Matches › 2022/23

Celtic 2–1 Ross County

Saturday 12 November 2022, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 16 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 58,391

Celtic Turnbull 62', Haksabanovic 68'

Ross County Cancola 50' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	Ross County
Goals	2	1
xG	1.88	0.84
Non-penalty xG	1.88	0.05
Expected Points	2.10	0.62

Celtic 61%Draw 28%Ross County 11%

Most likely score 1–1, 24%. Final score 2–1, 22%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticRoss County

1.88 −0.68xG0.84 +0.09

1.88Non-penalty xG0.05

1.76 −0.90xG on target1.09 +0.27

22 +3.5Shots2 −6.3

7 −0.4Shots on target2 −0.5

2 −1.5Big chances1 +0.1

48 +12Touches in the opposition box10 −6

74% +4Possession26% −18

605 −2Passes209 −121

89% +3Pass accuracy64% −2

93% +15Field tilt7% −30

102 +28Final-third entries17 −12

31 +9.1Box entries4 −3.5

8.0 −2Passes per defensive action25.1 +10

9 +1.4Corners0 −3.8

11 −2Tackles20 +4

5 −1.9Interceptions8 −2.0

11 −4Clearances26 +4

1 −0.9Saves5 +1.9

14 +3Fouls5 −8

0 −3.0Offsides2 −0.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

Ross County

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticRoss County

1.35 18 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.32 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.22 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 1 shot, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–12–1

Level: 56 min (59%) · Celtic 0.74, Ross County 0.84 xG
Celtic ahead: 27 min (28%) · Celtic 0.63, Ross County 0.00 xG
Ross County ahead: 12 min (13%) · Celtic 0.51, Ross County 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

38' Starfelt for Jenz
69' Giakoumakis for Furuhashi
69' Jota for Maeda
69' Abada for Haksabanovic
86' Taylor for Bernabei

Ross County substitutes

66' Samuel for Sims · yellow card 82'
66' Hiwula-Mayifuila for Cancola
75' Edwards for Tillson
84' Olaigbe for Dhanda · yellow card 88'
87' Akio for White

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	3	0
Ralston	RB	90			0.00	0.06	2	0.01	6	1
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.12	0.05	1	0.25	20	2
Jenz	CB	38			0.00	0.03	0	0.17	14	2
Bernabei	LB	86			0.08	0.23	1	0.22	9	2
Hatate	CM	90		2	0.00	0.37	5	0.20	6	1
O'Riley	CM	90			0.09	0.15	1	0.12	5	6
Turnbull	CM	90	1		0.36	0.11	2	0.01	4	3
Maeda	RW	69			0.04	0.14	0	0.10	7	3
Furuhashi	ST	69			0.55	0.00	0	−0.04	0	0
Haksabanovic	LW	69	1		0.06	0.24	2	0.31	8	2
Starfelt	DF	52			0.00	0.05	1	0.17	11	4
Giakoumakis	FW	21			0.28	0.06	1	0.04	0	0
Jota	FW	21			0.00	0.39	2	0.23	3	0
Abada	FW	21			0.30	0.29	1	0.34	6	0
Taylor	DF	4			0.00	0.02	0	0.02	1	1

Ross County

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Laidlaw	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.03	5	0
Johnson	RB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	7
Watson	CB	90		0.00	0.02	0	0.04	5	11
Iacovitti	CB	90		0.00	0.15	1	0.11	1	7
Harmon	LB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	4
Loturi	DM	90		0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	5
Cancola	DM	66	1	0.79	0.00	0	0.00	1	2
Dhanda	RW	84		0.00	0.01	0	0.05	5	2
Tillson	AM	75		0.00	0.02	0	0.01	1	6
Sims	LW	66		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	7
White	ST	87		0.05	0.00	0	0.01	2	2
Samuel	FW	24		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Hiwula-Mayifuila	FW	24		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Edwards	FW	15		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	3
Olaigbe	MF	6		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Akio	FW	3		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Ross County

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Ralston	Carter-Vickers	20
Carter-Vickers	Jenz	20
Starfelt	Carter-Vickers	19
Jenz	Carter-Vickers	17
Carter-Vickers	Starfelt	16

Ross County

From	To	Passes
Laidlaw	White	15
Johnson	Watson	8
Loturi	Johnson	6
Johnson	Loturi	5
Johnson	White	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 14 matches

Ross County

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

Ross County

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Celtic
Title	88%	89%	+1
Ross County
Top six	3%	3%	0
11th	25%	25%	0
Bottom	30%	31%	+1
Rangers
Title	12%	11%	−1

From the forecast before the match (12 November 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	Ross County
Expected goals	3.37	0.44
Win	91%	2%
Expected Points	2.79	0.14
Clean sheet	64%	3%

Celtic 91%Draw 7%Ross County 2%

Most likely score 3–0, 14%. Both sides score 35%.

From the forecast as it stood on 12 November 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Celtic win	Draw	Ross County win
Celtic
Title	88%	89%	81%	78%
Ross County
Top six	3%	3%	5%	8%
11th	25%	25%	24%	24%
Bottom	30%	31%	23%	13%
Rangers
Title	12%	11%	19%	22%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

Ross County

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	Ross County
Position	1st	10th
Played	14	15
Won, drawn, lost	13–⁠0–⁠1	4–⁠3–⁠8
Points	39 (2.79 per game)	15 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.44	0.96
Goals	48–⁠12	12–⁠24
xG per game	2.56–⁠0.67	0.75–⁠1.36
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 2.61–⁠0.53	1.00, 0.81–⁠1.30
Away: points, xG per game	2.62, 2.52–⁠0.77	1.00, 0.67–⁠1.43
Manager	Ange Postecoglou (52)	Malky Mackay (53)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		Ross County
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+136%	−61%	−42%	+14%
Counter-attacks	+113%	−98%	−38%	+119%
Set pieces	+70%	−34%	−10%	average
Penalties	−61%	+18%	−100%	−63%
Headers	+95%	−40%	−18%	−3%
Left side	+55%	−40%	−25%	+7%
Centre	+187%	−61%	−25%	+16%
Right side	+79%	−67%	−57%	+22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRoss County concededLeft side+55%+22%Centre+187%+16%Right side+79%+7%Open play+136%+14%Counter-attacks+113%+119%Set pieces+70%averageHeaders+95%−3%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdCeltic concededLeft side−25%−67%Centre−25%−61%Right side−57%−40%Open play−42%−61%Counter-attacks−38%−98%Set pieces−10%−34%Headers−18%−40%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticRoss County

2.56xG0.75

0.67xG against1.36

70%Possession44%

18.5Shots8.3

7.4Shots against16.2

7.4Shots on target2.5

3.5Big chances0.9

35.6Touches in the opposition box16.0

607Passes330

86%Pass accuracy65%

7.6Corners3.8

78%Field tilt38%

74.5Final-third entries29.4

21.9Box entries7.5

10.3Passes per defensive action15.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	24	2.94	0.47
Ahead	62	2.42	0.71
Behind	4	2.37	1.18

Ross County

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	54	0.76	1.31
Ahead	8	0.26	1.81
Behind	28	0.87	1.32

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.47	0.12	11–1
16–30	0.24	0.08	2–0
31–45	0.45	0.15	9–3
46–60	0.41	0.12	8–4
61–75	0.28	0.10	3–1
76–90	0.71	0.09	15–3

Ross County

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.10	0.17	2–2
16–30	0.12	0.20	0–4
31–45	0.16	0.27	2–2
46–60	0.07	0.32	3–8
61–75	0.14	0.17	1–1
76–90	0.15	0.23	4–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (12), 4-2-3-1 (2)

Ross County

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
6 August 2022	Ross County	1–3	Celtic	xG 0.39–1.75
24 April 2022	Ross County	0–2	Celtic	xG 0.30–2.76
19 March 2022	Celtic	4–0	Ross County	xG 3.36–0.14
15 December 2021	Ross County	1–2	Celtic	xG 0.65–2.72
11 September 2021	Celtic	3–0	Ross County	xG 2.71–0.45
21 February 2021	Ross County	1–0	Celtic	xG 0.98–2.31

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 7, Ross County won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 21–3 and xG 2.63–0.50 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Abada	5	584	7	2	0.78	0.32
Furuhashi	10	719	10	1	0.97	0.04
Giakoumakis	4	554	6	1	0.85	0.06
Jota	10	848	5	6	0.36	0.45

Ross County

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
White	10	943	3	0	0.28	0.06
Edwards	10	933	2	2	0.13	0.11
Harmon	5	458	2	1	0.07	0.15
Dhanda	6	651	0	2	0.02	0.17

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.