Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 0–5 Motherwell

Tuesday 4 October 2022, 19:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 7 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 2,568

Motherwell van Veen 26' (pen), 51', 89', Slattery 49', Efford 59'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyMotherwell
Goals05
xG0.522.58
Non-penalty xG0.521.79
Expected Points0.142.78

Ross County 2%Draw 8%Motherwell 90%

Most likely score 0–2, 22%. Final score 0–5, 2%.

Motherwell goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+7%8%2%4%12%11%4%1%3%3%1%22%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTHiwula-Mayifuila on for Paton and Samuel on for White, 46'Cancola on for Callachan, 58'Akio on for Sims, 59'Olaigbe on for Edwards, 77'O'Donnell on for McGinn, 60'Moult on for Shields, 70'McKinstry on for Efford and Tierney on for Spittal, 71'Cornelius on for Slattery, 80'van Veen 26' (pen)Slattery 49'van Veen 51'Efford 59'van Veen 89'Motherwell 2.58Ross County 0.5201230153045607590HTHiwula-Mayifuila on for Paton and Samuel on for White, 46'Cancola on for Callachan, 58'Akio on for Sims, 59'Olaigbe on for Edwards, 77'O'Donnell on for McGinn, 60'Moult on for Shields, 70'McKinstry on for Efford and Tierney on for Spittal, 71'Cornelius on for Slattery, 80'van Veen 26' (pen)Slattery 49'van Veen 51'Efford 59'van Veen 89'2.580.52Ross CountyMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyMotherwell

0.52 −0.21xG2.58 +0.94
0.52Non-penalty xG1.79
0.02 −0.66xG on target3.55 +2.36
9 +1.1Shots11 −3.5
1 −1.0Shots on target6 +2.2
0 −0.9Big chances3 +0.6
13 −5Touches in the opposition box18 −2
52% +10Possession48% −2
340 +27Passes321 −54
66% +2Pass accuracy64% −7
53% +19Field tilt47% −7
25 −4Final-third entries23 −16
6 −0.8Box entries8 −0.8
9.7 −7Passes per defensive action10.9 −2
4 +1.0Corners3 −1.6
11 −5Tackles12 −2
15 +5.4Interceptions14 +4.4
11 −13Clearances19 +3
1 −2.6Saves1 −1.6
16 +4Fouls13 −1
1 −1.6Offsides0 −1.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Sims 35', 0.10 xGEdwards 68', 0.10 xGCallachan 45+1', 0.08 xGWhite 16', 0.06 xGCallachan 8', 0.05 xGPaton 17', 0.05 xGOlaigbe 86', 0.05 xGJohnson 16', 0.03 xGWhite 11', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals42%0.22 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals25%0.13 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals25%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals9%0.05 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

van Veen 14', 0.17 xGvan Veen 48', 0.17 xGGoss 22', 0.09 xGEfford 49', 0.09 xGMcKinstry 90+2', 0.05 xGSlattery 40', 0.01 xGvan Veen 51', 0.88 xG, goalvan Veen 89', 0.24 xG, goalEfford 59', 0.05 xG, goalSlattery 49', 0.04 xG, goal49%0.88 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.88 xG, 1 goal26%0.47 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.47 xG, 2 goals14%0.26 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals10%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.18 xG, 1 goal1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyMotherwell

0.29 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.77 7 shots, 3 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.88 1 shot, 1 goal
0.22 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.14 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
26 min (28%) · Ross County 0.20, Motherwell 1.05 xG
Motherwell ahead
67 min (72%) · Ross County 0.32, Motherwell 1.53 xG

Line-ups

1125632422781126LaidlawJohnsonBaldwinIacovittiPurringtonPatonTillsonEdwardsCallachanSimsWhiteYellow cardYellow card46'77'58'59'46'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay11615424827291179KellyMcGinnJohansenLamiePenneySlatteryGossShieldsEffordSpittalvan VeenYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalGoalGoalGoal60'80'70'71'71'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Steven Hammell

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Samuel for White
  • 46' Hiwula-Mayifuila for Paton · yellow card 62'
  • 58' Cancola for Callachan
  • 59' Akio for Sims
  • 77' Olaigbe for Edwards

Motherwell substitutes

  • 60' O'Donnell for McGinn
  • 70' Moult for Shields
  • 71' Tierney for Spittal
  • 71' McKinstry for Efford
  • 80' Cornelius for Slattery

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0110
JohnsonRB900.030.1410.2052
BaldwinCB900.000.0510.1489
IacovittiCB900.000.0000.0455
PurringtonLB900.000.0100.0653
PatonDM460.050.0000.0203
TillsonDM900.000.010−0.0214
EdwardsRW770.100.0100.0452
Callachan AM580.120.0400.0214
SimsLW590.100.1600.1940
White ST460.070.2720.1501
SamuelFW440.000.000−0.0202
Hiwula-Mayifuila FW440.000.000−0.0110
CancolaMF320.000.000−0.0112
AkioFW310.000.0000.0010
OlaigbeMF130.050.0000.0002

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Kelly GK900.000.0000.0560
McGinn RB600.000.0210.0420
JohansenCB900.000.0100.02413
LamieCB900.000.0100.05310
PenneyLB9010.000.0110.0326
SlatteryDM8010.050.0500.1036
GossDM900.090.0100.0352
ShieldsRW700.000.411−0.0114
EffordAM71110.140.7110.3881
SpittalLW710.000.0110.0112
van VeenST9032.240.0100.1521
O'DonnellDF300.000.031−0.0422
MoultFW200.000.0000.0000
TierneyMF190.000.0200.0100
McKinstryFW190.050.0000.0001
CorneliusMF100.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Baldwin and White: 3 passesPurrington and White: 3 passesPaton and Callachan: 3 passesJohnson and Paton: 4 passesPurrington and Paton: 4 passesPurrington and Callachan: 4 passesLaidlaw and Purrington: 5 passesJohnson and Baldwin: 5 passesJohnson and Sims: 5 passesBaldwin and Iacovitti: 5 passesIacovitti and Purrington: 5 passesPaton and Edwards: 5 passesJohnson and Tillson: 6 passesBaldwin and Paton: 6 passesPurrington and Edwards: 8 passesBaldwin and Sims: 10 passesLaidlaw: 8 completed passesJohnson: 14 completed passesBaldwin: 19 completed passesIacovitti: 8 completed passesPurrington: 18 completed passesPaton: 11 completed passesTillson: 6 completed passesSims: 9 completed passesCallachan: 8 completed passesEdwards: 6 completed passesWhite: 3 completed passes1125632422118726LaidlawJohnsonBaldwinIacovittiPurringtonPatonTillsonSimsCallachanEdwardsWhiteStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

Kelly and Goss: 3 passesMcGinn and van Veen: 3 passesJohansen and Goss: 3 passesJohansen and Efford: 3 passesLamie and Slattery: 3 passesSlattery and Spittal: 3 passesEfford and Spittal: 3 passesKelly and McGinn: 4 passesKelly and van Veen: 4 passesMcGinn and Johansen: 4 passesPenney and Spittal: 4 passesGoss and Efford: 4 passesMcGinn and Slattery: 5 passesMcGinn and Goss: 5 passesLamie and Penney: 5 passesGoss and Shields: 5 passesKelly and Johansen: 6 passesSlattery and Efford: 6 passesKelly and Lamie: 7 passesMcGinn and Spittal: 7 passesPenney and Shields: 7 passesLamie and Goss: 8 passesMcGinn and Efford: 9 passesPenney and Goss: 9 passesSlattery and Goss: 11 passesKelly: 15 completed passesMcGinn: 24 completed passesJohansen: 14 completed passesLamie: 17 completed passesPenney: 16 completed passesSlattery: 14 completed passesGoss: 27 completed passesEfford: 11 completed passesSpittal: 10 completed passesShields: 10 completed passesvan Veen: 1 completed passes11615424827117299KellyMcGinnJohansenLamiePenneySlatteryGossEffordSpittalShieldsvan VeenStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
PurringtonEdwards14
JohnsonBaldwin8
BaldwinJohnson8
PurringtonIacovitti7
BaldwinSims6

Motherwell

FromToPasses
GossSlattery8
ShieldsPenney7
LamieGoss7
LamieKelly7
JohansenKelly6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

5−1.26−3.41−5.18+2.69+2.43−4.18−0.93−2.24−2.22−1.67+3.85−0.49+5.25+0.55+1.630.06+2.82−1.86+4.420.01+0.24+2.91+0.12+1.40−0.41+0.20−0.12+1.510−6.02−6.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Motherwell

6+1.13−1.112+5.94−1.93−3.54−1.18+2.02−5.812+5.66−1.07+1.65+2.57+0.58+1.84−0.21−2.27+4.04+0.53−1.42−1.00−1.10−1.13+1.04+0.60−1.20−0.51−0.12+1.91−0.97−7.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.020.020.010.030.020.010.040.010.020.010.030.02−0.030.170.150.020.25LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.020.030.010.010.030.030.020.010.010.010.010.010.050.010.020.010.010.050.20−0.010.20−0.21−0.010.30LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.19AttackRoss County0.89 → 0.86Motherwell1.05 → 1.11Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.47 → 1.52Motherwell1.31 → 1.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six4%2%−2
11th26%28%+2
Bottom26%33%+7
Motherwell
Top six31%41%+10
11th6%3%−3
Bottom2%1%−1
Dundee United
Top six2%1%−1
11th25%27%+2
Bottom38%36%−2
St. Mirren
Top six45%43%−2
11th4%4%0
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (4 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyMotherwell
Expected goals1.161.18
Win35%36%
Expected Points1.341.37
Clean sheet31%31%

Ross County 35%Draw 29%Motherwell 36%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

Motherwell goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+7%3%8%3%6%8%5%2%3%3%2%10%11%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 4 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawMotherwell win
Ross County
Top six4%6%3%2%
11th26%23%26%28%
Bottom26%19%28%33%
Motherwell
Top six31%23%29%41%
11th6%9%6%3%
Bottom2%4%2%1%
Dundee United
Top six2%2%2%1%
11th25%24%25%27%
Bottom38%40%37%36%
St. Mirren
Top six45%47%44%43%
11th4%4%4%4%
Bottom1%2%1%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L0–21 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.66–1.66
  2. D0–017 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.39–0.82
  3. D1–13 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.36–0.83
  4. L0–427 AugRangers (A)xG 0.48–3.19
  5. W1–020 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 0.65–0.70
  6. L0–113 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.35–0.25

Motherwell

  1. L1–21 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.35–3.50
  2. L0–318 SepHearts (H)xG 2.83–1.92
  3. D0–03 SepDundee United (H)xG 3.28–0.36
  4. L1–227 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 0.70–1.52
  5. W1–020 AugLivingston (H)xG 1.43–0.27
  6. W3–213 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.72–1.27

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyMotherwell
Position10th9th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠2–⁠53–⁠1–⁠4
Points5 (0.62 per game)10 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game0.951.50
Goals4–⁠138–⁠11
xG per game0.73–⁠1.371.64–⁠1.51
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 0.77–⁠1.241.00, 2.05–⁠0.85
Away: points, xG per game0.25, 0.69–⁠1.511.50, 1.23–⁠2.17
ManagerMalky Mackay (46)Steven Hammell (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.19AttackRoss County0.89, 11thMotherwell1.05, 6thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.47, 12thMotherwell1.31, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRoss County attack: 0.89Motherwell attack: 1.051.050.89MotherwellRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRoss County defence: 1.47Motherwell defence: 1.311.471.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−53%+28%+22%+38%
Counter-attacks−29%−34%−42%+40%
Set pieces+6%−15%−5%−10%
Penalties−100%−100%+157%−100%
Headers−32%+19%−12%+52%
Left side−22%+13%+37%−11%
Centre−31%+15%−12%+87%
Right side−67%+21%+33%−31%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdMotherwell concededLeft side−22%−31%Centre−31%+87%Right side−67%−11%Open play−53%+38%Counter-attacks−29%+40%Set pieces+6%−10%Headers−32%+52%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdRoss County concededLeft side+37%+21%Centre−12%+15%Right side+33%+13%Open play+22%+28%Counter-attacks−42%−34%Set pieces−5%−15%Headers−12%+19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyMotherwell

0.73xG1.64
1.37xG against1.51
42%Possession50%
7.9Shots14.5
17.8Shots against13.4
2.0Shots on target3.8
0.9Big chances2.4
18.0Touches in the opposition box19.5
313Passes376
64%Pass accuracy71%
3.0Corners4.6
34%Field tilt55%
28.6Final-third entries39.0
6.8Box entries8.8
16.5Passes per defensive action13.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level650.691.27
Ahead00.001.12
Behind250.841.65

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.811.73
Ahead231.121.34
Behind251.841.30

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.170–0
16–300.180.130–1
31–450.070.310–1
46–600.070.361–5
61–750.140.130–0
76–900.200.263–6

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.221–1
16–300.090.261–2
31–450.370.352–1
46–600.250.162–2
61–750.430.211–2
76–900.400.321–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 8Johnson 5Randall 2Watson 1Baldwin 7Watson 1Iacovitti 8Purrington 8Callachan 6Loturi 1Cancola 7Paton 1Tillson 1Akio 2Sims 2Edwards 1Dhanda 3Samuel 3Callachan 1Edwards 2Olaigbe 2Paton 1Hiwula-Mayifuila 5White 34-2-3-1 in every start

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 8McGinn 8Johansen 8Mugabi 2Lamie 6O'Donnell 4Penney 3Carroll 1Maguire 4Slattery 3Shields 1Goss 7Tierney 2Spittal 1Cornelius 4Morris 1Shields 3Spittal 2Efford 1van Veen 6Shields 1Efford 1Spittal 5Shields 1Goss 14-3-3 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
7 May 2022Ross County0–1MotherwellxG 0.72–1.22
2 March 2022Motherwell0–1Ross CountyxG 1.17–1.05
18 January 2022Ross County3–1MotherwellxG 1.20–0.59
25 September 2021Motherwell2–1Ross CountyxG 0.85–0.79
16 May 2021Motherwell1–2Ross CountyxG 0.67–1.23
27 January 2021Ross County1–2MotherwellxG 1.86–1.56

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 4, Motherwell won 4, and 0 were drawn. Goals 9–11 and xG 1.21–1.39 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Purrington8676000.030.10
Baldwin7630010.050.05
Callachan7621000.060.04
Iacovitti8720100.040.01

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
van Veen8694400.730.11
Spittal8603110.130.11
Goss8688010.110.11
Shields6457010.080.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.