ahead251.310.96
Behind281.161.26

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.881.32
Ahead141.251.63
Behind300.921.69

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.196–5
16–300.160.236–9
31–450.210.207–5
46–600.270.2113–7
61–750.250.235–16
76–900.270.2811–6

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.176–4
16–300.120.201–9
31–450.120.344–9
46–600.220.258–10
61–750.170.228–9
76–900.180.336–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTKelly 35McGinn 17Johnston 12O'Donnell 6Johansen 18Butcher 10McGinn 4Lamie 22Casey 11Penney 16O'Donnell 5Cornelius 5Slattery 15Cornelius 10Furlong 8Goss 26Tierney 1Morris 1McGinn 10Shields 10Spittal 4Spittal 14Goss 6Slattery 5Spittal 11van Veen 8McKinstry 8van Veen 23Obika 4Mandron 34-2-3-1 in 11 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-4-1-2 (10), 4-3-3 (8), 4-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 35Randall 14Johnson 14Watson 4Baldwin 24Watson 7Smith 4Iacovitti 34Harmon 14Purrington 11Kenneh 4Loturi 16Callachan 8Harmon 6Cancola 18Tillson 12Kenneh 6Edwards 8Watson 5Sims 4Dhanda 13Callachan 8Tillson 4Edwards 6Harmon 5White 5White 24Hiwula-Mayifuila 5Brophy 44-2-3-1 in 21 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (21), 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
4 March 2023Ross County0–2MotherwellxG 1.19–1.42
14 January 2023Motherwell1–1Ross CountyxG 0.82–1.23
4 October 2022Ross County0–5MotherwellxG 0.52–2.58
7 May 2022Ross County0–1MotherwellxG 0.72–1.22
2 March 2022Motherwell0–1Ross CountyxG 1.17–1.05
18 January 2022Ross County3–1MotherwellxG 1.20–0.59

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 6, Ross County won 4, and 1 was a draw. Goals 19–10 and xG 1.45–1.14 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
van Veen332,9062210.560.08
McKinstry101,050410.160.16
Tierney4574200.190.10
Spittal332,591570.110.17

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy8536320.370.08
Murray4516210.290.14
White302,6611020.320.06
Sims10806000.230.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.