Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Motherwell 3–0 Livingston

Saturday 8 April 2023, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 31 · Half-time 3–0 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 4,844

Motherwell van Veen 9', 33', Johnston 34'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellLivingston
Goals30
xG1.590.84
Expected Points1.980.74

Motherwell 57%Draw 28%Livingston 15%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 3–0, 5%.

Livingston goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+5%4%2%6%1%6%1%5%5%2%1%1%16%17%13%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTLamie on for Butcher, 58'Paton on for Mandron, 64'Aitchison on for Cornelius, Slattery on for Spittal, and O'Donnell on for Johnston, 81'Boyes on for de Lucas, 46'Shinnie on for Holt, Bahamboula on for Bradley, and Anderson on for Guthrie, 69'Brandon on for Penrice, 83'van Veen 9'van Veen 33'Johnston 34'Motherwell 1.59Livingston 0.8400.511.520153045607590HTLamie on for Butcher, 58'Paton on for Mandron, 64'Aitchison on for Cornelius, Slattery on for Spittal, and O'Donnell on for Johnston, 81'Boyes on for de Lucas, 46'Shinnie on for Holt, Bahamboula on for Bradley, and Anderson on for Guthrie, 69'Brandon on for Penrice, 83'van Veen 9'van Veen 33'Johnston 34'1.590.84MotherwellLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellLivingston

1.59 +0.38xG0.84 −0.19
1.18 +0.06xG on target0.09 −0.97
11 −0.4Shots11 +1.3
6 +2.7Shots on target2 −1.4
2 +0.4Big chances0 −1.4
19 +3Touches in the opposition box14 −5
47% −1Possession53% +12
339 −12Passes404 +113
66% 0Pass accuracy72% +10
48% 0Field tilt52% +11
34 0Final-third entries50 +24
9 +0.7Box entries12 +3.6
11.9 −2Passes per defensive action13.7 −2
4 −0.9Corners2 −2.1
21 +4Tackles13 −1
6 −3.1Interceptions12 +2.4
15 −3Clearances18 −8
2 −0.8Saves3 0.0
16 +3Fouls6 −6
3 +1.2Offsides0 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Johnston 5', 0.19 xGMcGinn 80', 0.10 xGSpittal 79', 0.09 xGJohnston 53', 0.07 xGSpittal 60', 0.07 xGvan Veen 14', 0.04 xGAitchison 88', 0.04 xGButcher 54', 0.03 xGJohnston 34', 0.72 xG, goalvan Veen 9', 0.15 xG, goalvan Veen 33', 0.09 xG, goal6%0.10 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals21%0.34 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.34 xG, 1 goal66%1.05 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 1.05 xG, 2 goals6%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Fitzwater 57', 0.19 xGNouble 78', 0.15 xGPenrice 75', 0.14 xGAnderson 90+5', 0.11 xGGuthrie 22', 0.09 xGStephen Kelly 56', 0.06 xGGuthrie 32', 0.03 xGOmeonga 22', 0.02 xGFitzwater 28', 0.02 xGBradley 61', 0.02 xGStephen Kelly 90+3', 0.02 xG40%0.34 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals31%0.26 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals17%0.14 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.14 xG, 0 goals6%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals6%0.05 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellLivingston

1.31 8 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.66 10 shots, 0 goals
0.15 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.13 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.18 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
9 min (9%) · Motherwell 0.34, Livingston 0.00 xG
Motherwell ahead
86 min (91%) · Motherwell 1.25, Livingston 0.84 xG

Line-ups

1166652222718247921KellyMcGinnButcherCaseyJohnstonGossCorneliusFurlongSpittalvan VeenMandronGoalGoalGoal58'81'81'81'64'Motherwell 3-4-1-2Stuart Kettlewell1162523291733181928GeorgeBradleyDevlinFitzwaterde LucasPenriceStephen KellyOmeongaHoltNoubleGuthrieYellow card69'46'83'69'69'Livingston 5-3-2David Martindale

Motherwell substitutes

  • 58' Lamie for Butcher
  • 64' Paton for Mandron
  • 81' O'Donnell for Johnston · yellow card 90+2'
  • 81' Slattery for Spittal
  • 81' Aitchison for Cornelius

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Boyes for de Lucas
  • 69' Shinnie for Holt
  • 69' Anderson for Guthrie
  • 69' Bahamboula for Bradley
  • 83' Brandon for Penrice

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0100.0741
McGinnCB900.100.0100.15617
ButcherCB580.030.0000.0229
CaseyCB900.000.0000.0451
JohnstonRWB81110.980.0720.1121
GossCM900.000.0400.0973
CorneliusCM810.000.010−0.0122
FurlongLWB9010.000.0310.0123
SpittalAM8110.160.0740.0133
van VeenST9020.280.1810.1221
MandronST640.000.000−0.0210
LamieDF320.000.0000.0121
PatonMF260.000.0400.0210
O'Donnell DF90.000.0000.0111
SlatteryMF90.000.0000.0613
AitchisonMF90.040.0100.0110

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0100.0550
BradleyRWB690.020.0000.0111
DevlinCB900.000.0820.2394
FitzwaterCB900.200.0000.0337
de LucasCB460.000.0400.1542
PenriceLWB830.140.0200.0537
Stephen KellyCM900.080.1110.1452
OmeongaCM900.020.0310.0756
HoltCM690.000.3000.2047
NoubleST900.150.263−0.1020
Guthrie ST690.110.011−0.2002
BoyesDF440.000.0100.0556
ShinnieMF210.000.1110.1241
AndersonFW210.110.0000.0100
BahamboulaFW210.000.0000.0001
BrandonMF70.000.0000.0101

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kelly and Goss: 3 passesCasey and Butcher: 3 passesCasey and Spittal: 3 passesButcher and Goss: 3 passesButcher and Spittal: 3 passesJohnston and Goss: 3 passesGoss and Cornelius: 3 passesGoss and van Veen: 3 passesCasey and Goss: 4 passesMcGinn and Goss: 4 passesMcGinn and van Veen: 4 passesFurlong and Mandron: 4 passesCasey and Furlong: 5 passesButcher and Cornelius: 5 passesGoss and Mandron: 5 passesKelly and Casey: 6 passesJohnston and van Veen: 6 passesFurlong and Spittal: 6 passesMcGinn and Johnston: 7 passesJohnston and Cornelius: 7 passesGoss and Spittal: 8 passesKelly and Butcher: 9 passesMcGinn and Spittal: 9 passesGoss and Furlong: 9 passesKelly and McGinn: 11 passesMcGinn and Cornelius: 11 passesKelly: 21 completed passesCasey: 13 completed passesButcher: 16 completed passesMcGinn: 28 completed passesJohnston: 12 completed passesGoss: 24 completed passesCornelius: 12 completed passesFurlong: 15 completed passesSpittal: 17 completed passesMandron: 7 completed passesvan Veen: 8 completed passes1526616222718247219KellyCaseyButcherMcGinnJohnstonGossCorneliusFurlongSpittalMandronvan VeenStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

George and Fitzwater: 4 passesGeorge and de Lucas: 4 passesGeorge and Guthrie: 4 passesBradley and Devlin: 4 passesBradley and Omeonga: 4 passesBradley and Holt: 4 passesDevlin and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesde Lucas and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesPenrice and Nouble: 4 passesOmeonga and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesStephen Kelly and Holt: 4 passesStephen Kelly and Guthrie: 4 passesStephen Kelly and Nouble: 4 passesFitzwater and de Lucas: 5 passesOmeonga and Nouble: 5 passesFitzwater and Holt: 6 passesDevlin and Nouble: 6 passesde Lucas and Holt: 6 passesPenrice and Guthrie: 6 passesDevlin and Holt: 7 passesde Lucas and Penrice: 7 passesDevlin and Omeonga: 8 passesFitzwater and Devlin: 11 passesGeorge: 9 completed passesBradley: 7 completed passesFitzwater: 17 completed passesDevlin: 25 completed passesde Lucas: 20 completed passesPenrice: 16 completed passesOmeonga: 16 completed passesStephen Kelly: 16 completed passesHolt: 19 completed passesGuthrie: 9 completed passesNouble: 10 completed passes1165223293317182819GeorgeBradleyFitzwaterDevlinde LucasPenriceOmeongaStephen KellyHoltGuthrieNoubleStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
KellyMcGinn9
JohnstonCornelius7
FurlongGoss6
GossFurlong6
McGinnJohnston6

Livingston

FromToPasses
OmeongaDevlin11
DevlinFitzwater10
Stephen KellyOmeonga9
FitzwaterGeorge8
DevlinBradley7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

5+0.28+2.414+2.03−2.610+2.77+0.47+0.910+3.16−1.77+0.25−0.47+3.77+1.26−0.93−2.03−0.85+1.92−2.07+1.91−1.61−0.70−0.92−0.31−1.92+1.02+1.60−0.81+0.51−0.20−6.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Livingston

3−2.610+2.514−0.64−5.06+0.88+0.26−0.12−2.94−3.69+0.610+4.15+0.42−0.88+4.014+7.07+2.64+1.03+0.70−3.19+4.93+0.61−0.71+0.10−1.42−0.60−1.20−0.32+1.61+0.70−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.070.010.010.020.020.040.01−0.010.020.020.020.040.010.030.020.040.020.010.070.020.100.11LessMore

Livingston

0.010.040.010.040.010.010.030.020.020.060.010.100.160.090.010.04−0.010.05−0.31−0.030.200.23LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackMotherwell1.07 → 1.10Livingston0.97 → 0.96Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.36 → 1.32Livingston1.46 → 1.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six<1%0%0
11th1%<1%−1
Livingston
Top six38%26%−12
St. Mirren
Top six78%85%+7
Hibernian
Top six84%89%+5

From the forecast before the match (8 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellLivingston
Expected goals1.500.96
Win49%23%
Expected Points1.750.97
Clean sheet38%22%

Motherwell 49%Draw 27%Livingston 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 48%.

Livingston goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+9%8%4%1%6%2%4%1%5%5%2%2%2%12%13%10%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawLivingston win
Motherwell
Top six<1%0%––
11th1%<1%1%2%
Livingston
Top six38%26%36%69%
St. Mirren
Top six78%85%79%59%
Hibernian
Top six84%89%85%74%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. W3–11 AprHibernian (A)xG 1.79–0.90
  2. L2–418 MarRangers (H)xG 0.88–4.09
  3. W2–04 MarRoss County (A)xG 1.42–1.19
  4. D1–125 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.24–0.75
  5. W2–019 FebHearts (H)xG 1.33–0.94
  6. W2–115 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.48–0.46

Livingston

  1. L0–31 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.20–3.07
  2. W2–118 MarRoss County (H)xG 0.66–1.29
  3. D1–18 MarDundee United (H)xG 1.17–1.04
  4. L1–44 MarHibernian (H)xG 0.43–1.36
  5. L0–125 FebAberdeen (A)xG 0.43–1.08
  6. L0–318 FebRangers (H)xG 0.84–2.96

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellLivingston
Position8th7th
Played3030
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠6–⁠1511–⁠6–⁠13
Points33 (1.10 per game)39 (1.30 per game)
Expected Points per game1.241.04
Goals39–⁠4531–⁠47
xG per game1.21–⁠1.391.03–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game0.86, 1.17–⁠1.211.56, 1.08–⁠1.45
Away: points, xG per game1.31, 1.24–⁠1.561.00, 0.98–⁠1.77
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (6)David Martindale (91)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackMotherwell1.07, 7thLivingston0.97, 9thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.36, 7thLivingston1.46, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMotherwell attack: 1.07Livingston attack: 0.971.070.97LivingstonMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMotherwell defence: 1.36Livingston defence: 1.461.461.36

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−17%+14%−38%+14%
Counter-attacks+49%+7%−79%+1%
Set pieces−9%+10%+3%+28%
Penalties+17%−50%+34%+51%
Headers−24%+33%−31%+15%
Left side+1%+2%−15%+3%
Centre−18%+29%−34%+16%
Right side−15%−2%−36%+33%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdLivingston concededLeft side+1%+33%Centre−18%+16%Right side−15%+3%Open play−17%+14%Counter-attacks+49%+1%Set pieces−9%+28%Headers−24%+15%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdMotherwell concededLeft side−15%−2%Centre−34%+29%Right side−36%+2%Open play−38%+14%Counter-attacks−79%+7%Set pieces+3%+10%Headers−31%+33%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellLivingston

1.21xG1.03
1.39xG against1.60
48%Possession41%
11.4Shots9.7
12.3Shots against14.0
3.3Shots on target3.4
1.6Big chances1.4
16.3Touches in the opposition box18.8
351Passes291
66%Pass accuracy62%
4.9Corners4.1
48%Field tilt40%
33.7Final-third entries26.0
8.3Box entries8.4
13.7Passes per defensive action15.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.261.72
Ahead211.191.00
Behind311.151.27

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.081.38
Ahead290.921.55
Behind231.082.01

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.224–5
16–300.140.245–8
31–450.210.235–5
46–600.230.2211–7
61–750.280.225–14
76–900.240.269–6

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.1410–3
16–300.160.184–5
31–450.170.377–12
46–600.130.303–7
61–750.140.264–12
76–900.210.353–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTKelly 30McGinn 17Johnston 8O'Donnell 5Johansen 18Butcher 5McGinn 4Lamie 22Casey 6Penney 16O'Donnell 5Cornelius 3Slattery 13Cornelius 10Furlong 5Goss 21Tierney 1Morris 1Shields 10McGinn 5Spittal 4Spittal 10Goss 6Slattery 5Spittal 11McKinstry 8van Veen 5van Veen 21Obika 4Shields 24-2-3-1 in 11 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 4-3-3 (8), 3-4-1-2 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMAMSTGeorge 25Konovalov 4Hamilton 1Devlin 30Obileye 20de Lucas 3Fitzwater 19Boyes 11Sean Kelly 6Montano 18Penrice 7Pittman 2Holt 19Omeonga 13Shinnie 9Pittman 15Bahamboula 4Penrice 2Sean Kelly 18Kelly 6Goncalves 1Kelly 9Shinnie 8Bradley 5Nouble 10Pittman 8Penrice 4Anderson 14Nouble 12Guthrie 34-3-2-1 in 8 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (8), 4-3-3 (8), 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 January 2023Livingston1–1MotherwellxG 2.40–1.82
20 August 2022Motherwell1–0LivingstonxG 1.43–0.27
9 April 2022Livingston2–2MotherwellxG 1.21–0.90
26 December 2021Motherwell2–1LivingstonxG 0.92–0.43
21 August 2021Livingston1–2MotherwellxG 0.95–2.30
6 March 2021Motherwell3–1LivingstonxG 1.80–1.14

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 5, Livingston won 0, and 3 were drawn. Goals 15–8 and xG 1.38–1.14 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
van Veen282,4561610.520.07
McKinstry101,045410.160.16
Tierney4574200.190.10
Spittal282,150450.100.18

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Bradley7569120.150.19
Anderson151,316510.230.06
Guthrie5521000.260.02
Sean Kelly241,939220.170.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.