Saturday 8 April 2023, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 31 · Half-time 3–0 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 4,844
Motherwell van Veen 9', 33', Johnston 34'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Motherwell
Livingston
Goals
3
0
xG
1.59
0.84
Expected Points
1.98
0.74
Motherwell 57%Draw 28%Livingston 15%
Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 3–0, 5%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
MotherwellLivingston
1.59 +0.38xG0.84 −0.19
1.18 +0.06xG on target0.09 −0.97
11 −0.4Shots11 +1.3
6 +2.7Shots on target2 −1.4
2 +0.4Big chances0 −1.4
19 +3Touches in the opposition box14 −5
47% −1Possession53% +12
339 −12Passes404 +113
66% 0Pass accuracy72% +10
48% 0Field tilt52% +11
34 0Final-third entries50 +24
9 +0.7Box entries12 +3.6
11.9 −2Passes per defensive action13.7 −2
4 −0.9Corners2 −2.1
21 +4Tackles13 −1
6 −3.1Interceptions12 +2.4
15 −3Clearances18 −8
2 −0.8Saves3 0.0
16 +3Fouls6 −6
3 +1.2Offsides0 −1.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Motherwell
Livingston
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
9'33'34'
0–01–03–0
0'HTFT
Level
9 min (9%) · Motherwell 0.34, Livingston 0.00 xG
Motherwell ahead
86 min (91%) · Motherwell 1.25, Livingston 0.84 xG
Line-ups
Motherwell substitutes
58'Lamie for Butcher
64'Paton for Mandron
81'O'Donnell for Johnston · yellow card 90+2'
81'Slattery for Spittal
81'Aitchison for Cornelius
Livingston substitutes
46'Boyes for de Lucas
69'Shinnie for Holt
69'Anderson for Guthrie
69'Bahamboula for Bradley
83'Brandon for Penrice
Players
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Kelly
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
4
1
McGinn
CB
90
0.10
0.01
0
0.15
6
17
Butcher
CB
58
0.03
0.00
0
0.02
2
9
Casey
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
5
1
Johnston
RWB
81
1
1
0.98
0.07
2
0.11
2
1
Goss
CM
90
0.00
0.04
0
0.09
7
3
Cornelius
CM
81
0.00
0.01
0
−0.01
2
2
Furlong
LWB
90
1
0.00
0.03
1
0.01
2
3
Spittal
AM
81
1
0.16
0.07
4
0.01
3
3
van Veen
ST
90
2
0.28
0.18
1
0.12
2
1
Mandron
ST
64
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
1
0
Lamie
DF
32
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
1
Paton
MF
26
0.00
0.04
0
0.02
1
0
O'Donnell
DF
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Slattery
MF
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
1
3
Aitchison
MF
9
0.04
0.01
0
0.01
1
0
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
George
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
5
0
Bradley
RWB
69
0.02
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Devlin
CB
90
0.00
0.08
2
0.23
9
4
Fitzwater
CB
90
0.20
0.00
0
0.03
3
7
de Lucas
CB
46
0.00
0.04
0
0.15
4
2
Penrice
LWB
83
0.14
0.02
0
0.05
3
7
Stephen Kelly
CM
90
0.08
0.11
1
0.14
5
2
Omeonga
CM
90
0.02
0.03
1
0.07
5
6
Holt
CM
69
0.00
0.30
0
0.20
4
7
Nouble
ST
90
0.15
0.26
3
−0.10
2
0
Guthrie
ST
69
0.11
0.01
1
−0.20
0
2
Boyes
DF
44
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
5
6
Shinnie
MF
21
0.00
0.11
1
0.12
4
1
Anderson
FW
21
0.11
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Bahamboula
FW
21
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Brandon
MF
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Motherwell
Livingston
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Kelly
McGinn
9
Johnston
Cornelius
7
Furlong
Goss
6
Goss
Furlong
6
McGinn
Johnston
6
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Omeonga
Devlin
11
Devlin
Fitzwater
10
Stephen Kelly
Omeonga
9
Fitzwater
George
8
Devlin
Bradley
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Motherwell
Against its average of 30 matches
Livingston
Against its average of 30 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Motherwell
Livingston
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Motherwell
Top six
<1%
0%
0
11th
1%
<1%
−1
Livingston
Top six
38%
26%
−12
St. Mirren
Top six
78%
85%
+7
Hibernian
Top six
84%
89%
+5
From the forecast before the match (8 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Motherwell
Livingston
Expected goals
1.50
0.96
Win
49%
23%
Expected Points
1.75
0.97
Clean sheet
38%
22%
Motherwell 49%Draw 27%Livingston 23%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 48%.
From the forecast as it stood on 8 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Motherwell win
Draw
Livingston win
Motherwell
Top six
<1%
0%
–
–
11th
1%
<1%
1%
2%
Livingston
Top six
38%
26%
36%
69%
St. Mirren
Top six
78%
85%
79%
59%
Hibernian
Top six
84%
89%
85%
74%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Motherwell
Livingston
Position
8th
7th
Played
30
30
Won, drawn, lost
9–6–15
11–6–13
Points
33 (1.10 per game)
39 (1.30 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.24
1.04
Goals
39–45
31–47
xG per game
1.21–1.39
1.03–1.60
Home: points, xG per game
0.86, 1.17–1.21
1.56, 1.08–1.45
Away: points, xG per game
1.31, 1.24–1.56
1.00, 0.98–1.77
Manager
Stuart Kettlewell (6)
David Martindale (91)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Motherwell
Livingston
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−17%
+14%
−38%
+14%
Counter-attacks
+49%
+7%
−79%
+1%
Set pieces
−9%
+10%
+3%
+28%
Penalties
+17%
−50%
+34%
+51%
Headers
−24%
+33%
−31%
+15%
Left side
+1%
+2%
−15%
+3%
Centre
−18%
+29%
−34%
+16%
Right side
−15%
−2%
−36%
+33%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
MotherwellLivingston
1.21xG1.03
1.39xG against1.60
48%Possession41%
11.4Shots9.7
12.3Shots against14.0
3.3Shots on target3.4
1.6Big chances1.4
16.3Touches in the opposition box18.8
351Passes291
66%Pass accuracy62%
4.9Corners4.1
48%Field tilt40%
33.7Final-third entries26.0
8.3Box entries8.4
13.7Passes per defensive action15.8
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
38
1.26
1.72
Ahead
21
1.19
1.00
Behind
31
1.15
1.27
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
38
1.08
1.38
Ahead
29
0.92
1.55
Behind
23
1.08
2.01
xG by period
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.10
0.22
4–5
16–30
0.14
0.24
5–8
31–45
0.21
0.23
5–5
46–60
0.23
0.22
11–7
61–75
0.28
0.22
5–14
76–90
0.24
0.26
9–6
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.23
0.14
10–3
16–30
0.16
0.18
4–5
31–45
0.17
0.37
7–12
46–60
0.13
0.30
3–7
61–75
0.14
0.26
4–12
76–90
0.21
0.35
3–8
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.