Wednesday 1 February 2023, 19:45 · Fir Park · Round 24 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 4,279
St. Johnstone Wright 5', Hallberg 49'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Motherwell
St. Johnstone
Goals
0
2
xG
0.31
1.00
Expected Points
0.65
1.99
Motherwell 10%Draw 36%St. Johnstone 54%
Most likely score 0–1, 31%. Final score 0–2, 14%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
MotherwellSt. Johnstone
0.31 −0.96xG1.00 +0.06
0.05 −1.03xG on target1.69 +0.81
5 −7.1Shots12 +2.1
1 −2.3Shots on target4 +1.1
1 −0.6Big chances2 +0.6
8 −9Touches in the opposition box12 −4
57% +8Possession43% +1
449 +88Passes336 +7
70% +1Pass accuracy63% −4
30% −21Field tilt70% +34
35 0Final-third entries33 +5
2 −6.9Box entries7 −0.7
8.9 −4Passes per defensive action15.8 −2
1 −4.5Corners3 −0.2
24 +8Tackles22 +4
8 −1.8Interceptions17 +5.9
20 +3Clearances14 −11
2 −0.5Saves1 −1.8
15 +1Fouls10 −1
3 +1.3Offsides2 +0.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Motherwell
St. Johnstone
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
5'49'
0–10–2
0'HTFT
Level
5 min (5%) · Motherwell 0.00, St. Johnstone 0.23 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
91 min (95%) · Motherwell 0.31, St. Johnstone 0.77 xG
Line-ups
Motherwell substitutes
27'Johnston for Blaney
46'Cornelius for O'Donnell
46'Furlong for Slattery
60'McKinstry for Danzaki
66'Obika for van Veen
St. Johnstone substitutes
70'McLennan for May
80'Carey for Hallberg
Players
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Kelly
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
1
McGinn
RB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
10
10
Blaney
CB
27
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
2
Lamie
CB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.07
6
9
O'Donnell
LB
46
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Danzaki
CM
60
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
1
0
Slattery
CM
46
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
5
6
Goss
CM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.03
4
6
Aitchison
RW
90
0.11
0.00
0
0.05
0
3
van Veen
ST
66
0.00
0.00
1
−0.01
1
0
Crankshaw
LW
90
0.18
0.03
0
−0.01
5
0
Johnston
DF
63
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
6
4
Cornelius
MF
44
0.00
0.04
0
0.02
2
2
Furlong
MF
44
0.02
0.00
0
0.01
4
5
McKinstry
FW
30
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
4
Obika
FW
24
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
1
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Matthews
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
1
Wright
RWB
90
1
0.24
0.02
0
0.11
12
7
Mitchell
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
2
9
Gordon
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
7
Considine
CB
90
0.00
0.05
0
0.06
5
11
Montgomery
LWB
90
0.00
0.04
1
0.14
8
4
Phillips
CM
90
0.02
0.02
1
0.07
2
7
Hallberg
CM
80
1
0.46
0.01
2
−0.03
0
1
MacPherson
CM
90
0.08
0.03
0
0.01
4
2
May
ST
70
1
0.13
0.33
2
0.20
4
2
Clark
ST
90
1
0.08
0.09
3
−0.12
1
2
McLennan
MF
20
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Carey
MF
10
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Motherwell
St. Johnstone
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Lamie
McGinn
12
McGinn
Kelly
9
McGinn
Johnston
9
Furlong
Lamie
9
Johnston
Cornelius
9
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
MacPherson
Montgomery
11
Montgomery
May
8
Considine
MacPherson
7
Considine
Clark
7
Montgomery
MacPherson
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Motherwell
Against its average of 22 matches
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 23 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Motherwell
St. Johnstone
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Motherwell
Top six
4%
1%
−3
11th
15%
21%
+6
Bottom
10%
16%
+6
St. Johnstone
Top six
11%
21%
+10
11th
10%
4%
−6
Bottom
5%
2%
−3
Aberdeen
Top six
59%
55%
−4
11th
1%
1%
0
Kilmarnock
11th
26%
26%
0
Bottom
27%
24%
−3
From the forecast before the match (1 February 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Motherwell
St. Johnstone
Expected goals
1.38
0.94
Win
46%
25%
Expected Points
1.67
1.04
Clean sheet
39%
25%
Motherwell 46%Draw 29%St. Johnstone 25%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 46%.
From the forecast as it stood on 1 February 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Motherwell win
Draw
St. Johnstone win
Motherwell
Top six
4%
7%
3%
1%
11th
15%
10%
16%
21%
Bottom
10%
6%
11%
16%
St. Johnstone
Top six
11%
6%
10%
21%
11th
10%
13%
9%
4%
Bottom
5%
7%
5%
2%
Aberdeen
Top six
59%
60%
59%
55%
11th
1%
1%
1%
1%
Kilmarnock
11th
26%
27%
26%
26%
Bottom
27%
28%
27%
24%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Motherwell
St. Johnstone
Position
10th
8th
Played
22
23
Won, drawn, lost
5–5–12
7–3–13
Points
20 (0.91 per game)
24 (1.04 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.27
1.12
Goals
26–33
26–38
xG per game
1.27–1.39
0.94–1.33
Home: points, xG per game
0.60, 1.34–1.04
1.00, 1.05–1.06
Away: points, xG per game
1.17, 1.22–1.68
1.08, 0.84–1.57
Manager
Steven Hammell (22)
Callum Davidson (99)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Motherwell
St. Johnstone
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−10%
+18%
−22%
+17%
Counter-attacks
+32%
−10%
−72%
−73%
Set pieces
+4%
−5%
−44%
−9%
Penalties
+13%
−32%
−13%
−35%
Headers
−11%
+23%
−48%
average
Left side
+8%
−1%
−35%
+11%
Centre
−8%
+29%
−25%
−6%
Right side
−11%
−4%
−31%
+23%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−35%−4%Centre−25%+29%Right side−31%−1%Open play−22%+18%Counter-attacks−72%−10%Set pieces−44%−5%Headers−48%+23%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
MotherwellSt. Johnstone
1.27xG0.94
1.39xG against1.33
49%Possession42%
12.1Shots9.9
11.8Shots against14.6
3.3Shots on target2.9
1.6Big chances1.4
17.4Touches in the opposition box15.5
361Passes329
68%Pass accuracy67%
5.5Corners3.2
51%Field tilt36%
35.5Final-third entries27.6
8.9Box entries7.7
12.7Passes per defensive action17.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
41
1.33
1.71
Ahead
17
1.20
1.07
Behind
31
1.23
1.14
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
40
0.81
1.29
Ahead
18
0.71
0.88
Behind
32
1.23
1.61
xG by period
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.08
0.27
1–4
16–30
0.17
0.28
4–5
31–45
0.25
0.23
4–4
46–60
0.24
0.21
8–5
61–75
0.27
0.16
3–9
76–90
0.26
0.25
6–6
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.07
0.29
3–6
16–30
0.15
0.14
3–3
31–45
0.16
0.24
3–10
46–60
0.15
0.18
2–4
61–75
0.17
0.19
6–4
76–90
0.23
0.27
9–11
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts