Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 1–0 Dundee United

Saturday 6 May 2023, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 34 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Alan James Muir · Attendance 7,071

St. Johnstone Gordon 43'

Dundee United Mulgrew sent off 61'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneDundee United
Goals10
xG1.121.26
Expected Points1.221.47

St. Johnstone 30%Draw 31%Dundee United 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 1–0, 9%.

Dundee United goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+7%12%7%2%9%10%3%5%9%6%2%2%3%2%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMulgrew (Dundee United), red card 61'Bair on for Hallberg, 67'Rudden on for May, 80'Mitchell on for Brown, 90+6'MacLeod on for Freeman, 70'Cudjoe on for Harkes, 87'Edwards on for McMann, 90+1'Gordon 43'Dundee United 1.26St. Johnstone 1.1200.511.50153045607590HTMulgrew (Dundee United), red card 61'Bair on for Hallberg, 67'Rudden on for May, 80'Mitchell on for Brown, 90+6'MacLeod on for Freeman, 70'Cudjoe on for Harkes, 87'Edwards on for McMann, 90+1'Gordon 43'1.261.12St. JohnstoneDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneDundee United

1.12 +0.22xG1.26 +0.34
1.36 +0.46xG on target0.04 −0.87
16 +6Shots12 +2
6 +2.8Shots on target2 −1.6
0 −1.4Big chances1 −0.1
50% +7Possession50% +5
327 +5Passes324 −28
62% −3Pass accuracy64% −5
54% +15Field tilt46% +2
36 +8Final-third entries36 +1
15 +6.9Box entries14 +5.1
14.1 −3Passes per defensive action11.4 −5
9 +5.2Corners2 −2.7
4 −13Tackles14 −2
7 −3.4Interceptions5 −4.2
29 +4Clearances23 −3
2 −0.8Saves6 +2.8
16 +5Fouls16 +6
0 −1.3Offsides2 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

May 63', 0.29 xGBair 87', 0.13 xGMay 43', 0.12 xGMay 28', 0.06 xGMay 33', 0.06 xGCarey 37', 0.06 xGGordon 50', 0.05 xGCarey 24', 0.04 xGWright 78', 0.04 xGBrown 15', 0.03 xGPhillips 76', 0.03 xGCarey 88', 0.03 xGBair 89', 0.03 xGMay 54', 0.02 xGMay 79', 0.02 xGGordon 43', 0.10 xG, goal26%0.29 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.29 xG, 0 goals33%0.37 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.37 xG, 1 goal23%0.26 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals8%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals9%0.10 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Fletcher 77', 0.47 xGFletcher 90+4', 0.21 xGMcGrath 2', 0.12 xGHarkes 18', 0.07 xGFletcher 90+4', 0.07 xGFletcher 12', 0.06 xGNiskanen 21', 0.06 xGMcMann 2', 0.05 xGHarkes 11', 0.05 xGNiskanen 60', 0.05 xGFreeman 2', 0.04 xGFreeman 2', 0.01 xG38%0.47 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.47 xG, 0 goals47%0.59 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.59 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals10%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneDundee United

0.36 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.26 12 shots, 0 goals
0.13 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.63 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
43 min (45%) · St. Johnstone 0.47, Dundee United 0.46 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
53 min (55%) · St. Johnstone 0.64, Dundee United 0.80 xG

Line-ups

12641934141822237MatthewsBrownGordonConsidineMontgomeryPhillipsWrightMacPhersonHallbergCareyMayGoalYellow cardYellow card90+6'67'80'St. Johnstone 4-1-4-1Steven MacLean12227432314187169BirighittiFreemanAyinaMulgrewMcMannHarkesSibbaldMcGrathNiskanenBehichFletcherSent offYellow cardYellow cardYellow card70'90+1'87'Dundee United 4-3-2-1Jim Goodwin

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 67' Bair for Hallberg
  • 80' Rudden for May
  • 90+6' Mitchell for Brown

Dundee United substitutes

  • 70' MacLeod for Freeman
  • 87' Cudjoe for Harkes
  • 90+1' Edwards for McMann

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0231
BrownRB900.030.0400.0436
GordonCB9010.140.2100.1865
ConsidineCB900.000.3210.20515
MontgomeryLB900.000.0410.1292
PhillipsDM900.030.0310.0533
WrightRM900.040.0120.0334
MacPhersonCM900.000.0420.0812
HallbergCM670.000.032−0.0612
Carey LM900.140.1320.24113
May ST8010.580.061−0.0430
BairFW230.160.0000.0221
RuddenFW100.000.0610.0920
MitchellDF00.000.000––0

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BirighittiGK900.000.0100.0761
FreemanRB700.050.0000.0342
AyinaCB900.000.0100.07211
Mulgrew CB610.000.0000.0336
McMannLB900.050.3210.3184
HarkesCM870.120.042−0.0632
Sibbald CM900.000.0410.0983
McGrathCM900.120.3100.0905
Niskanen AM900.110.1810.1146
Behich AM900.000.6010.1963
FletcherST900.810.4510.3113
MacLeodFW200.000.2320.1220
CudjoeFW30.000.0000.0110
EdwardsDF00.000.0100.0200

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Brown and Phillips: 3 passesBrown and MacPherson: 3 passesConsidine and Gordon: 3 passesConsidine and May: 3 passesGordon and Hallberg: 3 passesGordon and May: 3 passesMontgomery and Wright: 3 passesWright and MacPherson: 3 passesConsidine and Montgomery: 4 passesConsidine and Phillips: 4 passesMontgomery and Phillips: 4 passesMontgomery and Hallberg: 4 passesMontgomery and May: 4 passesMacPherson and May: 4 passesMatthews and Carey: 5 passesBrown and Wright: 5 passesPhillips and Hallberg: 5 passesConsidine and Carey: 6 passesPhillips and Carey: 6 passesPhillips and May: 6 passesHallberg and May: 6 passesHallberg and Carey: 8 passesCarey and May: 15 passesMontgomery and Carey: 18 passesMatthews: 7 completed passesBrown: 11 completed passesConsidine: 16 completed passesGordon: 11 completed passesMontgomery: 20 completed passesPhillips: 21 completed passesWright: 8 completed passesHallberg: 13 completed passesMacPherson: 9 completed passesCarey: 27 completed passesMay: 17 completed passes12461934142218237MatthewsBrownConsidineGordonMontgomeryPhillipsWrightHallbergMacPhersonCareyMayStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee United

Mulgrew and McGrath: 3 passesMulgrew and Harkes: 3 passesMcGrath and Fletcher: 3 passesHarkes and Sibbald: 3 passesHarkes and Niskanen: 3 passesSibbald and Behich: 3 passesSibbald and Fletcher: 3 passesMcMann and McGrath: 4 passesMcGrath and Harkes: 4 passesMcGrath and Niskanen: 4 passesHarkes and Fletcher: 4 passesMulgrew and Fletcher: 5 passesMcMann and Sibbald: 5 passesMcGrath and Sibbald: 5 passesFreeman and Fletcher: 6 passesBehich and Fletcher: 6 passesAyina and Mulgrew: 7 passesAyina and Sibbald: 7 passesMulgrew and McMann: 7 passesMcGrath and Behich: 8 passesMcMann and Behich: 11 passesBirighitti: 6 completed passesFreeman: 8 completed passesAyina: 13 completed passesMulgrew: 15 completed passesMcMann: 15 completed passesMcGrath: 18 completed passesHarkes: 12 completed passesSibbald: 18 completed passesBehich: 15 completed passesNiskanen: 3 completed passesFletcher: 11 completed passes12227431823141679BirighittiFreemanAyinaMulgrewMcMannMcGrathHarkesSibbaldBehichNiskanenFletcherStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MontgomeryCarey12
MayCarey11
CareyMay10
CareyMontgomery8
MacPhersonMay6

Dundee United

FromToPasses
BehichMcMann14
AyinaSibbald7
BehichMcGrath6
FreemanFletcher6
SibbaldBehich6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

7+0.610+1.915+0.310+1.65−0.85−4.19+1.07+1.314+5.15−3.34−1.88+3.32−1.11−4.05−1.32−1.94+0.42−0.34+1.33−1.21−1.81−0.60−0.60−1.04+1.60−0.70−0.23+2.63+2.61+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Dundee United

9+4.39+2.211−5.36−1.43−2.814+7.54−2.18+0.43−4.910+3.68+2.98+3.32−2.18+2.21−5.15+0.32−1.50−2.42−1.21−1.95+2.71−0.31−0.12+0.33+1.51+0.40−0.31+0.50−0.30−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.020.010.020.020.040.080.100.010.010.020.090.040.030.050.030.04−0.150.020.180.160.15LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.030.010.010.020.010.020.010.020.030.030.020.020.030.020.090.080.09−0.010.04−0.060.070.14−0.470.280.240.300.31LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackSt. Johnstone0.94 → 0.94Dundee United0.98 → 0.98Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.35 → 1.34Dundee United1.45 → 1.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th15%4%−11
Bottom3%<1%−3
Dundee United
11th36%44%+8
Bottom15%22%+7
Ross County
11th19%22%+3
Bottom73%69%−4
Kilmarnock
11th30%28%−2
Bottom10%9%−1

From the forecast before the match (6 May 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneDundee United
Expected goals1.310.95
Win44%26%
Expected Points1.621.09
Clean sheet39%27%

St. Johnstone 44%Draw 29%Dundee United 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 45%.

Dundee United goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%6%2%9%8%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawDundee United win
St. Johnstone
11th15%4%18%31%
Bottom3%<1%3%8%
Dundee United
11th36%44%37%19%
Bottom15%22%13%4%
Ross County
11th19%22%17%15%
Bottom73%69%74%78%
Kilmarnock
11th30%28%28%34%
Bottom10%9%10%10%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–122 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.84–0.45
  2. L0–215 AprLivingston (A)xG 1.13–0.72
  3. L0–28 AprRoss County (H)xG 0.86–0.91
  4. L0–11 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.82–1.00
  5. D1–118 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 0.57–1.31
  6. L0–34 MarHearts (A)xG 1.19–1.63

Dundee United

  1. W2–022 AprLivingston (H)xG 0.72–0.51
  2. W2–115 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.53–2.47
  3. W2–19 AprHibernian (H)xG 1.44–1.47
  4. L0–21 AprRangers (A)xG 0.39–2.02
  5. D1–118 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.12–1.75
  6. D1–18 MarLivingston (A)xG 1.04–1.17

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneDundee United
Position9th10th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠6–⁠188–⁠7–⁠18
Points33 (1.00 per game)31 (0.94 per game)
Expected Points per game1.120.98
Goals34–⁠5436–⁠58
xG per game0.90–⁠1.260.92–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game0.81, 0.92–⁠1.101.18, 0.97–⁠1.51
Away: points, xG per game1.18, 0.88–⁠1.410.69, 0.86–⁠1.69
ManagerSteven MacLean (1)Jim Goodwin (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackSt. Johnstone0.94, 12thDundee United0.98, 9thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.35, 8thDundee United1.45, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Johnstone attack: 0.94Dundee United attack: 0.980.980.94Dundee UnitedSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Johnstone defence: 1.35Dundee United defence: 1.451.451.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−28%+9%−33%+30%
Counter-attacks−66%−75%−35%+92%
Set pieces−36%−8%−44%+6%
Penalties−38%−54%+8%−23%
Headers−41%−2%−44%+27%
Left side−32%+14%−18%+52%
Centre−29%−8%−39%+19%
Right side−34%+4%−48%+11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee United concededLeft side−32%+11%Centre−29%+19%Right side−34%+52%Open play−28%+30%Counter-attacks−66%+92%Set pieces−36%+6%Headers−41%+27%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−18%+4%Centre−39%−8%Right side−48%+14%Open play−33%+9%Counter-attacks−35%−75%Set pieces−44%−8%Headers−44%−2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneDundee United

0.90xG0.92
1.26xG against1.60
43%Possession45%
10.3Shots10.3
14.0Shots against15.7
3.2Shots on target3.6
1.4Big chances1.1
16.1Touches in the opposition box17.3
322Passes352
65%Pass accuracy69%
3.8Corners4.7
39%Field tilt44%
27.9Final-third entries35.2
8.1Box entries8.9
17.3Passes per defensive action16.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level400.801.20
Ahead170.690.94
Behind331.131.51

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level340.891.59
Ahead230.761.22
Behind331.061.87

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.244–7
16–300.120.165–7
31–450.150.254–15
46–600.150.173–5
61–750.150.218–6
76–900.240.2410–14

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.228–8
16–300.120.195–3
31–450.160.283–13
46–600.110.344–13
61–750.200.238–6
76–900.180.348–15

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMatthews 31Parish 2Wright 27Brown 3Carey 2Mitchell 24McGowan 15Gordon 24Wright 1McLennan 1Considine 28Brown 5Montgo… 16MontgomeryBrown 6Wothersp… 3WotherspoonCarey 14Montgomery 5Wright 4Hallberg 26McGowan 9Phillips 13MacPherson 12Wotherspoon 4May 25Bair 6Rudden 2Clark 18Murphy 9McLennan 65-3-2 in 10 of 33 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (10), 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTBirighitti 23Eriksson 9Newman 1Smith 15McGrath 2Niskanen 2Edwards 28Ayina 7McMann 16Mulgrew 14Graham 10Freeman 20Smith 12Niskanen 1Sibbald 19Djoum 8Mulgrew 1Levitt 21McGrath 7Harkes 5Behich 23McMann 4Sibbald 4Harkes 16McGrath 14Pawlett 3Middleton 15Watt 5Fletcher 4Fletcher 22Watt 7Anaku 23-4-2-1 in 14 of 33 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (14), 4-3-3 (5), 5-3-2 (4), 4-1-4-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
18 February 2023Dundee United1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.17–0.95
2 January 2023St. Johnstone0–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.63–0.54
1 October 2022Dundee United1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.30–0.72
5 February 2022St. Johnstone0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.39–1.13
30 October 2021Dundee United0–1St. JohnstonexG 1.84–0.33
22 August 2021St. Johnstone0–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.85–1.36

9 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 3, Dundee United won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 8–7 and xG 0.83–1.12 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May252,231750.200.11
Clark191,486420.250.05
Carey191,614310.220.08
McLennan7957110.170.07

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher262,197820.360.06
Niskanen4522110.250.12
McGrath241,967620.180.14
Watt121,018410.240.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.