Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 0–2 Celtic

Sunday 2 April 2023, 12:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 30 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 6,690

Celtic Jota 45+5' (pen), Bernabei 90+5'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyCeltic
Goals02
xG0.403.30
Non-penalty xG0.402.51
Expected Points0.092.86

Ross County 1%Draw 5%Celtic 94%

Most likely score 0–3, 17%. Final score 0–2, 14%.

Celtic goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+1%6%8%5%3%6%7%6%4%2%1%1%1%14%17%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTSims on for G. Edwards, 56'Murray on for Brophy and O. Edwards on for Cancola, 74'Callachan on for Loturi, 84'Bernabei on for Taylor, 65'Oh on for Furuhashi, 74'Haksabanovic on for Maeda and Turnbull on for O'Riley, 75'Vata on for Jota, 90+6'Jota 45+5' (pen)Bernabei 90+5'Celtic 3.30Ross County 0.40012340153045607590HTSims on for G. Edwards, 56'Murray on for Brophy and O. Edwards on for Cancola, 74'Callachan on for Loturi, 84'Bernabei on for Taylor, 65'Oh on for Furuhashi, 74'Haksabanovic on for Maeda and Turnbull on for O'Riley, 75'Vata on for Jota, 90+6'Jota 45+5' (pen)Bernabei 90+5'3.300.40Ross CountyCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyCeltic

0.40 −0.48xG3.30 +0.86
0.40Non-penalty xG2.51
0.25 −0.55xG on target2.61 +0.12
8 −1.1Shots28 +8.9
2 −0.7Shots on target9 +1.7
0 −1.0Big chances6 +2.7
9 −8Touches in the opposition box47 +4
26% −18Possession74% +2
210 −110Passes626 −46
55% −8Pass accuracy84% −3
18% −20Field tilt82% 0
19 −10Final-third entries71 −15
4 −3.2Box entries29 +3.8
19.1 +4.0Passes per defensive action8.1 −1.4
2 −1.5Corners9 +1.3
23 +7Tackles20 +7
10 +0.3Interceptions6 −2.0
25 +1Clearances15 +1
6 +2.6Saves2 +0.6
7 −5Fouls6 −4
1 −1.0Offsides3 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Sims 82', 0.10 xGSmith 49', 0.07 xGHarmon 57', 0.07 xGG. Edwards 52', 0.05 xGBrophy 51', 0.03 xGSims 59', 0.03 xGG. Edwards 8', 0.02 xGLoturi 41', 0.02 xG60%0.24 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals13%0.05 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals22%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals5%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Carter-Vickers 10', 0.24 xGOh 76', 0.22 xGFuruhashi 62', 0.21 xGOh 76', 0.21 xGJota 68', 0.19 xGJota 54', 0.16 xGOh 76', 0.16 xGHaksabanovic 90+1', 0.14 xGOh 90+3', 0.11 xGJota 38', 0.09 xGFuruhashi 23', 0.08 xGMaeda 47', 0.06 xGOh 79', 0.06 xGTurnbull 85', 0.06 xGTaylor 42', 0.05 xGTaylor 45', 0.05 xGTurnbull 90', 0.05 xGJota 90+1', 0.05 xGIwata 58', 0.04 xGStarfelt 68', 0.04 xGMaeda 24', 0.03 xGJota 40', 0.03 xGStarfelt 26', 0.02 xGJota 31', 0.02 xGMaeda 45+1', 0.02 xGCarter-Vickers 45+2', 0.02 xGBernabei 90+5', 0.06 xG, goal25%0.62 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.62 xG, 0 goals40%1.01 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.01 xG, 0 goals22%0.54 xGWide in the box: 8 shots, 0.54 xG, 0 goals13%0.33 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.33 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyCeltic

0.30 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.89 21 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.16 1 shot, 0 goals
0.10 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.46 5 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
50 min (50%) · Ross County 0.04, Celtic 1.46 xG
Celtic ahead
51 min (50%) · Ross County 0.36, Celtic 1.84 xG

Line-ups

123061641442292726LaidlawRandallSmithIacovittiHarmonCancolaLoturiKennehG. EdwardsBrophyWhite74'84'56'74'Ross County 4-4-1-1Malky Mackay12204333422417838HartJohnstonCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorO'RileyMcGregorIwataJotaFuruhashiMaedaGoal65'75'90+6'74'75'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou

Ross County substitutes

  • 56' Sims for G. Edwards
  • 74' O. Edwards for Cancola
  • 74' Murray for Brophy
  • 84' Callachan for Loturi

Celtic substitutes

  • 65' Bernabei for Taylor · goal 90+5'
  • 74' Oh for Furuhashi
  • 75' Turnbull for O'Riley
  • 75' Haksabanovic for Maeda
  • 90+6' Vata for Jota

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0100.0220
RandallRB900.000.0100.0549
SmithCB900.070.0000.0019
IacovittiCB900.000.0000.0257
HarmonLB900.070.0620.01211
CancolaRM740.000.0010.0204
LoturiCM840.020.0100.0243
KennehCM900.000.0000.0116
G. EdwardsLM560.070.0000.0815
BrophyAM740.030.0100.0003
WhiteST900.000.0010.0102
SimsFW340.140.0510.0224
O. EdwardsFW160.000.1110.1821
MurrayFW160.000.0000.0000
CallachanMF60.000.0000.0111

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0010.0100
JohnstonRB900.000.3440.3072
Carter-VickersCB900.270.0310.16116
StarfeltCB900.070.0400.171310
TaylorLB650.100.0220.0342
O'RileyCM750.000.4540.1426
McGregorCM900.000.0530.0132
IwataCM900.040.3020.2595
JotaRW90111.330.0420.0081
FuruhashiST740.300.2810.0820
MaedaLW750.110.1920.26122
BernabeiDF2510.060.4410.2662
OhFW160.760.0110.0121
TurnbullMF150.120.0000.0411
HaksabanovicMF150.140.1000.1141
VataFW00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Randall and Smith: 3 passesRandall and Cancola: 3 passesRandall and White: 3 passesBrophy and White: 3 passesIacovitti and Loturi: 4 passesHarmon and G. Edwards: 4 passesCancola and Brophy: 4 passesRandall and Loturi: 5 passesHarmon and Loturi: 5 passesLaidlaw and White: 6 passesCancola and Loturi: 9 passesLaidlaw: 10 completed passesRandall: 9 completed passesIacovitti: 5 completed passesSmith: 3 completed passesHarmon: 12 completed passesCancola: 10 completed passesKenneh: 1 completed passesLoturi: 13 completed passesG. Edwards: 4 completed passesBrophy: 5 completed passesWhite: 6 completed passes126301644214292726LaidlawRandallIacovittiSmithHarmonCancolaKennehLoturiG. EdwardsBrophyWhiteStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Carter-Vickers and Taylor: 6 passesTaylor and O'Riley: 6 passesIwata and McGregor: 6 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and O'Riley: 7 passesJohnston and Jota: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 8 passesStarfelt and Maeda: 9 passesTaylor and Maeda: 9 passesIwata and Jota: 9 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 10 passesO'Riley and Iwata: 11 passesMcGregor and Maeda: 12 passesStarfelt and Iwata: 13 passesTaylor and Iwata: 13 passesJohnston and Iwata: 15 passesHart and Starfelt: 16 passesJohnston and O'Riley: 18 passesTaylor and McGregor: 18 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 19 passesCarter-Vickers and Iwata: 21 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 32 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 51 passesHart: 26 completed passesJohnston: 40 completed passesStarfelt: 71 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 63 completed passesTaylor: 51 completed passesO'Riley: 29 completed passesIwata: 49 completed passesMcGregor: 30 completed passesJota: 13 completed passesFuruhashi: 4 completed passesMaeda: 19 completed passes12420333244217838HartJohnstonStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorO'RileyIwataMcGregorJotaFuruhashiMaedaStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
LaidlawWhite7
CancolaLoturi7
RandallLoturi5
LoturiCancola5
HarmonG. Edwards4

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltCarter-Vickers28
Carter-VickersStarfelt25
StarfeltTaylor18
HartStarfelt14
TaylorStarfelt14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

7+1.520+11.814−2.45−3.011+4.710+1.69+1.55−1.85−2.64−3.75−0.92−1.85+1.74−0.75+1.22−2.51−2.54+1.530.05+1.011+8.02+0.21+0.34+2.57+4.96+5.11+0.60−0.70−0.41+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Celtic

1−1.40−3.38+0.212+6.212+7.36+0.95+1.25+0.87+0.711+3.22−3.12−2.54+0.35−0.93−5.17+2.50−2.83+0.33−0.33−2.67+3.81−0.81−0.91−1.34+1.51−0.40−0.60−0.910.00−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.050.010.010.010.020.020.050.01−0.010.18LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.030.040.010.030.040.060.120.030.040.040.120.060.100.070.010.160.110.15−0.050.100.220.29LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackRoss County0.96 → 0.93Celtic2.40 → 2.42Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.43 → 1.46Celtic0.64 → 0.62

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th40%40%0
Bottom32%35%+3
Celtic
Title96%97%+1
Dundee United
11th29%30%+1
Bottom56%54%−2
Kilmarnock
11th27%26%−1
Bottom11%11%0

From the forecast before the match (2 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyCeltic
Expected goals0.582.46
Win7%78%
Expected Points0.352.50
Clean sheet9%56%

Ross County 7%Draw 15%Celtic 78%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 41%.

Celtic goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+5%7%4%2%2%7%8%7%4%2%1%2%2%2%1%11%14%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawCeltic win
Ross County
11th40%33%40%40%
Bottom32%17%27%35%
Celtic
Title96%88%92%97%
Dundee United
11th29%24%26%30%
Bottom56%65%60%54%
Kilmarnock
11th27%35%29%26%
Bottom11%17%12%11%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L1–218 MarLivingston (A)xG 1.29–0.66
  2. L0–24 MarMotherwell (H)xG 1.19–1.42
  3. W4–025 FebDundee United (H)xG 2.57–0.60
  4. L0–118 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.63–2.34
  5. L1–24 FebRangers (A)xG 1.01–2.15
  6. D1–131 JanHibernian (H)xG 0.69–1.03

Celtic

  1. W3–118 MarHibernian (H)xG 3.96–0.90
  2. W3–18 MarHearts (H)xG 2.08–0.62
  3. W5–15 MarSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.48–0.79
  4. W4–018 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.50–0.27
  5. W4–15 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.02–0.26
  6. W3–01 FebLivingston (H)xG 1.51–0.35

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyCeltic
Position11th1st
Played2929
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠6–⁠1727–⁠1–⁠1
Points24 (0.83 per game)82 (2.83 per game)
Expected Points per game1.022.45
Goals25–⁠4393–⁠21
xG per game0.88–⁠1.412.44–⁠0.63
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 0.96–⁠1.343.00, 2.48–⁠0.54
Away: points, xG per game0.64, 0.79–⁠1.482.64, 2.41–⁠0.72
ManagerMalky Mackay (67)Ange Postecoglou (67)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackRoss County0.96, 10thCeltic2.40, 1stDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.43, 10thCeltic0.64, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprRoss County attack: 0.96Celtic attack: 2.402.400.96CelticRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprRoss County defence: 1.43Celtic defence: 0.641.430.64

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−39%+21%+123%−64%
Counter-attacks+2%+120%+55%−85%
Set pieces+1%−4%+34%−55%
Penalties−83%−83%−13%+22%
Headers−3%+7%+62%−49%
Left side−25%+9%+68%−54%
Centre−20%+19%+134%−63%
Right side−41%+29%+68%−70%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdCeltic concededLeft side−25%−70%Centre−20%−63%Right side−41%−54%Open play−39%−64%Counter-attacks+2%−85%Set pieces+1%−55%Headers−3%−49%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRoss County concededLeft side+68%+29%Centre+134%+19%Right side+68%+9%Open play+123%+21%Counter-attacks+55%+120%Set pieces+34%−4%Headers+62%+7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyCeltic

0.88xG2.44
1.41xG against0.63
44%Possession72%
9.1Shots19.1
16.3Shots against6.2
2.7Shots on target7.3
1.0Big chances3.3
17.0Touches in the opposition box42.5
320Passes672
63%Pass accuracy87%
3.5Corners7.7
38%Field tilt82%
29.1Final-third entries85.8
7.2Box entries25.2
15.1Passes per defensive action9.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.831.31
Ahead121.081.67
Behind290.861.47

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level292.370.64
Ahead552.470.64
Behind62.560.47

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.155–4
16–300.130.181–4
31–450.140.302–7
46–600.180.265–8
61–750.150.197–9
76–900.150.335–11

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.1117–3
16–300.300.068–1
31–450.460.1617–5
46–600.420.1417–7
61–750.270.099–2
76–900.660.0725–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 29Johnson 14Randall 11Watson 2Baldwin 21Watson 7Randall 1Iacovitti 29Harmon 12Purrington 11Kenneh 4Tillson 12Callachan 8Harmon 6Cancola 16Loturi 11Kenneh 2O. Edwards 8Watson 5Hiwula-Mayifuila 4Dhanda 11Callachan 8Tillson 4O. Edwards 6White 5Dhanda 4White 18Hiwula-Mayifuila 5Brophy 44-2-3-1 in 21 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (21), 3-4-1-2 (6), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 29Ralston 10Johnston 9Juranovic 8Carter-Vickers 26Welsh 4Starfelt 17Jenz 10Kobayashi 1Taylor 21Bernabei 7Juranovic 1O'Riley 24Mooy 12McGregor 22Haksabanovic 1Hatate 22Turnbull 6Abada 10Jota 9Maeda 5Furuhashi 24Giakoumakis 4Oh 1Maeda 14Jota 11Haksabanovic 34-3-3 in 27 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (27), 4-2-3-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 November 2022Celtic2–1Ross CountyxG 1.88–0.84
6 August 2022Ross County1–3CelticxG 0.39–1.75
24 April 2022Ross County0–2CelticxG 0.30–2.76
19 March 2022Celtic4–0Ross CountyxG 3.36–0.14
15 December 2021Ross County1–2CelticxG 0.65–2.72
11 September 2021Celtic3–0Ross CountyxG 2.71–0.45

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, Celtic won 8, and 0 were drawn. Goals 4–23 and xG 0.54–2.55 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White242,154710.280.06
Sims6499000.230.11
O. Edwards151,398220.120.08
Dhanda181,545340.040.15

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Giakoumakis4685610.870.09
Abada101,2551040.530.42
Jota201,694980.420.46
Furuhashi241,7852020.810.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.