Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 2–0 St. Johnstone

Saturday 15 April 2023, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 32 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 3,976

Livingston Nouble 23', Stephen Kelly 38'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Goals20
xG0.721.13
Expected Points0.981.68

Livingston 21%Draw 34%St. Johnstone 45%

Most likely score 0–1, 18%. Final score 2–0, 4%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+10%3%10%8%3%4%5%3%1%15%18%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTPittman on for Bradley, 77'Sean Kelly on for Holt, 82'Omeonga on for Stephen Kelly, 87'Carey on for Phillips, 46'Rudden on for Murphy, 66'Wotherspoon on for MacPherson, 78'Nouble 23'Stephen Kelly 38'St. Johnstone 1.13Livingston 0.7200.511.50153045607590HTPittman on for Bradley, 77'Sean Kelly on for Holt, 82'Omeonga on for Stephen Kelly, 87'Carey on for Phillips, 46'Rudden on for Murphy, 66'Wotherspoon on for MacPherson, 78'Nouble 23'Stephen Kelly 38'1.130.72LivingstonSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.72 −0.31xG1.13 +0.24
0.89 −0.13xG on target0.34 −0.54
12 +2.2Shots11 +0.8
5 +1.6Shots on target2 −1.1
0 −1.3Big chances2 +0.6
16 −3Touches in the opposition box16 0
47% +5Possession53% +11
329 +35Passes351 +29
65% +3Pass accuracy64% −2
60% +19Field tilt40% +2
31 +4Final-third entries34 +6
9 +0.5Box entries10 +2.1
8.8 −7Passes per defensive action11.2 −6
2 −2.0Corners3 −0.7
17 +3Tackles19 +2
7 −2.7Interceptions4 −6.8
17 −8Clearances15 −10
1 −2.0Saves3 +0.2
19 +7Fouls16 +5
2 +1.0Offsides0 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Anderson 58', 0.12 xGBradley 7', 0.10 xGNouble 4', 0.06 xGMontano 10', 0.04 xGDevlin 48', 0.04 xGAnderson 50', 0.04 xGNouble 49', 0.03 xGStephen Kelly 64', 0.03 xGBradley 3', 0.02 xGShinnie 44', 0.02 xGNouble 23', 0.16 xG, goalStephen Kelly 38', 0.06 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals21%0.15 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals25%0.18 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals54%0.39 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.39 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

McLennan 11', 0.35 xGCarey 51', 0.16 xGWright 85', 0.13 xGWright 90+6', 0.10 xGHallberg 60', 0.08 xGMcLennan 85', 0.08 xGCarey 80', 0.07 xGMay 4', 0.06 xGMay 90+1', 0.04 xGCarey 90+2', 0.04 xGWright 62', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals65%0.73 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.73 xG, 0 goals19%0.22 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals16%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.57 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.87 8 shots, 0 goals
0.15 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.25 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
23 min (24%) · Livingston 0.38, St. Johnstone 0.41 xG
Livingston ahead
73 min (76%) · Livingston 0.34, St. Johnstone 0.72 xG

Line-ups

125151122181716919GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesMontanoShinnieHoltStephen KellyBradleyAndersonNoubleYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal82'87'77'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale1141361934182622297MatthewsWrightMcGowanGordonMontgomeryPhillipsMacPhersonMcLennanHallbergMurphyMay46'78'66'St. Johnstone 4-2-3-1Callum Davidson

Livingston substitutes

  • 77' Pittman for Bradley
  • 82' Sean Kelly for Holt
  • 87' Omeonga for Stephen Kelly

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' Carey for Phillips
  • 66' Rudden for Murphy · yellow card 71'
  • 78' Wotherspoon for MacPherson

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0220
DevlinRB900.040.2400.2365
FitzwaterCB900.000.0100.0455
Boyes CB900.000.0110.0557
MontanoLB900.040.0200.0324
ShinnieCM900.020.0210.0166
Holt CM820.000.0300.0437
Stephen KellyCM8710.090.0920.1013
BradleyRW770.120.032−0.0123
AndersonST9010.160.2110.0861
NoubleLW9010.250.0510.2343
PittmanMF130.000.0000.0001
Sean KellyDF80.000.0000.0001
OmeongaMF30.000.0000.0000

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0341
WrightRB900.250.0700.12115
McGowanCB900.000.0100.05513
GordonCB900.000.0000.0554
MontgomeryLB900.000.0400.1242
PhillipsDM460.000.000−0.0101
MacPhersonDM780.000.0110.0321
McLennanRW900.430.1720.1664
HallbergAM900.080.121−0.1003
MurphyLW660.000.1310.2361
MayST900.100.0610.0631
CareyMF440.270.0310.0543
Rudden FW240.000.0000.0100
WotherspoonMF120.000.0100.0101

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesDevlin and Anderson: 4 passesFitzwater and Boyes: 4 passesFitzwater and Shinnie: 4 passesBoyes and Holt: 4 passesShinnie and Bradley: 4 passesHolt and Nouble: 4 passesFitzwater and Nouble: 5 passesShinnie and Nouble: 5 passesHolt and Anderson: 5 passesBradley and Anderson: 5 passesDevlin and Holt: 6 passesMontano and Shinnie: 6 passesStephen Kelly and Nouble: 6 passesHolt and Bradley: 6 passesAnderson and Nouble: 6 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 7 passesStephen Kelly and Holt: 7 passesStephen Kelly and Bradley: 8 passesBradley and Nouble: 9 passesDevlin and Bradley: 10 passesMontano and Stephen Kelly: 11 passesMontano and Holt: 12 passesMontano and Nouble: 15 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 17 passesGeorge: 8 completed passesDevlin: 28 completed passesFitzwater: 16 completed passesBoyes: 9 completed passesMontano: 32 completed passesStephen Kelly: 20 completed passesShinnie: 26 completed passesHolt: 29 completed passesBradley: 23 completed passesAnderson: 11 completed passesNouble: 21 completed passes125151117221816919GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesMontanoStephen KellyShinnieHoltBradleyAndersonNoubleStarters until 77' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Wright and McGowan: 3 passesMcGowan and Montgomery: 3 passesMcGowan and May: 3 passesPhillips and MacPherson: 3 passesMacPherson and Murphy: 3 passesMcLennan and Hallberg: 3 passesMatthews and McGowan: 4 passesMcGowan and MacPherson: 4 passesMcGowan and McLennan: 4 passesGordon and Murphy: 4 passesPhillips and McLennan: 4 passesHallberg and May: 4 passesWright and Phillips: 5 passesMcLennan and May: 5 passesWright and McLennan: 8 passesMontgomery and Hallberg: 8 passesWright and MacPherson: 11 passesMatthews: 7 completed passesWright: 18 completed passesMcGowan: 14 completed passesGordon: 10 completed passesMontgomery: 12 completed passesPhillips: 8 completed passesMacPherson: 16 completed passesMcLennan: 8 completed passesHallberg: 12 completed passesMurphy: 8 completed passesMay: 8 completed passes1141361934182622297MatthewsWrightMcGowanGordonMontgomeryPhillipsMacPhersonMcLennanHallbergMurphyMayStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
ShinnieDevlin11
MontanoNouble10
DevlinShinnie8
BradleyNouble7
HoltMontano6

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
WrightMcLennan12
MontgomeryHallberg10
WrightMacPherson8
McGowanMcLennan7
MatthewsMcGowan6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

4−1.511+3.412−2.65−3.85−0.26−1.85−1.17+2.28+0.511+2.65−1.03−1.74+1.27+2.96−1.26+1.53−0.15+2.78+5.05+0.89+6.61−0.71+0.16+4.79+6.41−0.20−0.30−0.50−0.32+1.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

St. Johnstone

7+0.53−5.37−8.14−4.64−1.915+6.213+5.24−1.96−3.220+11.92−4.05+0.32−1.14−1.14−2.44+0.32−1.50−2.41−1.85+0.87+4.50−1.50−0.610.03+0.63+2.41+0.81+0.60−0.43+2.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.040.030.010.010.030.020.010.010.030.040.020.040.070.02−0.020.010.39LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.020.030.030.020.030.010.020.010.030.020.010.020.030.090.03−0.020.030.050.04−0.05−0.020.170.23LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackLivingston0.96 → 0.96St. Johnstone0.92 → 0.93Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.48 → 1.47St. Johnstone1.39 → 1.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six24%44%+20
St. Johnstone
11th4%7%+3
Bottom1%2%+1
Hibernian
Top six76%58%−18

From the forecast before the match (15 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.280.98
Win43%28%
Expected Points1.581.13
Clean sheet37%28%

Livingston 43%Draw 30%St. Johnstone 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+10%5%2%6%2%9%8%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Livingston
Top six24%44%12%7%
St. Johnstone
11th4%7%4%1%
Bottom1%2%1%<1%
Hibernian
Top six76%58%87%92%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–38 AprMotherwell (A)xG 0.84–1.59
  2. L0–31 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.20–3.07
  3. W2–118 MarRoss County (H)xG 0.66–1.29
  4. D1–18 MarDundee United (H)xG 1.17–1.04
  5. L1–44 MarHibernian (H)xG 0.43–1.36
  6. L0–125 FebAberdeen (A)xG 0.43–1.08

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–28 AprRoss County (H)xG 0.86–0.91
  2. L0–11 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.82–1.00
  3. D1–118 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 0.57–1.31
  4. L0–34 MarHearts (A)xG 1.19–1.63
  5. D1–125 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.39–1.59
  6. W2–118 FebDundee United (A)xG 0.95–1.17

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Position7th9th
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠6–⁠149–⁠5–⁠17
Points39 (1.26 per game)32 (1.03 per game)
Expected Points per game1.031.09
Goals31–⁠5033–⁠51
xG per game1.03–⁠1.600.89–⁠1.31
Home: points, xG per game1.56, 1.08–⁠1.450.80, 0.93–⁠1.15
Away: points, xG per game0.93, 0.97–⁠1.761.25, 0.86–⁠1.45
ManagerDavid Martindale (92)Callum Davidson (107)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackLivingston0.96, 9thSt. Johnstone0.92, 12thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.48, 11thSt. Johnstone1.39, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston attack: 0.96St. Johnstone attack: 0.920.960.92St. JohnstoneLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston defence: 1.48St. Johnstone defence: 1.391.481.39

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−37%+16%−27%+14%
Counter-attacks−79%+10%−67%−74%
Set pieces+1%+25%−39%−4%
Penalties+33%+50%−34%−50%
Headers−30%+12%−45%+5%
Left side−15%+12%−36%+19%
Centre−35%+13%−28%−2%
Right side−34%+33%−33%+5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−15%+5%Centre−35%−2%Right side−34%+19%Open play−37%+14%Counter-attacks−79%−74%Set pieces+1%−4%Headers−30%+5%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdLivingston concededLeft side−36%+33%Centre−28%+13%Right side−33%+12%Open play−27%+16%Counter-attacks−67%+10%Set pieces−39%+25%Headers−45%+12%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

1.03xG0.89
1.60xG against1.31
42%Possession42%
9.8Shots10.2
13.9Shots against14.3
3.4Shots on target3.1
1.3Big chances1.4
18.6Touches in the opposition box15.7
294Passes322
62%Pass accuracy66%
4.0Corners3.7
41%Field tilt38%
26.7Final-third entries27.8
8.5Box entries7.9
15.8Passes per defensive action17.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.071.40
Ahead280.921.55
Behind251.061.94

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.771.25
Ahead180.690.92
Behind331.141.58

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.1410–4
16–300.160.174–5
31–450.170.387–14
46–600.130.303–7
61–750.140.264–12
76–900.210.343–8

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.254–7
16–300.120.164–6
31–450.160.264–13
46–600.150.173–5
61–750.160.228–6
76–900.230.2510–14

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMAMSTGeorge 26Konovalov 4Hamilton 1Devlin 30Bradley 1Obileye 20de Lucas 4Devlin 1Fitzwater 19Boyes 11Sean Kelly 6Montano 18Penrice 8Pittman 2Holt 20Omeonga 14Shinnie 9Pittman 15Bahamboula 4Penrice 2Sean Kelly 18Goncalves 1Stephen Kelly 9Shinnie 8Bradley 5Nouble 10Pittman 8Penrice 4Anderson 14Nouble 13Guthrie 34-3-2-1 in 8 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (8), 4-3-3 (8), 4-2-3-1 (6), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMatthews 29Parish 2Wright 26Brown 3Carey 2Mitchell 24McGowan 14Gordon 22Wright 1Considine 27Brown 5Montgo… 14MontgomeryBrown 6Wothersp… 3WotherspoonCarey 14Montgomery 5Brown 4Hallberg 25McGowan 9Phillips 12MacPherson 10Wotherspoon 3May 23Bair 6Rudden 2Clark 18Murphy 8McLennan 55-3-2 in 10 of 31 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (10), 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-1-4-2 (3), 5-4-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
14 January 2023St. Johnstone2–4LivingstonxG 1.86–1.46
15 October 2022Livingston1–0St. JohnstonexG 1.08–0.42
7 May 2022Livingston1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.25–1.21
2 April 2022St. Johnstone1–0LivingstonxG 0.99–0.73
1 February 2022Livingston1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.24–0.41
16 October 2021St. Johnstone0–3LivingstonxG 1.45–1.55

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 5, St. Johnstone won 3, and 2 were drawn. Goals 15–9 and xG 1.00–1.05 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Bradley8638120.130.17
Anderson151,337510.230.06
Sean Kelly241,939220.170.10
Nouble232,060620.190.08

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May232,051650.200.12
Clark191,486420.250.05
Carey191,565310.210.08
Murphy131,156300.120.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.