Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Motherwell 1–1 Ross County

Saturday 14 January 2023, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 22 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 4,781

Motherwell McKinstry 68'

Ross County Hiwula-Mayifuila 80'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellRoss County
Goals11
xG0.821.23
Expected Points0.991.68

Motherwell 22%Draw 32%Ross County 45%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 1–1, 17%.

Ross County goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+11%10%3%9%9%3%4%6%4%1%1%16%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTTierney on for Goss, 65'Mandron on for Crankshaw and Maguire on for Spittal, 75'Kenneh on for Tillson, 75'Hiwula-Mayifuila on for Dhanda, 80'Olaigbe on for Edwards, 84'McKinstry 68'Hiwula-Mayifuila 80'Ross County 1.23Motherwell 0.8200.511.50153045607590HTTierney on for Goss, 65'Mandron on for Crankshaw and Maguire on for Spittal, 75'Kenneh on for Tillson, 75'Hiwula-Mayifuila on for Dhanda, 80'Olaigbe on for Edwards, 84'McKinstry 68'Hiwula-Mayifuila 80'1.230.82MotherwellRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellRoss County

0.82 −0.52xG1.23 +0.51
0.60 −0.55xG on target0.91 +0.19
11 −1.4Shots12 +4.4
3 −0.4Shots on target5 +2.9
0 −1.8Big chances1 0.0
17 −1Touches in the opposition box19 +5
50% +1Possession50% +7
293 −66Passes309 −17
60% −9Pass accuracy61% −4
48% −3Field tilt52% +15
35 0Final-third entries35 +6
11 +2.0Box entries9 +2.0
11.4 −1Passes per defensive action12.6 −3
7 +1.6Corners3 0.0
10 −6Tackles13 −4
10 0Interceptions9 −1
17 0Clearances27 +5
4 +1.5Saves2 −1.5
15 +1Fouls9 −3
1 −0.6Offsides1 −1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

McGinn 59', 0.24 xGMcKinstry 34', 0.11 xGJohnston 45', 0.07 xGJohansen 81', 0.07 xGMcKinstry 73', 0.06 xGMcKinstry 18', 0.05 xGvan Veen 45', 0.05 xGMcKinstry 10', 0.04 xGPenney 61', 0.04 xGMandron 78', 0.04 xGMcKinstry 68', 0.06 xG, goal29%0.24 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.24 xG, 0 goals34%0.28 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals22%0.18 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals16%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

White 71', 0.20 xGCallachan 38', 0.14 xGWhite 51', 0.09 xGCallachan 55', 0.07 xGWhite 90+2', 0.07 xGWhite 28', 0.06 xGWhite 90+3', 0.06 xGDhanda 55', 0.03 xGCallachan 7', 0.02 xGDhanda 63', 0.02 xGIacovitti 90+3', 0.02 xGHiwula-Mayifuila 80', 0.43 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals72%0.88 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.88 xG, 1 goal24%0.30 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellRoss County

0.52 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.14 10 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.07 1 shot, 0 goals
0.30 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.01 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
81 min (87%) · Motherwell 0.72, Ross County 0.59 xG
Motherwell ahead
12 min (13%) · Motherwell 0.10, Ross County 0.64 xG

Line-ups

122154241627127179KellyJohnstonJohansenLamiePenneyMcGinnGossCrankshawSpittalMcKinstryvan VeenYellow cardYellow cardGoal65'75'75'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Steven Hammell125616224781026LaidlawRandallBaldwinIacovittiHarmonTillsonCancolaEdwardsCallachanDhandaWhiteYellow cardYellow cardYellow card75'84'80'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay

Motherwell substitutes

  • 65' Tierney for Goss
  • 75' Maguire for Spittal
  • 75' Mandron for Crankshaw

Ross County substitutes

  • 75' Kenneh for Tillson
  • 80' Hiwula-Mayifuila for Dhanda · goal 80'
  • 84' Olaigbe for Edwards

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0220
JohnstonRB900.070.1620.3074
JohansenCB900.070.0000.00010
LamieCB900.000.0400.0877
PenneyLB900.040.0000.0777
McGinnDM900.240.0100.0343
Goss DM650.000.2830.0341
Crankshaw RW750.000.0110.0621
SpittalAM750.000.0300.0232
McKinstryLW9010.320.1820.1161
van VeenST9010.050.021−0.1813
TierneyMF250.000.000−0.0111
MaguireDF150.000.0000.0310
MandronFW150.040.0000.0000

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0330
RandallRB900.000.0000.0227
BaldwinCB900.000.0100.0796
IacovittiCB900.020.0100.0657
HarmonLB900.000.3120.27610
Tillson DM750.000.0100.0107
CancolaDM900.000.0110.0343
EdwardsRW840.000.0310.0882
Callachan AM900.230.0300.0563
Dhanda LW800.060.0620.1382
WhiteST9010.490.0510.0711
KennehMF150.000.0310.0311
Hiwula-MayifuilaFW1010.430.0000.0111
OlaigbeMF60.000.0510.0420

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Johnston and Johansen: 3 passesJohnston and McKinstry: 3 passesJohansen and Lamie: 3 passesLamie and Spittal: 3 passesLamie and McKinstry: 3 passesPenney and Spittal: 3 passesPenney and van Veen: 3 passesMcGinn and Crankshaw: 3 passesMcGinn and Spittal: 3 passesCrankshaw and Spittal: 3 passesSpittal and van Veen: 3 passesLamie and Goss: 4 passesPenney and Goss: 4 passesGoss and Spittal: 4 passesKelly and Lamie: 6 passesGoss and McGinn: 6 passesPenney and McKinstry: 8 passesKelly and Johansen: 9 passesJohnston and Crankshaw: 9 passesGoss and McKinstry: 9 passesJohnston and Spittal: 14 passesJohnston and McGinn: 15 passesKelly: 16 completed passesJohnston: 27 completed passesJohansen: 8 completed passesLamie: 13 completed passesPenney: 14 completed passesGoss: 21 completed passesMcGinn: 17 completed passesCrankshaw: 8 completed passesSpittal: 16 completed passesMcKinstry: 11 completed passesvan Veen: 6 completed passes122154242716127179KellyJohnstonJohansenLamiePenneyGossMcGinnCrankshawSpittalMcKinstryvan VeenStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and White: 4 passesRandall and Tillson: 4 passesBaldwin and Edwards: 4 passesHarmon and Dhanda: 4 passesCancola and Edwards: 4 passesCancola and Dhanda: 4 passesTillson and Edwards: 4 passesTillson and Dhanda: 4 passesTillson and White: 4 passesEdwards and Callachan: 4 passesEdwards and White: 4 passesCallachan and White: 4 passesLaidlaw and Baldwin: 5 passesDhanda and White: 5 passesRandall and Callachan: 6 passesBaldwin and Iacovitti: 6 passesBaldwin and Cancola: 6 passesHarmon and White: 6 passesTillson and Callachan: 6 passesCallachan and Dhanda: 6 passesLaidlaw and Iacovitti: 8 passesRandall and Baldwin: 8 passesRandall and Edwards: 8 passesHarmon and Callachan: 10 passesLaidlaw: 16 completed passesRandall: 18 completed passesBaldwin: 23 completed passesIacovitti: 12 completed passesHarmon: 21 completed passesCancola: 12 completed passesTillson: 17 completed passesEdwards: 14 completed passesCallachan: 20 completed passesDhanda: 14 completed passesWhite: 12 completed passes125616422781026LaidlawRandallBaldwinIacovittiHarmonCancolaTillsonEdwardsCallachanDhandaWhiteStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
McGinnJohnston12
JohnstonMcGinn10
JohnstonSpittal8
JohnstonCrankshaw8
JohansenKelly7

Ross County

FromToPasses
HarmonCallachan7
LaidlawIacovitti7
HarmonWhite6
EdwardsRandall6
TillsonCallachan5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

3−2.23−2.510−1.97+1.56−0.260.07+1.55−2.57+0.76+0.24+1.04−1.910+3.44−1.22−2.23−0.47+3.13−2.43+0.11−0.40−0.93+1.03−0.11−0.12+1.51+0.10−0.50−1.44−2.84−3.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Ross County

2−4.17−1.510+2.613+7.25−2.74−3.62−4.96−1.913+5.96+0.58+4.13−0.510+5.36+2.14−0.24+0.30−2.64+1.03−1.03+0.32+0.22+1.44+2.63+1.11+0.30−0.40−0.72+1.81+0.59−7.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.030.060.050.040.010.020.080.020.030.010.10−0.180.01−0.010.18LessMore

Ross County

0.010.020.020.010.010.010.040.030.020.020.020.040.040.010.010.030.060.100.040.020.03−0.020.31LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackMotherwell1.06 → 1.05Ross County0.86 → 0.88Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.36 → 1.38Ross County1.51 → 1.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six12%8%−4
11th12%14%+2
Bottom5%6%+1
Ross County
Top six<1%<1%0
11th20%21%+1
Bottom65%63%−2
Kilmarnock
Top six3%3%0
11th27%25%−2
Bottom14%15%+1
Dundee United
Top six4%4%0
11th26%26%0
Bottom13%13%0

From the forecast before the match (14 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellRoss County
Expected goals1.580.86
Win54%20%
Expected Points1.880.86
Clean sheet42%21%

Motherwell 54%Draw 26%Ross County 20%

Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

Ross County goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%5%1%9%4%1%6%5%2%2%2%13%12%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 14 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawRoss County win
Motherwell
Top six12%16%8%5%
11th12%10%14%17%
Bottom5%2%6%10%
Ross County
Top six<1%–<1%1%
11th20%19%21%23%
Bottom65%72%63%50%
Kilmarnock
Top six3%3%3%3%
11th27%30%25%23%
Bottom14%12%15%18%
Dundee United
Top six4%4%4%4%
11th26%27%26%22%
Bottom13%11%13%17%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L2–38 JanHibernian (H)xG 1.64–1.73
  2. D1–12 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.82–2.40
  3. L0–328 DecRangers (A)xG 0.41–2.55
  4. D2–223 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 1.33–0.34
  5. D1–112 NovSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.93–1.38
  6. L1–29 NovCeltic (H)xG 0.47–1.43

Ross County

  1. L0–27 JanLivingston (H)xG 0.86–0.90
  2. D0–02 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.44–2.08
  3. L0–328 DecDundee United (A)xG 0.98–0.85
  4. L0–123 DecRangers (H)xG 0.38–2.13
  5. L1–217 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.42–2.31
  6. L1–212 NovCeltic (A)xG 0.84–1.88

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellRoss County
Position10th12th
Played2021
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠4–⁠114–⁠4–⁠13
Points19 (0.95 per game)16 (0.76 per game)
Expected Points per game1.290.88
Goals25–⁠3114–⁠34
xG per game1.34–⁠1.440.72–⁠1.46
Home: points, xG per game0.56, 1.39–⁠1.020.73, 0.74–⁠1.43
Away: points, xG per game1.27, 1.29–⁠1.780.80, 0.70–⁠1.48
ManagerSteven Hammell (20)Malky Mackay (59)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackMotherwell1.06, 7thRoss County0.86, 12thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.36, 10thRoss County1.51, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanMotherwell attack: 1.06Ross County attack: 0.861.060.86Ross CountyMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanMotherwell defence: 1.36Ross County defence: 1.511.511.36

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−7%+20%−47%+29%
Counter-attacks+62%+2%−22%+139%
Set pieces+10%+4%−24%−8%
Penalties+22%−27%−77%−77%
Headers−13%+30%−25%−2%
Left side+12%−3%−35%+17%
Centre−4%+38%−33%+27%
Right side−6%−3%−56%+27%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdRoss County concededLeft side+12%+27%Centre−4%+27%Right side−6%+17%Open play−7%+29%Counter-attacks+62%+139%Set pieces+10%−8%Headers−13%−2%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdMotherwell concededLeft side−35%−3%Centre−33%+38%Right side−56%−3%Open play−47%+20%Counter-attacks−22%+2%Set pieces−24%+4%Headers−25%+30%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellRoss County

1.34xG0.72
1.44xG against1.46
49%Possession43%
12.4Shots7.6
11.9Shots against16.7
3.4Shots on target2.1
1.8Big chances1.0
18.0Touches in the opposition box14.3
360Passes326
69%Pass accuracy65%
5.4Corners3.0
51%Field tilt36%
35.0Final-third entries29.4
9.0Box entries7.0
12.6Passes per defensive action15.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.391.81
Ahead181.210.94
Behind311.341.23

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.751.36
Ahead90.302.14
Behind290.791.40

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.291–4
16–300.190.294–4
31–450.260.244–4
46–600.240.228–5
61–750.290.162–9
76–900.270.246–5

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.172–3
16–300.130.191–4
31–450.130.232–3
46–600.120.324–8
61–750.120.221–6
76–900.120.314–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTKelly 20McGinn 16O'Donnell 4Johansen 17Mugabi 3McGinn 2Lamie 18Penney 15O'Donnell 4Carroll 1Slattery 12Cornelius 7Maguire 4Goss 14Tierney 1Morris 1Shields 9Spittal 4McKinstry 2Goss 5Spittal 4Slattery 3Spittal 10McKinstry 6Shields 2van Veen 16Shields 2Moult 14-2-3-1 in 10 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (10), 4-3-3 (6), 4-4-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 21Johnson 14Randall 5Watson 2Baldwin 14Watson 6Randall 1Iacovitti 21Purrington 11Harmon 10Tillson 10Callachan 7Loturi 7Cancola 15Paton 2Dhanda 1Edwards 7Hiwula-Mayifuila 4Tillson 2Callachan 7Dhanda 6Tillson 4Edwards 6Olaigbe 4Sims 3White 14Hiwula-Mayifuila 5Olaigbe 14-2-3-1 in 20 of 21 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (20), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
4 October 2022Ross County0–5MotherwellxG 0.52–2.58
7 May 2022Ross County0–1MotherwellxG 0.72–1.22
2 March 2022Motherwell0–1Ross CountyxG 1.17–1.05
18 January 2022Ross County3–1MotherwellxG 1.20–0.59
25 September 2021Motherwell2–1Ross CountyxG 0.85–0.79
16 May 2021Motherwell1–2Ross CountyxG 0.67–1.23

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 5, Ross County won 4, and 0 were drawn. Goals 16–9 and xG 1.52–1.13 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
van Veen191,652900.570.09
Tierney4476200.230.12
McKinstry8801310.160.19
Spittal191,449330.110.21

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White161,454400.200.05
Edwards141,270220.140.09
Dhanda111,018030.040.15
Harmon11988210.050.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.