Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Ross County 1–2 Celtic

Wednesday 15 December 2021, 19:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 14 · Half-time 0–1 · Attendance 5,592

Ross County Baldwin 57'

Celtic Abada 21', Ralston 90+7' · Starfelt sent off 79'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyCeltic
Goals12
xG0.652.72
Expected Points0.232.65

Ross County 4%Draw 12%Celtic 84%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Final score 1–2, 11%.

Celtic goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+2%7%8%3%1%1%6%7%3%1%2%3%3%2%13%13%11%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTStarfelt (Celtic), second yellow card 79'Samuel on for Paton, 36'White on for Callachan, 54'Burroughs on for Hungbo, 65'Moffat on for Montgomery, 63'Rogic on for Bitton, 75'Baldwin 57'Abada 21'Ralston 90+7'Celtic 2.72Ross County 0.6501230153045607590HTStarfelt (Celtic), second yellow card 79'Samuel on for Paton, 36'White on for Callachan, 54'Burroughs on for Hungbo, 65'Moffat on for Montgomery, 63'Rogic on for Bitton, 75'Baldwin 57'Abada 21'Ralston 90+7'2.720.65Ross CountyCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyCeltic

0.65 −0.48xG2.72 +0.13
0.98 −0.19xG on target2.46 −0.04
7 −3Shots25 +4
2 −2.3Shots on target8 +1.2
1 −0.5Big chances3 −0.9
14 −4Touches in the opposition box33 −4
25% −19Possession75% +3
221 −105Passes651 −21
58% −9Pass accuracy86% −2
14% −26Field tilt86% +5
24 −4Final-third entries69 −5
8 −0.9Box entries17 −5.8
17.6 0.0Passes per defensive action11.9 +2.3
4 +0.3Corners7 −2.4
13 0Tackles7 −5
17 +7.1Interceptions8 +0.5
24 −2Clearances10 −6
5 +1.3Saves1 −0.8
13 +1Fouls9 −3
3 +0.6Offsides1 −0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Samuel 56', 0.15 xGCharles-Cook 90+4', 0.07 xGClarke 81', 0.04 xGBurroughs 86', 0.04 xGSpittal 80', 0.03 xGSamuel 90+3', 0.02 xGBaldwin 57', 0.30 xG, goal47%0.30 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.30 xG, 1 goal23%0.15 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 0 goals11%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals16%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Abada 30', 0.41 xGScales 45+3', 0.24 xGBitton 11', 0.12 xGTurnbull 13', 0.11 xGRalston 87', 0.10 xGJuranovic 85', 0.09 xGMcGregor 62', 0.08 xGMcGregor 26', 0.06 xGBitton 70', 0.05 xGTurnbull 83', 0.05 xGMcGregor 90', 0.05 xGTurnbull 90', 0.05 xGMcGregor 90+6', 0.05 xGBitton 24', 0.04 xGBitton 51', 0.03 xGBitton 13', 0.02 xGBitton 65', 0.02 xGMoffat 75', 0.02 xGTurnbull 78', 0.02 xGCarter-Vickers 78', 0.02 xGTurnbull 89', 0.02 xGBitton 45+2', 0.01 xGJuranovic 90+6', 0.01 xGAbada 21', 0.60 xG, goalRalston 90+7', 0.43 xG, goal16%0.43 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.43 xG, 1 goal44%1.20 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.20 xG, 1 goal1%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals23%0.62 xGEdge of the box: 13 shots, 0.62 xG, 0 goals17%0.45 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.45 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyCeltic

0.32 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.30 13 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.41 1 shot, 0 goals
0.32 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces1.02 11 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
61 min (60%) · Ross County 0.20, Celtic 1.92 xG
Celtic ahead
40 min (40%) · Ross County 0.45, Celtic 0.81 xG

Line-ups

31201553622238177Maynard-BrewerClarkeWatsonBaldwinVokinsPatonTillsonHungboCallachanCharles-CookSpittalGoalYellow card36'65'54'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay1556204514642881154HartRalstonCarter-VickersStarfeltScalesTurnbullBittonMcGregorJuranovicAbadaMontgomeryGoalYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow cardGoal75'63'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou

Ross County substitutes

  • 36' Samuel for Paton · yellow card 76'
  • 54' White for Callachan
  • 65' Burroughs for Hungbo · yellow card 74'

Celtic substitutes

  • 63' Moffat for Montgomery
  • 75' Rogic for Bitton · 1 assist

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Maynard-BrewerGK900.000.0000.0331
ClarkeRB900.040.0100.0446
WatsonCB900.000.0000.0116
BaldwinCB9010.300.0100.03313
VokinsLB900.000.0000.0017
PatonDM360.000.0000.0001
TillsonDM900.000.0000.00112
HungboRW650.000.0000.0331
CallachanAM540.000.000−0.0204
Charles-CookLW900.070.000−0.0114
Spittal ST9010.030.3220.0224
Samuel FW540.180.0220.0313
WhiteFW360.000.1010.0211
Burroughs DF250.040.0300.0213

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0100
RalstonRB9010.530.0300.1573
Carter-VickersCB900.020.0110.0988
Starfelt CB790.000.0210.15143
Scales LB9010.240.6620.3973
TurnbullCM900.240.3040.1351
BittonCM750.310.0700.1283
McGregorCM900.240.2920.26101
JuranovicRW900.100.1120.0864
AbadaST9011.010.0920.0710
MontgomeryLW630.000.0200.0031
MoffatFW270.020.021−0.0110
RogicFW1510.000.2920.2750

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Maynard-Brewer and Clarke: 3 passesVokins and Callachan: 3 passesVokins and Charles-Cook: 3 passesClarke and Watson: 4 passesClarke and Hungbo: 4 passesVokins and Tillson: 4 passesClarke and Paton: 5 passesVokins and Paton: 8 passesMaynard-Brewer: 1 completed passesClarke: 14 completed passesBaldwin: 1 completed passesWatson: 4 completed passesVokins: 13 completed passesPaton: 9 completed passesTillson: 5 completed passesHungbo: 3 completed passesCallachan: 8 completed passesCharles-Cook: 4 completed passesSpittal: 4 completed passes31205153622238177Maynard-BrewerClarkeBaldwinWatsonVokinsPatonTillsonHungboCallachanCharles-CookSpittalStarters until 36' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Starfelt and Bitton: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and Juranovic: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 9 passesBitton and Juranovic: 9 passesRalston and McGregor: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and Bitton: 10 passesMcGregor and Juranovic: 10 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 11 passesCarter-Vickers and Turnbull: 12 passesScales and Bitton: 12 passesBitton and Turnbull: 12 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 13 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 13 passesHart and Starfelt: 14 passesRalston and Turnbull: 14 passesRalston and Juranovic: 14 passesMcGregor and Montgomery: 14 passesRalston and Bitton: 15 passesScales and McGregor: 15 passesBitton and McGregor: 15 passesTurnbull and Juranovic: 16 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 19 passesStarfelt and Scales: 30 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 44 passesHart: 21 completed passesRalston: 43 completed passesStarfelt: 67 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 55 completed passesScales: 44 completed passesBitton: 43 completed passesMcGregor: 52 completed passesTurnbull: 38 completed passesJuranovic: 31 completed passesAbada: 5 completed passesMontgomery: 15 completed passes1556420564214881154HartRalstonStarfeltCarter-VickersScalesBittonMcGregorTurnbullJuranovicAbadaMontgomeryStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
Maynard-BrewerWhite7
ClarkeMaynard-Brewer4
PatonVokins4
VokinsTillson4
VokinsPaton4

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltCarter-Vickers26
Carter-VickersStarfelt26
StarfeltScales25
StarfeltMcGregor18
ScalesStarfelt16

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

4−1.56+0.217+1.29+1.93−3.55−3.010+2.714+7.610+1.79+1.17+1.76+1.32−1.53−1.89+3.41−3.61−1.93+0.83+0.24+1.05+2.92−0.21+0.42+0.70−1.63+2.21+0.90−0.61+0.80−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Celtic

3−1.14−0.96+1.74−1.47+1.63−2.12−2.25−0.85−3.04−0.93−1.03−0.82−3.53−2.88+3.74+0.21−1.12−1.93−2.72−0.10−1.50−1.91−0.81−2.10−0.30−0.51+0.60−0.71+0.24−4.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 17 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.020.010.01−0.010.020.020.02−0.010.020.02−0.01−0.010.01−0.010.030.030.03LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.030.020.020.050.060.040.070.020.040.070.050.120.010.060.050.030.030.100.150.100.230.29LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackRoss County1.02 → 1.02Celtic2.00 → 2.00Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.49 → 1.49Celtic0.76 → 0.76

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six4%3%−1
11th22%23%+1
Bottom28%30%+2
Celtic
Title35%37%+2
Rangers
Title65%63%−2
Dundee FC
11th24%24%0
Bottom34%34%0

From the forecast before the match (15 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyCeltic
Expected goals0.742.45
Win9%75%
Expected Points0.432.41
Clean sheet9%48%

Ross County 9%Draw 16%Celtic 75%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

Celtic goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+4%6%3%2%3%8%7%5%2%1%1%3%3%3%2%10%12%10%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawCeltic win
Ross County
Top six4%12%5%3%
11th22%16%22%23%
Bottom28%16%25%30%
Celtic
Title35%23%28%37%
Rangers
Title65%77%72%63%
Dundee FC
11th24%23%23%24%
Bottom34%39%35%34%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W3–211 DecDundee FC (H)xG 2.13–1.64
  2. D0–01 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.93–1.89
  3. D1–127 NovDundee United (H)xG 1.53–0.47
  4. W1–024 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.21–0.52
  5. L2–47 NovRangers (A)xG 0.48–1.23
  6. W5–027 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.57–0.48

Celtic

  1. W1–012 DecMotherwell (H)xG 2.45–0.75
  2. W3–05 DecDundee United (A)xG 4.36–0.21
  3. W1–02 DecHearts (H)xG 2.86–0.67
  4. W2–128 NovAberdeen (H)xG 2.31–0.85
  5. W4–27 NovDundee FC (A)xG 1.95–0.66
  6. D0–030 OctLivingston (H)xG 1.80–0.10

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyCeltic
Position11th2nd
Played1617
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠5–⁠812–⁠2–⁠3
Points14 (0.88 per game)38 (2.24 per game)
Expected Points per game1.232.43
Goals22–⁠2937–⁠10
xG per game1.13–⁠1.412.59–⁠0.63
Home: points, xG per game1.12, 1.42–⁠1.202.56, 3.10–⁠0.49
Away: points, xG per game0.62, 0.84–⁠1.621.88, 2.02–⁠0.78
ManagerMalky Mackay (16)Ange Postecoglou (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackRoss County1.02, 7thCeltic2.00, 1stDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.49, 12thCeltic0.76, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecRoss County attack: 1.02Celtic attack: 2.002.001.02CelticRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecRoss County defence: 1.49Celtic defence: 0.761.490.76

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−5%+20%+144%−49%
Counter-attacks−87%+2%+133%−61%
Set pieces−22%+28%+48%−45%
Penalties+36%−55%+28%−57%
Headers−40%+43%+70%−12%
Left side−32%+26%+80%−59%
Centre−15%+12%+164%−39%
Right side+7%+36%+63%−57%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdCeltic concededLeft side−32%−57%Centre−15%−39%Right side+7%−59%Open play−5%−49%Counter-attacks−87%−61%Set pieces−22%−45%Headers−40%−12%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRoss County concededLeft side+80%+36%Centre+164%+12%Right side+63%+26%Open play+144%+20%Counter-attacks+133%+2%Set pieces+48%+28%Headers+70%+43%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyCeltic

1.13xG2.59
1.41xG against0.63
44%Possession72%
10.2Shots20.9
14.9Shots against7.1
4.3Shots on target6.8
1.5Big chances3.9
18.5Touches in the opposition box37.0
326Passes672
68%Pass accuracy88%
3.7Corners9.4
41%Field tilt80%
28.1Final-third entries74.4
8.9Box entries22.8
17.6Passes per defensive action9.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.871.34
Ahead141.701.31
Behind321.241.55

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level392.230.48
Ahead433.050.81
Behind81.950.39

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.143–5
16–300.210.173–5
31–450.230.227–7
46–600.050.240–4
61–750.210.315–3
76–900.310.344–5

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.350.124–1
16–300.440.1111–3
31–450.470.105–2
46–600.260.096–1
61–750.380.134–2
76–900.690.087–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 11Laidlaw 5Clarke 8Randall 4Burroughs 2Baldwin 10Clarke 3Donaldson 1Iacovitti 14Watson 2Paton 1Randall 5B. Paton 5Charles-Cook 2Tillson 9Callachan 5Paton 7Cancola 5Spittal 5Hungbo 6Charles-Cook 2Baldwin 2Callachan 8Paton 3Tillson 3Charles-Cook 10Spittal 4Callachan 1White 11Samuel 2A. Samuel 24-2-3-1 in 7 of 16 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 16Bain 1Ralston 13Juranovic 4Carter-Vickers 12Bitton 1Starfelt 14Welsh 7Juranovic 8Taylor 6Bolingoli-Mbo… 2Bolingoli-MbomboRogic 9Christie 2Forrest 1McGregor 15Bitton 4McCarthy 3Turnbull 15Johnston 1Abada 13Forrest 1Rogic 1Furuhashi 9Ajeti 3Edouard 3Jota 10Forrest 2Furuhashi 24-3-3 in 15 of 17 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (15), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 September 2021Celtic3–0Ross CountyxG 2.71–0.45
21 February 2021Ross County1–0CelticxG 0.98–2.31
23 December 2020Celtic2–0Ross CountyxG 2.15–0.29
12 September 2020Ross County0–5CelticxG 0.81–3.32

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, Celtic won 3, and 0 were drawn. Goals 1–10 and xG 0.63–2.62 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Spittal121,096400.170.18
Hungbo7700210.150.14
Charles-Cook151,185520.150.14
White111,084220.230.03

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi11934800.820.16
Abada131,094330.350.39
Turnbull171,496540.290.43
Rogic10826320.330.34

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.