Saturday 13 May 2023, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 35 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 3,939
Motherwell van Veen 52' (pen), Mandron 90+3'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Goals
0
2
xG
0.75
1.53
Non-penalty xG
0.75
0.74
Expected Points
0.63
2.10
St. Johnstone 12%Draw 27%Motherwell 61%
Most likely score 0–2, 18%. Final score 0–2, 18%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. JohnstoneMotherwell
0.75 −0.16xG1.53 +0.27
0.75Non-penalty xG0.74
0.12 −0.79xG on target1.89 +0.70
11 0Shots8 −4
1 −2.2Shots on target4 +0.4
0 −1.4Big chances2 +0.3
55% +12Possession45% −2
363 +41Passes314 −30
70% +5Pass accuracy65% −1
67% +27Field tilt33% −13
43 +15Final-third entries29 −5
7 −1.3Box entries7 −1.5
12.7 −4Passes per defensive action12.7 −1
6 +2.0Corners4 −0.9
14 −2Tackles20 +3
12 +1.7Interceptions15 +6.1
10 −15Clearances27 +8
2 −0.7Saves1 −1.7
8 −3Fouls14 +1
2 +0.7Offsides2 +0.2
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
52'90+3'
0–00–1
0'HTFT
Level
52 min (55%) · St. Johnstone 0.26, Motherwell 0.84 xG
Motherwell ahead
43 min (45%) · St. Johnstone 0.48, Motherwell 0.69 xG
Line-ups
St. Johnstone substitutes
61'Rudden for Murphy
71'McLennan for Carey
74'Bair for Considine
84'Kane for May
Motherwell substitutes
68'Paton for Slattery
90'Mugabi for O'Donnell
90+1'Cornelius for van Veen
Players
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Matthews
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Brown
RB
90
0.04
0.02
1
0.08
7
2
Gordon
CB
90
0.00
0.08
0
0.06
1
10
Considine
CB
74
0.00
0.02
1
0.05
3
8
Montgomery
LB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.10
7
3
Phillips
DM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.02
2
5
Wright
RM
90
0.07
0.09
1
0.07
8
2
Carey
CM
71
0.18
0.05
1
0.12
8
3
MacPherson
CM
90
0.01
0.18
3
−0.02
2
2
Murphy
LM
61
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
2
1
May
ST
84
0.09
0.21
1
−0.04
0
2
Rudden
FW
29
0.31
0.00
0
−0.01
1
0
McLennan
FW
19
0.06
0.03
2
0.01
1
0
Bair
FW
16
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Kane
FW
6
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Kelly
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
1
McGinn
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
3
6
Butcher
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
3
10
Casey
CB
90
0.01
0.00
0
0.04
3
7
O'Donnell
RWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
2
7
Slattery
CM
68
0.00
0.01
1
0.03
3
4
Goss
CM
90
0.01
0.02
0
0.03
2
3
Furlong
LWB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.05
5
7
Spittal
AM
90
1
0.02
0.08
1
0.10
5
5
Mandron
ST
90
1
0.52
0.06
2
0.16
4
11
van Veen
ST
90
1
0.97
0.07
0
0.29
5
0
Paton
MF
22
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Mugabi
DF
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Cornelius
MF
0
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Brown
MacPherson
13
MacPherson
Brown
12
Brown
Wright
11
Carey
MacPherson
8
Brown
Phillips
7
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Butcher
Goss
11
Casey
Butcher
8
Furlong
Casey
7
Goss
O'Donnell
7
McGinn
Butcher
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 34 matches
Motherwell
Against its average of 34 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Johnstone
11th
4%
9%
+5
Bottom
<1%
1%
+1
Kilmarnock
11th
32%
30%
−2
Bottom
19%
19%
0
Ross County
11th
28%
26%
−2
Bottom
53%
53%
0
From the forecast before the match (13 May 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Expected goals
1.17
1.09
Win
37%
33%
Expected Points
1.40
1.30
Clean sheet
33%
31%
St. Johnstone 37%Draw 30%Motherwell 33%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.
From the forecast as it stood on 13 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Johnstone win
Draw
Motherwell win
St. Johnstone
11th
4%
1%
4%
9%
Bottom
<1%
–
<1%
1%
Kilmarnock
11th
32%
35%
32%
30%
Bottom
19%
18%
20%
19%
Ross County
11th
28%
29%
30%
26%
Bottom
53%
54%
52%
53%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Position
9th
8th
Played
34
34
Won, drawn, lost
10–6–18
11–7–16
Points
36 (1.06 per game)
40 (1.18 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.13
1.30
Goals
35–54
46–48
xG per game
0.91–1.26
1.26–1.37
Home: points, xG per game
0.94, 0.93–1.11
1.06, 1.30–1.16
Away: points, xG per game
1.18, 0.88–1.41
1.29, 1.22–1.59
Manager
Steven MacLean (2)
Stuart Kettlewell (10)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Johnstone
Motherwell
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−28%
+10%
−11%
+11%
Counter-attacks
−62%
−78%
+58%
−10%
Set pieces
−31%
−10%
−4%
+8%
Penalties
−38%
−54%
+8%
−38%
Headers
−38%
−2%
−26%
+37%
Left side
−31%
+13%
average
+2%
Centre
−29%
−6%
−12%
+21%
Right side
−32%
+3%
−3%
−3%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
St. Johnstone attacking
St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−31%−3%Centre−29%+21%Right side−32%+2%Open play−28%+11%Counter-attacks−62%−10%Set pieces−31%+8%Headers−38%+37%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
St. JohnstoneMotherwell
0.91xG1.26
1.26xG against1.37
43%Possession47%
10.5Shots11.7
13.9Shots against12.2
3.2Shots on target3.6
1.4Big chances1.7
16.1Touches in the opposition box16.4
322Passes344
65%Pass accuracy65%
4.0Corners4.9
40%Field tilt46%
28.2Final-third entries33.6
8.3Box entries8.5
17.2Passes per defensive action14.0
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
40
0.80
1.19
Ahead
18
0.73
0.98
Behind
32
1.13
1.51
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
36
1.31
1.76
Ahead
25
1.30
0.95
Behind
29
1.16
1.26
xG by period
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.09
0.24
4–7
16–30
0.12
0.16
5–7
31–45
0.15
0.24
5–15
46–60
0.15
0.17
3–5
61–75
0.16
0.20
8–6
76–90
0.24
0.25
10–14
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.11
0.20
6–5
16–30
0.16
0.23
6–9
31–45
0.22
0.21
7–5
46–60
0.25
0.21
12–7
61–75
0.25
0.24
5–16
76–90
0.27
0.28
10–6
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.