Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Dundee United 1–3 Ross County

Saturday 13 May 2023, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 35 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 10,138

Dundee United McGrath 24' (pen)

Ross County White 1', 57', 72'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Goals13
xG2.193.37
Non-penalty xG1.403.37
Expected Points0.592.21

Dundee United 13%Draw 20%Ross County 67%

Most likely score 2–3, 13%. Final score 1–3, 9%.

Ross County goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+2%1%4%7%3%6%4%4%7%2%2%4%3%1%1%9%13%10%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTMiddleton on for Edwards, Fotheringham on for Harkes, and Cudjoe on for MacLeod, 74'Kenneh on for Loturi and Smith on for Sims, 55'Murray on for Samuel, 64'Tillson on for Dhanda, 75'McGrath 24' (pen)White 1'White 57'White 72'Ross County 3.37Dundee United 2.19012340153045607590HTMiddleton on for Edwards, Fotheringham on for Harkes, and Cudjoe on for MacLeod, 74'Kenneh on for Loturi and Smith on for Sims, 55'Murray on for Samuel, 64'Tillson on for Dhanda, 75'McGrath 24' (pen)White 1'White 57'White 72'3.372.19Dundee UnitedRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedRoss County

2.19 +1.26xG3.37 +2.49
1.40Non-penalty xG3.37
1.80 +0.91xG on target3.45 +2.68
16 +5.7Shots10 +0.8
7 +3.5Shots on target8 +5.3
2 +0.9Big chances6 +5.0
59% +14Possession41% −2
311 −40Passes229 −84
72% +3Pass accuracy56% −7
62% +18Field tilt38% 0
34 −1Final-third entries25 −4
12 +2.9Box entries14 +6.4
6.8 −9Passes per defensive action10.2 −5
6 +1.4Corners5 +1.2
21 +6Tackles14 −2
6 −3.1Interceptions9 −0.4
29 +3Clearances40 +16
5 +1.7Saves5 +1.7
12 +2Fouls16 +4
4 +2.7Offsides0 −1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Ayina 13', 0.24 xGFletcher 71', 0.24 xGMacLeod 71', 0.23 xGFletcher 90+2', 0.11 xGNiskanen 85', 0.09 xGFletcher 17', 0.08 xGFletcher 50', 0.07 xGMiddleton 90+5', 0.06 xGFletcher 17', 0.05 xGSibbald 38', 0.05 xGMacLeod 29', 0.04 xGEdwards 52', 0.04 xGHarkes 62', 0.04 xGNiskanen 90+5', 0.04 xGHarkes 14', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals82%1.15 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.15 xG, 0 goals6%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals12%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Murray 90+6', 0.50 xGSims 53', 0.48 xGSims 54', 0.10 xGMurray 90+6', 0.09 xGKenneh 57', 0.06 xGLoturi 29', 0.03 xGIacovitti 83', 0.02 xGWhite 72', 0.97 xG, goalWhite 1', 0.94 xG, goalWhite 57', 0.18 xG, goal57%1.91 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.91 xG, 2 goals38%1.28 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.28 xG, 1 goal4%0.15 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals1%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedRoss County

0.89 10 shots, 0 goalsOpen play2.41 8 shots, 2 goals
0.24 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.28 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.96 2 shots, 1 goal
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
34 min (35%) · Dundee United 0.20, Ross County 1.79 xG
Ross County ahead
62 min (65%) · Dundee United 1.99, Ross County 1.58 xG

Line-ups

127123723141816449BirighittiAyinaEdwardsMcMannNiskanenHarkesSibbaldMcGrathBehichMacLeodFletcherYellow cardGoalYellow card74'74'74'Dundee United 3-5-2Jim Goodwin12561141416102625LaidlawRandallBaldwinIacovittiSimsCancolaLoturiHarmonDhandaWhiteSamuelYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalGoalYellow cardYellow card55'55'75'64'Ross County 3-4-1-2Malky Mackay

Dundee United substitutes

  • 74' Middleton for Edwards
  • 74' Fotheringham for Harkes
  • 74' Cudjoe for MacLeod

Ross County substitutes

  • 55' Smith for Sims
  • 55' Kenneh for Loturi · yellow card 90+1', 1 assist
  • 64' Murray for Samuel · 1 assist
  • 75' Tillson for Dhanda

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BirighittiGK900.000.0000.0341
AyinaCB900.240.0310.20106
EdwardsCB740.040.0000.0444
McMann CB900.000.0100.11117
NiskanenRWB900.130.1010.1975
HarkesCM740.060.0110.01110
SibbaldCM900.050.0200.05210
McGrathCM9010.790.4040.3534
Behich LWB900.000.0400.0774
MacLeodST740.270.0110.0013
FletcherST900.550.0510.0132
MiddletonMF160.060.0000.0010
FotheringhamMF160.000.1600.0520
CudjoeFW160.000.0000.0100

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0400.1021
Randall CB900.000.1100.2087
BaldwinCB9010.000.5210.05213
IacovittiCB900.020.0100.05215
SimsRWB550.580.010−0.0304
CancolaCM900.000.0510.0757
LoturiCM550.030.010−0.0215
HarmonLWB900.000.1200.2155
Dhanda AM750.000.1500.2030
White ST9032.090.0100.0125
Samuel ST640.000.0010.0200
SmithDF350.000.0000.0002
Kenneh MF3510.060.0010.0212
MurrayFW2610.590.5910.2930
TillsonMF150.000.0000.0111

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Ayina and McGrath: 4 passesAyina and Sibbald: 4 passesMcMann and Sibbald: 4 passesNiskanen and Fletcher: 4 passesNiskanen and MacLeod: 4 passesMcGrath and Harkes: 4 passesBirighitti and Fletcher: 5 passesEdwards and McMann: 5 passesAyina and Edwards: 6 passesAyina and Harkes: 6 passesNiskanen and Sibbald: 6 passesBehich and Fletcher: 6 passesMcGrath and Sibbald: 6 passesMcMann and Behich: 7 passesMcMann and Fletcher: 7 passesBirighitti and Ayina: 8 passesAyina and Niskanen: 8 passesMcMann and McGrath: 8 passesBehich and McGrath: 8 passesNiskanen and Harkes: 14 passesBirighitti: 12 completed passesAyina: 23 completed passesEdwards: 16 completed passesMcMann: 20 completed passesNiskanen: 18 completed passesBehich: 12 completed passesMcGrath: 22 completed passesHarkes: 16 completed passesSibbald: 18 completed passesFletcher: 14 completed passesMacLeod: 8 completed passes127123716182314944BirighittiAyinaEdwardsMcMannNiskanenBehichMcGrathHarkesSibbaldFletcherMacLeodStarters until 74' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and Samuel: 3 passesBaldwin and Randall: 3 passesBaldwin and Loturi: 3 passesRandall and White: 3 passesIacovitti and Dhanda: 3 passesSims and Cancola: 4 passesLoturi and Dhanda: 4 passesRandall and Loturi: 5 passesCancola and Dhanda: 5 passesBaldwin and White: 6 passesSims and Dhanda: 7 passesLaidlaw: 8 completed passesBaldwin: 18 completed passesRandall: 10 completed passesIacovitti: 5 completed passesSims: 9 completed passesCancola: 8 completed passesLoturi: 11 completed passesHarmon: 4 completed passesDhanda: 15 completed passesWhite: 4 completed passesSamuel: 1 completed passes15261141416102625LaidlawBaldwinRandallIacovittiSimsCancolaLoturiHarmonDhandaWhiteSamuelStarters until 55' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McGrathMcMann9
BehichMcGrath9
AyinaNiskanen8
HarkesNiskanen8
McMannFletcher7

Ross County

FromToPasses
BaldwinWhite10
CancolaWhite4
DhandaSims4
RandallSamuel3
SimsCancola3

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

3−1.84−2.813−3.112+4.710+4.34−2.77+1.010+2.47−0.87+0.57+1.82−2.811+7.07+1.14−1.90−4.72−1.55+2.74+0.86+3.21−1.42+0.71−0.13+1.31−0.52+1.41+0.70−0.52+1.72+1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Ross County

9+3.514+5.324+7.911+3.28+1.710+1.36−1.35−1.84−3.510+2.44−1.98+4.13−0.46+1.24+0.23−1.73−0.46+3.50−3.01−2.97+3.61−0.91+0.13+1.51−1.410.02+1.63+2.41+0.71+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.030.010.020.010.060.010.040.020.040.020.020.020.020.080.020.030.020.160.05−0.010.050.030.02−0.020.010.35LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.100.010.010.050.050.120.05−0.010.010.050.07−0.020.01−0.010.110.190.190.15LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackDundee United0.98 → 0.97Ross County0.95 → 1.00Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.44 → 1.48Ross County1.45 → 1.41

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
11th35%28%−7
Bottom27%60%+33
Ross County
11th28%41%+13
Bottom53%17%−36
Kilmarnock
11th32%27%−5
Bottom19%22%+3

From the forecast before the match (13 May 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Expected goals1.370.98
Win45%26%
Expected Points1.641.07
Clean sheet37%25%

Dundee United 45%Draw 29%Ross County 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

Ross County goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%6%2%9%9%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%10%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 13 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawRoss County win
Dundee United
11th35%36%40%28%
Bottom27%7%30%60%
Ross County
11th28%18%33%41%
Bottom53%76%50%17%
Kilmarnock
11th32%41%24%27%
Bottom19%17%20%22%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–16 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.26–1.12
  2. W2–022 AprLivingston (H)xG 0.72–0.51
  3. W2–115 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.53–2.47
  4. W2–19 AprHibernian (H)xG 1.44–1.47
  5. L0–21 AprRangers (A)xG 0.39–2.02
  6. D1–118 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.12–1.75

Ross County

  1. W2–06 MayLivingston (H)xG 0.72–0.58
  2. L1–622 AprHearts (A)xG 1.59–3.68
  3. L0–114 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.94–0.65
  4. W2–08 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.91–0.86
  5. L0–22 AprCeltic (H)xG 0.40–3.30
  6. L1–218 MarLivingston (A)xG 1.29–0.66

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Position10th12th
Played3434
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠7–⁠198–⁠6–⁠20
Points31 (0.91 per game)30 (0.88 per game)
Expected Points per game1.001.01
Goals36–⁠5930–⁠52
xG per game0.93–⁠1.580.88–⁠1.47
Home: points, xG per game1.18, 0.97–⁠1.511.00, 0.91–⁠1.37
Away: points, xG per game0.65, 0.89–⁠1.660.75, 0.85–⁠1.58
ManagerJim Goodwin (8)Malky Mackay (72)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackDundee United0.98, 9thRoss County0.95, 10thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.44, 10thRoss County1.45, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee United attack: 0.98Ross County attack: 0.950.980.95Ross CountyDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee United defence: 1.44Ross County defence: 1.451.451.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%+27%−40%+22%
Counter-attacks−41%+82%−17%+109%
Set pieces−45%+10%+3%−4%
Penalties+8%−23%−69%−54%
Headers−43%+28%+7%+7%
Left side−19%+51%−30%+13%
Centre−36%+17%−19%+15%
Right side−47%+11%−42%+35%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRoss County concededLeft side−19%+35%Centre−36%+15%Right side−47%+13%Open play−30%+22%Counter-attacks−41%+109%Set pieces−45%−4%Headers−43%+7%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee United concededLeft side−30%+11%Centre−19%+17%Right side−42%+51%Open play−40%+27%Counter-attacks−17%+82%Set pieces+3%+10%Headers+7%+28%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedRoss County

0.93xG0.88
1.58xG against1.47
45%Possession43%
10.3Shots9.2
15.7Shots against16.7
3.5Shots on target2.7
1.1Big chances1.0
17.3Touches in the opposition box17.6
351Passes313
69%Pass accuracy62%
4.6Corners3.8
44%Field tilt37%
35.3Final-third entries28.8
9.1Box entries7.6
16.1Passes per defensive action15.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level340.901.57
Ahead230.761.22
Behind331.081.85

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.801.34
Ahead131.091.43
Behind300.921.69

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.218–8
16–300.120.195–3
31–450.160.283–14
46–600.110.334–13
61–750.190.238–6
76–900.200.348–15

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.165–4
16–300.120.171–8
31–450.130.344–9
46–600.200.257–10
61–750.140.217–9
76–900.170.336–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTBirighitti 24Eriksson 9Newman 1Mulgrew 15Smith 15McGrath 2Edwards 28Ayina 8McMann 17Graham 10Freeman 21Smith 12Niskanen 1Sibbald 20Djoum 8Mulgrew 1Levitt 21McGrath 8Harkes 5Behich 23McMann 4Sibbald 4Harkes 16McGrath 14Pawlett 3Middleton 15Watt 5Fletcher 4Fletcher 23Watt 7Anaku 23-4-2-1 in 14 of 34 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (14), 4-3-3 (5), 5-3-2 (4), 4-1-4-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 34Randall 14Johnson 14Watson 4Baldwin 23Watson 7Smith 4Iacovitti 33Harmon 13Purrington 11Kenneh 4Loturi 15Callachan 8Harmon 6Cancola 17Tillson 12Kenneh 6Edwards 8Watson 5Sims 4Dhanda 12Callachan 8Tillson 4Edwards 6Harmon 5White 5White 23Hiwula-Mayifuila 5Brophy 44-2-3-1 in 21 of 34 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (21), 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 February 2023Ross County4–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.57–0.60
28 December 2022Dundee United3–0Ross CountyxG 0.85–0.98
15 October 2022Ross County1–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.35–1.64
14 May 2022Ross County1–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.52–2.93
26 January 2022Dundee United2–1Ross CountyxG 2.96–1.19
27 November 2021Ross County1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.53–0.47

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 7, Ross County won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 16–12 and xG 1.42–1.21 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher272,287820.370.08
Niskanen5612110.230.13
McGrath252,057620.180.15
Watt121,018410.240.08

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy8536320.370.08
Sims9751000.180.16
White292,571720.260.06
Edwards151,471320.170.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.