Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Ross County 3–1 Motherwell

Tuesday 18 January 2022, 19:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 21 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 2,523

Ross County Johansen 45+4' (og), Charles-Cook 72', 79' (pen) · Tillson sent off 59'

Motherwell Roberts 55'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyMotherwell
Goals31
xG1.200.59
Non-penalty xG0.420.59
Expected Points1.990.70

Ross County 56%Draw 32%Motherwell 13%

Most likely score 1–0, 30%. Final score 3–1, 1%.

Motherwell goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+8%4%1%21%5%13%8%3%2%1%30%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTTillson (Ross County), red card 59'D. Samuel on for Hungbo, 19'Tillson on for Cancola, 29'Ramsay on for Charles-Cook and Burroughs on for White, 82'Shields on for Maguire, 78'Amaluzor on for Woolery, 87'Johansen 45+4' (og)Charles-Cook 72'Charles-Cook 79' (pen)Roberts 55'Ross County 1.20Motherwell 0.5900.511.50153045607590HTTillson (Ross County), red card 59'D. Samuel on for Hungbo, 19'Tillson on for Cancola, 29'Ramsay on for Charles-Cook and Burroughs on for White, 82'Shields on for Maguire, 78'Amaluzor on for Woolery, 87'Johansen 45+4' (og)Charles-Cook 72'Charles-Cook 79' (pen)Roberts 55'1.200.59Ross CountyMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyMotherwell

1.20 +0.08xG0.59 −0.45
0.42Non-penalty xG0.59
1.67 +0.47xG on target0.57 −0.66
5 −5.8Shots13 +3.1
2 −2.2Shots on target3 −0.6
2 +0.6Big chances0 −1.6
12 −5Touches in the opposition box14 −4
43% +1Possession57% +17
222 −95Passes286 +2
53% −13Pass accuracy58% −2
49% +9Field tilt51% +19
15 −14Final-third entries30 +4
7 −1.4Box entries6 −1.8
9.3 −8Passes per defensive action17.0 +4
5 +1.1Corners6 +1.8
18 +5Tackles13 −1
5 −5Interceptions2 −10
40 +14Clearances12 −13
2 −1.5Saves0 −4.0
14 +2Fouls9 −6
2 −0.2Offsides1 −0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

D. Samuel 22', 0.12 xGCallachan 71', 0.10 xGSpittal 23', 0.01 xGCharles-Cook 72', 0.18 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals67%0.28 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.28 xG, 1 goal33%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Johansen 17', 0.11 xGMugabi 90+1', 0.08 xGDonnelly 42', 0.07 xGvan Veen 36', 0.06 xGvan Veen 14', 0.05 xGJohansen 81', 0.04 xGMaguire 43', 0.03 xGMaguire 32', 0.02 xGMaguire 34', 0.02 xGvan Veen 67', 0.02 xGGoss 50', 0.01 xGvan Veen 75', 0.01 xGRoberts 55', 0.07 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals47%0.28 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals8%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals33%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.20 xG, 1 goal12%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyMotherwell

0.40 3 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.11 5 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.07 1 shot, 1 goal
0.01 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.41 7 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
66 min (69%) · Ross County 0.42, Motherwell 0.36 xG
Ross County ahead
29 min (31%) · Ross County 0.79, Motherwell 0.23 xG

Line-ups

31220163472381726Maynard-BrewerRandallDrysdaleIacovittiVokinsCancolaSpittalHungboCallachanCharles-CookWhiteGoalGoalYellow card29'19'82'82'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay1252119226277928KellyO'DonnellMugabiJohansenMcGinleyDonnellyMaguireGossWooleryvan VeenRobertsYellow cardOwn goalGoalYellow card78'87'Motherwell 4-3-3

Ross County substitutes

  • 19' D. Samuel for Hungbo
  • 29' Tillson for Cancola · red card 59'
  • 82' Burroughs for White
  • 82' Ramsay for Charles-Cook

Motherwell substitutes

  • 78' Shields for Maguire
  • 87' Amaluzor for Woolery

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Maynard-BrewerGK900.000.0000.0440
RandallRB900.000.0000.0008
DrysdaleCB900.000.2210.0657
IacovittiCB900.000.0000.01111
VokinsLB900.000.0200.0535
CancolaDM290.000.0000.0002
SpittalDM900.010.0100.01214
HungboRW190.000.0000.0001
CallachanAM900.100.0000.0336
Charles-Cook LW8220.970.0100.0330
WhiteST8210.000.031−0.0117
D. SamuelFW710.120.1910.2324
Tillson MF300.000.0000.0101
BurroughsDF80.000.0000.0000
RamsayDF80.000.0000.0110

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0100.0890
O'Donnell RB900.000.0830.1246
MugabiCB900.080.0000.0323
JohansenCB900.150.0100.0333
McGinleyLB900.000.0200.0545
DonnellyCM900.070.0210.0153
MaguireCM780.060.0000.0022
GossCM900.010.0310.0542
WooleryRW870.000.0100.0110
van VeenST9010.140.011−0.0211
Roberts LW9010.070.0200.0113
ShieldsMF120.000.1010.0810
AmaluzorFW30.000.1200.0710

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kelly and O'Donnell: 3 passesKelly and Roberts: 3 passesJohansen and Goss: 3 passesMugabi and van Veen: 3 passesGoss and Maguire: 3 passesMaguire and Donnelly: 3 passesDonnelly and Woolery: 3 passesWoolery and Roberts: 3 passesKelly and Johansen: 4 passesO'Donnell and Mugabi: 4 passesJohansen and McGinley: 4 passesMugabi and Donnelly: 4 passesO'Donnell and Woolery: 5 passesO'Donnell and van Veen: 5 passesJohansen and Mugabi: 5 passesMcGinley and Woolery: 5 passesMcGinley and Roberts: 5 passesKelly and Woolery: 6 passesDonnelly and van Veen: 6 passesO'Donnell and Roberts: 7 passesGoss and Roberts: 7 passesO'Donnell and Maguire: 8 passesMcGinley and Goss: 12 passesO'Donnell and Donnelly: 14 passesKelly: 15 completed passesO'Donnell: 28 completed passesJohansen: 13 completed passesMugabi: 15 completed passesMcGinley: 22 completed passesGoss: 14 completed passesMaguire: 16 completed passesDonnelly: 16 completed passesWoolery: 7 completed passesvan Veen: 9 completed passesRoberts: 6 completed passes1221519276227928KellyO'DonnellJohansenMugabiMcGinleyGossMaguireDonnellyWooleryvan VeenRobertsStarters until 78' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
VokinsCharles-Cook7
Maynard-BrewerWhite6
VokinsSpittal6
RandallD. Samuel6
SpittalVokins5

Motherwell

FromToPasses
O'DonnellDonnelly11
McGinleyGoss8
KellyWoolery6
GossMcGinley6
DonnellyO'Donnell6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

2−3.38+2.217+1.314+6.98+1.89+1.43−4.73−3.712+3.710+1.55−0.43−1.63−0.29+4.79+2.83−1.42−0.72−0.71−2.02−1.84+1.91−1.11+0.32+0.54+2.41+0.10−0.10−0.61+0.72+1.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Motherwell

11+6.97+0.62−5.25−0.89+2.72−4.04−2.04−4.15−3.37+1.76+1.54+0.41−4.04−2.20−4.24+0.80−2.50−3.43−1.25+1.50−1.21−0.10−2.44+0.92+1.10−0.41+0.20−0.70−0.66−13.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.040.010.010.040.010.020.070.010.01−0.010.060.030.010.01−0.010.17LessMore

Motherwell

0.020.010.010.020.040.020.010.040.020.010.010.020.010.030.02−0.03−0.030.020.07−0.010.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRoss County1.04 → 1.06Motherwell1.02 → 1.01Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.45 → 1.43Motherwell1.33 → 1.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six4%6%+2
11th18%14%−4
Bottom11%7%−4
Motherwell
Top six85%78%−7
Dundee United
Top six24%26%+2
Bottom2%2%0
St. Johnstone
11th27%29%+2
Bottom31%33%+2

From the forecast before the match (18 January 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyMotherwell
Expected goals1.361.23
Win39%33%
Expected Points1.451.27
Clean sheet29%26%

Ross County 39%Draw 28%Motherwell 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Motherwell goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+8%9%6%2%8%3%1%7%9%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 January 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawMotherwell win
Ross County
Top six4%6%2%1%
11th18%14%19%22%
Bottom11%7%12%16%
Motherwell
Top six85%78%85%93%
Dundee United
Top six24%26%24%22%
Bottom2%2%1%1%
St. Johnstone
11th27%29%26%25%
Bottom31%33%31%29%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L1–226 DecHearts (A)xG 1.00–1.73
  2. W2–122 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.15–0.32
  3. D1–118 DecLivingston (A)xG 0.57–1.00
  4. L1–215 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.65–2.72
  5. W3–211 DecDundee FC (H)xG 2.13–1.64
  6. D0–01 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.93–1.89

Motherwell

  1. W2–126 DecLivingston (H)xG 0.92–0.43
  2. W2–018 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.31–0.52
  3. L0–112 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.75–2.45
  4. D1–14 DecHibernian (A)xG 1.32–1.89
  5. W1–030 NovDundee United (H)xG 1.72–0.31
  6. L0–327 NovDundee FC (A)xG 0.61–1.69

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyMotherwell
Position10th4th
Played2020
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠6–⁠109–⁠4–⁠7
Points18 (0.90 per game)31 (1.55 per game)
Expected Points per game1.221.11
Goals27–⁠3525–⁠27
xG per game1.12–⁠1.421.04–⁠1.44
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.33–⁠1.372.00, 0.99–⁠1.32
Away: points, xG per game0.82, 0.95–⁠1.461.00, 1.10–⁠1.60
ManagerMalky Mackay (20)Graham Alexander (38)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRoss County1.04, 6thMotherwell1.02, 7thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.45, 12thMotherwell1.33, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanRoss County attack: 1.04Motherwell attack: 1.021.041.02MotherwellRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanRoss County defence: 1.45Motherwell defence: 1.331.451.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−9%+20%−22%+21%
Counter-attacks−42%+37%−21%−62%
Set pieces−19%+37%+12%+18%
Penalties+51%−62%−24%+51%
Headers−40%+54%+36%+1%
Left side−24%+29%−4%+37%
Centre−17%+23%+1%+3%
Right side+5%+24%−48%+23%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdMotherwell concededLeft side−24%+23%Centre−17%+3%Right side+5%+37%Open play−9%+21%Counter-attacks−42%−62%Set pieces−19%+18%Headers−40%+1%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdRoss County concededLeft side−4%+24%Centre+1%+23%Right side−48%+29%Open play−22%+20%Counter-attacks−21%+37%Set pieces+12%+37%Headers+36%+54%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyMotherwell

1.12xG1.04
1.42xG against1.44
42%Possession40%
10.8Shots9.9
15.2Shots against15.5
4.2Shots on target3.6
1.4Big chances1.6
17.2Touches in the opposition box17.9
317Passes284
66%Pass accuracy61%
3.9Corners4.2
40%Field tilt33%
28.8Final-third entries25.5
8.4Box entries7.8
17.0Passes per defensive action13.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.931.37
Ahead141.521.27
Behind321.211.55

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.051.58
Ahead300.991.18
Behind261.091.58

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.163–6
16–300.230.214–7
31–450.200.218–8
46–600.070.211–4
61–750.230.287–3
76–900.300.354–7

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.205–2
16–300.140.224–5
31–450.100.181–8
46–600.270.288–3
61–750.220.224–4
76–900.170.343–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 14Laidlaw 6Clarke 10Randall 6Burroughs 2Baldwin 14Clarke 5Watson 4Iacovitti 14Paton 1Burroughs 1Randall 5Vokins 5B. Paton 5Tillson 11Paton 8Spittal 7Cancola 8Charles-Cook 1Hungbo 9Charles-Cook 3Baldwin 2Callachan 10Tillson 3Paton 3Charles-Cook 13Spittal 5Hungbo 1White 13D. Samuel 3A. Samuel 24-2-3-1 in 10 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (10), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 20O'Donnell 13Mugabi 7Mugabi 11Johansen 9Ojala 10Lamie 9Carroll 1McGinley 16Carroll 4Grimshaw 10Cornelius 2Slattery 17Maguire 8Donnelly 4Goss 11O'Hara 8Woolery 15Roberts 3Amaluzor 2van Veen 9Watt 7Shields 4Watt 11van Veen 4Woolery 34-3-3 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 September 2021Motherwell2–1Ross CountyxG 0.85–0.79
16 May 2021Motherwell1–2Ross CountyxG 0.67–1.23
27 January 2021Ross County1–2MotherwellxG 1.86–1.56
24 October 2020Motherwell4–0Ross CountyxG 3.11–1.47
3 August 2020Ross County1–0MotherwellxG 1.33–1.96

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 2, Motherwell won 3, and 0 were drawn. Goals 5–9 and xG 1.34–1.63 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
D. Samuel5539100.430.04
Spittal161,448410.140.17
Callachan161,406310.260.04
Hungbo10945230.160.14

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt181,598900.350.06
van Veen131,196710.300.10
Shields6497110.220.09
Goss111,022040.080.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.