Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 0–1 Aberdeen

Friday 14 April 2023, 19:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 32 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 6,619

Aberdeen Duk 17' · Shinnie sent off 90+5'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyAberdeen
Goals01
xG0.940.65
Expected Points1.561.06

Ross County 39%Draw 38%Aberdeen 23%

Most likely score 0–0, 20%. Final score 0–1, 13%.

Aberdeen goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+13%4%4%9%6%2%2%2%20%19%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTShinnie (Aberdeen), red card 90+5'Dhanda on for Kenneh, 46'Edwards on for Loturi, 73'Stones on for Sims, 77'Watkins on for Miovski, 57'Coulson on for Duk, 90'Duk 17'Ross County 0.94Aberdeen 0.6500.250.50.7510153045607590HTShinnie (Aberdeen), red card 90+5'Dhanda on for Kenneh, 46'Edwards on for Loturi, 73'Stones on for Sims, 77'Watkins on for Miovski, 57'Coulson on for Duk, 90'Duk 17'0.940.65Ross CountyAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyAberdeen

0.94 +0.08xG0.65 −0.68
0.25 −0.53xG on target0.27 −1.05
14 +4.8Shots11 −1.0
4 +1.3Shots on target1 −2.9
0 −1.0Big chances0 −1.9
22 +5Touches in the opposition box20 −1
50% +7Possession50% +2
320 +6Passes343 −23
53% −10Pass accuracy61% −10
44% +6Field tilt56% +14
35 +6Final-third entries29 −7
9 +1.5Box entries11 +0.8
14.6 −1Passes per defensive action20.0 +4
10 +6.5Corners2 −3.3
15 −1Tackles20 +6
5 −4.6Interceptions5 −3.7
17 −7Clearances55 +32
0 −3.4Saves4 +1.0
8 −3.9Fouls12 +2.2
1 −1.0Offsides4 +2.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Harmon 15', 0.15 xGStones 83', 0.15 xGMurray 21', 0.13 xGSims 64', 0.10 xGSmith 90+6', 0.08 xGMurray 2', 0.07 xGHarmon 7', 0.06 xGKenneh 2', 0.04 xGHarmon 76', 0.04 xGMurray 14', 0.03 xGMurray 36', 0.03 xGMurray 85', 0.03 xGEdwards 90+7', 0.03 xGRandall 20', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals81%0.76 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.76 xG, 0 goals6%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals12%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

McCrorie 59', 0.13 xGClarkson 56', 0.09 xGPollock 75', 0.08 xGDuncan 73', 0.06 xGClarkson 79', 0.06 xGMiovski 56', 0.05 xGDuncan 71', 0.03 xGHayes 14', 0.02 xGHayes 45', 0.02 xGShinnie 85', 0.02 xGDuk 17', 0.09 xG, goal12%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals30%0.19 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals44%0.28 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.28 xG, 1 goal5%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals9%0.06 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyAberdeen

0.65 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.48 9 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.09 1 shot, 1 goal
0.28 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
17 min (18%) · Ross County 0.34, Aberdeen 0.11 xG
Aberdeen ahead
80 min (82%) · Ross County 0.60, Aberdeen 0.55 xG

Line-ups

1153051121442162617LaidlawWatsonSmithBaldwinSimsRandallLoturiKennehHarmonWhiteMurrayYellow card77'73'46'Ross County 3-5-2Malky Mackay241827422320617911RoosPollockMacDonaldScalesMcCrorieDuncanClarksonShinnieHayesMiovskiDukYellow cardSent offYellow cardGoal57'90'Aberdeen 3-5-2Barry Robson

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Dhanda for Kenneh
  • 73' Edwards for Loturi
  • 77' Stones for Sims

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 57' Watkins for Miovski
  • 90' Coulson for Duk

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0100.0790
WatsonCB900.000.0500.0865
SmithCB900.080.0000.0229
BaldwinCB900.000.0100.04411
SimsRWB770.100.0220.0113
Randall CM900.010.0200.0645
LoturiCM730.000.0100.0441
KennehCM460.040.0510.0510
HarmonLWB900.250.0100.1225
WhiteST900.000.0410.0211
MurrayST900.290.1410.1421
DhandaFW440.000.0510.1130
EdwardsFW170.030.0000.0211
StonesFW130.150.0000.0020

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0111
PollockCB900.080.0300.11714
MacDonaldCB900.000.0000.04414
ScalesCB900.000.0000.03318
McCrorieRWB900.130.0500.1466
Duncan CM900.100.0300.0243
ClarksonCM9010.140.1910.0678
Shinnie CM900.020.031−0.0148
Hayes LWB900.040.1310.0757
MiovskiST570.050.0310.0011
DukST9010.090.0730.0923
WatkinsFW330.000.0100.0124
CoulsonDF00.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Baldwin and Sims: 3 passesBaldwin and Kenneh: 3 passesWatson and Smith: 3 passesWatson and Randall: 3 passesWatson and White: 3 passesLaidlaw and White: 4 passesWatson and Loturi: 4 passesLaidlaw and Baldwin: 5 passesWatson and Sims: 5 passesSims and Harmon: 5 passesSims and Murray: 5 passesHarmon and Loturi: 5 passesBaldwin and Loturi: 6 passesSims and Randall: 9 passesLaidlaw: 9 completed passesBaldwin: 12 completed passesWatson: 14 completed passesSmith: 4 completed passesSims: 11 completed passesHarmon: 6 completed passesKenneh: 6 completed passesRandall: 10 completed passesLoturi: 13 completed passesMurray: 4 completed passesWhite: 7 completed passes1515301116422141726LaidlawBaldwinWatsonSmithSimsHarmonKennehRandallLoturiMurrayWhiteStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Scales and Duk: 3 passesMacDonald and McCrorie: 3 passesMacDonald and Shinnie: 3 passesMacDonald and Duncan: 3 passesMcCrorie and Duk: 3 passesHayes and Miovski: 3 passesShinnie and Duncan: 3 passesRoos and Scales: 4 passesPollock and MacDonald: 4 passesPollock and Miovski: 4 passesMacDonald and Clarkson: 4 passesMcCrorie and Shinnie: 4 passesHayes and Duk: 4 passesShinnie and Duk: 4 passesDuncan and Miovski: 4 passesScales and MacDonald: 5 passesPollock and Clarkson: 5 passesClarkson and Shinnie: 5 passesClarkson and Duncan: 5 passesMcCrorie and Duncan: 6 passesDuncan and Duk: 7 passesScales and Hayes: 9 passesMcCrorie and Clarkson: 9 passesClarkson and Miovski: 9 passesHayes and Shinnie: 10 passesPollock and McCrorie: 11 passesRoos: 7 completed passesScales: 15 completed passesPollock: 16 completed passesMacDonald: 15 completed passesMcCrorie: 16 completed passesHayes: 18 completed passesClarkson: 19 completed passesShinnie: 18 completed passesDuncan: 15 completed passesMiovski: 10 completed passesDuk: 10 completed passes244182721720623911RoosScalesPollockMacDonaldMcCrorieHayesClarksonShinnieDuncanMiovskiDukStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
LaidlawWhite8
RandallSims7
WatsonSims7
LaidlawWatson6
SimsRandall5

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
PollockMcCrorie10
ShinnieHayes8
HayesScales7
HayesShinnie7
McCrorieClarkson6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

8+2.59+0.35−3.02−4.36−2.75−2.510+3.45−2.410+2.46+0.24+0.34+0.66+1.32−1.86+1.54+0.72−0.51−2.15+1.05+1.73+1.21+0.32+0.40−2.31−0.10−0.51+0.30−0.32+1.49−7.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Aberdeen

5+0.512+5.532+14.818+9.316+9.711+5.54−2.79+3.212+5.015+7.45−0.59+3.83−0.410+4.70−7.16+2.21−3.72−0.66+2.12−1.94+2.50−1.40−1.00−1.42−0.20−0.71+0.81+0.50−0.32+1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.020.020.010.030.010.060.020.020.09−0.010.040.030.080.080.060.020.01−0.010.030.17LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.020.010.020.030.040.030.040.010.030.040.030.030.02−0.040.030.040.02−0.01−0.020.060.070.06LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackRoss County0.95 → 0.95Aberdeen1.18 → 1.17Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.44 → 1.42Aberdeen1.27 → 1.26

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th32%34%+2
Bottom27%38%+11
Dundee United
11th30%32%+2
Bottom45%37%−8
Kilmarnock
11th33%30%−3
Bottom27%24%−3

From the forecast before the match (14 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyAberdeen
Expected goals1.161.22
Win34%37%
Expected Points1.311.40
Clean sheet29%31%

Ross County 34%Draw 29%Aberdeen 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

Aberdeen goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+7%3%8%3%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%10%11%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 14 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawAberdeen win
Ross County
11th32%28%35%34%
Bottom27%14%27%38%
Dundee United
11th30%28%28%32%
Bottom45%53%45%37%
Kilmarnock
11th33%36%32%30%
Bottom27%31%26%24%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W2–08 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.91–0.86
  2. L0–22 AprCeltic (H)xG 0.40–3.30
  3. L1–218 MarLivingston (A)xG 1.29–0.66
  4. L0–24 MarMotherwell (H)xG 1.19–1.42
  5. W4–025 FebDundee United (H)xG 2.57–0.60
  6. L0–118 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.63–2.34

Aberdeen

  1. W2–08 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 2.20–1.09
  2. W1–01 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.00–0.82
  3. W3–018 MarHearts (H)xG 2.03–0.52
  4. W3–14 MarDundee United (A)xG 0.78–2.02
  5. W1–025 FebLivingston (H)xG 1.08–0.43
  6. L0–418 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.27–1.50

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyAberdeen
Position11th3rd
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠6–⁠1815–⁠2–⁠14
Points27 (0.87 per game)47 (1.52 per game)
Expected Points per game1.001.29
Goals27–⁠4549–⁠52
xG per game0.86–⁠1.461.33–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game0.94, 0.92–⁠1.472.12, 1.73–⁠1.11
Away: points, xG per game0.80, 0.80–⁠1.440.87, 0.90–⁠2.05
ManagerMalky Mackay (69)Barry Robson (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackRoss County0.95, 11thAberdeen1.18, 5thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.44, 10thAberdeen1.27, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprRoss County attack: 0.95Aberdeen attack: 1.181.180.95AberdeenRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprRoss County defence: 1.44Aberdeen defence: 1.271.441.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−38%+22%−8%+3%
Counter-attacks−3%+121%+51%+17%
Set pieces−4%average−7%+22%
Penalties−84%−67%+48%+97%
Headers−2%+11%+14%+5%
Left side−27%+7%−11%+19%
Centre−22%+21%−9%−1%
Right side−39%+34%+4%+12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdAberdeen concededLeft side−27%+12%Centre−22%−1%Right side−39%+19%Open play−38%+3%Counter-attacks−3%+17%Set pieces−4%+22%Headers−2%+5%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRoss County concededLeft side−11%+34%Centre−9%+21%Right side+4%+7%Open play−8%+22%Counter-attacks+51%+121%Set pieces−7%averageHeaders+14%+11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyAberdeen

0.86xG1.33
1.46xG against1.57
43%Possession48%
9.2Shots12.0
16.7Shots against14.4
2.7Shots on target3.9
1.0Big chances1.9
17.4Touches in the opposition box20.7
314Passes366
63%Pass accuracy71%
3.5Corners5.3
38%Field tilt42%
28.8Final-third entries36.1
7.5Box entries10.2
15.2Passes per defensive action15.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.811.35
Ahead131.081.57
Behind290.861.58

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.191.48
Ahead291.641.21
Behind241.172.14

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.165–4
16–300.130.171–4
31–450.130.333–8
46–600.190.266–8
61–750.140.207–9
76–900.140.355–12

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.225–8
16–300.180.197–5
31–450.300.2810–10
46–600.260.238–7
61–750.260.3210–9
76–900.240.339–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 31Johnson 14Randall 13G. Edwards 2Baldwin 21Watson 7Smith 2Iacovitti 31Harmon 13Purrington 11Kenneh 4Loturi 13Callachan 8Harmon 6Cancola 16Tillson 12Kenneh 4Edwards 8Watson 5Hiwula-Mayifuila 4Dhanda 11Callachan 8Tillson 4Edwards 6White 5Dhanda 4White 20Hiwula-Mayifuila 5Brophy 44-2-3-1 in 21 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (21), 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-5-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRoos 24Gorter 4Lewis 3McCrorie 18Richardson 9Pollock 8Stewart 21MacDonald 8Scales 23MacKenzie 3Kennedy 13McCrorie 5Besuijen 4Ramadani 29Barron 7Duncan 2Clarkson 18McCrorie 6Kennedy 1Shinnie 10Hayes 9Duk 5Coulson 8Clarkson 7Hayes 5Miovski 31Duk 18Coulson 8Hayes 23-5-2 in 12 of 31 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (12), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-3 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 January 2023Aberdeen0–0Ross CountyxG 2.08–0.44
3 September 2022Ross County1–1AberdeenxG 1.36–0.83
9 April 2022Aberdeen0–1Ross CountyxG 1.06–0.92
1 February 2022Ross County1–1AberdeenxG 0.32–0.74
29 August 2021Aberdeen1–1Ross CountyxG 2.94–1.15
16 January 2021Ross County4–1AberdeenxG 0.95–2.28

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 2, Aberdeen won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 8–9 and xG 0.80–1.80 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy8536320.370.08
Sims7607000.210.19
White262,334720.270.07
Edwards151,430220.120.09

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski312,4601520.560.03
Besuijen9897310.230.18
Duk232,0421520.320.04
Hayes171,451150.080.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.